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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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1223 · May 201919922001200920172026
48 results for meta-modeling

Deep generative models are effective methods of modeling data. However, it is not easy for a single generative model to faithfully capture the distributions of complex data such as images. In this paper, we propose an approach for boosting generative models, which cascades meta-models together to produce a stronger mod…

2019-05-11abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper presents an automatic approach for selecting optimal meta-models for sensitivity analysis in complex systems.

problem Efficient surrogate models for high-dimensional problems in virtual prototyping.
method Automatic selection of meta-models, variable space reduction, and advanced sensitivity measures.
result Optimal meta-models and subspace identification for accurate probabilistic analysis.

Study predicts stream turbidity using surrogate data and meta-model.

problem Costly turbidity sensor deployment limits monitoring networks.
method Dynamic regression (ARIMA), LSTM, GAM models; surrogate covariates (rainfall, water level, temperature, solar exposure); meta-model combining strengths of individual models.
result ARIMA and GAM models with all covariates outperform single models; meta-model yields highest accuracy.

Improved accuracy in dynamic response variation analysis using multi-fidelity data fusion.

problem Inefficient characterization of dynamic response variation due to limited high-fidelity data.
method Composite Neural Network fusion approach for multi-level, heterogeneous datasets.
result Improved accuracy in frequency response variation characterization.

A method to improve gradient boosting models using stacking.

problem Improving the performance of gradient boosting models.
method Proposes a stacking algorithm to learn a meta-model for ensembles of gradient boosting models.
result The proposed approach can be extended to differentiable combination models like neural networks.

Meta learning is a promising solution to few-shot learning problems. However, existing meta learning methods are restricted to the scenarios where training and application tasks share the same out-put structure. To obtain a meta model applicable to the tasks with new structures, it is required to collect new training d…

2019-04-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Computer simulation has become the standard tool in many engineering fields for designing and optimizing systems, as well as for assessing their reliability. To cope with demanding analysis such as optimization and reliability, surrogate models (a.k.a meta-models) have been increasingly investigated in the last decade.…

2015-02-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper tackles uncertainty prediction for deep sequential regression.

problem Challenges in generating accurate uncertainty estimates for deep recurrent networks.
method Flexible method that generates symmetric and asymmetric uncertainty estimates without stationarity assumptions.
result Outperforms competitive baselines on both drift and non-drift scenarios.

Meta-learning is a field that aims at discovering how different machine learning algorithms perform on a wide range of predictive tasks. Such knowledge speeds up the hyperparameter tuning or feature engineering. With the use of surrogate models various aspects of the predictive task such as meta-features, landmarker mo…

2020-02-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Several multi-target regression methods were devel-oped in the last years aiming at improving predictive performanceby exploring inter-target correlation within the problem. However, none of these methods outperforms the others for all problems. This motivates the development of automatic approachesto recommend the mos…

2019-07-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Structural reliability methods aim at computing the probability of failure of systems with respect to some prescribed performance functions. In modern engineering such functions usually resort to running an expensive-to-evaluate computational model (e.g. a finite element model). In this respect simulation methods, whic…

2011-05-03abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider the problem of aggregating models learned from sequestered, possibly heterogeneous datasets. Exploiting tools from Bayesian nonparametrics, we develop a general meta-modeling framework that learns shared global latent structures by identifying correspondences among local model parameterizations. Our propose…

2019-11-01abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithm for online meta-learning with task boundary detection.

problem Adapting to new tasks in a non-stationary environment.
method Two detection mechanisms for task switches and distribution shift; online model updates based on current data.
result Achieves sublinear task-averaged regret under mild conditions.

A new method for efficient probabilistic meta-learning.

problem High-quality predictions with well-calibrated uncertainty estimates require large amounts of data.
method Amortised Inference in Bayesian Neural Networks (APOVI-BNN)
result The APOVI-BNN produces high-quality predictions with well-calibrated uncertainty estimates using significantly less data.

RocketStack integrates predictions from multiple base learners using a recursive stacking architecture up to ten levels.

problem Feature redundancy, complexity, and computational burden in deep stacking.
method Level-aware recursive stacking with pruning and compression techniques.
result Increasing accuracy with depth and outperforming standalone ensembles at later levels.

