Combines normalizing flows and quasi-Monte Carlo for improved numerical integration.
problem Improving the efficiency of numerical integration methods.
method Uses normalizing flows to approximate distributions and quasi-Monte Carlo for sampling.
result Demonstrates an estimator with significantly lower variance.
Speeds up complex portfolio exposure calculations.
problem Calculating exposure of portfolios with exotic derivatives.
method Least Squares Monte Carlo (LSMC) technique.
result Significantly reduces computation time for nested Monte Carlo.
GPU computing has become popular in computational finance and many financial institutions are moving their CPU based applications to the GPU platform. Since most Monte Carlo algorithms are embarrassingly parallel, they benefit greatly from parallel implementations, and consequently Monte Carlo has become a focal point …
In this paper, we discuss the application of quasi-Monte Carlo methods to the Heston model. We base our algorithms on the Broadie-Kaya algorithm, an exact simulation scheme for the Heston model. As the joint transition densities are not available in closed-form, the Linear Transformation method due to Imai and Tan, a p…
This study compares MC and QMC methods for derivative pricing, showing QMC's superior convergence rates.
problem Improving derivative pricing accuracy and efficiency in high-dimensional settings.
method Compared Monte Carlo and quasi-Monte Carlo techniques, focusing on convergence rates and low-discrepancy sequences.
result Quasi-Monte Carlo methods achieve superior convergence rates and reduce root mean square error in derivative pricing.
New methods improve efficiency of sampling algorithms for complex systems.
problem Efficiently sampling from complex, high-dimensional probability distributions.
method Randomized Runge-Kutta-Nyström methods tailored for Hamiltonian flows.
result Quantitative 5 / 2 5/2 5/2 -order L 2 L^2 L 2 -accuracy in approximating Hamiltonian flows. We consider the problem of simulating loss probabilities and conditional excesses for linear asset portfolios under the t-copula model. Although in the literature on market risk management there are papers proposing efficient variance reduction methods for Monte Carlo simulation of portfolio market risk, there is no pa…
Developed scalable Monte Carlo method for VIX option pricing.
problem VIX option pricing in stochastic Volterra rough volatility models with non-Markovian vol-of-vol.
method Infinite dimensional Markovian representation to devise scalable least squares Monte Carlo.
result Efficient VIX option pricing method for generalized models.
This paper reviews various sampling methods from statistics and machine learning.
problem Addressing sampling methods in statistics and machine learning.
method Explains and reviews simple random sampling, bootstrapping, stratified sampling, cluster sampling, multistage sampling, network sampling, snowball sampling, and sampling from cumulative distribution function.
result Summarizes characteristics, pros, and cons of different sampling methods.
A new eigenvalue-based method speeds up Monte Carlo simulations.
problem Reducing the number of paths needed for accurate Monte Carlo simulations.
method Eigenvalue-based approximation of Markov Chain Monte Carlo.
result Significant variance reduction and comparable results to traditional Monte Carlo.
New method reduces Monte Carlo error in option pricing and Greeks estimation.
problem Reducing Monte Carlo error in option pricing and Greeks estimation.
method Denoised Monte Carlo technique for LSV models.
result Reduces Monte Carlo error by an order of magnitude.
New method combines Monte Carlo and tensor networks for solving complex equations.
problem Solving high-dimensional partial differential equations efficiently.
method Uses Monte Carlo simulations and tensor train sketching for updates and re-estimations.
result Demonstrates versatility and efficacy in solving specific equations.
A new method combines AIS and SMCI for efficient evaluation of Ising models.
problem Efficiently evaluating expectations on Ising models under various temperatures.
method Combining Annealed Importance Sampling (AIS) and Spatial Monte Carlo Integration (SMCI).
result The proposed method performs efficiently in both high- and low-temperature regions.
Pricing options is an important problem in financial engineering. In many scenarios of practical interest, financial option prices associated to an underlying asset reduces to computing an expectation w.r.t.~a diffusion process. In general, these expectations cannot be calculated analytically, and one way to approximat…
Introduces HMC method for sampling Gibbs densities.
problem Sampling from Gibbs densities efficiently.
method Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) method based on Hamiltonian dynamics.
result Idealized HMC preserves the target distribution and converges under certain conditions.
We introduce interacting particle Markov chain Monte Carlo (iPMCMC), a PMCMC method based on an interacting pool of standard and conditional sequential Monte Carlo samplers. Like related methods, iPMCMC is a Markov chain Monte Carlo sampler on an extended space. We present empirical results that show significant improv…
Paper improves Monte Carlo sampling with new theoretical insights and methods.
problem Improving Monte Carlo sampling for variance reduction.
method Theoretical analysis of negatively dependent random variables and novel extensions using number theory and particle algorithms.
result Near-Orthogonal Monte Carlo (NOMC) consistently outperforms Orthogonal Monte Carlo (OMC) in various applications.
