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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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4998146195 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Judicial Decisions

Machine learning predicts ECHR judgments on human rights violations.

problem Predicting the outcome of ECHR judgments on human rights violations.
method Auto-sklearn for model selection, N-grams, word embeddings, doc2vec, echr2vec for feature extraction, cross-validation for accuracy assessment.
result Features from echr2vec embedding provided the highest cross-validation accuracy for 5 Articles, overall test accuracy was 68.83%.

From doctors diagnosing patients to judges setting bail, experts often base their decisions on experience and intuition rather than on statistical models. While understandable, relying on intuition over models has often been found to result in inferior outcomes. Here we present a new method, select-regress-and-round, f…

2017-02-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Study batch learning in linear bandits with context, achieving near-optimal performance.

problem Sequential batch learning in linear contextual bandits with finite actions.
method Established regret bounds and provided algorithms for two settings: arbitrary contexts and i.i.d. contexts.
result Regret upper bound nearly matches lower bound, showing polynomial and logarithmic batch requirements.

This work defines a complexity measure for BAMDP planning and introduces state abstraction for more efficient approximate planning.

problem The computational intractability of exact BAMDP planning solutions.
method Define a complexity measure for BAMDP planning, introduce state abstraction, and develop an approximate planning algorithm.
result Introduces a computationally tractable approximate planning algorithm using state abstraction.

Improves reliability diagrams for probabilistic forecasts.

problem Lack of stability in reliability diagrams hampered their use.
method CORP approach using non-parametric isotonic regression and PAV algorithm.
result Improved reliability diagrams with statistical consistency and reproducibility.

When analyzing weighted networks using spectral embedding, a judicious transformation of the edge weights may produce better results. To formalize this idea, we consider the asymptotic behavior of spectral embedding for different edge-weight representations, under a generic low rank model. We measure the quality of dif…

2019-10-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Despite the major advances taken in causal modeling, causality is still an unfamiliar topic for many statisticians. In this paper, it is demonstrated from the beginning to the end how causal effects can be estimated from observational data assuming that the causal structure is known. To make the problem more challengin…

2014-03-05abs ↗pdf ↗

We introduce a Deep Boltzmann Machine model suitable for modeling and extracting latent semantic representations from a large unstructured collection of documents. We overcome the apparent difficulty of training a DBM with judicious parameter tying. This parameter tying enables an efficient pretraining algorithm and a …

2013-09-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Training Gaussian process-based models typically involves an O(N3) O(N^3) computational bottleneck due to inverting the covariance matrix. Popular methods for overcoming this matrix inversion problem cannot adequately model all types of latent functions, and are often not parallelizable. However, judicious choice of model…

2017-02-27abs ↗pdf ↗

We introduce a local volatility model for the valuation of options on commodity futures by using European vanilla option prices. The corresponding calibration problem is addressed within an online framework, allowing the use of multiple price surfaces. Since uncertainty in the observation of the underlying future price…

2016-02-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Capsule network (CapsNet) was introduced as an enhancement over convolutional neural networks, supplementing the latter's invariance properties with equivariance through pose estimation. CapsNet achieved a very decent performance with a shallow architecture and a significant reduction in parameters count. However, the …

2019-02-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Matching Markets meet Cumulative Prospect Theory: Towards Optimal and Adversarially Robust Learning

problem Multi-agent multi-armed bandit problem in competitive setup with two-sided matching markets under human-centric decision making model
method Using cumulative prospect theory (CPT) to emulate human preferences
result Improved regret guarantees in adversarial markets with CPT as risk-sensitive measure

Optimizes deep reinforcement learning for energy-efficient video streaming.

problem Minimizing energy consumption in video streaming over mobile networks.
method Integrates DDPG algorithm with partially known model to reduce signaling overhead and improve convergence speed.
result Proposed policy converges to optimal policy with improved convergence speed.

