Combines normalizing flows and quasi-Monte Carlo for improved numerical integration.
problem Improving the efficiency of numerical integration methods.
method Uses normalizing flows to approximate distributions and quasi-Monte Carlo for sampling.
result Demonstrates an estimator with significantly lower variance.
Speeds up complex portfolio exposure calculations.
problem Calculating exposure of portfolios with exotic derivatives.
method Least Squares Monte Carlo (LSMC) technique.
result Significantly reduces computation time for nested Monte Carlo.
GPU computing has become popular in computational finance and many financial institutions are moving their CPU based applications to the GPU platform. Since most Monte Carlo algorithms are embarrassingly parallel, they benefit greatly from parallel implementations, and consequently Monte Carlo has become a focal point …
In this paper, we discuss the application of quasi-Monte Carlo methods to the Heston model. We base our algorithms on the Broadie-Kaya algorithm, an exact simulation scheme for the Heston model. As the joint transition densities are not available in closed-form, the Linear Transformation method due to Imai and Tan, a p…
SMC methods improve option pricing accuracy.
problem Approximating option prices via Monte Carlo methods.
method Constructing a sequence of artificial target densities and weighting functions.
result Significant gains in option pricing accuracy achieved.
This study compares MC and QMC methods for derivative pricing, showing QMC's superior convergence rates.
problem Improving derivative pricing accuracy and efficiency in high-dimensional settings.
method Compared Monte Carlo and quasi-Monte Carlo techniques, focusing on convergence rates and low-discrepancy sequences.
result Quasi-Monte Carlo methods achieve superior convergence rates and reduce root mean square error in derivative pricing.
New methods improve efficiency of sampling algorithms for complex systems.
problem Efficiently sampling from complex, high-dimensional probability distributions.
method Randomized Runge-Kutta-Nyström methods tailored for Hamiltonian flows.
result Quantitative 5 / 2 5/2 5/2 -order L 2 L^2 L 2 -accuracy in approximating Hamiltonian flows. We consider the problem of simulating loss probabilities and conditional excesses for linear asset portfolios under the t-copula model. Although in the literature on market risk management there are papers proposing efficient variance reduction methods for Monte Carlo simulation of portfolio market risk, there is no pa…
Developed scalable Monte Carlo method for VIX option pricing.
problem VIX option pricing in stochastic Volterra rough volatility models with non-Markovian vol-of-vol.
method Infinite dimensional Markovian representation to devise scalable least squares Monte Carlo.
result Efficient VIX option pricing method for generalized models.
This paper reviews various sampling methods from statistics and machine learning.
problem Addressing sampling methods in statistics and machine learning.
method Explains and reviews simple random sampling, bootstrapping, stratified sampling, cluster sampling, multistage sampling, network sampling, snowball sampling, and sampling from cumulative distribution function.
result Summarizes characteristics, pros, and cons of different sampling methods.
Estimates log marginal likelihood using multilevel Monte Carlo.
problem Estimating log marginal likelihood accurately.
method Unbiased multilevel Monte Carlo estimator.
result Validates application in variational Bayes.
A new eigenvalue-based method speeds up Monte Carlo simulations.
problem Reducing the number of paths needed for accurate Monte Carlo simulations.
method Eigenvalue-based approximation of Markov Chain Monte Carlo.
result Significant variance reduction and comparable results to traditional Monte Carlo.
Recommender systems improve quantum Monte Carlo simulations.
problem Efficiency of quantum Monte Carlo methods without sacrificing accuracy.
method Quantum to classical mapping and molecular simulation techniques.
result Classical molecular gas model reproduces quantum distributions efficiently.
Stacked Monte Carlo improves option pricing efficiency.
problem Evaluating option prices in various models.
method A stacking technique that approximates Monte Carlo draws using a specified function.
result Shows efficiency in European and Asian Call options in both constant and stochastic volatility models.
New method reduces Monte Carlo error in option pricing and Greeks estimation.
problem Reducing Monte Carlo error in option pricing and Greeks estimation.
method Denoised Monte Carlo technique for LSV models.
result Reduces Monte Carlo error by an order of magnitude.
New method combines Monte Carlo and tensor networks for solving complex equations.
problem Solving high-dimensional partial differential equations efficiently.
method Uses Monte Carlo simulations and tensor train sketching for updates and re-estimations.
result Demonstrates versatility and efficacy in solving specific equations.
iPMCMC uses interacting samplers for improved mixing rates.
problem Improving mixing rates in Markov chain Monte Carlo methods.
method iPMCMC uses an interacting pool of samplers.
result Significant improvements in mixing rates compared to non-interacting methods.
