Paper proposes a neural network for learning better importance sampling.
problem Improving variance reduction in Monte Carlo rendering.
method Uses a neural network to learn desired densities in the primary sample space of a rendering algorithm.
result Effective variance reduction demonstrated in practical scenarios.
We explore the possibilities of importance sampling in the Monte Carlo pricing of a structured credit derivative referred to as Collateralized Debt Obligation (CDO). Modeling a CDO contract is challenging, since it depends on a pool of (typically about 100) assets, Monte Carlo simulations are often the only feasible ap…
Paper improves robustness of Optimisation Monte Carlo method.
problem Overconfident approximations in Optimisation Monte Carlo.
method Robust Optimisation Monte Carlo (Robust OMC) method.
result Corrects overconfident approximations by collapsing regions of similar likelihood.
We present a technique for efficiently synthesizing images of atmospheric clouds using a combination of Monte Carlo integration and neural networks. The intricacies of Lorenz-Mie scattering and the high albedo of cloud-forming aerosols make rendering of clouds---e.g. the characteristic silverlining and the "whiteness" …
Improves synthetic data for deep model training and adaptation.
problem Evaluating and improving synthetic data for deep learning models.
method Proposes a novel learned synthesis technique using generative models for shading and rendering, and uses an ensemble of models to generate datasets.
result Improves classifier performance on real data compared to state-of-the-art methods.
Improved Monte-Carlo models by constraining mutual information between latent and observable variables.
problem Training density models leads to latent variables being useless.
method Weave tighter Monte-Carlo bounds with mutual information constraints.
result Improved training of models with continuous and discrete latent variables.
Bayesian framework for semiparametric regression of discrete data.
problem Complex distributional features of discrete data.
method Semiparametric modeling with nonparametric marginal and latent linear regression.
result Posterior consistency and analytical/posterior predictive distributions.
Select-DC reduces GFLOPS for uncertainty estimation in neural networks.
problem Computational inefficiency in estimating model uncertainty for low-latency applications.
method Select-DC uses a subset of layers to model epistemic uncertainty with MCDC, reducing GFLOPS.
result Significant reduction in GFLOPS required for uncertainty estimation with marginal performance loss.
Neural nets improve Monte Carlo integration efficiency.
problem Efficiently generating samples for Monte Carlo integration.
method Deep neural networks with non-linear coupling transforms and preprocessing.
result Improved performance in generating samples for integration problems.
Recombinant binomial trees are binary trees where each non-leaf node has two child nodes, but adjacent parents share a common child node. Such trees arise in finance when pricing an option. For example, valuation of a European option can be carried out by evaluating the expected value of asset payoffs with respect to r…
CARV reduces compute cost for downstream pipelines using diffusion models.
problem High variance in Monte Carlo estimators from diffusion models limits compute efficiency.
method CARV uses hierarchical MC estimation with amortized upstream computation and stratified-inverse-CDF.
result CARV delivers 2-3x effective compute multipliers without changing the objective.
New algorithms improve MCMC efficiency for complex distributions.
problem High variance and low effective sample size in MCMC samplers.
method Antithetic Riemannian Manifold and Quantum-Inspired Hamiltonian Monte Carlo.
result Improved effective sample size and variance reduction.
Combines normalizing flows and quasi-Monte Carlo for improved numerical integration.
problem Improving the efficiency of numerical integration methods.
method Uses normalizing flows to approximate distributions and quasi-Monte Carlo for sampling.
result Demonstrates an estimator with significantly lower variance.
Speeds up complex portfolio exposure calculations.
problem Calculating exposure of portfolios with exotic derivatives.
method Least Squares Monte Carlo (LSMC) technique.
result Significantly reduces computation time for nested Monte Carlo.
GPU computing has become popular in computational finance and many financial institutions are moving their CPU based applications to the GPU platform. Since most Monte Carlo algorithms are embarrassingly parallel, they benefit greatly from parallel implementations, and consequently Monte Carlo has become a focal point …
Novel method for nonlinear data assimilation using Langevin sampling.
problem Nonlinear data assimilation challenges in Bayesian filtering.
method Score-based sequential Langevin sampling (SSLS) with dynamic models and annealing.
result Asymptotic stability and error bounds for local posterior sampling.
Estimates log marginal likelihood using multilevel Monte Carlo.
problem Estimating log marginal likelihood accurately.
method Unbiased multilevel Monte Carlo estimator.
result Validates application in variational Bayes.
