A novel graphical matching approach improves pairs trading by reducing portfolio variance and risk-adjusted returns.
problem Common pairs trading methods lead to high portfolio variance and low risk-adjusted returns due to focusing on highly cointegrated assets.
method Model all assets and their cointegration levels with a weighted graph. Select pairs as a maximum weighted matching to ensure no shared assets and lower portfolio variance.
result The matching-based strategy shows a significant improvement in risk-adjusted performance, with a gross Sharpe ratio of 1.23.
STRAPSim measures ETF portfolio similarity better than existing methods.
problem Measuring portfolio similarity for ETFs and portfolios.
method Semantic, two-level, residual-aware portfolio similarity computation.
result STRAPSim outperforms existing methods in predictive accuracy and ranking alignment.
Portfolio selection is the central task for assets management, but it turns out to be very challenging. Methods based on pattern matching, particularly the CORN-K algorithm, have achieved promising performance on several stock markets. A key shortage of the existing pattern matching methods, however, is that the risk i…
The study revisits portfolio diversification by relaxing assumptions for skewed, multi-regime, and leptokurtic asset returns.
problem Underestimation of risk in portfolio diversification due to assumptions that are inconsistent with real-world asset returns.
method Calibrated a Markov-modulated Levy process model to equity market data to demonstrate the merits of the approach.
result The calibrated models effectively match empirical moments and show the importance of relaxing assumptions in portfolio diversification.
Unified framework for portfolio optimization using gain PDF.
problem Optimizing portfolios with control over high profits.
method Unified approach incorporating various PO methods using gain PDF.
result Directly matching target PDF for maximal control over PO.
The paper presents a framework for optimizing crypto-currency portfolios using generative models.
problem Optimizing crypto-currency portfolios using generative models.
method The approach involves evaluating diverse pairings of generative model forecasts and objective functions, using simulations and blending strategies.
result Eclectic blended portfolios outperform individual generative model-based portfolios.
Online portfolio selection is a fundamental problem in computational finance, which has been extensively studied across several research communities, including finance, statistics, artificial intelligence, machine learning, and data mining, etc. This article aims to provide a comprehensive survey and a structural under…
Grover search for optimal portfolios based on Sharpe ratio.
problem Finding optimal portfolios with specific risk-return characteristics.
method Grover's algorithm applied to portfolio selection with oracles.
result Quantum algorithms can efficiently find optimal portfolios.
Classification outperforms regression in portfolio construction, yielding higher Sharpe ratios.
problem Determining which machine learning approach (classification vs. regression) is more effective for portfolio construction.
method Used stacking ensemble of gradient boosted tree, random forest, and neural network models.
result Classification yields higher Sharpe ratios and economically significant alphas compared to regression.
In the knowledge that the ex-post performance of Markowitz efficient portfolios is inferior to that implied ex-ante, we make two contributions to the portfolio selection literature. Firstly, we propose a methodology to identify the region of risk-expected return space where ex-post performance matches ex-ante estimates…
This paper optimizes sports betting strategies using neural networks and portfolio theory.
problem Optimizing betting strategies in sports gambling.
method Combining neural network models with portfolio optimization, integrating Von Neumann-Morgenstern Expected Utility Theory and the Kelly Criterion.
result Achieved 135.8% relative profit during the English Premier League season.
A scalable gradient-based framework for sparse portfolio selection.
problem Sparse minimum-variance portfolio selection with cardinality constraint.
method Gradient-based optimization with Boolean relaxation and tunable parameter.
result Matches commercial solvers in most instances, differing by a few assets with negligible error in portfolio variance.
AI models outperform simple rules in cross-asset futures timing, especially with lower transaction costs.
problem Optimizing cross-asset portfolio weights using traditional forecasting and optimization methods.
method End-to-end AI policies that map market states directly to portfolio weights, trained on CME futures using a differentiable Sharpe ratio loss function.
result Transformer-based AI policies outperform simple rules and equal weighting, trading less and matching or exceeding equal weighting through moderate transaction costs.
Proposes using diffusion models for probabilistic stock market predictions.
problem Uncertainties in financial data make deterministic models ineffective for stock market predictions.
method Utilizes Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models (DDPM) and Masked Relational Transformer (MRT).
result Achieves state-of-the-art performance in stock movement prediction and portfolio management.
