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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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70140209279 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Minimum Bayesian regret

We propose minimum regret search (MRS), a novel acquisition function for Bayesian optimization. MRS bears similarities with information-theoretic approaches such as entropy search (ES). However, while ES aims in each query at maximizing the information gain with respect to the global maximum, MRS aims at minimizing the…

2016-02-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Study on Bayesian reinforcement learning performance bounds.

problem Achieving optimal performance in model-based Bayesian reinforcement learning.
method Defining minimum Bayesian regret, deriving upper bounds using relative entropy and Wasserstein distance, and applying these to specific MDP cases.
result Upper bounds on minimum Bayesian regret for MDPs, including specific cases like MAB and online optimization with partial feedback.

New algorithm learns LQR with O(T)O(\sqrt{T}) regret using Langevin dynamics and excitation.

problem Learning LQR with a O(T)O(\sqrt{T}) regret bound.
method Thompson sampling with Langevin dynamics and excitation mechanism.
result Achieved O(T)O(\sqrt{T}) regret bound for LQR learning.

A new algorithm optimizes time-varying functions with non-constant evaluation times.

problem Optimizing functions that change over time with varying evaluation times.
method Proposes a novel time-varying Bayesian optimization algorithm.
result Establishes a regret bound for the proposed algorithm.

The study analyzes how covariance estimation errors affect the global minimum-variance portfolio under heavy-tailed distributions.

problem The impact of covariance estimation errors on the global minimum-variance portfolio under heavy-tailed distributions.
method Characterization of covariance-estimation error's effect on GMVP suboptimality, derivation of regret identity and bound, application to heavy-tailed returns.
result The decision geometry of GMVP regret is invariant to a (p-1)-dimensional projection of the error matrix, with invariance to the covariance-scale direction as an exact special case.

Defines MER for Bayesian learning, a gap between achievable and optimal performance.

problem Analyzing the best performance of Bayesian learning under generative models.
method Two methods for deriving upper bounds for MER: conditional mutual information and minimum estimation error.
result Quantifies the rate at which MER decays to zero with more data and relates it to model richness.

IDS improves sparse linear bandits by balancing information and regret.

problem Sparse linear bandits in high-dimensional decision-making.
method Information-directed sampling (IDS) with Bayesian regret bounds and empirical Bayesian sparse posterior sampling.
result IDS nearly matches existing lower bounds and significantly reduces regret.

Paper improves regret bounds for Gaussian process upper confidence bound in Bayesian optimization.

problem Minimizing regret in Gaussian process bandit optimization.
method Gaussian process upper confidence bound (GP-UCB) algorithm with refined analysis.
result Achieves O(Tln2T)O(\sqrt{T \ln^2 T}) cumulative regret under squared exponential kernel.

Stochastic shortest path (SSP) is a well-known problem in planning and control, in which an agent has to reach a goal state in minimum total expected cost. In the learning formulation of the problem, the agent is unaware of the environment dynamics (i.e., the transition function) and has to repeatedly play for a given …

2020-02-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian bandit algorithms with approximate inference improve regret bounds in stochastic linear bandits.

problem Theoretical justification for Bayesian bandit algorithms with approximate inference in stochastic linear bandits.
method Proposed a theoretical framework to analyze approximate inference impact and conducted frequentist regret analysis on LinTS and LinBUCB.
result LinTS and LinBUCB preserve their original regret upper bounds with larger constant terms in approximate inference settings.

Mirror descent linked to information ratio via Bayesian regret bounds.

problem Understanding stability in mirror descent and its relation to information ratio.
method Developed a connection between mirror descent and information ratio using Bayesian regret bounds.
result Mirror descent with suitable estimators and distributions achieves bounds similar to information-directed sampling.

Paper analyzes GP-EI for Bayesian optimization with no regret and provides guidance on choosing incumbents.

problem Analyzing cumulative regret of GP-EI with different incumbents in noisy Bayesian optimization.
method Analyzes GP-EI with three incumbents (BPMI, BSPMI, BOI) in both SE and Matérn kernels, proving no-regret for BPMI and BSPMI.
result GP-EI with BPMI and BSPMI is a no-regret algorithm for both SE and Matérn kernels, providing theoretical guidance for choosing incumbents.

This paper analyzes regret bounds for Gaussian process Thompson sampling.

problem Analyzing the performance of Gaussian process Thompson sampling (GP-TS) in Bayesian optimization.
method The paper derives several regret bounds for GP-TS, including a lower bound, upper bounds on the second moment of cumulative regret, expected lenient regret, and improved cumulative regret.
result The paper provides improved regret upper bounds for GP-TS, showing that it suffers from a polynomial dependence on 1/δ1/δ with probability δδ.

