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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

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19395877 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Piecewise Stationary

The problem of time-series clustering is considered in the case where each data-point is a sample generated by a piecewise stationary ergodic process. Stationary processes are perhaps the most general class of processes considered in non-parametric statistics and allow for arbitrary long-range dependence between variab…

2019-06-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Algorithm identifies best arm in piecewise stationary linear bandits with minimal samples.

problem Identifying the best arm in a piecewise stationary linear bandit model with unknown contexts and changepoints.
method Design of PSε\varepsilonBAI+^+ algorithm, consisting of PSε\varepsilonBAI and Nε\varepsilonBAI subroutines.
result PSε\varepsilonBAI+^+ achieves optimal sample complexity up to a logarithmic factor.

Cascading bandit (CB) is a popular model for web search and online advertising, where an agent aims to learn the KK most attractive items out of a ground set of size LL during the interaction with a user. However, the stationary CB model may be too simple to apply to real-world problems, where user preferences may ch…

2019-09-12abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithms detect changes in non-stationary MABs for better performance.

problem Non-stationary MAB environments where arm reward distributions change over time.
method Modular Detection Augmented Bandit (DAB) procedures with improved performance lower bounds.
result Modular DAB procedures achieve order-optimal regret bounds for various change detectors and bandit algorithms.

For a bounded domain equipped with a piecewise Lipschitz continuous Riemannian metric g, we consider harmonic map from (Ω,g)(Ω, g) to a compact Riemannian manifold (N,h)Rk(N,h)\subset\mathbb R^k without boundary. We generalize the notion of stationary harmonic map and prove the partial regularity. We also discuss the global Li…

2011-08-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Study shows nonstationary bandits require T-dependent regret even with minimal nonstationarity.

problem Understanding satisficing regret in nonstationary multi-armed bandits.
method Developed a novel Fano-based framework for nonstationary bandits with a post-interaction reference construction.
result Optimal regret scales with T even with minimal nonstationarity, contrasting with stationary case.

Study adapts combinatorial semi-bandit for piecewise stationary, causally related rewards.

problem Nonstationary environment with changing base arms' distributions and causal relationships.
method Upper Confidence Bound (UCB) algorithm with change-point detector and group restart strategy.
result Regret upper bound reflecting effects of structural and distribution changes.

Master algorithm fails to detect non-stationarity in practical settings.

problem Non-Stationary Reinforcement Learning without prior knowledge.
method Master algorithm tested under various conditions, including piecewise stationary multi-armed bandits.
result Master's non-stationarity detection is ineffective for practical horizons, leading to performance similar to random restarting.

New algorithms minimize dynamic regret in non-stationary online learning.

problem Universal dynamic regret minimization under exp-concave and smooth losses.
method Strongly Adaptive algorithms with a path variational based on second order differences of the comparator sequence.
result Achieve a dynamic regret of ildeO(d2n1/5Cn2/5d2) ilde O(d^2 n^{1/5} C_n^{2/5} \vee d^2), optimal modulo dependencies.

The Bivariate Dynamic Contagion Processes (BDCP) are a broad class of bivariate point processes characterized by the intensities as a general class of piecewise deterministic Markov processes. The BDCP describes a rich dynamic structure where the system is under the influence of both external and internal factors model…

2014-05-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Memory-based models can learn to approximate Bayes-optimal predictors for non-stationary data.

problem Learning from non-stationary data with unobserved switching points.
method Memory-based neural models, including Transformers, LSTMs, and RNNs, trained to minimize log loss.
result Memory-based models can accurately approximate known Bayes-optimal algorithms and perform Bayesian inference over latent switching points.

Improved algorithm detects changes in RL environments with non-stationary MDPs.

problem Learning in non-stationary reinforcement learning environments.
method R-BOCPD-UCRL2 algorithm for MDPs with multinomial state transitions.
result Near-optimal theoretical guarantees in terms of false-alarm rate and detection delay.

New algorithm reduces dynamic regret for noisy gradient feedback with piecewise polynomial comparators.

problem Online estimation of piecewise polynomial trends with noisy feedback.
method Introduces variational constraint for piecewise polynomial comparators, designs adaptive algorithm.
result Achieves nearly optimal dynamic regret of $ ilde{O}(n^{ rac{1}{2k+3}}C_n^{ rac{2}{2k+3}})$.

