Graph-based ML improves defect prediction in software development.
problem Challenges in predicting defect-prone changes in complex software development.
method Building contribution graphs from developers and source files, using graph-based ML for defect prediction.
result Graph-based ML leads to significantly better defect prediction (F1 score up to 77.55%, MCC up to 53.16%).
Modeling DEX liquidity with heterogeneous LPs and MEV bots.
problem Understanding and predicting the dynamics of decentralized cryptocurrency exchanges.
method Mean-field game approach to model liquidity providers' optimal strategies and interactions.
result Calibrated model produces consistent pool exchange rate dynamics and liquidity evolution.
Study forecasts Turkish residential NGD using JITL-GPR, reducing errors.
problem Accurately predict future monthly NGD for Turkey's import contracts.
method Used historical NG consumption data, applied various time series models, and introduced JITL-GPR.
result JITL-GPR reduces forecast errors compared to traditional methods.
JIT liquidity providers can sometimes reduce overall market liquidity by crowding out passive LPs.
problem JIT liquidity providers can reduce overall market liquidity by crowding out passive LPs.
method Game-theoretic model with asymmetrically informed agents to analyze JIT liquidity provision in blockchain-based decentralized exchanges.
result JIT LPs only provide liquidity to uninformed orders and crowd out passive LPs when order volume is not sufficiently elastic to pool depth, potentially reducing overall market liquidity.
The field of mobile health aims to leverage recent advances in wearable on-body sensing technology and smart phone computing capabilities to develop systems that can monitor health states and deliver just-in-time adaptive interventions. However, existing work has largely focused on analyzing collected data in the off-l…
A JAX toolbox solves optimal transport problems for point clouds and histograms.
problem Optimal transport problems between point clouds and histograms.
method Automatic and custom reverse mode differentiation, vectorization, just-in-time compilation, and accelerators support.
result Solves a wide range of optimal transport problems including regularized OT, barycenters, Gromov-Wasserstein, and low-rank solvers.
New method speeds up Gaussian process inference for large datasets.
problem Numerical instability and inefficiency in approximate inference methods for non-Gaussian likelihoods.
method Conjugate-computation variational inference with Kalman recursions.
result Linear-time inference with fast and stable variational inference for state-space GP models.
Gaussian processes are a class of flexible nonparametric Bayesian tools that are widely used across the sciences, and in industry, to model complex data sources. Key to applying Gaussian process models is the availability of well-developed open source software, which is available in many programming languages. In this …
New solver avoids memory issues for long differential equations.
problem Memory constraints in adaptive probabilistic ODE solvers.
method Fixed memory demands adaptive probabilistic solver using robust state estimation.
result Eliminates memory issues for long time series simulations.
Study examines stylized facts in DEX markets vs. traditional exchanges.
problem Comparing stylized facts in decentralized exchanges (DEXs) vs. traditional markets.
method Empirical analysis of 24 most active Uniswap v3 pools.
result New statistical regularities in DEX markets, linked to market structure and activity.
Unified RL survey for healthcare AI interventions.
problem Limited real-life application of RL in healthcare.
method Unified technical survey and case studies.
result Bridge between dynamic treatment regimes and mobile health.
We propose an efficient nonparametric strategy for learning a message operator in expectation propagation (EP), which takes as input the set of incoming messages to a factor node, and produces an outgoing message as output. This learned operator replaces the multivariate integral required in classical EP, which may not…
This paper develops a stochastic learning-optimization model for resilient automotive supply chains.
problem Supply chain disruptions and volatile demand pose challenges to the UK automotive industry.
method Integrates Bayesian inference with inventory optimization for a two-echelon system subject to stochastic demand and disruptions.
result The integrated approach achieves significant cost reductions and improved resilience during disruptions.
New method improves mHealth user engagement using Thompson sampling for count data.
problem Optimizing mHealth interventions for distal outcomes through proximal context.
method Combines count data models with Thompson sampling for contextual bandits.
result Improves user engagement in mHealth trials compared to existing methods.
Recent advances in adversarial Deep Learning (DL) have opened up a largely unexplored surface for malicious attacks jeopardizing the integrity of autonomous DL systems. With the wide-spread usage of DL in critical and time-sensitive applications, including unmanned vehicles, drones, and video surveillance systems, onli…
Paper develops methods for evaluating mHealth interventions using historical data.
problem Evaluating the long-term effectiveness of mHealth interventions designed for near-term outcomes.
method Develops off-policy estimation techniques to infer long-term average outcomes from historical data.
result Provides estimators and confidence intervals for evaluating mHealth policies.
Proposes pT-Learning for optimal dynamic treatment regimes in mHealth.
problem Challenges in learning optimal dynamic treatment regimes with large intervention options and infinite time horizon.
method Proximal Temporal consistency Learning (pT-Learning) framework for adaptively adjusting between deterministic and stochastic policies.
result Minimax estimator avoids double sampling issue and can incorporate off-policy data.
Increasing technological sophistication and widespread use of smartphones and wearable devices provide opportunities for innovative and highly personalized health interventions. A Just-In-Time Adaptive Intervention (JITAI) uses real-time data collection and communication capabilities of modern mobile devices to deliver…
Optimizes parameters in high-dimensional spaces for practical applications.
problem Tuning parameters for complex systems like electron accelerators.
method Bayesian optimization techniques applied to high-dimensional problems.
result Novel algorithm BORING for parameter optimization.
In this paper, we present a new approach to learning cascaded classifiers for use in computing environments that involve networks of heterogeneous and resource-constrained, low-power embedded compute and sensing nodes. We present a generalization of the classical linear detection cascade to the case of tree-structured …
AI improves precision health through adaptive interventions.
problem Improving healthcare through personalized and dynamic treatments.
method Reinforcement learning (RL) for adaptive interventions in digital health.
result RL shows promise in dynamic healthcare problems.
New algorithm balances personalization and statistical validity in MRTs.
problem Optimizing decisions in nonstationary settings with habituation and recovery.
method ROGUE-TS Thompson Sampling with probability clipping.
result Achieves lower regret and maintains high statistical power.
Data driven soft sensor design has recently gained immense popularity, due to advances in sensory devices, and a growing interest in data mining. While partial least squares (PLS) is traditionally used in the process literature for designing soft sensors, the statistical literature has focused on sparse learners, such …
Robust PDE method for path-dependent Asian-style options using MPDATA.
problem Valuation of path-dependent Asian-style options.
method Non-oscillatory forward-in-time second-order MPDATA finite-difference scheme for solving 2D PDEs.
result MPDATA scheme improves solution over first-order upwind step, highlighting its importance.