New bound improves on weighted majority vote risk estimation.
problem Improving risk estimation for weighted majority vote.
method Novel Chebyshev-Cantelli inequality and PAC-Bayes-Bennett inequality.
result New bounds improve on existing methods.
On-device research index
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
168,742 papers · 148 categories
Trend · papers per month
48 results for “PAC-Bayes oracle inequalities”
Oracle inequality for sparse neural nets adapts to unknown structure.
problem Sparse deep neural nets in nonparametric regression.
method Gibbs posterior distribution with Metropolis-adjusted Langevin algorithms and mixture of uniform priors.
result Oracle inequality showing adaptation to unknown regularity and structure, achieving minimax-optimal rate of convergence.
Deep neural networks are optimal for dependent data using PAC-Bayes bounds.
problem Optimizing deep neural networks for dependent data.
method PAC-Bayes oracle inequalities and Bernstein inequality.
result Upper and lower bounds match, proving minimax optimality.
New PAC-Bayes bounds for unbounded losses using Cramér-Chernoff techniques.
problem Developing bounds for unbounded losses in PAC-Bayesian settings.
method Introducing a new PAC-Bayes oracle bound using Cramér-Chernoff bounds and controlling random variable tails.
result Our bounds generalize and improve upon previous results, providing more informative and potentially tighter bounds.
New data-dependent priors improve PAC-Bayes bounds.
problem Improving PAC-Bayes bounds for nonconvex learning.
method Using data to learn a conditional expectation of the posterior, given a subset of training data.
result Data-dependent oracle priors lead to stronger PAC-Bayes bounds.
New inequality for ternary variables improves on existing measures.
problem Analyzing excess losses and weighted majority votes with ternary random variables.
method Developed a split-kl inequality and its PAC-Bayes extension.
result Outperforms existing inequalities in certain regimes.
New PAC-Bayes bounds derived using Legendre transform and f-divergences.
problem Deriving PAC-Bayes bounds under various assumptions.
method Combining Legendre transform and Fenchel--Young inequality to derive change-of-measure inequalities.
result Extended PAC-Bayesian guarantees under tailored assumptions.
Paper tightens PAC-Bayes bounds using coin-betting for better estimates.
problem Estimating mean of random elements with possibly S-dependent parameters.
method Refined PAC-Bayes proof strategy based on coin-betting framework.
result Derives tighter concentration inequalities for all sample sizes.
Paper refines PAC-Bayes bounds for bandit problems.
problem Improving probabilistic bounds for off-policy learning.
method Optimizes PAC-Bayesian bounds using a new parameter optimization approach.
result Provides two parameter-free PAC-Bayes bounds that nearly match optimal rates.
Paper presents a new probabilistic approach for high-dimensional quantile prediction.
problem High-dimensional quantile prediction challenges in robust statistical methods.
method Pseudo-Bayesian framework with scaled Student-t prior and Langevin Monte Carlo.
result Demonstrates strong theoretical guarantees and competitive performance in simulations and real-world data.
Paper improves PAC-Bayes bounds using a better-than-KL divergence.
problem Estimating the generalization error of stochastic algorithms.
method Developed new PAC-Bayes bounds with a novel divergence.
result Achieved strictly tighter bounds than the KL divergence.
We give tight concentration bounds for mixtures of martingales that are simultaneously uniform over (a) mixture distributions, in a PAC-Bayes sense; and (b) all finite times. These bounds are proved in terms of the martingale variance, extending classical Bernstein inequalities, and sharpening and simplifying prior wor…
New PAC-Bayes bounds for heavy-tailed losses using supermartingales.
problem Extending PAC-Bayes bounds to heavy-tailed losses.
method Using supermartingales and bounded variance assumption.
result PAC-Bayes generalization bounds for heavy-tailed losses.
The paper improves PAC-Bayes bounds for data-dependent predictors.
problem Guaranteeing the quality of predictions on unseen examples.
method Basic PAC-Bayes inequality for stochastic kernels, leading to various bounds.
result Validates PAC-Bayes bounds without fixed 'data-free' priors and bounded losses.
Unified derivation of PAC-Bayes and MI bounds for general VC classes with fast rates.
problem Generalization bounds for machine learning models with VC classes.
method Unified derivation of conditional PAC-Bayesian and mutual information bounds, including MAC-Bayesian bounds.
result Nontrivial bounds for general VC classes and faster rates for specific conditions.
