Decision makers, such as doctors and judges, make crucial decisions such as recommending treatments to patients, and granting bails to defendants on a daily basis. Such decisions typically involve weighting the potential benefits of taking an action against the costs involved. In this work, we aim to automate this task…
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Machine learning predicts ECHR judgments on human rights violations.
From doctors diagnosing patients to judges setting bail, experts often base their decisions on experience and intuition rather than on statistical models. While understandable, relying on intuition over models has often been found to result in inferior outcomes. Here we present a new method, select-regress-and-round, f…
AI models assess psychological risks in currency trading.
The method learns to partition event time space for better prediction.
Study batch learning in linear bandits with context, achieving near-optimal performance.
This work defines a complexity measure for BAMDP planning and introduces state abstraction for more efficient approximate planning.
Improves reliability diagrams for probabilistic forecasts.
Nonparametric methods are widely applicable to statistical inference problems, since they rely on a few modeling assumptions. In this context, the fresh look advocated here permeates benefits from variable selection and compressive sampling, to robustify nonparametric regression against outliers - that is, data markedl…
When analyzing weighted networks using spectral embedding, a judicious transformation of the edge weights may produce better results. To formalize this idea, we consider the asymptotic behavior of spectral embedding for different edge-weight representations, under a generic low rank model. We measure the quality of dif…
Despite the major advances taken in causal modeling, causality is still an unfamiliar topic for many statisticians. In this paper, it is demonstrated from the beginning to the end how causal effects can be estimated from observational data assuming that the causal structure is known. To make the problem more challengin…
We introduce a Deep Boltzmann Machine model suitable for modeling and extracting latent semantic representations from a large unstructured collection of documents. We overcome the apparent difficulty of training a DBM with judicious parameter tying. This parameter tying enables an efficient pretraining algorithm and a …
Training Gaussian process-based models typically involves an computational bottleneck due to inverting the covariance matrix. Popular methods for overcoming this matrix inversion problem cannot adequately model all types of latent functions, and are often not parallelizable. However, judicious choice of model…
We introduce a local volatility model for the valuation of options on commodity futures by using European vanilla option prices. The corresponding calibration problem is addressed within an online framework, allowing the use of multiple price surfaces. Since uncertainty in the observation of the underlying future price…
We propose a multi-level method to increase the accuracy of machine learning algorithms for approximating observables in scientific computing, particularly those that arise in systems modeled by differential equations. The algorithm relies on judiciously combining a large number of computationally cheap training data o…
Capsule network (CapsNet) was introduced as an enhancement over convolutional neural networks, supplementing the latter's invariance properties with equivariance through pose estimation. CapsNet achieved a very decent performance with a shallow architecture and a significant reduction in parameters count. However, the …
Matching Markets meet Cumulative Prospect Theory: Towards Optimal and Adversarially Robust Learning
Optimizes deep reinforcement learning for energy-efficient video streaming.
The rising interest in pattern recognition and data analytics has spurred the development of innovative machine learning algorithms and tools. However, as each algorithm has its strengths and limitations, one is motivated to judiciously fuse multiple algorithms in order to find the "best" performing one, for a given da…
Yang-Mills instantons on ALE gravitational instantons were constructed by Kronheimer and Nakajima in terms of matrices satisfying algebraic equations. These were conveniently organized into a quiver. We construct generic Yang-Mills instantons on ALF gravitational instantons. Our data are formulated in terms of matrix-v…
Paper shows how to use geometric median for robust SGD in high dimensions.
Study tackles ranking fraud in online platforms by learning robust rankings.
Linear mixture models have proven very useful in a plethora of applications, e.g., topic modeling, clustering, and source separation. As a critical aspect of the linear mixture models, identifiability of the model parameters is well-studied, under frameworks such as independent component analysis and constrained matrix…
We design a self size-estimating feed-forward network (SSFN) using a joint optimization approach for estimation of number of layers, number of nodes and learning of weight matrices. The learning algorithm has a low computational complexity, preferably within few minutes using a laptop. In addition the algorithm has a l…
LexNLP is an open source Python package focused on natural language processing and machine learning for legal and regulatory text. The package includes functionality to (i) segment documents, (ii) identify key text such as titles and section headings, (iii) extract over eighteen types of structured information like dis…
We present an efficient coresets-based neural network compression algorithm that sparsifies the parameters of a trained fully-connected neural network in a manner that provably approximates the network's output. Our approach is based on an importance sampling scheme that judiciously defines a sampling distribution over…
Extends gradient-based optimization to spline functions.
Study finds 'happiness' search data predicts stock returns, suggesting utility needs impact firm performance.
This paper proposes a new method for determining similarity and anomalies between time series, most practically effective in large collections of (likely related) time series, by measuring distances between structural breaks within such a collection. We introduce a class of \emph{semi-metric} distance measures, which w…
This paper is devoted to pricing American options using Monte Carlo and the Malliavin calculus. Unlike the majority of articles related to this topic, in this work we will not use localization fonctions to reduce the variance. Our method is based on expressing the conditional expectation E[f(St)/Ss] using the Malliavin…
The paper analyzes global inflation's systemic nature and its impact on equity markets.
We propose a novel approach for pixel classification in hyperspectral images, leveraging on both the spatial and spectral information in the data. The introduced method relies on a recently proposed framework for learning on distributions -- by representing them with mean elements in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (…
This paper proposes a distributionally robust approach to logistic regression. We use the Wasserstein distance to construct a ball in the space of probability distributions centered at the uniform distribution on the training samples. If the radius of this ball is chosen judiciously, we can guarantee that it contains t…
SGPT-PINNs solve PDEs with sparse, small models.
A method for classifying points with minimal queries using Hermite polynomials.
A new ensemble of Gaussian processes improves active learning efficiency.
The goal of regression and classification methods in supervised learning is to minimize the empirical risk, that is, the expectation of some loss function quantifying the prediction error under the empirical distribution. When facing scarce training data, overfitting is typically mitigated by adding regularization term…
Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) are powerful models that achieve exceptional performance on several pattern recognition problems. However, the training of RNNs is a computationally difficult task owing to the well-known "vanishing/exploding" gradient problem. Algorithms proposed for training RNNs either exploit no (or…
Random feature maps improve forecasting of chaotic dynamical systems.
New study shows non-adaptive trials can be outperformed by adaptive designs in treatment selection.
Active learning method estimates nonlinear systems efficiently.
In this paper, we investigate effective sketching schemes via sparsification for high dimensional multilinear arrays or tensors. More specifically, we propose a novel tensor sparsification algorithm that retains a subset of the entries of a tensor in a judicious way, and prove that it can attain a given level of approx…
New approach to convex hulls for low-rank problems.
AWNN improves matrix completion by adaptively weighting nearest neighbors.
New algorithm explores reinforcement learning with noisy data.
Linear regression is a classic method of data analysis. In recent years, sketching -- a method of dimension reduction using random sampling, random projections, or both -- has gained popularity as an effective computational approximation when the number of observations greatly exceeds the number of variables. In this p…
A new algorithm reduces communication in decentralized optimization.
LAZO reduces query complexity and variance in ZO methods.