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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,982 papers · 148 categories

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22436586 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Personalized Forecasting

Personalized model improves ADAS-Cog13 cognitive score forecasting.

problem Improving accuracy in predicting cognitive changes in Alzheimer's Disease.
method Meta-Weighted Gaussian Process Experts (pGPE) model for personalized forecasting.
result Meta-weighting of expert models leads to significant improvements in forecasting accuracy.

A federated graph learning approach improves EV charging demand forecasting while protecting against cyberattacks.

problem Cybersecurity risk and data heterogeneity in EV charging demand forecasting.
method Federated Graph Neural Network (GNN) model with global attention mechanism and credit-based function.
result Enhanced robustness and prediction accuracy in EV charging demand forecasting.

Smooth calibration improves forecast reliability even with leaked information.

problem Improving forecast reliability with leaked information.
method Combining nearby forecasts to ensure smooth calibration, which can be guaranteed by deterministic procedures.
result Smooth calibration can be guaranteed by deterministic procedures even with leaked forecasts, and it yields uncoupled finite-memory dynamics in games.

Neural network predicts nonlinear safety behavior based on personality traits.

problem Predicting construction workers' unsafe behaviors based on personality traits.
method Developed a forecasting model using neural network algorithms.
result Nonlinear relationship exists between personality traits and safety behavior.

This paper analyzes privacy-preserving methods for collaborative forecasting.

problem Data owners' reluctance to share data due to competitive and privacy concerns.
method Examines three groups of privacy-preserving methods: data transformation, secure multi-party computations, and decomposition methods.
result State-of-the-art techniques have limitations in preserving data privacy, such as trade-offs between privacy and forecasting accuracy.

Framework models female reproductive hormones with minimal invasive data.

problem Personalized modeling of female reproductive hormonal patterns.
method Combines multi-task Gaussian processes and dilated convolutional networks.
result Validated framework outperforms baseline methods in predictive performance.

Graph neural networks improve cold start for new items in recommender systems.

problem Cold start problem for new items in recommender systems.
method Item hierarchy graphs and bespoke graph neural network architecture.
result Our method achieves better forecasting quality than state-of-the-art with comparable computational time.

Individual choices are either based on personal experience or on information provided by peers. The latter case, causes individuals to conform to the majority in their neighborhood. Such herding behavior may be very efficient in aggregating disperse private information, thereby revealing the optimal choice. However if …

2005-06-17abs ↗pdf ↗

New method improves sales forecasting accuracy using tensor factorization.

problem Improving sales forecasting accuracy in retail businesses.
method Advanced Temporal Latent-factor Approach to Sales forecasting (ATLAS) using tensor factorization.
result Accurate and individualized prediction for sales across multiple stores and products.

Optimizes LightGBM for stock market forecasting with novel feature engineering and transformation methods.

problem Accurately forecasting stock market fluctuations to mitigate risks.
method Feature engineering and transformation methods for LightGBM optimization.
result Log Returns, Returns and EMA Difference Ratio are the most effective target variable transformations.

Deep learning speeds up pressure prediction in carbon storage reservoirs.

problem Accurately forecasting reservoir pressure in geologic carbon storage projects with sparse well data.
method Combining InSAR surface displacement data with deep learning and data assimilation techniques.
result Workflow can predict reservoir pressure with high efficiency and uncertainty quantification.

Vanguard uses AI to create personalized financial plans.

problem Challenges in choosing features for complex financial planning.
method Reinforcement learning for identifying optimal savings rates.
result Trains algorithms to model financial success trajectories.

A coin-flipping game paradox illustrates how conditional probability estimation can distort risk assessment.

problem Distortion of risk assessment due to incorrect conditional probability estimation.
method A coin-flipping game to illustrate the paradox of conditional probability estimation.
result Incorrect conditional probability estimation can lead to excessive risk bearing.

SAGA predicts multi-year earnings with adaptive intervals, improving forecast accuracy.

problem Forecasting long-range nonlinear structure in lifetime earnings.
method Decoder-only transformer for irregular tabular sequences, split conformal calibration.
result Significant improvement in forecast accuracy compared to existing methods.

The paper explores how machine learning personalization aligns with humanistic views of the person.

problem Aligning machine learning personalization with humanistic views of the person.
method Explicating the concept of personalization and contrasting it with humanistic views of the person.
result Proposes dimensions for evaluating the degree of personalization of ML personalized scores.

Adaptive personalized federated learning improves local model personalization.

problem Maximizing global model performance limits local model personalization.
method APFL algorithm trains local models while contributing to global model, with optimal mixing parameter and communication-efficient optimization.
result Demonstrates effectiveness of personalization schema and correctness of generalization theories.

A rising topic in computational journalism is how to enhance the diversity in news served to subscribers to foster exploration behavior in news reading. Despite the success of preference learning in personalized news recommendation, their over-exploitation causes filter bubble that isolates readers from opposing viewpo…

2017-06-30abs ↗pdf ↗

A new personality-based recommender system tackles data sparsity without feedback.

problem Data sparsity without common feedback among users.
method Implicitly identifying users' personality type and incorporating it with personal interests and knowledge level.
result The model's effectiveness, especially in data sparsity situations, demonstrated on a real-world dataset.

