EDICT learns evidential distributions for irregular time series, improving predictions and uncertainty quantification.
problem Challenges in predicting and characterizing uncertainty for irregular time series data.
method EDICT (Evidential Distributions for Irregular Time Series) learns a continuous-time evidential distribution.
result EDICT achieves competitive performance on time series classification tasks and provides better uncertainty quantification.
Neural Laplace Control tackles offline RL for continuous-time delayed systems with irregular observations.
problem Offline reinforcement learning problems involving continuous-time environments with delays and irregular observations.
method Combines a Neural Laplace dynamics model with a model predictive control (MPC) planner.
result Achieves near expert policy performance on continuous-time delayed environments.
CRUs model irregular time series with continuous hidden states.
problem Handling irregular time intervals in sequential data.
method Continuous Recurrent Units (CRUs) that integrate hidden states via a linear stochastic differential equation.
result CRUs outperform methods based on neural ordinary differential equations in irregular time series interpolation.
TGNN4I model forecasts irregularly observed graph data using ODEs.
problem Forecasting graph-structured data with irregular time steps and partial observations.
method Introduces a time-continuous latent state in each node using ODEs and GRUs, integrating graph neural network layers.
result Validated usefulness of graph structure and time-continuous dynamics in irregular observation settings.
GRUwE improves irregular time series prediction with simpler, efficient RNN-based approach.
problem Irregularly sampled multivariate time series prediction challenges.
method Gated Recurrent Unit with Exponential basis functions (GRUwE).
result GRUwE achieves competitive or superior performance compared to recent state-of-the-art methods.
ACSSM models irregular time series with continuous dynamics.
problem Modeling irregular time series data.
method ACSSM uses a multi-marginal Doob's h-transform and variational inference with stochastic optimal control.
result ACSSM outperforms in tasks like classification, regression, interpolation, and extrapolation.
Neural controlled DEs model irregular time series by adjusting based on observations.
problem Modeling irregularly sampled multivariate time series with memory-efficient adjoint-based backpropagation.
method Neural controlled differential equations (CDEs) that adjust based on subsequent observations.
result Achieves state-of-the-art performance on various datasets.
In many fields observations are performed irregularly along time, due to either measurement limitations or lack of a constant immanent rate. While discrete-time Markov models (as Dynamic Bayesian Networks) introduce either inefficient computation or an information loss to reasoning about such processes, continuous-time…
LLapDiff models irregular multivariate time series without step-by-step integration.
problem Trade-off between discrete and continuous methods for long-horizon forecasting.
method Generative framework that models target as a low-dimensional latent trajectory, guided by modal parameterization and Laplace domain poles.
result Improves long-horizon forecasting over baselines and supports missing-value imputation.
SCOTCH learns system structure from irregular time series using neural SDEs.
problem Learning system structure from irregular time series data.
method SCOTCH uses neural stochastic differential equations (SDE) with variational inference.
result SCOTCH improves structure learning performance on synthetic and real-world datasets.
Neural Jump ODEs improve online filtering and classification with robust performance.
problem Online filtering and classification in settings with irregular and partial observations.
method Modeling conditional expectation using Neural Jump ODEs, with theoretical convergence guarantees.
result Demonstrated superior performance over classical methods, especially in complex scenarios.
SDIFT generates full-field dynamics from sparse, irregular data.
problem Modeling and reconstructing physical dynamics from sparse, off-grid observations.
method SDIFT uses a functional Tucker model and sequential diffusion for generating full-field evolution from irregular sparse observations.
result Significant improvements in reconstruction accuracy and computational efficiency compared to state-of-the-art approaches.
New imputation strategies improve signature models for irregular time series.
problem Applying signature models to irregular time series requires continuous path construction.
method Characterized imputation as a problem, evaluated various strategies, proposed GP-PoM.
result Gaussian process adapters improve predictive performance and robustness.
Paper develops a method for causal representation learning from irregular tensors.
problem Complex patterns in high-dimensional, irregular tensor data.
method Novel causal formulation and CaRTeD framework integrating temporal causal representation learning with irregular tensor decomposition.
result Framework provides theoretical guarantees and outperforms state-of-the-art techniques.
ProFITi model forecasts irregular time series with missing values using conditional flows.
problem Probabilistic forecasting of irregularly sampled multivariate time series with missing values.
method ProFITi model uses conditional normalizing flows and invertible layers to learn joint distributions conditioned on past observations and queried channels and times.
result ProFITi model provides 4 times higher likelihood than the previous best model.
