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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for Predictive fidelity

FNO model predicts GCS pressure fields with 81% less data, even with limited high-fidelity data.

problem Accurate prediction of complex physical behaviors in large-scale 3D geological carbon storage problems with limited data.
method Multi-fidelity Fourier Neural Operator (FNO) for efficient training with multi-fidelity datasets.
result Multi-fidelity FNO model predicts pressure fields with reasonable accuracy even with limited high-fidelity data.

This work introduces a new metric to assess the fidelity of surrogate models to the underlying data-generating signal.

problem The limitations of fidelity-based explanations in explainable AI.
method Introduces the linearity score λ(f)λ(f) to quantify the extent of a regression network's linear decodability.
result High-fidelity surrogates can underperform compared to simpler models and even linear baselines trained directly on the data.

Machine learning combines high- and low-fidelity models for efficient uncertainty quantification and optimization.

problem Efficiently combining high- and low-fidelity models for uncertainty quantification and optimization.
method Machine learning-based multi-fidelity methods for uncertainty quantification and optimization.
result Unified perspective on multi-fidelity priors for optimization.

This work combines autoencoder transfer learning with MSCP for accurate aerodynamic predictions.

problem Data scarcity in aerodynamic modeling limits the use of high-fidelity simulations.
method Autoencoder-based transfer learning with MSCP for uncertainty-aware data fusion.
result The model achieves high accuracy with minimal high-fidelity training data and robust uncertainty bands.

Proposes a method to estimate conditional quantiles using both high-fidelity and low-fidelity data.

problem Difficulty in estimating conditional quantiles with scarce high-fidelity data.
method Two-stage, model-agnostic method using local quantile link and level function estimation.
result The method yields more accurate quantile estimates and tighter prediction intervals.

Efficiently predicts high-fidelity PDE solutions using multi-fidelity Gaussian processes.

problem Expensive high-fidelity solutions for PDEs on discretized domains.
method Multi-Fidelity High-Order Gaussian Process (MFHoGP) that integrates multi-fidelity examples and scales to large numbers of outputs.
result Significantly reduces the cost of high-fidelity PDE solutions through efficient Gaussian process modeling.

This work improves surrogate models using low-fidelity data to enhance accuracy and efficiency.

problem Limited training data makes high-fidelity models unreliable.
method Uses low-fidelity data to augment input space and condition high-fidelity models.
result Increased predictive accuracy and reduced computational cost compared to existing methods.

Unified framework for efficient surrogate modeling in manufacturing.

problem Large data requirements and heterogeneous data sources in manufacturing.
method Hierarchical multi-task multi-fidelity (H-MT-MF) framework for Gaussian process-based surrogate modeling.
result Improves prediction accuracy by up to 23% compared to existing methods.

Inertial confinement fusion (ICF) experiments are designed using computer simulations that are approximations of reality, and therefore must be calibrated to accurately predict experimental observations. In this work, we propose a novel nonlinear technique for calibrating from simulations to experiments, or from low fi…

2018-12-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Enhances multi-fidelity modeling with DGPs for different input domains.

problem Improving prediction accuracy with multi-fidelity models using different input domains.
method Extends Deep Gaussian Processes (DGPs) to handle different input domains for high and low-fidelity models.
result Demonstrates improved performance on real-world physical problems.

The paper compares multi-fidelity methods for Gaussian process surrogates in physics.

problem Limited availability of data due to expensive simulations.
method Extending non-linear autoregressive methods to multi-fidelity models and incorporating delay terms.
result Multi-fidelity methods generally have smaller prediction error for the same computational cost.

This work improves surrogate models for balancing accuracy and cost in multi-fidelity methods.

problem Balancing accuracy and computational cost in multi-fidelity methods.
method Develops context-aware surrogate models for multi-fidelity importance sampling and Bayesian inverse problems.
result Context-aware surrogate models can lead to runtime speedups of up to one order of magnitude.

A new framework explains GNN predictions by simulating graph structure and feature changes.

problem Lack of transparency in GNN predictions hinders understanding.
method TraP2 framework using a three-layer architecture: Translation, Perturbation, and Paraphrase layers.
result TraP2 achieves 10.2% higher explanation accuracy than state-of-the-art methods.

Proposes a multi-fidelity machine learning strategy integrating low-fidelity deterministic and high-fidelity Bayesian models.

problem Addressing the accuracy-efficiency trade-off in machine learning with scarce high-fidelity data.
method Integrates a non-probabilistic regression model for low-fidelity with a Bayesian model for high-fidelity, trained in a staggered scheme.
result Achieves comparable performance in mean and uncertainty estimation with reduced training time and effective mitigation of overfitting.

Understanding black-box machine learning models is crucial for their widespread adoption. Learning globally interpretable models is one approach, but achieving high performance with them is challenging. An alternative approach is to explain individual predictions using locally interpretable models. For locally interpre…

2019-09-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Enhanced multi-fidelity models improve digital twin accuracy and uncertainty quantification.

problem Lack of detailed application-specific data and inaccurate sensor data hinder surrogate model learning for digital twins.
method Proposes a multi-fidelity surrogate model framework integrating PCFE and GP, and deep-HPCFE with auto-regression schemes.
result Demonstrates improved accuracy and uncertainty quantification in digital twin systems.

