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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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24497397 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for MNAR bias

Unified framework for robust causal directionality in quantum systems under MNAR observation.

problem Determining causal directionality in quantum systems under MNAR observation.
method Integrates CVAE-based latent constraints, MNAR-aware selection models, GEE-stabilized regression, penalized empirical likelihood, and Bayesian optimization.
result Achieves lower bias and variance, near-nominal coverage, and superior quantum-specific diagnostics.

Off-policy evaluation for MNAR rewards in MDPs

problem Off-policy evaluation in MDPs with MNAR rewards
method Formalizing a reward-dependent propensity model and using future states as shadow variables
result Proposed an Fitted-Q-Evaluation-style estimator that propagates recovered rewards while allowing target policies to depend on past missingness indicators

A novel k-means method for MNAR data improves clustering accuracy.

problem Improving k-means clustering for data missing not at random.
method A magnitude-decaying MNAR scenario-based k-means method with size constraints.
result The method reduces bias in estimated cluster centers and improves clustering accuracy.

This work addresses missing data imputation for MNAR scenarios with identifiable deep generative models.

problem Missing data with complex missingness mechanisms (MNAR) leading to biased imputation results.
method Systematic analysis and proposal of an identifiable deep generative model.
result Proposed model provides identifiability guarantees under mild assumptions for various MNAR mechanisms.

Proposes a method to evaluate classifiers with missing labels using multiple imputation.

problem Missing labels during model evaluation can introduce bias, especially in Missing Not At Random (MNAR) data.
method Develops a multiple imputation technique to estimate and provide predictive distributions for metrics like precision, recall, and ROC-AUC.
result The predictive distribution's location and shape are generally correct, even in the MNAR regime.

A deep generative model improves imputation of MNAR data by treating missing and complete data equally.

problem Missing Not At Random (MNAR) data in analysis.
method A generative model-specific joint probability decomposition method (conjunction model) and a deep generative imputation model (GNR).
result GNR surpasses state-of-the-art MNAR baselines with significant margins in RMSE and better mask reconstruction.

Proposes methods to handle missing data in clustering models.

problem Missing data, especially MNAR, hinders model-based clustering.
method Developed a mixture model for different types of data, including MNAR, using Expectation Maximization algorithm.
result The proposed MNARz model simplifies inference and enables clustering with MNAR data.

CVIB uses information theory to learn counterfactuals from MNAR data without RCTs.

problem Debiasing learning from missing-not-at-random (MNAR) data in recommendation systems.
method CVIB, a variational information bottleneck, separates task-aware mutual information into factual and counterfactual parts.
result CVIB significantly enhances both shallow and deep models in recommendation systems.

Study compares traditional and machine learning methods for handling missing data in longitudinal studies.

problem Handling missing Not at Random (MNAR) and nonnormal data in longitudinal research.
method Monte Carlo simulations to assess six missing data techniques.
result FIML is most effective for MNAR data, while TSRE excels for MAR data.

New methods for identifying and estimating missing data under complex mechanisms.

problem Missing data mechanisms dependent on missing values themselves.
method Developed a new MNAR model and proposed semiparametric estimation methods.
result Established sufficient conditions for identifying complete-data distribution and missingness mechanism.

Proposes a framework to handle missing data in traffic forecasting with sensor blackouts.

problem Missing data in traffic forecasting due to sensor blackouts, especially when correlated with traffic conditions.
method Latent state-space framework that models traffic dynamics and sensor dropout probabilities.
result Improves traffic forecasting by reducing blackout imputation RMSE from 7.02 to 4.23, with MNAR modeling providing additional gains.

Framework identifies population quantities from MNAR feedback using weak shadow variables from pretrained models.

problem Estimating mean outcomes from MNAR user feedback with bias and lack of identification.
method Develops a partial identification framework using linear programs and weak shadow variables from pretrained models.
result Bounds on estimand are obtained by solving linear programs incorporating pretrained model predictions.