The rising interest in pattern recognition and data analytics has spurred the development of innovative machine learning algorithms and tools. However, as each algorithm has its strengths and limitations, one is motivated to judiciously fuse multiple algorithms in order to find the "best" performing one, for a given da…

2017-12-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Yang-Mills instantons on ALE gravitational instantons were constructed by Kronheimer and Nakajima in terms of matrices satisfying algebraic equations. These were conveniently organized into a quiver. We construct generic Yang-Mills instantons on ALF gravitational instantons. Our data are formulated in terms of matrix-v…

2010-06-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper shows how to use geometric median for robust SGD in high dimensions.

problem Robustifying SGD for high-dimensional optimization problems with gross corruption.
method Applying geometric median to only chosen blocks of coordinates at a time.
result Retains optimal breakdown point of 0.5 for smooth non-convex problems.

Linear mixture models have proven very useful in a plethora of applications, e.g., topic modeling, clustering, and source separation. As a critical aspect of the linear mixture models, identifiability of the model parameters is well-studied, under frameworks such as independent component analysis and constrained matrix…

2019-01-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Study finds 'happiness' search data predicts stock returns, suggesting utility needs impact firm performance.

problem Investing in firms that meet societal utility needs.
method Used Google Trends data on 'happiness' search volume to predict stock returns.
result Happiness search exposure (HSE) explains future stock returns, particularly for big and value firms.

The paper analyzes global inflation's systemic nature and its impact on equity markets.

problem Understanding the systemic nature of global inflation and its financial market implications.
method Data-driven study using eigenvalue analysis, inner-product optimization, and time-varying portfolio optimization.
result Countries with high centrality in global inflation are identified, and the robustness of equity indices and sectors during inflationary periods are explored.

This paper proposes a distributionally robust approach to logistic regression. We use the Wasserstein distance to construct a ball in the space of probability distributions centered at the uniform distribution on the training samples. If the radius of this ball is chosen judiciously, we can guarantee that it contains t…

2015-09-30abs ↗pdf ↗

The goal of regression and classification methods in supervised learning is to minimize the empirical risk, that is, the expectation of some loss function quantifying the prediction error under the empirical distribution. When facing scarce training data, overfitting is typically mitigated by adding regularization term…

2017-10-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) are powerful models that achieve exceptional performance on several pattern recognition problems. However, the training of RNNs is a computationally difficult task owing to the well-known "vanishing/exploding" gradient problem. Algorithms proposed for training RNNs either exploit no (or…

2015-11-04abs ↗pdf ↗

New study shows non-adaptive trials can be outperformed by adaptive designs in treatment selection.

problem Determining the best allocation of resources in clinical trials.
method Analysis of batched arm elimination designs and comparison with completely randomized trials.
result Simple adaptive designs universally and strictly dominate non-adaptive completely randomized trials for at least three treatment arms.

In this paper, we investigate effective sketching schemes via sparsification for high dimensional multilinear arrays or tensors. More specifically, we propose a novel tensor sparsification algorithm that retains a subset of the entries of a tensor in a judicious way, and prove that it can attain a given level of approx…

2017-10-31abs ↗pdf ↗

AWNN improves matrix completion by adaptively weighting nearest neighbors.

problem Matrix completion with optimal nearest neighbor weights and radii selection.
method Adaptively weighted nearest neighbor method for matrix completion.
result Theoretical guarantees and synthetic experiments support the effectiveness of AWNN.

New algorithm explores reinforcement learning with noisy data.

problem Exploration in reinforcement learning with complex value functions.
method Randomized exploration with i.i.d. scalar noises and optimistic reward sampling.
result Achieves worst-case regret bound of O~(poly(dEH)T)\widetilde{O}(\mathrm{poly}(d_EH)\sqrt{T}).

A new algorithm reduces communication in decentralized optimization.

problem Reducing communication in decentralized optimization problems.
method Adaptive randomized communication-efficient algorithmic framework that periodically tracks disagreement error and selects influential edges for communication.
result Strong theoretical convergence guarantees and performance quantification under standard assumptions.