As a consequence of the dependence experienced in loan portfolios, the standard binomial test which is based on the assumption of independence does not appear appropriate for validating probabilities of default (PDs). The model underlying the new rules for minimum capital requirements (Basle II) is taken as a point of …
In the top-down approach to multi-name credit modeling, calculation of singe name sensitivities appears possible, at least in principle, within the so-called random thinning (RT) procedure which dissects the portfolio risk into individual contributions. We make an attempt to construct a practical RT framework that enab…
This paper quantifies the impact of Dow Jones Sustainability Index listing on stock returns.
problem Measuring the impact of listing on the Dow Jones Sustainability Index.
method A matching portfolio approach to analyze pre- and post-listing returns.
result Cumulative abnormal returns are significantly positive in the weeks leading to the official announcement.
This paper introduces a new semi-parametric approach to the pricing and risk management of bespoke CDO tranches, with a particular attention to bespokes that need to be mapped onto more than one reference portfolio. The only user input in our framework is a multi-factor model (a "prior" model hereafter) for index portf…
MarketGAN generates financial returns using GANs to match empirical stylized facts.
problem Generating financial returns under data scarcity and preserving stylized facts.
method Generative adversarial learning with a TCN backbone.
result MarketGAN outperforms conventional methods in portfolio applications.
New framework optimizes multi-asset portfolio choice for high dimensions.
problem Optimizing high-dimensional continuous-time portfolio choice.
method Combines Pontryagin's Maximum Principle with BPTT for neural network policy learning.
result Achieves near-optimal policies with improved efficiency and precision.
Investors optimize their portfolios within a Wasserstein ball to match a benchmark's risk profile.
problem Optimizing portfolio performance while maintaining risk proximity to a benchmark.
method Optimal dynamic strategy selection based on minimizing distortion risk measures within a Wasserstein ball.
result An optimal dynamic strategy exists and can be calculated through isotonic projections.
The paper proposes a machine learning framework for portfolio optimization with limited data.
problem Low data environments and regime uncertainty in portfolio optimization.
method A teacher-student learning pipeline with CVaR optimizer generating supervisory labels and neural models trained on real and synthetic data.
result Student models can match or outperform the CVaR teacher and achieve improved robustness under regime shifts.
We consider and extend the adversarial agent-based learning approach of Gy{ö}rfi {\it et al} to the situation of zero-cost portfolio selection implemented with a quadratic approximation derived from the mutual fund separation theorems. The algorithm is applied to daily sampled sequential Open-High-Low-Close data and se…
Study optimal dividend and capital injection in insurance portfolios with self-exciting claim arrivals.
problem Optimal dividend and capital injection in insurance portfolios with Hawkes process claim arrivals.
method Analytical properties, explicit threshold, HJB variational inequality, finite-difference scheme, policy-gradient, actor-critic methods.
result Learned strategies closely match the PDE benchmark and remain stable across initial conditions.
Market portfolio decomposed into body and tail legs
problem Separation of market portfolio into body and tail legs
method Dynamic value-weighted body and tail legs
result Recombination identity holds for all models
This paper proposes a continuous timing strategy for growth vs. defensive style allocation.
problem Dynamic allocation of growth and defensive ETF baskets using macro-market timing signals.
method Continuous smooth score combining multiple factors, mapped to G/D weights, smoothed with EWMA.
result Continuous style timing strategy outperforms static benchmarks in risk-adjusted returns.
Study decomposes market portfolio into body and tail legs, revealing systematic differences.
problem Understanding the relationship between body and tail components in market portfolios.
method Decomposes CRSP market portfolio into body and tail legs, analyzes their recombination identity.
result Recombination identity holds for all models but not for all, indicating systematic differences.
Develops a new model-free approach to portfolio theory using rough paths.
problem Handles more general portfolios without probabilistic assumptions.
method Rough path theory for stochastic portfolio theory (SPT).
result Asymptotic growth rates of various portfolios match.
D-Wave hybrid quantum-classical portfolio optimization shows classical decomposition is key, not quantum sampling.
problem Optimizing portfolios with constraints using hybrid quantum-classical methods.
method Operational decomposition audit of D-Wave's hybrid quantum-classical service on mean-variance-turnover instances.
result Classical decomposition and feasibility-aware reassembly are key to hybrid quantum-classical performance.
Proposes a sliding window method for better portfolio trading.
problem Log-optimal portfolio problem with time-varying weights.
method Data-driven sliding window approach to solve log-optimal portfolio problem.
result Trading strategy outperforms classical log-optimal portfolio in cumulative returns.
This study compares two portfolio optimization methods on Indian stocks.
problem Designing an optimal portfolio considering stock returns and risks.
method Hierarchical Risk Parity and Eigen Portfolio approaches on NIFTY 50 sectors.
result Hierarchical Risk Parity portfolio outperforms Eigen portfolio in most sectors tested.
