M3E2 neural network estimates multiple treatment effects.
problem Estimating effects of multiple treatments simultaneously.
method Multi-task learning neural network model for multiple treatments, continuous and binary.
result M3E2 outperforms baselines in synthetic datasets.
New method identifies proxies for causal effects on multiple outcomes.
problem Estimating causal effects in scenarios with multiple outcomes and treatments.
method Causal discovery method leveraging multiple outcomes as proxies for each treatment effect.
result Parallel studies of multiple outcomes can assist in causal identification.
The paper develops methods to identify stable associations across multiple studies.
problem Identifying stable associations across multiple studies with possible distributional shifts.
method Modeling heterogeneous multi-source data with multiple high-dimensional regressions and devising a novel sampling method for valid confidence intervals of maximin effects.
result Significant maximin effects indicate stable associations that can be generalized to target populations.
New method estimates causal effects of multiple versions of treatment.
problem Ignoring multiple versions of treatment leads to biased causal effect estimates.
method Mixture-of-Experts framework for estimating version-specific causal effects.
result Effective method for estimating causal effects of latent versions.
The paper compares methods for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects using multiple randomized trials.
problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects reliably and precisely with a single dataset is challenging.
method Non-parametric approaches for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects using data from multiple trials.
result Methods that directly allow for heterogeneity of the treatment effect across trials perform better than those that do not.
The study investigates noise effects on parameter estimation for Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes.
problem Impact of noise on parameter fitting for Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes.
method Proposed algorithms to distinguish between thermal and multiplicative noise.
result Effective methods to estimate parameters even when multiplicative noise dominates.
TCFimt forecasts causal effects of multiple interventions from individual data.
problem Estimating causal effects of temporal multi-interventions from individual data.
method TCFimt uses adversarial tasks in seq2seq framework to alleviate bias and contrastive learning to decouple effects.
result TCFimt outperforms state-of-the-art methods in predicting future outcomes and choosing optimal treatments.
Multiplicative noise, including dropout, is widely used to regularize deep neural networks (DNNs), and is shown to be effective in a wide range of architectures and tasks. From an information perspective, we consider injecting multiplicative noise into a DNN as training the network to solve the task with noisy informat…
The Rashomon effect shows many models can perform similarly, explored in this paper.
problem Why do many models perform similarly in machine learning?
method Categorized causes into statistical, structural, and procedural sources.
result Structural multiplicity persists and cannot be resolved without additional assumptions.
New method estimates effects of multiple nutrients on blood glucose.
problem Estimating physiological response to multiple nutrient treatments.
method Convolution-based multi-output Gaussian process model.
result Improved prediction accuracy and better interpretation of individual nutrient effects.
The paper studies causal effects of multiple treatments in healthcare databases with rare outcomes.
problem Estimating causal effects of multiple treatments in healthcare databases with rare outcomes.
method The paper designs three sets of simulations and compares the operating characteristics of three types of methods: Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART), regression adjustment on multivariate spline of generalized propensity scores (RAMS), and inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) with multinomial logistic regression or generalized boosted models.
result BART and RAMS provide lower bias and mean squared error compared to IPTW methods.
New method combines multiple datasets to estimate ATE with valid confidence intervals.
problem Combining multiple observational datasets to estimate ATE with valid confidence intervals.
method Prediction-powered inferences to shrink CIs and provide valid CIs.
result Valid confidence intervals for ATE from multiple datasets.
New method evaluates multiple social disparities using machine learning.
problem Reduction of educational disparities across multiple dimensions.
method Triply-Robust Machine Learning Approach for Causal Decomposition Analysis.
result Simultaneous interventions across multiple domains reduce disparities.
This paper explores how balancing and filtering techniques affect predictive multiplicity in machine learning models.
problem Predictive multiplicity due to Rashomon effect in high-stakes environments.
method Investigates the impact of balancing and filtering techniques on predictive multiplicity using 21 real-world datasets.
result Data-centric AI strategies can mitigate predictive multiplicity, but preprocessing methods may introduce it.
The market practice of extrapolating different term structures from different instruments lacks a rigorous justification in terms of cash flows structure and market observables. In this paper, we integrate our previous consistent theory for pricing under credit, collateral and funding risks into term structure modellin…
RAMEN corrects observational data biases for multiple environments.
problem Bias in observational data for causal inference.
method RAMEN algorithm that leverages heterogeneity of multiple data sources.
result RAMEN produces unbiased treatment effect estimates.