SLMC improves sampling efficiency for high-dimensional distributions.
problem Sampling from high-dimensional distributions is computationally challenging.
method SLMC projects Langevin updates onto subsampled eigenblocks of a time-varying preconditioner.
result SLMC offers superior adaptability and computational efficiency compared to traditional methods.
CAVI speeds up Bayesian MIDAS regression by 107x-1,772x with similar accuracy.
problem Efficiently estimating Bayesian MIDAS regression models with many predictors.
method Coordinate Ascent Variational Inference (CAVI) for linear MIDAS regression.
result CAVI produces posterior means nearly identical to Gibbs sampling with significant speedup.
This study compares MC and QMC methods for derivative pricing, showing QMC's superior convergence rates.
problem Improving derivative pricing accuracy and efficiency in high-dimensional settings.
method Compared Monte Carlo and quasi-Monte Carlo techniques, focusing on convergence rates and low-discrepancy sequences.
result Quasi-Monte Carlo methods achieve superior convergence rates and reduce root mean square error in derivative pricing.
A new eigenvalue-based method speeds up Monte Carlo simulations.
problem Reducing the number of paths needed for accurate Monte Carlo simulations.
method Eigenvalue-based approximation of Markov Chain Monte Carlo.
result Significant variance reduction and comparable results to traditional Monte Carlo.
New methods improve efficiency of sampling algorithms for complex systems.
problem Efficiently sampling from complex, high-dimensional probability distributions.
method Randomized Runge-Kutta-Nyström methods tailored for Hamiltonian flows.
result Quantitative 5/2-order L2-accuracy in approximating Hamiltonian flows. Stacked Monte Carlo improves option pricing efficiency.
problem Evaluating option prices in various models.
method A stacking technique that approximates Monte Carlo draws using a specified function.
result Shows efficiency in European and Asian Call options in both constant and stochastic volatility models.
This paper improves MCVI by using Quasi-Monte Carlo sampling to reduce gradient variance.
problem Reducing variance in Monte Carlo gradient estimators for faster convergence.
method Introducing Quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) sampling to reduce variance in score function and reparameterization gradient estimators.
result The proposed QMC approach leads to faster convergence compared to standard Monte Carlo methods.
New method reduces Monte Carlo error in option pricing and Greeks estimation.
problem Reducing Monte Carlo error in option pricing and Greeks estimation.
method Denoised Monte Carlo technique for LSV models.
result Reduces Monte Carlo error by an order of magnitude.
The mean-variance hedging (MVH) problem is studied in a partially observable market where the drift processes can only be inferred through the observation of asset or index processes. Although most of the literatures treat the MVH problem by the duality method, here we study a system consisting of three BSDEs derived b…
ParaMonte::Python streamlines Bayesian data analysis with fast Monte Carlo and MCMC routines.
problem Efficiently sampling posterior distributions in Bayesian modeling and data science.
method Serial and MPI-parallelized Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) routines.
result Automated model calibration and uncertainty quantification in Bayesian analysis.
In this paper, we discuss the application of quasi-Monte Carlo methods to the Heston model. We base our algorithms on the Broadie-Kaya algorithm, an exact simulation scheme for the Heston model. As the joint transition densities are not available in closed-form, the Linear Transformation method due to Imai and Tan, a p…
We consider the problem of simulating loss probabilities and conditional excesses for linear asset portfolios under the t-copula model. Although in the literature on market risk management there are papers proposing efficient variance reduction methods for Monte Carlo simulation of portfolio market risk, there is no pa…
Deep learning enhances Hamiltonian Monte Carlo for sampling gauge field configurations.
problem Sampling from complex gauge field topologies efficiently.
method Stacked neural networks to generalize Hamiltonian Monte Carlo.
result Significantly reduces computational cost for generating gauge field configurations.
AFT combines AIS, SMC, and NFs for better Monte Carlo estimates.
problem Estimating normalizing constants of complex probability distributions.
method Annealed Flow Transport (AFT) integrates AIS, SMC, and normalizing flows.
result AFT improves Monte Carlo estimates of normalizing constants and expectations.
New algorithms improve sampling from complex distributions.
problem Sampling from complex probability distributions efficiently.
method Regime-switching Langevin dynamics and Monte Carlo algorithms.
result Convergence guarantees and iteration complexities provided.