A new method combines AIS and SMCI for efficient evaluation of Ising models.
problem Efficiently evaluating expectations on Ising models under various temperatures.
method Combining Annealed Importance Sampling (AIS) and Spatial Monte Carlo Integration (SMCI).
result The proposed method performs efficiently in both high- and low-temperature regions.
New Monte Carlo methods use continuous-time Markov processes for big data.
problem Efficient sampling from posterior distributions in big data.
method Piecewise deterministic Markov processes for continuous-time Monte Carlo.
result Continuous-time Monte Carlo methods can target true posterior distributions efficiently.
Introduces HMC method for sampling Gibbs densities.
problem Sampling from Gibbs densities efficiently.
method Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) method based on Hamiltonian dynamics.
result Idealized HMC preserves the target distribution and converges under certain conditions.
Paper improves Monte Carlo sampling with new theoretical insights and methods.
problem Improving Monte Carlo sampling for variance reduction.
method Theoretical analysis of negatively dependent random variables and novel extensions using number theory and particle algorithms.
result Near-Orthogonal Monte Carlo (NOMC) consistently outperforms Orthogonal Monte Carlo (OMC) in various applications.
SBMC method improves uncertainty estimation in deep learning models.
problem Improving uncertainty quantification in deep learning models.
method A scalable Bayesian Monte Carlo method using a model and parallel SMC/MCMC algorithm.
result SBMC achieves comparable or better accuracy and improved uncertainty quantification compared to state-of-the-art methods.
Study compares MC and QMC methods for pricing and risk analysis in a hyperbolic local volatility model.
problem Derivative pricing and risk analysis in a hyperbolic local volatility model.
method Application of Monte Carlo and Quasi Monte Carlo methods for pricing and risk analysis.
result Quasi Monte Carlo methods show superior performance in high-dimensional integration for derivative pricing and risk analysis.
A new Monte Carlo sampling method derived from reverse diffusion.
problem Sampling from complex distributions, especially multi-modal ones.
method Transforming score matching into mean estimation; estimating means of regularized posterior distributions.
result rdMC can approximate sampling with any desired accuracy and is significantly faster than MCMC for complex distributions.
Neural networks enhance Hamiltonian Monte Carlo for faster sampling.
problem Improving sampling efficiency in Markov chain Monte Carlo.
method Training neural networks to optimize Hamiltonian Monte Carlo's mixing speed.
result Significant performance improvements on various distributions and real-world tasks.
New estimator reduces nested expectation estimation costs.
problem Estimating repeatedly nested expectations is computationally expensive.
method Recursive Estimator for Arbitrary Depth (READ) using randomized multilevel Monte Carlo.
result Optimal computational cost of O(ε^(-2)) for every fixed D.
New algorithms improve MCMC efficiency for complex distributions.
problem High variance and low effective sample size in MCMC samplers.
method Antithetic Riemannian Manifold and Quantum-Inspired Hamiltonian Monte Carlo.
result Improved effective sample size and variance reduction.
This paper extends AD techniques to Monte Carlo processes for efficient derivative calculation.
problem Obtaining derivatives of expectation values in Monte Carlo processes.
method Two approaches: reweighting and Hamiltonian extension of HMC.
result Hamiltonian approach as a change of variables simplifies variance reduction.
MCQ uses Monte Carlo methods to efficiently quantize neural networks without re-training.
problem Efficiently quantizing neural networks for lower power consumption.
method Importance sampling for quantization of weights and activations.
result Minimal accuracy loss with quantized networks compared to full-precision networks.
SLMC improves sampling efficiency for high-dimensional distributions.
problem Sampling from high-dimensional distributions is computationally challenging.
method SLMC projects Langevin updates onto subsampled eigenblocks of a time-varying preconditioner.
result SLMC offers superior adaptability and computational efficiency compared to traditional methods.
RQMC improves kernel-based learning by reducing deterministic error and offering computational advantages.
problem Improving kernel-based learning methods to reduce deterministic error and computational complexity.
method Randomized quasi-Monte Carlo (RQMC) methods applied to random feature approximations.
result RQMC methods improve deterministic approximation error bound from O P ( 1 / M ) O_P(1/\sqrt{M}) O P ( 1/ M ) to O ( 1 / M ) O(1/M) O ( 1/ M ) , matching QMC methods. AFT combines AIS, SMC, and NFs for better Monte Carlo estimates.
problem Estimating normalizing constants of complex probability distributions.
method Annealed Flow Transport (AFT) integrates AIS, SMC, and normalizing flows.
result AFT improves Monte Carlo estimates of normalizing constants and expectations.