Distributed Thompson sampling improves regret convergence in constrained communication networks.

problem Maximizing a black-box function with multi-agent Bayesian optimization under communication constraints.
method Distributed Thompson sampling using Gaussian processes, with theoretical bounds on regret convergence.
result Theoretical bounds on Bayesian average and simple regret depend on communication graph structure and are applicable in constrained networks.

EBUCB framework achieves optimal regret with bounded approximate inference error.

problem Theoretical gap between practical performance and theoretical justification of Bayesian bandit algorithms with approximate inference.
method Enhanced Bayesian Upper Confidence Bound (EBUCB) framework that accommodates bandit problems with approximate inference.
result EBUCB achieves optimal regret order O(logT)O(\log T) under certain conditions on inference error.

Improved POMDP regret to sqrt(T) with known observation model.

problem Average-reward POMDPs with unknown transition model but known observation model.
method Optimistic algorithm using deterministic policies and novel estimation techniques.
result First approach with regret guarantee of sqrt(T) against optimal policy.

Bayesian optimisation algorithm for unknown search spaces with sub-linear regret.

problem Efficient optimisation of expensive black-box functions in unknown search spaces.
method Expands search space over iterations based on a hyperharmonic series, scales to high dimensions.
result Sub-linear regret growth for both algorithms.

TVBO optimizes time-varying functions with asymptotically vanishing regret.

problem Understanding the asymptotic performance of TVBO for time-varying black-box functions.
method Provided upper and lower bounds for cumulative regret of TVBO algorithms.
result TVBO algorithms can achieve asymptotically vanishing regret under certain conditions.

LinMED is a new linear bandit algorithm with near-optimal regret bound.

problem Optimizing decision-making in linear bandit problems with sub-Gaussian distributions.
method LinMED is a randomized linear bandit algorithm with closed-form arm sampling probabilities.
result LinMED achieves a near-optimal regret bound of dnd\sqrt{n} up to logarithmic factors.

Bayesian algorithms minimize cumulative regret in decentralized multi-agent bandits.

problem Minimizing cumulative regret in a decentralized multi-agent multi-armed bandit problem.
method Proposed decentralized Bayesian multi-armed bandit framework, including Thompson Sampling and Bayes-UCB algorithms.
result Regret scales logarithmically with constants matching those of an optimal centralized agent.

Enhances RL with function approximation, improving regret bounds.

problem Improving exploration in reinforcement learning with function approximation.
method Prior-dependent Bayesian regret bound for PSRL with linear mixture MDPs, using value-targeted model learning and variance reduction.
result Established an upper bound of O(dH3TlogT){\mathcal{O}}(d\sqrt{H^3 T \log T}) for PSRL.

TS-RSR improves batch Bayesian Optimization by minimizing redundancy and focusing on high uncertainty points.

problem Efficient batch selection in Bayesian Optimization to reduce redundancy and improve performance.
method TS-RSR uses Thompson Sampling to minimize a regret to uncertainty ratio for batch selection.
result TS-RSR outperforms state-of-the-art batch BO algorithms on various test functions.

New meta-learning framework for minimizing simple regret in bandits.

problem Minimizing simple regret in a sequence of bandit tasks with unknown distributions.
method Developed Bayesian and frequentist meta-learning algorithms for bandits, analyzing their meta simple regret.
result Bayesian algorithm achieves ildeO(m/n) ilde{O}(m / \sqrt{n}) meta simple regret, frequentist algorithm ildeO(mn+m/n) ilde{O}(\sqrt{m} n + m/ \sqrt{n}).

This paper improves Bayesian optimization methods with tighter regret bounds and practical solutions.

problem Improving Bayesian optimization methods with tighter regret bounds and practical solutions.
method The paper analyzes and compares different acquisition functions (GP-UCB, TS, PIMS) to achieve tighter Bayesian cumulative regret bounds and address practical issues.
result PIMS achieves the tighter BCR bound and avoids hyperparameter tuning, unlike GP-UCB and TS.

Paper improves Bayesian regret bounds for Thompson Sampling in reinforcement learning.

problem Improving Bayesian regret bounds for Thompson Sampling in reinforcement learning.
method Using a discrete set of surrogate environments and posterior consistency analysis, the authors derive an upper bound of order O(Hdl1T)O(H\sqrt{d_{l_1}T}).
result The derived upper bound of O(Hdl1T)O(H\sqrt{d_{l_1}T}) is a significant improvement over previous bounds.