Framework generates personalized insulin treatment strategies using deep models.

problem Developing optimal personalized treatment strategies for diabetes patients.
method Combines deep generative time series models with decision theory.
result Demonstrated improved personalized insulin treatment strategies for diabetes patients.

Paper uses language models to predict MBTI personality types with high accuracy.

problem Predicting Myers-Briggs personality types from text.
method Fine-tuned BERT model for predicting MBTI types and generating personality-specific language.
result BERT model achieves high accuracy in predicting MBTI types and personality-specific language generation.

Cyber attacks are growing in frequency and severity. Over the past year alone we have witnessed massive data breaches that stole personal information of millions of people and wide-scale ransomware attacks that paralyzed critical infrastructure of several countries. Combating the rising cyber threat calls for a multi-p…

2018-06-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Background doesn't affect personality predictions in deep networks.

problem Understanding how background images influence personality attribution in deep learning models.
method Explicitly studied the effect of background images on personality prediction in deep residual networks, controlling for confounds.
result Adding background information to input decreases model performance for personality trait prediction.

Generative framework unifies and improves personalized learning and estimation methods.

problem Statistical heterogeneity in client data motivates personalized learning models.
method Generative framework unifies and suggests new personalized learning and estimation algorithms.
result AdaPeD algorithm numerically outperforms known algorithms.

A new federated multi-armed bandit framework with personalization balances generalization and personalization.

problem Balancing generalization and personalization in federated multi-armed bandits.
method Proposed a Personalized Federated Upper Confidence Bound (PF-UCB) algorithm to achieve a O(log(T))O(\log(T)) regret.
result PF-UCB achieves an O(log(T))O(\log(T)) regret regardless of personalization degree and has similar instance dependency to lower bound.

Introduces a new benchmark for time series extrinsic regression.

problem Predicting a single continuous value from univariate or multivariate time series, not necessarily related to the predictor.
method Developed a new benchmarking archive for time series extrinsic regression.
result Initial benchmarking of existing models on the new TSER datasets.

Unified proof for scalable personalized federated learning.

problem Personalized federated learning under asynchronous updates.
method Unified proof for asynchronous federated learning with bounded staleness applied to MAML and ME personalization frameworks.
result Unified proof for convergence to first-order stationary point for smooth and non-convex functions.

Explanation in machine learning and related fields such as artificial intelligence aims at making machine learning models and their decisions understandable to humans. Existing work suggests that personalizing explanations might help to improve understandability. In this work, we derive a conceptualization of personali…

2019-01-03abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper analyzes the trade-off between accuracy and communication in personalized federated learning.

problem The accuracy-communication trade-off in personalized federated learning.
method The paper provides a quantitative characterization of the personalization degree on the trade-off, establishing minimax optimality.
result The paper offers theoretical insights for choosing the personalization degree and validates the results on synthetic and real-world datasets.

Personalized sleep staging achieved with single-night data using KL-divergence regularization.

problem Improving automatic sleep staging accuracy with limited single-night data.
method KL-divergence regularization for transfer learning from a pretrained model to a personalized model.
result Personalized sleep staging accuracy of 79.6% with KL-divergence regularization.

FSPO optimizes synthetic preferences for LLM personalization.

problem Personalizing large language models for diverse users.
method FSPO reframes reward modeling as a meta-learning problem, using few labeled preferences and synthetic data.
result FSPO achieves high winrates in personalized responses, both synthetic and real.

RevGAN generates personalized reviews with given sentiment and style.

problem Creating reviews that are both personalized and of high quality.
method RevGAN combines self-attentive recursive autoencoders, conditional discriminators, and personalized decoders.
result RevGAN outperforms state-of-the-art models in sentence quality, coherence, and personalization.

The paper analyzes a game where players must balance short-term and long-term interests, leading to cooperative or competitive outcomes.

problem Analyzing time inconsistency in inter-personal decision-making under non-exponential discounting.
method Iterative procedures and Zorn's lemma to find Nash equilibria between players' intra-personal equilibria.
result Inter-personal equilibria exist and depend on the impatience levels of the players.

Group personalization improves FL performance in heterogeneous client data.

problem Mitigating client drift in federated learning with heterogeneous data.
method Fine-tuning a global FL model over homogeneous groups of clients, then personalizing each group's model.
result The proposed method achieves superior personalization performance compared to other FL approaches.

LP-FT improves personalized model training in FL by balancing generalization and personalization.

problem Federated Learning struggles with balancing global generalization and local personalization due to non-identical data distributions.
method Adapting Linear Probing followed by full Fine-Tuning (LP-FT) to the FL setting.
result LP-FT outperforms standard fine-tuning in balancing personalization and generalization across various datasets and PFT variants.