Improves Monte-Carlo simulations for consistent mean and variance.
problem Artificial randomness in running mean calculations.
method Combining running mean and variance with accurate summing.
result Increased accuracy and robustness of Monte-Carlo estimates.
This paper extends AD techniques to Monte Carlo processes for efficient derivative calculation.
problem Obtaining derivatives of expectation values in Monte Carlo processes.
method Two approaches: reweighting and Hamiltonian extension of HMC.
result Hamiltonian approach as a change of variables simplifies variance reduction.
Hamiltonian Monte Carlo converges to target distributions under mild conditions.
problem Establishing convergence of Hamiltonian Monte Carlo algorithms.
method Analyzing Lq convergence for Hamiltonian Monte Carlo under mild conditions. result Outputs converge to target distributions under specified conditions.
New method combines Monte Carlo and tensor networks for solving complex equations.
problem Solving high-dimensional partial differential equations efficiently.
method Uses Monte Carlo simulations and tensor train sketching for updates and re-estimations.
result Demonstrates versatility and efficacy in solving specific equations.
Pricing options is an important problem in financial engineering. In many scenarios of practical interest, financial option prices associated to an underlying asset reduces to computing an expectation w.r.t.~a diffusion process. In general, these expectations cannot be calculated analytically, and one way to approximat…
ParaMonte simplifies Monte Carlo simulations for various scientific fields.
problem Efficiently performing Monte Carlo simulations for complex models.
method Unified, high-performance, parallelized library for C, C++, Fortran.
result Automates and streamlines Monte Carlo sampling for arbitrary-dimensional functions.
New wavelets use Monte Carlo for efficient discretization.
problem Efficiently discretizing continuous wavelets on general domains.
method Defined continuous wavelets via spectral calculus and proposed a Monte Carlo discretization.
result Convergence of Monte Carlo wavelets under natural regularity assumptions.
The paper improves Monte Carlo methods for optimization problems.
problem Efficiently solving optimization problems with biased Monte Carlo estimators.
method Introduces Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) within Sample Average Approximation (SAA).
result Establishes uniform convergence and sample complexity for MLMC in SAA.
New Langevin Monte Carlo algorithms for sampling from nonsmooth distributions.
problem Sampling from distributions with nonsmooth convex composite potentials.
method Leveraging Bregman--Moreau envelopes and proximal operators in mirror descent.
result Efficiency in sampling from nonsmooth distributions, extending existing methods.
Study compares MC and QMC methods for pricing and risk analysis in a hyperbolic local volatility model.
problem Derivative pricing and risk analysis in a hyperbolic local volatility model.
method Application of Monte Carlo and Quasi Monte Carlo methods for pricing and risk analysis.
result Quasi Monte Carlo methods show superior performance in high-dimensional integration for derivative pricing and risk analysis.
Developed scalable Monte Carlo method for VIX option pricing.
problem VIX option pricing in stochastic Volterra rough volatility models with non-Markovian vol-of-vol.
method Infinite dimensional Markovian representation to devise scalable least squares Monte Carlo.
result Efficient VIX option pricing method for generalized models.
New method calibrates rough stochastic volatility models quickly.
problem Calibrating rough stochastic volatility models is expensive and time-consuming.
method Combines Levenberg-Marquardt with neural networks for fast calibration.
result Neural network approximates implied volatility map efficiently.
CRAFT improves on existing methods for sampling complex distributions.
problem Sampling from complex probability distributions.
method Combines SMC with variational inference using normalizing flows.
result Improves on Annealed Flow Transport Monte Carlo and MCMC-based Stochastic Normalizing Flows.
Develops a multilevel Monte Carlo framework with dropout for efficient uncertainty quantification.
problem Efficiently quantify uncertainty in complex models using dropout.
method Integrates multilevel Monte Carlo with Monte Carlo dropout, creating coupled estimators to reduce variance.
result Demonstrates significant variance reduction and efficiency gains over single-level Monte Carlo dropout.
New insights into variational inference using Monte Carlo estimates.
problem Improving variational bounds in latent variable models.
method Analyzing properties of Monte Carlo estimates and their impact on variational gaps.
result Negative correlation reduces variational gaps, contrary to intuition.
New Hamiltonian Monte Carlo method for non-canonical dynamics.
problem Incompatibility of canonical symplectic structure with non-canonical dynamics.
method Developed a framework for Hamiltonian Monte Carlo using non-canonical symplectic structures with implicit integration.
result Non-canonical Hamiltonian Monte Carlo provides sampling advantages.