SBMC method improves uncertainty estimation in deep learning models.
problem Improving uncertainty quantification in deep learning models.
method A scalable Bayesian Monte Carlo method using a model and parallel SMC/MCMC algorithm.
result SBMC achieves comparable or better accuracy and improved uncertainty quantification compared to state-of-the-art methods.
Study compares MC and QMC methods for pricing and risk analysis in a hyperbolic local volatility model.
problem Derivative pricing and risk analysis in a hyperbolic local volatility model.
method Application of Monte Carlo and Quasi Monte Carlo methods for pricing and risk analysis.
result Quasi Monte Carlo methods show superior performance in high-dimensional integration for derivative pricing and risk analysis.
A new Monte Carlo sampling method derived from reverse diffusion.
problem Sampling from complex distributions, especially multi-modal ones.
method Transforming score matching into mean estimation; estimating means of regularized posterior distributions.
result rdMC can approximate sampling with any desired accuracy and is significantly faster than MCMC for complex distributions.
New estimator reduces nested expectation estimation costs.
problem Estimating repeatedly nested expectations is computationally expensive.
method Recursive Estimator for Arbitrary Depth (READ) using randomized multilevel Monte Carlo.
result Optimal computational cost of O(ε^(-2)) for every fixed D.
This paper extends AD techniques to Monte Carlo processes for efficient derivative calculation.
problem Obtaining derivatives of expectation values in Monte Carlo processes.
method Two approaches: reweighting and Hamiltonian extension of HMC.
result Hamiltonian approach as a change of variables simplifies variance reduction.
New algorithms improve MCMC efficiency for complex distributions.
problem High variance and low effective sample size in MCMC samplers.
method Antithetic Riemannian Manifold and Quantum-Inspired Hamiltonian Monte Carlo.
result Improved effective sample size and variance reduction.
RQMC improves kernel-based learning by reducing deterministic error and offering computational advantages.
problem Improving kernel-based learning methods to reduce deterministic error and computational complexity.
method Randomized quasi-Monte Carlo (RQMC) methods applied to random feature approximations.
result RQMC methods improve deterministic approximation error bound from O P ( 1 / M ) O_P(1/\sqrt{M}) O P ( 1/ M ) to O ( 1 / M ) O(1/M) O ( 1/ M ) , matching QMC methods. New algorithms improve Langevin Monte Carlo efficiency.
problem High computational cost of classical Langevin Monte Carlo.
method Integrates ensemble feature into LMC, constraining gradient approximations.
result Constrained Ensemble Langevin Monte Carlo reduces gradient computation.
SLMC improves sampling efficiency for high-dimensional distributions.
problem Sampling from high-dimensional distributions is computationally challenging.
method SLMC projects Langevin updates onto subsampled eigenblocks of a time-varying preconditioner.
result SLMC offers superior adaptability and computational efficiency compared to traditional methods.
AFT combines AIS, SMC, and NFs for better Monte Carlo estimates.
problem Estimating normalizing constants of complex probability distributions.
method Annealed Flow Transport (AFT) integrates AIS, SMC, and normalizing flows.
result AFT improves Monte Carlo estimates of normalizing constants and expectations.
This technical report is the union of two contributions to the discussion of the Read Paper "Riemann manifold Langevin and Hamiltonian Monte Carlo methods" by B. Calderhead and M. Girolami, presented in front of the Royal Statistical Society on October 13th 2010 and to appear in the Journal of the Royal Statistical Soc…
New method samples from piecewise smooth distributions using Hamiltonian Monte Carlo.
problem Sampling from distributions with discontinuous gradients.
method Generalized Randomized Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (GRHMC) for piecewise smooth targets.
result GRHMC processes sample from piecewise smooth target distributions with the desired distribution as the invariant distribution.
Paper analyzes and accelerates Langevin Monte Carlo methods using large deviations theory.
problem High-dimensional sampling problems in machine learning.
method Unified approach using large deviations theory to study and accelerate Langevin dynamics variants.
result Efficiency of Langevin dynamics variants demonstrated through numerical experiments.
A new differentiable resampling method for Monte Carlo simulations.
problem Improving the efficiency and differentiability of resampling in Monte Carlo simulations.
method Proposes a diffusion model surrogate for resampling, proving consistency and outperforming existing methods.
result The proposed method outperforms state-of-the-art differentiable resampling methods on various benchmarks.