We investigate two new strategies for the numerical solution of optimal stopping problems within the Regression Monte Carlo (RMC) framework of Longstaff and Schwartz. First, we propose the use of stochastic kriging (Gaussian process) meta-models for fitting the continuation value. Kriging offers a flexible, nonparametr…

2015-09-07abs ↗pdf ↗

In the field of structural reliability, the Monte-Carlo estimator is considered as the reference probability estimator. However, it is still untractable for real engineering cases since it requires a high number of runs of the model. In order to reduce the number of computer experiments, many other approaches known as …

2011-04-18abs ↗pdf ↗

New method for decomposing high-dimensional parametric domains using PCA and inverse projection.

problem Decomposing high-dimensional parametric domains efficiently.
method Iterative Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and inverse projection methods.
result The proposed method effectively reconstructs the original domain from lower-dimensional data.

Meta-learn Bayesian inference for task-specific BNNs using amortised inference.

problem Efficiently learning Bayesian inference for small-scale probabilistic meta-learning.
method Replace global inducing points with actual data to create a set of approximate likelihoods, train a meta-model to learn these parameters across related datasets.
result Meta-learned inference can be applied to task-specific BNNs, improving efficiency and scalability.

Algorithm selection (AS) deals with selecting an algorithm from a fixed set of candidate algorithms most suitable for a specific instance of an algorithmic problem, e.g., choosing solvers for SAT problems. Benchmark suites for AS usually comprise candidate sets consisting of at most tens of algorithms, whereas in combi…

2020-01-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Meta learning works well with overparameterized models, a phenomenon called 'benign overfitting'.

problem Understanding why overparameterized models perform well in few-shot learning.
method Analyzed the generalization performance of gradient-based meta learning with an overparameterized meta linear regression model.
result Demonstrated that overparameterized meta learning can still generalize well, a phenomenon called 'benign overfitting'.

Federated Learning is introduced to protect privacy by distributing training data into multiple parties. Each party trains its own model and a meta-model is constructed from the sub models. In this way the details of the data are not disclosed in between each party. In this paper we investigate the model interpretation…

2019-05-11abs ↗pdf ↗

A meta-model is trained on a distribution of similar tasks such that it learns an algorithm that can quickly adapt to a novel task with only a handful of labeled examples. Most of current meta-learning methods assume that the meta-training set consists of relevant tasks sampled from a single distribution. In practice, …

2019-04-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes a new method for efficient hyperparameter optimization.

problem Challenging task of optimizing hyperparameters in machine learning.
method Sequential Uniform Design (SeqUD) strategy for adaptive and efficient exploration of hyperparameter space.
result The proposed SeqUD strategy outperforms existing methods in hyperparameter optimization.

Enhances Bayesian model comparison with a probabilistic framework for meta-uncertainty.

problem Uncertainty in posterior model probabilities (PMPs) when derived from finite data.
method Develops a fully probabilistic approach to quantify and represent meta-uncertainty over PMPs.
result Demonstrates utility in various BMC contexts, including regression, MCMC, and neural networks.

In this paper we propose to solve an important problem in recommendation -- user cold start, based on meta leaning method. Previous meta learning approaches finetune all parameters for each new user, which is both computing and storage expensive. In contrast, we divide model parameters into fixed and adaptive parts and…

2019-12-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Meta-learning framework improves model performance on few-shot classification tasks.

problem Improving model performance on few-shot classification tasks.
method Empirical Bayes formulation with synthetic gradients for transductive meta-learning.
result Meta-learning framework outperforms previous state-of-the-art methods on benchmarks.

ST-MAML tackles task ambiguity in meta-learning by encoding tasks with stochastic representations.

problem Handling tasks from multiple distributions is challenging for meta-learning due to task ambiguity.
method ST-MAML uses a stochastic neural network module to encode tasks and propagate task representations to revise input variable encoding.
result ST-MAML matches or outperforms state-of-the-art methods on various tasks.

This study presents two new algorithms for solving linear stochastic bandit problems. The proposed methods use an approach from non-parametric statistics called bootstrapping to create confidence bounds. This is achieved without making any assumptions about the distribution of noise in the underlying system. We present…

2016-05-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Leveraging weak or noisy supervision for building effective machine learning models has long been an important research problem. Its importance has further increased recently due to the growing need for large-scale datasets to train deep learning models. Weak or noisy supervision could originate from multiple sources i…

2019-11-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Predictive modelling and supervised learning are central to modern data science. With predictions from an ever-expanding number of supervised black-box strategies - e.g., kernel methods, random forests, deep learning aka neural networks - being employed as a basis for decision making processes, it is crucial to underst…

2018-01-02abs ↗pdf ↗