We introduce the Genetic-Gated Networks (G2Ns), simple neural networks that combine a gate vector composed of binary genetic genes in the hidden layer(s) of networks. Our method can take both advantages of gradient-free optimization and gradient-based optimization methods, of which the former is effective for problems …
Enhances load forecasting for multiple entities with dynamic similarities.
problem Inaccurate probabilistic load predictions due to uncertainties and dynamic changes.
method Online multi-task learning for probabilistic load forecasting.
result Significantly enhances load forecasting accuracy across various scenarios.
Kernel fusion is a popular and effective approach for combining multiple features that characterize different aspects of data. Traditional approaches for Multiple Kernel Learning (MKL) attempt to learn the parameters for combining the kernels through sophisticated optimization procedures. In this paper, we propose an a…
MultiImport infers node importance from multiple KG signals.
problem Inferring node importance in a knowledge graph from multiple input signals.
method End-to-end latent variable model using attentive graph neural networks.
result MultiImport consistently outperforms existing methods, achieving up to 23.7% higher NDCG@100.
Recently neural networks and multiple instance learning are both attractive topics in Artificial Intelligence related research fields. Deep neural networks have achieved great success in supervised learning problems, and multiple instance learning as a typical weakly-supervised learning method is effective for many app…
Understanding the pathways whereby an intervention has an effect on an outcome is a common scientific goal. A rich body of literature provides various decompositions of the total intervention effect into pathway specific effects. Interventional direct and indirect effects provide one such decomposition. Existing estima…
Study introduces a new method to estimate causal mediation with multiple mediators.
problem Estimating causal effects with multiple mediators and confounders.
method Simulates potential outcomes using parametric and nonparametric models.
result General approach to estimating various causal mediation quantities.
Enhances graph classification with multiple graphs.
problem Improving graph classification accuracy with multiple graphs.
method Graph fusion embedding using encoder embedding.
result The method consistently improves classification accuracy for large vertex sets.
Proposes a generalized causal tree for handling multiple treatments in uplift modeling.
problem Handling multiple treatments in uplift modeling.
method Generalizes causal tree algorithm to handle multiple discrete and continuous-valued treatments.
result Demonstrates improved performance over existing methods in experiments and real data examples.
Meta-learners estimate CATE from multiple environments with partial identification.
problem Estimating CATE from observational data across multiple environments with violations of causal assumptions.
method Adapt IV literature for partial identification, propose model-agnostic meta-learners.
result Meta-learners effectively estimate CATE bounds across various experiments.
The paper develops methods for causal inference from single-cell RNA sequencing data with multiple outcomes.
problem Causal inference from single-cell RNA sequencing data with multiple heterogeneous outcomes.
method Generic semiparametric inference framework for doubly robust estimation with multiple derived outcomes.
result Demonstrates the use of semiparametric inferential results for estimating causal effects in genomics.
The study corrects measurement error in evaluating health effects of multiple pollutants.
problem Bias in estimating health effects of air pollution constituents due to mismeasurement.
method Used a linear regression calibration model and extended DML approach to correct for measurement error.
result Identified two PM2.5 constituents (Br and Mn) that show a negative causal effect on cognitive function after correction.
We propose a GAN design which models multiple distributions effectively and discovers their commonalities and particularities. Each data distribution is modeled with a mixture of K generator distributions. As the generators are partially shared between the modeling of different true data distributions, shared ones ca…
Method constructs prediction intervals for time-varying individual treatment effects.
problem Accurately quantify uncertainty of individual treatment effects across multiple decision points.
method Conformal inference techniques for time-varying ITEs with weaker assumptions.
result Guaranteed lower bound for coverage dependent on data non-exchangeability.
Imaging genetic research has essentially focused on discovering unique and co-association effects, but typically ignoring to identify outliers or atypical objects in genetic as well as non-genetics variables. Identifying significant outliers is an essential and challenging issue for imaging genetics and multiple source…
This note is concerned with an accurate and computationally efficient variational bayesian treatment of mixed-effects modelling. We focus on group studies, i.e. empirical studies that report multiple measurements acquired in multiple subjects. When approached from a bayesian perspective, such mixed-effects models typic…
Method learns causal effects from multiple interventions in presence of unobserved confounders.
problem Disentangling causal effects from sets of interventions in the presence of unobserved confounders.
method Non-linear structural causal models with additive, multivariate Gaussian noise; algorithm that learns causal model parameters by pooling data from different regimes and maximizing combined likelihood.
result Identification proofs demonstrate that causal effects of single interventions can be learned from sets of interventions, even with unobserved confounders.