Missing data are ubiquitous in many domains including healthcare. When these data entries are not missing completely at random, the (conditional) independence relations in the observed data may be different from those in the complete data generated by the underlying causal process. Consequently, simply applying existin…

2018-07-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimal transfer learning for missing not-at-random matrix completion using source data.

problem Matrix completion in a Missing Not-at-Random setting with incomplete and noisy source data.
method Active sampling of rows and columns, feature shift in latent space, minimax lower bounds, computationally efficient estimation framework.
result Achieves minimax lower bound for active sampling setting, avoiding incoherence assumptions.

A new tensor completion method handles missing data with missing not at random entries.

problem Handling missing data in tensors where the probability of observation depends on other entries.
method Estimate propensities using convex relaxation, then use higher-order SVD with inverse propensities weights.
result Finite-sample error bounds on the completed tensor are provided.

Many real datasets contain values missing not at random (MNAR). In this scenario, investigators often perform list-wise deletion, or delete samples with any missing values, before applying causal discovery algorithms. List-wise deletion is a sound and general strategy when paired with algorithms such as FCI and RFCI, b…

2017-05-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a Latent Block Model for analyzing missing data.

problem Missing data can lead to misleading conclusions if not properly accounted for.
method Co-clustering model based on Latent Block Model, with variational EM algorithm for inference and model selection criterion.
result The proposed model reveals meaningful groups and insights from non-voters in French Parliament voting records.

New estimator for survival function with missing not at random censoring indicators.

problem Estimating survival function with missing not at random censoring indicators.
method Proposes a new estimator based on a conditional copula model for the missingness mechanism.
result Provides a new method for estimating conditional survival function with MNAR censoring indicators.

We study the phenomenon of bias amplification in classifiers, wherein a machine learning model learns to predict classes with a greater disparity than the underlying ground truth. We demonstrate that bias amplification can arise via an inductive bias in gradient descent methods that results in the overestimation of the…

2018-12-21abs ↗pdf ↗

It has been noticed that some external CVIs exhibit a preferential bias towards a larger or smaller number of clusters which is monotonic (directly or inversely) in the number of clusters in candidate partitions. This type of bias is caused by the functional form of the CVI model. For example, the popular Rand index (R…

2016-06-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Depth uncertainty networks don't improve with bias correction, contrary to expectations.

problem Improving performance in active learning with overparameterised models like NNs.
method Depth uncertainty networks, compared to underparameterised models, show no improvement in performance with bias correction.
result Depth uncertainty networks do not improve with bias correction, unlike underparameterised models.

We quantify causal bias in continuous treatment settings.

problem Identifying and quantifying causal bias in continuous treatment scenarios.
method Developed a novel characterization of causal bias in structural causal models, proving conditions for zero bias and efficient estimation.
result Causal bias can be estimated efficiently under certain structural equation restrictions, allowing for causal regularization of predictive models.

The paper introduces Relative Bias to quantify LLM bias systematically.

problem Quantifying bias in LLMs is challenging due to ambiguity and rapid model emergence.
method Relative Bias framework using Embedding Transformation and LLM-as-a-Judge methodologies.
result The two scoring methods show strong alignment, providing a systematic approach.

SSMs have a built-in bias towards low-frequency components, which can be adjusted.

problem Frequency bias in SSMs affects their performance on long-range sequences.
method Proposed two mechanisms to tune frequency bias: scaling initialization or applying a Sobolev-norm-based filter.
result Tuning frequency bias improves SSMs' performance on long-range sequence learning tasks.

A bias classifier is introduced to resist adversarial attacks.

problem Resisting adversarial attacks on deep neural networks (DNNs).
method Introducing the bias part of a DNN with Relu as the activation function as a classifier, and adding a random first-degree part to make it information-theoretically safe.
result The bias classifier is more robust than DNNs of similar size against adversarial attacks.

UBM transfers bias mitigation from upstream to downstream tasks efficiently.

problem Bias in fine-tuned language models across various tasks.
method Apply bias mitigation to an upstream model, then fine-tune a downstream model on this mitigated model.
result UBM effects transfer to new downstream tasks, creating less biased models.

Ensembles improve classifier performance by reducing bias, not variance.

problem Improving classifier performance through ensemble methods.
method Extended bias-variance decomposition for classification tasks, introducing dual reparameterization.
result Ensembling reduces bias in classifiers, contrary to the traditional view.