Study infinite-dimensional Toda manifold at irregular singularity, revealing non-uniqueness of formal solutions.
problem Non-uniqueness of formal solutions to the Dubrovin equation at irregular singularity.
method Revisited canonical coordinates, formal solutions analysis, Borel resummation, Stokes matrices computation.
result Infinite-dimensional Stokes matrices computed from resummed formal solutions.
Graph neural networks learn PDEs from sparse, irregular data.
problem Learning PDEs from irregularly spaced data.
method Continuous-time differential model with graph neural networks for arbitrary discretizations.
result Efficient inference with continuous-time adjoint method.
Extends shapelet transform to irregular time series, improving interpretability and efficiency.
problem Limitations of shapelet transform for irregular, partially observed time series.
method Continuous-time formulation, regularisation penalty, learned pseudometric.
result Efficient training without sacrificing interpretability for irregular, partially observed time series.
Obesity is a serious public health concern world-wide, which increases the risk of many diseases, including hypertension, stroke, and type 2 diabetes. To tackle this problem, researchers across the health ecosystem are collecting diverse types of data, which includes biomedical, behavioral and activity, and utilizing m…
Patient subtyping based on temporal observations can lead to significantly nuanced subtyping that acknowledges the dynamic characteristics of diseases. Existing methods for subtyping trajectories treat the evolution of clinical observations as a homogeneous process or employ data available at regular intervals. In real…
Study on flat connections with controlled irregularity.
problem Boundedness of algebraic flat connections with limited irregularity.
method Analysis of families of algebraic flat connections and holonomic D-modules.
result Established boundedness of families of algebraic flat connections with controlled irregularity.
Probabilistic NDVI forecasting from sparse satellite data.
problem Challenges in short-term NDVI forecasting due to sparse and irregular satellite data.
method Probabilistic forecasting framework using historical NDVI and meteorological observations, with temporal-distance weighted quantile loss and extreme-weather feature engineering.
result The proposed method outperforms baselines on pointwise and probabilistic evaluation metrics.
A Longitudinal Attribute-Conditioned Neural Network (LANTERN) framework for modeling health-state transition probabilities in irregular longitudinal data.
problem Estimating long-term care transition probabilities in irregular longitudinal health data.
method A neural network that learns from individual health history, incorporates time elapsed, and conditions on demographic and socioeconomic attributes.
result Improves severe disability discrimination and maintains strong calibration.
Nonlocal Bayesian modeling for continuous spatio-temporal dynamics
problem Handling irregular time points, sparse observations, and nonlocal interactions in spatio-temporal forecasting
method Hierarchical Bayesian framework with coordinate-based spatial basis expansion and continuous-time ODE
result Strong forecasting and uncertainty calibration
To detect the irregular trade behaviors in the stock market is the important problem in machine learning field. These irregular trade behaviors are obviously illegal. To detect these irregular trade behaviors in the stock market, data scientists normally employ the supervised learning techniques. In this paper, we empl…
This paper provides a link between causal inference and machine learning techniques - specifically, Classification and Regression Trees (CART) - in observational studies where the receipt of the treatment is not randomized, but the assignment to the treatment can be assumed to be randomized (irregular assignment mechan…
Transformers improve Alzheimer's disease progression prediction by accounting for irregular biomarker histories.
problem Difficult prediction of medium-horizon Alzheimer's disease progression due to tied clinical scores and irregular biomarker observations.
method Developed a residual gap-aware transformer that combines statistical reference with transformer-based residual learning.
result The proposed model reduces mean error and improves prediction-observation correlation compared to baseline models.
With the developments of the last decade on complete constant mean curvature 1 (CMC 1) surfaces in the hyperbolic 3-space H3, many examples of such surfaces are now known. However, most of the known examples have regular ends. (An end is irregular, resp. regular, if the hyperbolic Gauss map of the surface has an ess…
We show that there are no irregular Sasaki-Einstein structures on rational homology 5-spheres. On the other hand, using K-stability we prove the existence of continuous families of non-toric irregular Sasaki-Einstein structures on odd connected sums of S2×S3.
The paper studies complex affine structures near irregular singularities.
problem Understanding complex affine structures near irregular singularities.
method Introducing local invariants and a Delaunay decomposition.
result Upper bounds on the complexity of the Delaunay decomposition.
Study deformation spaces of irregular isomonodromy systems on Riemann surfaces.
problem Understanding the topology of irregular isomonodromy systems.
method Define and study moduli spaces of deformations of irregular classes on Riemann surfaces.
result Generalize G-braid groups to study fundamental groups of deformation spaces.
Neural Jump ODEs model Itô processes without adversarial training.
problem Generating samples from Itô processes with irregular data.
method Neural Jump ODEs framework for drift and diffusion approximation.
result NJODEs can recover true parameters of Itô processes in the limit.