Effects of randomness on non-integer power law tails in multiplicatively interacting stochastic processes are investigated theoretically. Generally, randomness causes decrease of the exponent of tails and the growth rate of processes. Explicit calculations are performed for two examples: uniformly distributed and two p…
New method selects best HTE estimator without ground-truth treatment effects.
problem Selecting best HTE estimator from multiple candidates.
method Cross-fitted, exponentially weighted test statistic with two-way sample splitting.
result Empirically, reliable error control and reduced false selections.
The paper extends kernel ridge regression to product kernels and reveals new convergence behaviors.
problem Understanding kernel ridge regression in large dimensions with various kernels.
method Established a broad family of large dimensional kernels and derived convergence rates.
result Revealed new phenomena including minimax optimality, saturation effect, and multiple descent behavior.
Hybrid quantum algorithm tackles binary optimization problems with multiple constraints.
problem Efficiently solving binary optimization problems with multiple constraints using quantum algorithms.
method Combines QAOA with penalty dephasing and Zeno effect for non-Ising constraints.
result Significant improvement in solving practical aircraft loading problems.
Prediction problems often admit competing models that perform almost equally well. This effect challenges key assumptions in machine learning when competing models assign conflicting predictions. In this paper, we define predictive multiplicity as the ability of a prediction problem to admit competing models with confl…
MCE reduces embedding instability in nonlinear dimensionality reduction.
problem Embedding instability caused by random initialization.
method Median of multiple embeddings (MCE) based on large deviation theory.
result MCE achieves consistency at an exponential rate and effectively mitigates instability.
System interprets complex treatment effects for personalized policies.
problem Complex, hard-to-understand treatment effect models.
method Scalable, interpretable personalized experimentation system.
result Learned explanations and generated interpretable policies.
New findings show single-treatment effects are unidentifiable in factorial experiments.
problem Identifying the effect of a single intervention in factorial experiments.
method Formalized sufficient conditions for the identifiability of single-treatment effects and developed nonparametric sharp bounds.
result Researchers must justify assumptions for extrapolating single-treatment effects.
MCCA extracts shared structure from multiple tensor datasets.
problem Extracting shared structure from multiple tensor datasets.
method Multilinear common component analysis (MCCA) using Kronecker products of mode-wise covariance matrices.
result MCCA constructs a common basis that retains information from multiple tensor datasets.
MDCN improves treatment effect estimation in multicenter observational studies.
problem Incongruities in multicenter observational studies due to center-specific protocols and treatment reactions.
method MDCN learns a new feature embedding to address selection bias and strengthen information sharing between similar centers.
result MDCN provides more accurate treatment insights for new, unobserved centers compared to existing methods.
Adaptive kernel approach learns causal effects from diverse data sources.
problem Learning causal effects from multiple, decentralized data sources in a federated setting.
method Adaptive transfer algorithm using Random Fourier Features to estimate similarities and disentangle loss function components.
result Empirically outperforms baselines on decentralized data sources with different distributions.
Causal inference using observational data is challenging, especially in the bivariate case. Through the minimum description length principle, we link the postulate of independence between the generating mechanisms of the cause and of the effect given the cause to quantile regression. Based on this theory, we develop Bi…
Wariness affects poverty traps and equilibrium diversity in economic models.
problem The impact of wariness on poverty traps and equilibrium diversity in economic models.
method An overlapping generations model to explore the effects of wariness on poverty traps and equilibrium diversity.
result Wariness can amplify or mitigate the likelihood of poverty traps and can lead to multiple intertemporal equilibria.
Study dynamic assortment and positioning of products with varying display effects.
problem Dynamic assortment and positioning of products with varying display effects.
method Design round-based learning algorithms for both multiplicative and general position effects models, and develop efficient subroutines for optimization.
result First regret-optimal characterization for both models, with matching upper and lower bounds.
A PID-based feedback-control system improves multiple KPIs in RTB display advertising.
problem Challenges in simultaneously improving multiple KPIs in RTB campaigns.
method Sequential Control using PID-based feedback and importance metrics.
result Effective in simultaneously controlling multiple KPIs in both simulations and live traffic.