In the last few years, many different performance measures have been introduced to overcome the weakness of the most natural metric, the Accuracy. Among them, Matthews Correlation Coefficient has recently gained popularity among researchers not only in machine learning but also in several application fields such as bio…
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48 results for “Matthews correlation”
Enhanced metrics for multiclass classification improve on existing methods.
problem Lack of decisive poor classification results in existing multiclass metrics.
method Introduces three new metrics derived from multivariate Pearson correlation coefficients.
result New metrics decisively indicate poor classification results.
Improved multiclass classification with class-weighted nearest neighbors.
problem Multiclass classification with large or imbalanced classes.
method Class-weighted k-nearest neighbors algorithm, derived bounds on accuracy and risk.
result Optimized classification metrics like F1 score or Matthew's Correlation Coefficient.
Logit-link models reveal socio-temporal effects on microfinance delinquency.
problem Understanding and quantifying socio-temporal factors affecting microfinance loan delinquency.
method Developed and evaluated discrete-time logit-link models with fixed-effects and frailty extensions.
result Simple random intercept structures capture latent heterogeneity in microfinance repayment behavior.
Novel algorithm optimizes decision trees for nonlinear metrics.
problem Optimizing decision trees for nonlinear metrics like F1-score.
method Bi-objective optimisation approach to find optimal trees on Pareto frontier.
result The optimal tree for nonlinear metrics lies on the Pareto frontier.
Research predicts healthcare index movements using historical OHLC data.
problem Predicting the directional movement of healthcare indices based on historical data.
method Supervised classification task with a one-step-ahead rolling window, using a diverse feature set including OHLC ratios.
result Robust predictive performance with accuracy exceeding 0.8 and Matthews correlation coefficients above 0.6, highlighting the importance of nowcasting features.
This paper visualizes uncertainty in classifier performance metrics.
problem Overemphasis on model performance metrics risks overlooking uncertainty.
method Developed visualizations of confusion matrix metric distributions.
result Uncertainty in performance metrics can overshadow model differences.
Predict stock price movements using financial data and news articles with LLMs.
problem Predicting stock price movements using financial data and news articles.
method Combining financial data and news articles, employing pre-trained LLMs, and using retrieval augmentation techniques.
result Predicted stock price movements with a weighted F1-score of 58.5% and 59.1%.
The paper discusses thresholds and bounds for accuracy in binary classification systems.
problem The accuracy of binary classification systems and its dependence on prevalence.
method Analyzing the precision-prevalence curve and negative predictive value-prevalence curve to find thresholds and bounds.
result Thresholds ( and ) bound various accuracy metrics (Fβ, F1, FM, MCC) and the ratio of maximum accuracy to prevalence.
Study improves machine learning models for GI tract disease detection using comprehensive evaluations and cross-dataset testing.
problem Incomplete or incorrect evaluation of machine learning models for GI tract diseases.
method Comprehensive evaluations of five machine learning models using Global Features and Deep Neural Networks, introducing performance hexagons and cross-dataset testing.
result Demonstrates the need for more sophisticated performance metrics and evaluation methods to build generalizable models.
Forest tree species mapped with high accuracy using satellite data.
problem Classifying dominant tree species in Swedish forests.
method Extreme gradient boosting model with Bayesian optimization, combining Sentinel-1/2 satellite data and field observations.
result Overall accuracy of 85%, F1 score of 0.82, Matthews correlation coefficient of 0.81.
New metrics improve performance in imbalanced classification problems.
problem Established metrics favor classifiers ignoring minority classes.
method Introduce robust modifications of F-score and MCC.
result TPR is bounded away from 0 in imbalanced settings.
Bayesian network models are finding success in characterizing enzyme-catalyzed reactions, slow conformational changes, predicting enzyme inhibition, and genomics. In this work, we apply them to statistical modeling of peptides by simultaneously identifying amino acid sequence motifs and using a motif-based model to cla…
A two-layer neural network model that systematically includes correlations among input variables to arbitrary order and is designed to implement Bayes inference has been adapted to classify breast cancer tumors as malignant or benign, assigning a probability for either outcome. The inputs to the network represent measu…
This paper evaluates six strategies for mitigating imbalanced data: oversampling, undersampling, ensemble methods, specialized algorithms, class weight adjustments, and a no-mitigation approach referred to as the baseline. These strategies were tested on 58 real-life binary imbalanced datasets with imbalance rates rang…
A Deep Autoencoder System for Differentiation of Cancer Types Based on DNA Methylation Stateq-bio.QM
A Deep Autoencoder based content retrieval algorithm is proposed for prediction and differentiation of cancer types based on the presence of epigenetic patterns of DNA methylation identified in genetic regions known as CpG islands. The developed deep learning system uses a CpG island state classification sub-system to …
Linear classifiers separate the data with a hyperplane. In this paper we focus on the novel method of construction of multithreshold linear classifier, which separates the data with multiple parallel hyperplanes. Proposed model is based on the information theory concepts -- namely Renyi's quadratic entropy and Cauchy-S…
A new weighted MCC measure improves classifier performance evaluation.
problem Lack of measures sensitive to observation weights in multiclass classification.
method Proposes weighted versions of Pearson-Matthews Correlation Coefficient (MCC) for binary and multiclass classification.
result Weighted MCC values are higher for classifiers that perform better on highly weighted observations.