Unified framework for anytime-valid PAC-Bayes bounds.
problem Deriving time-uniform PAC-Bayes bounds for stochastic processes.
method Combines four tools: nonnegative supermartingales, method of mixtures, Donsker-Varadhan formula, and Ville's inequality.
result Unified PAC-Bayes theorem for a wide class of discrete stochastic processes.
This paper presents eight PAC-Bayes bounds to analyze the generalization performance of multi-view classifiers. These bounds adopt data dependent Gaussian priors which emphasize classifiers with high view agreements. The center of the prior for the first two bounds is the origin, while the center of the prior for the t…
Logistic regression gets a new, simpler uniform bound.
problem Finding a uniform bound for logistic regression's empirical risk.
method PAC-Bayes approach with second-order expansion and Rademacher-complexity bounds.
result Provides a dimension-free uniform concentration bound.
Discussion of ``2004 IMS Medallion Lecture: Local Rademacher complexities and oracle inequalities in risk minimization'' by V. Koltchinskii [arXiv:0708.0083]
Discussion of ``2004 IMS Medallion Lecture: Local Rademacher complexities and oracle inequalities in risk minimization'' by V. Koltchinskii [arXiv:0708.0083]
Discussion of ``2004 IMS Medallion Lecture: Local Rademacher complexities and oracle inequalities in risk minimization'' by V. Koltchinskii [arXiv:0708.0083]
Discussion of ``2004 IMS Medallion Lecture: Local Rademacher complexities and oracle inequalities in risk minimization'' by V. Koltchinskii [arXiv:0708.0083]
Discussion of "2004 IMS Medallion Lecture: Local Rademacher complexities and oracle inequalities in risk minimization" by V. Koltchinskii [arXiv:0708.0083]
Develops new oracle inequalities for Gaussian ranking estimators.
problem Lack of rigorous theoretical support for Gaussian ranking estimators.
method Novel oracle inequalities for regularized pairwise ranking.
result Derives fast learning rates under general dimension assumptions.
The paper improves count data regression models for overdispersed data.
problem Improving regression models for overdispersed count data.
method Double -regularized negative binomial regressions.
result Oracle inequalities and consistency for Lasso estimators of partial regression coefficients.
Through the direct study of the analysis estimator we derive oracle inequalities with fast and slow rates by adapting the arguments involving projections by Dalalyan, Hebiri and Lederer (2017). We then extend the theory to the square root analysis estimator. Finally, we focus on (square root) total variation regularize…
New method certifies risks of LLM outputs, improving accuracy and reliability.
problem Uncertain and incorrect outputs from large language models.
method Information-lift certificates using PAC-Bayes bounds and skeleton design.
result Achieves 77.0% coverage at 2% risk, outperforming baselines.
Recursive PAC-Bayes: A Frequentist Approach to Sequential Prior Updates with No Information Losscs.LG
New PAC-Bayes method updates priors without losing confidence information.
problem Lack of sequential prior updates in PAC-Bayes without losing confidence information.
method Recursive PAC-Bayes decomposition of expected loss.
result Sequential prior updates with no information loss.
When I first encountered PAC-Bayesian concentration inequalities they seemed to me to be rather disconnected from good old-fashioned results like Hoeffding's and Bernstein's inequalities. But, at least for one flavour of the PAC-Bayesian bounds, there is actually a very close relation, and the main innovation is a cont…
We investigate properties of estimators obtained by minimization of U-processes with the Lasso penalty in high-dimensional settings. Our attention is focused on the ranking problem that is popular in machine learning. It is related to guessing the ordering between objects on the basis of their observed predictors. We p…
The aim of this paper is to provide some theoretical understanding of quasi-Bayesian aggregation methods non-negative matrix factorization. We derive an oracle inequality for an aggregated estimator. This result holds for a very general class of prior distributions and shows how the prior affects the rate of convergenc…
Paper introduces structured sparsity estimators for Generalized Linear Models.
problem Estimating structured sparsity in GLMs with debiased estimators.
method Extends Stucky and van de Geer's results to GLMs with structured sparsity.
result Proves oracle inequalities for structured sparsity estimators in GLMs.