This study compares three portfolio design approaches for stock selection.
problem Designing a profitable portfolio with precise stock returns and risks.
method Three portfolio design approaches: mean-variance portfolio, hierarchical risk parity, and autoencoder-based portfolio.
result Autoencoder portfolios outperform MVP on annual returns, but MVP is best on risk-adjusted returns.
In finance industry portfolio construction deals with how to divide the investors' wealth across an asset-classes' menu in order to maximize the investors' gain. Main approaches in use at the present are based on variations of the classical Markowitz model. However, recent evolutions of the world market showed limitati…
This study compares three portfolio optimization methods on Indian stocks.
problem Comparing portfolio optimization methods on Indian stocks.
method Mean-Variance, Hierarchical Risk Parity, and Reinforcement Learning approaches.
result Reinforcement Learning outperformed other methods in terms of Sharpe ratio.
New method estimates robust multi-period portfolios using entropy.
problem Lack of general agreement on building robust multi-period portfolios.
method Detrended cluster entropy approach to estimate portfolio weights.
result Portfolio weights are estimated reliably from real-world data at varying time horizons.
A flexible calendar rebalancing approach for Indian stock portfolios.
problem Optimizing stock portfolio performance in the Indian stock market.
method Calendar rebalancing of sector-specific portfolios based on historical stock prices.
result The proposed calendar rebalancing approach improves portfolio performance over the test period.
Optimizes social interactions for profit, people, and planet using mathematical models.
problem Determining the most effective social configurations for mutual objectives.
method Formulated as a mathematical optimization problem, using (meta)relational models theory.
result Identifies the most suitable combination of sociality forms for mutual objectives.
The paper classifies various higher moments portfolio optimization methods.
problem Optimizing portfolios with higher moments like skewness and kurtosis.
method Review of different optimization paradigms including utility and multi-objective approaches.
result Comparison of advantages and disadvantages of various methods.
CPPS selects portfolios using conformal prediction for better returns.
problem Optimizing portfolio returns with predictive models and uncertainty.
method Conformal prediction framework for portfolio selection.
result CPPS outperforms simpler strategies in delivering superior returns.
A new approach to continuous-time universal portfolios using pathwise Itô calculus.
problem Continuous-time version of Cover's universal portfolio strategies.
method Pathwise Itô calculus approach to establish existence and properties of universal portfolio strategies.
result The universal portfolio strategy's portfolio value process is the average of all values of constant rebalanced strategies.
The paper proposes a new approach to portfolio selection that maximizes diversification and return.
problem Maximizing diversification and return in portfolio selection.
method A bi-objective model that maximizes a diversification measure and portfolio expected return.
result The return-diversification approach outperforms strategies based on diversification or classical risk-return approaches.
In portfolio analysis, the traditional approach of replacing population moments with sample counterparts may lead to suboptimal portfolio choices. I show that optimal portfolio weights can be estimated using a machine learning (ML) framework, where the outcome to be predicted is a constant and the vector of explanatory…
The paper proposes a new model using financial big data to improve portfolio risk analysis.
problem Addressing potential information loss in portfolio risk measurement.
method Uses financial big data to incorporate out-of-target-portfolio information and overcomes the curse of dimensionality.
result The use of financial big data improves small portfolio risk analysis.
Enhances portfolio optimization under uncertainty using robust multi-objective methods.
problem Uncertainties in real-world portfolio optimization scenarios.
method Robust multi-objective optimization with benchmark comparisons.
result More reliable and adaptable portfolio strategies for market uncertainties.
In this work, we study a dynamic portfolio optimization problem related to pairs trading, which is an investment strategy that matches a long position in one security with a short position in another security with similar characteristics. The relationship between pairs, called a spread, is modeled by a Gaussian mean-re…
Dynamic tracking error framework shows similar performance but varying volatility across different constraints.
problem Differences in governance parameters between Total Portfolio Approach and Strategic Asset Allocation.
method Portfolio simulations using U.S. equity and bond data from 2000 to 2026, spanning 2004 to 2026.
result Realized tracking error volatility varies 12-fold across different constraints, with costs highest during crises.
The paper introduces new portfolio rules beyond mean-variance, addressing asymmetry and uncertainty.
problem Optimizing portfolios with asymmetric returns and uncertainty in expected returns.
method Derives allocation rules for asymmetric Laplace distributed returns and random normal expected returns. Addresses singular covariance matrices and uncertainty in returns.
result Optimal worst-case scenario solution provides a convex alternative to risk parity, improving portfolio stability.
Bayesian method improves portfolio management with limited data.
problem Estimating covariance or precision matrix for large portfolios is challenging.
method Bayesian graphical LASSO for precision matrix estimation.
result The Bayesian approach outperforms non-Bayesian methods in stability and precision matrix estimation.