We construct a new five parameter family of constant mean curvature trinoids with two asymptotically Delaunay ends and one irregular end.
Paper tackles estimating initial conditions of spatio-temporal processes from sparse data.
problem Estimating initial conditions of spatio-temporal advection-diffusion processes from sparse data.
method Regularized convex optimization problem with Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers.
result Efficient solutions for non-uniform and shifted uniform sampling schemes.
For a complex polynomial in two variables we study the morphism induced in homology by the embedding of an irregular fiber in a regular neighborhood of it. We give necessary and sufficient conditions for this morphism to be injective, surjective. Particularly this morphism is an isomorphism if and only if the correspon…
The book is devoted to study so-called irregular subsets of the Grassmannian manifold Gkn(V) (this class of sets was introduced by author). In the previous variant of the book we restrict ourself only to the case when V is an n-dimensional vector space under the field R. Now we consider irregular subsets …
Machine learning methods such as convolutional neural networks (CNNs) are becoming an integral part of scientific research in many disciplines, spatial vector data often fail to be analyzed using these powerful learning methods because of its irregularities. With the aid of graph Fourier transform and convolution theor…
daep learns from irregular, multimodal astronomical data.
problem Learning from irregular, multimodal astronomical sequences.
method Diffusion Autoencoder with Perceivers (daep) tokenizes, compresses, and reconstructs data.
result daep outperforms VAE and maep baselines in reconstruction and fine-scale structure preservation.
Modeling disease progression in healthcare administrative databases is complicated by the fact that patients are observed only at irregular intervals when they seek healthcare services. In a longitudinal cohort of 76,888 patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), we used a continuous-time hidden Markov…
Study local wild mapping class groups for irregular connections on complex curves.
problem Understanding the moduli spaces of irregular connections on complex curves.
method Using isomonodromic deformations, focusing on reflections cosets, and introducing fission trees.
result Complete classification of local wild mapping class groups for various structure groups.
Improved MCMC sampling for expensive, irregular likelihoods.
problem Bayesian inference challenges with irregular, expensive likelihoods.
method Adapt subset samplers, introduce data-driven proxies, adaptive controller.
result Improved HINTS algorithm achieves best sampling error in fixed budget.
We study topological recursion on the irregular spectral curve xy2−xy+1=0, which produces a weighted count of dessins d'enfant. This analysis is then applied to topological recursion on the spectral curve xy2=1, which takes the place of the Airy curve x=y2 to describe asymptotic behaviour of enumerative proble…
A new method models continuous-time counterfactual outcomes using neural controlled differential equations.
problem Estimating personalized healthcare outcomes over irregularly sampled data.
method Interpreting data as samples from a continuous-time process, modeling latent trajectory using controlled differential equations, and using adversarial training for time-dependent confounding.
result TE-CDE consistently outperforms existing approaches in irregularly sampled scenarios.
Extends PD-NJ-ODE to noisy observations and dependent observation times.
problem Predicting continuous-time stochastic processes with irregular and noisy observations.
method Extends PD-NJ-ODE to handle conditional independence and noisy observations.
result Theoretical guarantees and empirical examples for handling noisy observations and dependent observation times.
The paper extends metrics and solitons on toric Fano manifolds with irregular Sasaki-Einstein metrics.
problem Extension of metrics and solitons on toric Fano manifolds with irregular Sasaki-Einstein metrics.
method Verification of the extension of momentum construction of Kaehler-Einstein metrics and Kaehler-Ricci solitons on the total space of positive rational powers of the canonical line bundle.
result The extended metric along the zero section has an expression that can be extended to the total space, and restricts to a transversely Kaehler-Einstein (Sasakian eta-Einstein) metric.
Neural RDEs extend CDEs to irregular time series.
problem Modeling long irregular time series efficiently.
method Representing time series through log-signature and solving RDEs.
result Significant training speed-ups and improved model performance.
New BdryMatérn GP model for reliable boundary integration on irregular domains.
problem Incorporating boundary information in Gaussian process models for complex phenomena.
method Proposes a novel BdryMatérn GP framework with a new covariance kernel derived via path integral and stochastic PDE.
result Sample paths from the BdryMatérn GP satisfy desired boundaries with smoothness control on derivatives.
Cubic spline smoothing improves interpolation between irregularly sampled data.
problem Interpolation discontinuity in recurrent neural networks for irregularly sampled sequences.
method Cubic spline smoothing compensation module trained end-to-end with ODE-RNN.
result Improves interpolation between irregularly sampled data points.