Unified framework predicts S&P500 index direction using transfer learning and causal graph.
problem Predicting the movement of financial indices like S&P500.
method Transfer learning, causal graph, multidisciplinary knowledge, VAE network.
result 74.3% accuracy, 67% F1-score, 0.42 Matthew correlation on 12 years test period.
Heart disease is the leading cause of death, and experts estimate that approximately half of all heart attacks and strokes occur in people who have not been flagged as "at risk." Thus, there is an urgent need to improve the accuracy of heart disease diagnosis. To this end, we investigate the potential of using data ana…
Machine Intelligence for Outcome Predictions of Trauma Patients During Emergency Department Carecs.LG
Machine learning predicts trauma patient mortality risk.
problem Predicting mortality risk in trauma patients using traditional regression models.
method Transfer learning-based machine learning algorithm applied to trauma patient data.
result Machine learning model achieved similar performance to contemporary models without restrictive criteria.
Advanced AI model predicts stock movements post earnings reports.
problem Inaccurate stock predictions from earnings reports.
method Fine-tuned LLMs with QLoRA compression, integrating financial and market data.
result Significantly improved predictive accuracy compared to benchmarks.
Accelerators with power-law memory are proposed in the framework of the discrete time approach. To describe discrete accelerators we use the capital stock adjustment principle, which has been suggested by Matthews.The suggested discrete accelerators with memory describe the economic processes with the power-law memory …
Objective: In this work, we perform margin assessment of human breast tissue from optical coherence tomography (OCT) images using deep neural networks (DNNs). This work simulates an intraoperative setting for breast cancer lumpectomy. Methods: To train the DNNs, we use both the state-of-the-art methods (Weight Decay an…
In a previous paper, the author (together with Matthew Emerton) proved that the completed cohomology groups of SL_N(Z) are stable in fixed degree as N goes to infinity (Z may be replaced by the ring O_F of integers of any number field). In this paper, we relate these completed cohomology groups to K-theory and Galois c…
Graph-based ML improves defect prediction in software development.
problem Challenges in predicting defect-prone changes in complex software development.
method Building contribution graphs from developers and source files, using graph-based ML for defect prediction.
result Graph-based ML leads to significantly better defect prediction (F1 score up to 77.55%, MCC up to 53.16%).
We consider fully connected feed-forward deep neural networks (NNs) where weights and biases are independent and identically distributed as symmetric centered stable distributions. Then, we show that the infinite wide limit of the NN, under suitable scaling on the weights, is a stochastic process whose finite-dimension…
Benchmark evaluates AI-generated financial QA hallucinations, highlighting system vulnerabilities.
problem Ensuring factual accuracy of AI-generated financial QA outputs.
method Developed a benchmark dataset and evaluated six detection methods under clean and noisy conditions.
result LLM-based judges and embedding methods perform best, but degrade under noisy conditions.
EAST aligns neural network classifiers with user-defined evaluation metrics.
problem Mismatch between neural network training and evaluation metrics leads to suboptimal performance.
method EAST uses dynamic thresholding, soft-set confusion matrix, and annealing to align neural network predictions with target evaluation metrics.
result EAST improves alignment between training objectives and evaluation metrics, outperforming existing methods.
Study uses machine learning to predict potato clones suitable for processing.
problem Efficiently identifying high-yield, disease-resistant potato varieties.
method Leveraged machine learning algorithms on Russet potato clones data from Oregon.
result Non-linear models like SVM and HGBC outperform traditional linear models in agricultural trials.
We prove exact BNN posterior convergence to GP limit and provide sampling methods.
problem Theoretical and empirical challenges in obtaining exact posterior distributions of wide BNNs.
method Theoretical proof and rejection sampling for generating exact samples.
result Exact BNN posterior converges to GP limit as width increases.
SEP framework teaches LLMs to generate explainable stock predictions.
problem Challenging task of generating human-readable explanations for stock predictions.
method Self-reflective agent and Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO) for autonomous learning.
result Fine-tuned LLM outperforms traditional methods in prediction accuracy and Matthews correlation coefficient.