New algorithms solve stochastic variational inequalities without bounded variance assumption.
problem Solving stochastic variational inequalities without bounded variance assumption.
method Developed algorithms for two classes of problems: monotone and structured nonmonotone VIs.
result Oracle complexity of O(ε^-4) for solving VIs with unbounded domains and possibly unbounded variance.
New method improves transductive learning predictions with multiplicative oracle inequalities.
problem Improving transductive learning predictions with known covariates.
method Median of Level-Set Aggregation (MLSA) for transductive LOO prediction.
result Proved multiplicative oracle inequality for LOO error.
Note improves confidence bounds for random variables.
problem Improving confidence bounds for random variables with unbounded ranges and different distributions.
method PAC-Bayes-ification of a derived confidence bound.
result Streamlined proofs for existing results.
Improved MALA method for neural networks uncertainty quantification.
problem Uncertainty quantification in Bayesian neural networks.
method Corrected Stochastic MALA (csMALA) with a simplified correction term.
result Improved surrogate posterior for quantifying uncertainties in neural networks.
In this work, we propose a PAC-Bayes bound for the generalization risk of the Gibbs classifier in the multi-class classification framework. The novelty of our work is the critical use of the confusion matrix of a classifier as an error measure; this puts our contribution in the line of work aiming at dealing with perfo…
New bounds link flat minima to good generalisation in overparameterized models.
problem Understanding the relationship between flat minima and generalisation in overparameterized machine learning models.
method Combining PAC-Bayes, Poincaré, and Log-Sobolev inequalities to derive generalisation bounds involving gradient terms.
result Flat minima positively influence generalisation performance, highlighting the benefits of the optimisation phase.
This paper establishes non-asymptotic oracle inequalities for the prediction error and estimation accuracy of the LASSO in stationary vector autoregressive models. These inequalities are used to establish consistency of the LASSO even when the number of parameters is of a much larger order of magnitude than the sample …
Meta-learning bounds derived using PAC-Bayes theory for improved generalization.
problem Uncertainty in generalization performance for meta-learning with new tasks.
method PAC-Bayes relative entropy bounds and empirical risk minimization (ERM) method.
result Competitive generalization performance and rapid convergence with data-dependent prior.
PAC-Bayes framework fails on simple 1D linear classification task.
problem Proving the learnability of simple 1D linear classification tasks using PAC-Bayes bounds.
method Demonstrated a specific 1D linear classification task that PAC-Bayes cannot analyze.
result PAC-Bayes framework cannot prove learnability of simple 1D linear classification tasks.
PAC-Bayes bound requires prior to place mass on high-performing predictors.
problem Explaining generalization in machine learning.
method Analyzing necessary conditions for PAC-Bayes bounds to provide meaningful generalization guarantees.
result Achieving a target generalisation level requires the prior to place sufficient mass on high-performing predictors.
We introduce an efficient algorithmic framework for model selection in online learning, also known as parameter-free online learning. Departing from previous work, which has focused on highly structured function classes such as nested balls in Hilbert space, we propose a generic meta-algorithm framework that achieves o…
New method reduces computational cost for estimating PAC-Bayes bounds.
problem High computational cost in estimating PAC-Bayes bounds.
method General alternative method that makes computational savings.
result Reduces computational cost on the order of the dataset size.
This paper improves meta-learning by developing new PAC-Bayes bounds.
problem Meta-learning generalization gap across multiple tasks.
method Upper bounding convex functions linking environment and task-level losses.
result New PAC-Bayes bounds for meta-learning with improved algorithms.
New PAC-Bayes training method improves model generalization for unbounded loss.
problem Improving generalization of complex models under unbounded loss.
method Established new PAC-Bayes bound for unbounded loss, jointly training prior and posterior.
result Outperforms existing PAC-Bayes training algorithms and matches ERM accuracy.
New PAC-Bayes bounds use Wasserstein distances to improve generalization.
problem Lack of geometric properties in existing PAC-Bayes bounds.
method Developed new PAC-Bayes bounds with Wasserstein distances.
result Optimization guarantees translate to good generalization abilities.
Researchers estimate optimal PAC-Bayes bounds using Hamiltonian Monte Carlo.
problem Estimating tight PAC-Bayes bounds with restricted posterior families.
method Sampling from optimal Gibbs posterior using Hamiltonian Monte Carlo, estimating KL divergence, and proposing high-probability bounds.
result Significant tightness gaps in PAC-Bayes bounds, up to 5-6% in some cases.