A new transformer model uses Monte Carlo methods for sequence prediction.
problem Predicting sequences from observations with uncertainty.
method Integrates Monte Carlo methods into a transformer architecture to model stochastic sequences.
result Proposes a generative model with predictive distributions.
CRAFT improves on existing methods for sampling complex distributions.
problem Sampling from complex probability distributions.
method Combines SMC with variational inference using normalizing flows.
result Improves on Annealed Flow Transport Monte Carlo and MCMC-based Stochastic Normalizing Flows.
New Langevin Monte Carlo algorithms for sampling from nonsmooth distributions.
problem Sampling from distributions with nonsmooth convex composite potentials.
method Leveraging Bregman--Moreau envelopes and proximal operators in mirror descent.
result Efficiency in sampling from nonsmooth distributions, extending existing methods.
New Langevin algorithms improve sampling efficiency in high dimensions.
problem Sampling from log-concave and smooth distributions in high dimensions.
method Combining splitting and accurate integration methods for P P P -th order Langevin dynamics. result LMC algorithms converge faster with better dimension dependence as P P P increases. New method combines neural networks with Monte Carlo for complex system reliability.
problem Estimating small failure probabilities in complex systems.
method Subset Simulation with Hamiltonian Neural Networks.
result High acceptance rates and computational efficiency in low-probability regions.
Typically options with a path dependent payoff, such as Target Accumulation Redemption Note (TARN), are evaluated by a Monte Carlo method. This paper describes a finite difference scheme for pricing a TARN option. Key steps in the proposed scheme involve tracking of multiple one-dimensional finite difference solutions,…
Recommender systems play an essential role in the modern business world. They recommend favorable items like books, movies, and search queries to users based on their past preferences. Applying similar ideas and techniques to Monte Carlo simulations of physical systems boosts their efficiency without sacrificing accura…
New method reduces uncertainty in AI-driven Monte Carlo simulations.
problem Epistemic uncertainty in AI surrogate models affects Monte Carlo sampling outcomes.
method Penalty Ensemble Method (PEM) modifies Metropolis acceptance rule to increase rejection probability in uncertain regions.
result PEM enhances reliability of Monte Carlo simulations by reducing uncertainty propagation.
Study Langevin Monte Carlo for sampling non-log-concave distributions.
problem Sampling from non-log-concave distributions, especially Gaussian mixtures.
method Discretizations of overdamped Langevin diffusions.
result Numerical simulations compare Langevin Monte Carlo algorithms' performance.
New method improves training-free guidance for diffusion models, achieving state-of-the-art results.
problem Accurate, training-free guidance for conditional generation in diffusion models.
method Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) framework with Multi-Level Monte Carlo (MLMC) variance reduction.
result Achieves state-of-the-art results on CIFAR-10 and ImageNet datasets with significant cost reduction.
New method corrects bias in stochastic gradient samplers.
problem Bias in stochastic gradient samplers.
method Gradient-Guided Monte Carlo with stochastic gradients.
result Corrected sampler yields nonzero acceptance probabilities.
Utility based methods provide a very general theoretically consistent approach to pricing and hedging of securities in incomplete financial markets. Solving problems in the utility based framework typically involves dynamic programming, which in practise can be difficult to implement. This article presents a Monte Carl…
New method uses diffusion models for Bayesian inverse problems.
problem Solving Bayesian inverse problems with linear-Gaussian models.
method Decoupled Diffusion Sequential Monte Carlo (DDSMC) method.
result Asymptotically exact solution demonstrated on various data types.
ChEES-HMC improves SMC samplers' efficiency and speed.
problem Efficiently sampling from complex posterior distributions.
method Incorporating ChEES-HMC into SMC samplers.
result ChEES-HMC outperforms NUTS in speed and efficiency.
Recently there have been exciting developments in Monte Carlo methods, with the development of new MCMC and sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithms which are based on continuous-time, rather than discrete-time, Markov processes. This has led to some fundamentally new Monte Carlo algorithms which can be used to sample f…
A Monte Carlo method for pairs trading on mean-reverting spreads with Lévy processes.
problem Trading on mean-reverting spreads with flexible models.
method Monte Carlo simulation with variance gamma and alpha-gamma driving processes.
result Optimal trading strategies are affected by model parameters and correlation.
Proposes a method to reduce parallel complexity of MLMC in SGD.
problem Poor scalability of MLMC in SGD on parallel platforms.
method Proposes a delayed MLMC gradient estimator to reduce parallel complexity.
result Proves reduction in average parallel complexity per iteration at the cost of slightly worse convergence rate.