New algorithm reduces regret in sequential decision-making problems.

problem Balancing exploration and exploitation in online sequential decision problems.
method Variational Bayesian optimistic sampling (VBOS) for optimizing policies.
result VBOS achieves ildeO(AT) ilde O(\sqrt{AT}) Bayesian regret for stochastic multi-armed bandits.

We study the KK-armed dueling bandit problem, a variation of the standard stochastic bandit problem where the feedback is limited to relative comparisons of a pair of arms. We introduce a tight asymptotic regret lower bound that is based on the information divergence. An algorithm that is inspired by the Deterministic…

2015-06-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayes optimal algorithm under certain conditions doesn't achieve exponential simple regret.

problem Best arm identification with normal rewards over time.
method Fixed-budget best arm identification problem with rewards from normal distributions. Evaluates performance via simple regret.
result Bayes optimal algorithm does not yield exponential decrease in simple regret.

The paper optimizes regret using covariance between costs and decisions.

problem Optimizing expected regret in decision-making problems.
method Developed derivative theory of covariance regret functional, derived Gâteaux derivative, and extended to constrained optimization.
result Gradient of covariance regret is the cost covariance matrix, with implications for portfolio optimization.

Study on policy gradient for stochastic bandits using diffusion approximation.

problem Improving policy gradient methods for stochastic bandits with optimal regret bounds.
method Continuous-time diffusion approximation of policy gradient with learning rate analysis.
result Proved optimal regret bound of O(klog(k)log(n)/η)O(k \log(k) \log(n) / η) for η=O(Δ2/log(n))η= O(Δ^2/\log(n)).

Bayesian framework learns latent preference archetypes for many-objective optimization.

problem Expanding space of trade-offs and context-dependent human values.
method Dirichlet-process mixture model for latent preference archetypes, hybrid queries for efficient information.
result Mixture-aware Bayesian optimization outperforms standard methods on synthetic and real-world benchmarks.

Improved BO algorithms reduce prediction error under Gaussian noise.

problem Reducing prediction error in Bayesian optimization with Gaussian noise.
method Established new prediction error bounds for Gaussian process under frequentist setting.
result Proved improved convergence rates of cumulative regret for GP-UCB and GP-TS.

Algorithm reduces regret in safe Bayesian optimization with monotonicity constraints.

problem Sequentially maximize unknown function with safety constraints.
method Sequential algorithms using Gaussian processes with safety constraints modeled as monotonicity.
result Sublinear regret achieved for expanding safe region and finding optimal ss.

The paper addresses frequentist regret of Linear Thompson Sampling in stochastic linear bandits.

problem The frequentist regret of Linear Thompson Sampling (LinTS) is worse than its Bayesian counterpart.
method The paper proves the fundamental nature of the frequentist regret bound for LinTS and proposes a data-driven version of LinTS to achieve minimax optimal frequentist regret.
result The frequentist regret bound for LinTS is O~(ddT)\widetilde{\mathcal{O}}(d\sqrt{dT}), which is the best possible under certain conditions.

Thompson Sampling tackles noisy context in stochastic bandits.

problem Designing an action policy for noisy, corrupted contexts in stochastic bandits.
method Introducing a Thompson Sampling algorithm for Gaussian bandits with Gaussian context noise, adopting an information-theoretic analysis.
result Demonstrates the Bayesian regret of the proposed algorithm concerning the oracle's action policy.

We present two alternative ways to apply PAC-Bayesian analysis to sequences of dependent random variables. The first is based on a new lemma that enables to bound expectations of convex functions of certain dependent random variables by expectations of the same functions of independent Bernoulli random variables. This …

2011-05-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes MCBO for causal Bayesian optimization with model learning and regret bounds.

problem Maximizing downstream variables in unknown structural models.
method Model-based causal Bayesian optimization (MCBO) that learns full system models and trades off exploration and exploitation.
result First non-asymptotic bounds for CBO and practical implementation showing superior performance.

The paper explores how over-parameterized linear regression models generalize without violating learning theory principles.

problem Understanding how over-parameterized linear regression models generalize without violating learning theory principles.
method The paper uses the predictive normalized maximum likelihood (pNML) learner to investigate the minimum norm solution of over-parameterized linear regression models.
result The model generalizes well when the test sample lies in a subspace spanned by eigenvectors associated with large eigenvalues of the training data.

New algorithm reduces regret bounds for Bayesian optimization with unknown hyperparameters.

problem Optimizing black-box functions with unknown hyperparameters, especially length scale.
method Length Scale Balancing (LB) - aggregating multiple surrogate models with varying length scales.
result LB achieves a regret bound only logaritically away from the oracle algorithm.