New algorithms improve Langevin Monte Carlo efficiency.
problem High computational cost of classical Langevin Monte Carlo.
method Integrates ensemble feature into LMC, constraining gradient approximations.
result Constrained Ensemble Langevin Monte Carlo reduces gradient computation.
New SMC methods improve likelihood estimates for doubly intractable models.
problem Bayesian inference for models with intractable partition functions.
method Marginal sequential Monte Carlo with adaptive likelihood estimates.
result Improved likelihood estimates lead to more accurate inference.
This technical report is the union of two contributions to the discussion of the Read Paper "Riemann manifold Langevin and Hamiltonian Monte Carlo methods" by B. Calderhead and M. Girolami, presented in front of the Royal Statistical Society on October 13th 2010 and to appear in the Journal of the Royal Statistical Soc…
Paper combines deterministic and stochastic inference methods for PGMs.
problem Combining biases from deterministic methods and high costs from Monte Carlo.
method Sequential Monte Carlo algorithm that uses output from deterministic approximations.
result Improves upon deterministic methods and Monte Carlo by reducing biases and computational costs.
This review aims to bridge the gap between MCMC users and geometric foundations.
problem Insufficient understanding of geometric tools in Hamiltonian Monte Carlo.
method Geometric tools and Hamiltonian dynamics for efficient probability density exploration.
result Comprehensive introduction to geometric tools accessible to non-experts.
New method samples from piecewise smooth distributions using Hamiltonian Monte Carlo.
problem Sampling from distributions with discontinuous gradients.
method Generalized Randomized Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (GRHMC) for piecewise smooth targets.
result GRHMC processes sample from piecewise smooth target distributions with the desired distribution as the invariant distribution.
Paper analyzes and accelerates Langevin Monte Carlo methods using large deviations theory.
problem High-dimensional sampling problems in machine learning.
method Unified approach using large deviations theory to study and accelerate Langevin dynamics variants.
result Efficiency of Langevin dynamics variants demonstrated through numerical experiments.
CRAFT improves on existing methods for sampling complex distributions.
problem Sampling from complex probability distributions.
method Combines SMC with variational inference using normalizing flows.
result Improves on Annealed Flow Transport Monte Carlo and MCMC-based Stochastic Normalizing Flows.
A new transformer model uses Monte Carlo methods for sequence prediction.
problem Predicting sequences from observations with uncertainty.
method Integrates Monte Carlo methods into a transformer architecture to model stochastic sequences.
result Proposes a generative model with predictive distributions.
A new differentiable resampling method for Monte Carlo simulations.
problem Improving the efficiency and differentiability of resampling in Monte Carlo simulations.
method Proposes a diffusion model surrogate for resampling, proving consistency and outperforming existing methods.
result The proposed method outperforms state-of-the-art differentiable resampling methods on various benchmarks.
New method removes bias in Monte Carlo simulations of diffusion processes.
problem Bias in Monte Carlo simulations of diffusion processes.
method Using an auxiliary Poisson process, the method runs unbiased simulations.
result The method converges to the exact value and guarantees strong law of large numbers.
New Langevin Monte Carlo algorithms for sampling from nonsmooth distributions.
problem Sampling from distributions with nonsmooth convex composite potentials.
method Leveraging Bregman--Moreau envelopes and proximal operators in mirror descent.
result Efficiency in sampling from nonsmooth distributions, extending existing methods.
New algorithm improves Bayesian variable selection efficiency.
problem Bayesian variable selection in high-dimensional settings.
method Combines Markov chain Monte Carlo and importance sampling.
result Orders of magnitude improvement in efficiency for Bayesian variable selection.
Simplifies American option pricing with reduced complexity.
problem Complexity reduction in American option pricing.
method Regression-based dual approach for nested Monte Carlo methods.
result Reduces complexity of nested Monte Carlo methods.
A new method combines classification with population Monte Carlo for efficient ABC.
problem Inefficient particle proposals and subjectivity in ABC methods.
method Classification-PMC, blending adaptive proposals and classification.
result Classification-PMC outperforms state-of-the-art ABC methods in simulations.
TPUs speed up financial Monte Carlo simulations.
problem High computational cost of Monte Carlo simulations in finance.
method Empirical experiments comparing TPUs to GPUs for financial Monte Carlo tasks.
result TPUs provide accurate and fast estimators for financial Monte Carlo tasks.