Computational simulations with different fidelity have been widely used in engineering design. A high-fidelity (HF) model is generally more accurate but also more time-consuming than an low-fidelity (LF) model. To take advantages of both HF and LF models, multi-fidelity surrogate models that aim to integrate informatio…

2019-06-22abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper presents a method to efficiently estimate rare event probabilities using a combination of high and low-fidelity models.

problem Estimating the probability of failure for complex systems using high-fidelity models is expensive and inaccurate for rare events.
method The paper introduces a multi-fidelity surrogate modeling strategy using active learning and subset simulation to merge high and low-fidelity models.
result The method significantly reduces computational cost while maintaining high accuracy in estimating rare event probabilities.

Improved accuracy in dynamic response variation analysis using multi-fidelity data fusion.

problem Inefficient characterization of dynamic response variation due to limited high-fidelity data.
method Composite Neural Network fusion approach for multi-level, heterogeneous datasets.
result Improved accuracy in frequency response variation characterization.

A hybrid ML method improves ship response predictions across different sea conditions.

problem Improving accuracy and generalizability of ML methods for ship response predictions.
method A hybrid machine learning method that corrects forces in a low-fidelity equation of motion.
result The hybrid method offers improved prediction accuracy and generalizability compared to benchmarks.

RMFGP combines multi-fidelity models for efficient uncertainty quantification.

problem Efficiently infer quantities of interest with limited high-fidelity data.
method Rotated multi-fidelity Gaussian process with dimension reduction and Bayesian active learning.
result RMFGP model improves accuracy and efficiency in high-dimensional problems.

New method uses low-fidelity simulations to efficiently infer parameters of high-fidelity models.

problem Challenges in inferring parameters of computationally expensive high-fidelity models.
method Multifidelity simulation-based inference using transfer learning and adaptive selection of high-fidelity parameters.
result Significant reduction in the number of high-fidelity simulations required for inference.

Enhances inverse design optimization with machine learning and reduced fidelity simulations.

problem Limited compute resources in inverse design optimization.
method Synergy of multi-fidelity simulations, machine learning, and search space reduction.
result Significant computational resource savings and improved optimization performance.

New method learns to encode predictions within interpretations, improving evaluation.

problem Need for interpretable machine learning, but existing methods are slow or lack fidelity.
method Amortized explanation methods that learn a global selector model optimizing fidelity of interpretations.
result Predictions can be encoded within interpretations, detected by EVAL-X.

Paper presents MF-PIDNN for physics-informed deep learning with low-fidelity data.

problem Challenges in systems with unknown or approximate governing differential equations and limited high-fidelity data.
method Transfer learning between physics-informed and data-driven deep learning models.
result Model provides accurate predictions even in data-scarce regions.

Generative AI improves surrogate models by blending LF and HF data.

problem Data scarcity between high-fidelity and low-fidelity simulations.
method Probabilistic multi-fidelity surrogate framework using generative transfer learning.
result The model achieves HF accuracy with fewer HF evaluations.

Preconditioned NFs speed up sampling from complex posterior distributions in inverse problems.

problem Sampling from posterior distributions of inverse problems with expensive forward operators.
method Preconditioning a conditional normalizing flow (NF) to speed up training.
result Significant speed-ups achieved compared to training NFs from scratch.

Probabilistic SR method speeds up high-fidelity simulations with reliable uncertainty estimates.

problem Lack of reliable uncertainty quantification in deep-learning based SR methods.
method Statistical Finite Element Method and energy-based generative modeling.
result Efficient high-resolution predictions with inherent uncertainty estimates.

Developed accurate empirical potentials for Si:H nanowires using multi-fidelity Gaussian process.

problem Accurate modeling of Si:H nanowires using fast but inaccurate empirical potentials and slow but accurate first-principle calculations.
method Employed multi-fidelity Gaussian process regression to integrate low-fidelity empirical potential data with high-fidelity first-principle calculations.
result Demonstrated the accuracy of developed empirical potentials for Si:H nanowires.

FGPR uses averaging and SGD for federated GP\mathcal{GP} regression, excelling in personalization and multi-fidelity modeling.

problem Privacy-preserving multi-fidelity data modeling and personalization.
method Federated Gaussian process framework with averaging and SGD for local computations.
result FGPR converges to a critical point of the full log-likelihood function, excels in personalization and multi-fidelity modeling.

The objective for this work is to develop a data-driven proxy to high-fidelity numerical flow simulations using digital images. The proposed model can capture the flow field and permeability in a large verity of digital porous media based on solid grain geometry and pore size distribution by detailed analyses of the lo…

2019-04-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Study builds ML models to predict fuel properties accurately.

problem Accurate prediction of liquid fuel properties over a wide range of conditions.
method Used Gaussian Processes and probabilistic conditional generative learning to train ML models on fuel density data.
result ML models can predict fuel properties accurately across various pressure and temperature conditions.

Neural network fusion reduces data acquisition costs for multi-fidelity sources.

problem Reducing cost in acquiring information from multiple data sources with varying fidelity.
method Employing a novel neural network architecture for nonlinear manifold learning of multi-fidelity data.
result Our approach provides high predictive power and quantifies various sources uncertainties.

SHAP Distance assesses semantic fidelity of synthetic tabular data.

problem Semantic fidelity of synthetic tabular data is not well evaluated.
method SHAP Distance, defined as cosine distance between global SHAP attribution vectors.
result SHAP Distance detects semantic discrepancies overlooked by standard measures.