New method for long-term sampling of complex dynamics on curved spaces.
problem Sampling ergodic dynamics on Riemannian manifolds efficiently over long periods.
method Intrinsic geometric operations for sampling invariant measure without embeddings.
result Outperforms previous methods in long-term sampling efficiency.
The paper studies deep neural networks with Gaussian weights and finds their asymptotic behavior.
problem Understanding the behavior of deep neural networks with large width.
method Function-space perspective, Gaussian process analysis, weak convergence in large-width limit.
result Deep neural networks with large width converge to a continuous Gaussian process.
Equalitarian Societies are Economically Impossiblephysics.soc-ph
The inequality of wealth distribution is a universal phenomenon in the civilized nations, and it is often imputed to the Matthew effect, that is, the rich get richer and the poor get poorer. Some philosophers unjustified this phenomenon and tried to put the human civilization upon the evenness of wealth. Noticing the f…
New method controls bias in unadjusted Hamiltonian Monte Carlo and underdamped Langevin.
problem Bias in unadjusted Hamiltonian Monte Carlo and underdamped Langevin samplers.
method Delocalization of bias technique applied to these samplers.
result Control bias with integration steps for high-dimensional distributions.
Recent studies on fairness in automated decision making systems have both investigated the potential future impact of these decisions on the population at large, and emphasized that imposing ''typical'' fairness constraints such as demographic parity or equality of opportunity does not guarantee a benefit to disadvanta…
This paper extends the Gaussian process interpretation of deep networks to more varied weight distributions.
problem Understanding the impact of different weight initialization schemes on deep learning dynamics.
method Extending the Gaussian process interpretation to PSEUDO-IID weight distributions, including sparse and low-rank networks.
result PSEUDO-IID initialized networks are effectively equivalent up to variance, enabling tractable posterior distributions.
Paper tackles exposure bias in recommender systems using contrastive learning.
problem Exposure bias in large-scale recommender systems.
method Contrastive learning to reduce exposure bias via inverse propensity weighting.
result Contrastive learning effectively reduces exposure bias in recommender systems.
This work optimizes induced correlation in joint graph embeddings.
problem Optimizing correlation across embedded networks in joint graph embeddings.
method Developed corr2Omni algorithm to estimate optimal Omnibus weights.
result corr2Omni algorithm improves inference fidelity compared to classical Omnibus construction.
In this paper we use wavelet concepts to show that correlation coefficient between two financial data's is not constant but varies with scale from high correlation value to strongly anti-correlation value This studies is important because correlation coefficient is used to quantify degree of independence between two va…
Zooming into market statesq-fin.ST
We analyze the daily stock data of the Nasdaq Composite index in the 22-year period 1992-2013 and identify market states as clusters of correlation matrices with similar correlation structures. We investigate the stability of the correlation structure of each state by estimating the statistical fluctuations of correlat…
The study uses DCC for financial market analysis, revealing hidden correlations.
problem Identifying hidden nonlinear correlations in financial markets.
method Agglomerative hierarchical clustering with distance correlation coefficient.
result DCC reveals more information than Pearson correlation for financial data.
This study uses local Gaussian correlation to analyze stock return tails, revealing more sensitive network properties.
problem Misleading results from Pearson correlation in financial networks.
method Local Gaussian correlation coefficient for capturing nonlinear dependence and heavy-tailed distributions.
result Local Gaussian correlation network among negative tails is more sensitive to stock market risks.
A polynomial time iterative algorithm for matching Gaussian matrices with non-vanishing correlationcs.DS
Polynomial time algorithm matches correlated Gaussian matrices without vanishing correlation.
problem Matching vertices in two correlated Erdős-Rényi graphs.
method Iterative matching algorithm for correlated Gaussian Wigner matrices.
result First polynomial time algorithm for graph matching with arbitrarily small constant correlation.
This paper treats the problem of screening for variables with high correlations in high dimensional data in which there can be many fewer samples than variables. We focus on threshold-based correlation screening methods for three related applications: screening for variables with large correlations within a single trea…
This paper introduces anti-correlation networks to study China's stock market.
problem Previous studies ignored anti-correlation in financial networks.
method Constructed weighted temporal anti-correlation and positive correlation networks.
result Unveiled differences in topological measurements between anti-correlation and positive correlation networks.
Trade uncertainty impact on stock-bond correlations: Insights from conditional correlation modelsq-fin.ST
The study shows how trade uncertainty affects stock-bond correlations over time.
problem Impact of trade policy uncertainty on stock-bond correlations.
method Daily data analysis using GARCH-based models (CCC, STCC, DCC) with TPU and political dummy variables.
result Time-varying correlation models better capture the dynamics of stock-bond correlations than constant models.