Algorithm reduces decision-making errors in multi-agent bandit problems.

problem Minimizing decision errors in multi-agent multi-armed bandit problems.
method RBO-Coop-UCB algorithm with Bayesian change point detection.
result Expected group regret is upper bounded by O(KNMlogT+KMTlogT)\mathcal{O}(KNM\log T + K\sqrt{MT\log T}).

Adaptive beamforming collapses in highly non-stationary environments, but the Universal Switching Beamformer resolves this by dynamically adjusting memory length.

problem Adaptive beamforming performance degrades in highly non-stationary environments.
method Integrating sequential prediction into the beamforming architecture.
result The USB achieves agility and precision in tracking highly non-stationary scenes.

This paper introduces the Partition Tree Weighting technique, an efficient meta-algorithm for piecewise stationary sources. The technique works by performing Bayesian model averaging over a large class of possible partitions of the data into locally stationary segments. It uses a prior, closely related to the Context T…

2012-11-03abs ↗pdf ↗

New method uses PDMPs with sub-sampling for efficient sampling from posterior distributions.

problem Efficient sampling from posterior distributions with limited data access.
method Approximate simulation of PDMPs with sub-sampling and stochastic gradient estimation.
result Stochastic-gradient PDMPs are efficient and robust compared to Langevin dynamics.

This work studies the denoising of piecewise smooth graph signals that exhibit inhomogeneous levels of smoothness over a graph, where the value at each node can be vector-valued. We extend the graph trend filtering framework to denoising vector-valued graph signals with a family of non-convex regularizers, which exhibi…

2019-05-29abs ↗pdf ↗

New model predicts dynamic tax evasion with audits and imitation.

problem Static treatment of tax compliance and evasion in Bertotti and Modanese model.
method Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs) for audits and imitation mechanisms.
result Model shows persistent fluctuations and stationary distribution, not extreme equilibrium.

Piecewise flat approximations for curvature in Euclidean and non-Euclidean spaces.

problem Approximating local extrinsic curvature on discrete manifolds.
method Constructing discrete curvature forms on piecewise flat manifolds, using weighted sums of hinge angles.
result Converges to smooth curvature values as mesh refinement occurs, favorably comparing with other discrete approaches.

Study geometrically characterizes piecewise circular curves with decreasing curvature.

problem Characterizing piecewise circular curves with decreasing curvature.
method Introducing moduli spaces and relating them to Legendrian polygons.
result Proves the moduli space contains a connected component homeomorphic to the Fock-Goncharov space of positive flags.

The paper extends a variance gamma model to quadratic functions, reducing arbitrage and computational costs.

problem Creating an arbitrage-free interpolation for option pricing models.
method Generalizing the local variance gamma model to a piecewise quadratic local variance function.
result The quadratic model results in an arbitrage-free interpolation of class C3, reducing knots and computational cost.

This article provides an attempt to extend concepts from the theory of Riemannian manifolds to piecewise linear spaces. In particular we propose an analogue of the Ricci tensor, which we give the name of an Einstein vector field. On a given set of piecewise linear spaces we define and discuss (normalized) Ricci flows. …

2015-08-22abs ↗pdf ↗

A piecewise flat Finsler metric on a triangulated surface MM is a metric whose restriction to any triangle is a flat triangle in some Minkowski space with straight edges. One of the main purposes of this work is to study the properties of geodesics on a piecewise flat Finsler surface, especially when it meets a vertex…

2016-08-21abs ↗pdf ↗

New GP model estimates piecewise continuous functions.

problem Piecewise continuous regression functions in scientific and engineering applications.
method Local Gaussian process model with partitioned local data and joint estimation of boundaries.
result Superior performance over conventional GP models in estimating piecewise regression functions.

Paper proposes algorithms to accurately identify breakpoints in piecewise regression.

problem Identifying accurate breakpoints in piecewise regression for better data fitting.
method Proposes novel greedy algorithms to minimize error and determine optimal breakpoints.
result The proposed algorithms outperform existing methods in accuracy and efficiency.

Simplicial, piecewise-flat discretizations of manifolds provide a clear path towards curvature analysis on discrete geometries and for solutions of PDE's on manifolds of complex topologies. In this manuscript we review and expand on discrete exterior calculus methods using hybrid domains. We then analyze the geometric …

2012-12-05abs ↗pdf ↗