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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for Interference Prediction

Study finds reinforcement learning performance plateaus due to environmental interference.

problem Catastrophic interference hinders sample efficiency in reinforcement learning.
method Empirical study in ALE, controlled experiments, analysis of prediction errors.
result Interference causes performance plateaus and degrades policies used to reach them.

New measure of interference helps understand and mitigate learning issues in reinforcement learning.

problem Understanding and mitigating interference in reinforcement learning.
method Defined a new measure of interference, evaluated it, and identified key factors contributing to interference.
result Target network frequency and updates on the last layer are significant factors in interference.

New method removes interference bias in causal models.

problem Interference bias impedes causal effect identification in real-world settings.
method Novel definition of causal models with local interference, semi-parametric assumptions.
result True Average Causal Effect can be identified in certain semi-parametric models with local interference.

Estimates causal effects in networks with varying interference.

problem Estimating causal effects in settings with network interference.
method Proposes neighborhood adaptive estimators for average direct treatment effect on the treated.
result Establishes rates of convergence and distributional results for proposed estimators.

TD learning reduces interference, leading to better generalization.

problem Understanding and reducing interference in TD learning for better generalization.
method Analyzing the inner product of gradients as interference, comparing TD and supervised learning, and examining the dynamics of interference and bootstrapping.
result TD learning leads to low-interference, under-generalizing parameters, while supervised learning does the opposite.

The paper addresses Qini curve estimation under clustered network interference.

problem Qini curves can be biased when interference is ignored in clustered network settings.
method Proposes three estimation strategies for clustered network interference.
result Identifies the most appropriate approach based on bias-variance trade-offs.

This work addresses causal inference challenges in networked interference and proposes GNN-based estimators for individual treatment effects.

problem Estimating individual treatment effects in randomized experiments with networked interference.
method Uses Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) to capture network dependencies and derive causal effect estimators.
result Provides policy regret bounds and heuristic error bounds for GNN-based causal estimators under network interference and treatment capacity constraints.

Study efficient inference for network quantile causal effects with partial interference.

problem Estimating network causal effects on outcome quantiles with partial interference.
method Developed a nonparametric efficiency theory and a nonparametrically efficient estimator using a three-way cross-fitting procedure.
result Proposed estimator is consistent, asymptotically normal, and allows flexible estimation of nuisance functions.

Spatial Deconfounder tackles interference and confounding in spatial data.

problem Interference and unmeasured spatial factors confound causal inference in spatial domains.
method Two-stage method using CVAE with spatial prior to reconstruct confounder, then estimate causal effects.
result Nonparametric identification of direct and spillover effects under weak assumptions.

Algorithm learns interference network and optimizes treatment allocation for unknown network effects.

problem Adaptive experimentation under unknown network interference.
method Thompson sampling algorithm with Gibbs sampler for joint learning of interference network and treatment allocation.
result Proves a Bayesian regret bound and achieves sublinear regret in real-world applications.

Bayesian method estimates causal effects with proxy networks.

problem Estimating causal effects with only proxy measurements of a latent interference network.
method Structural causal model with Block Gibbs sampler and Locally Informed Proposals.
result Accurately estimates causal effects even with noisy proxy networks.

FRONT optimizes decisions with interference, reducing regret over time.

problem Short-sighted policies in online decision-making due to ignoring interference.
method FRONT considers long-term impacts of decisions, using exploratory and exploitative strategies.
result FRONT achieves sublinear regret in both immediate and consequential impacts.

The paper tackles adaptive targeting in networks with interference effects.

problem Adaptive targeting under network interference in a bandit setting.
method Linear model in a sparse regime, analyzing different levels of knowledge of the interference structure.
result Unified view of how knowledge of the interference structure affects online learning efficiency.

Sequence-to-sequence models predict resource usage for co-scheduled jobs in data centers.

problem Challenges in co-scheduling jobs due to resource interference and inefficiencies.
method Sequence-to-sequence models based on recurrent neural networks for workload interference prediction.
result Models accurately forecast resource usage trends from job profiles, improving scheduling decisions.

New algorithm optimizes interventions under network interference, scaling to large networks.

problem Optimal policy learning under network interference where one individual's treatment affects others.
method Developed a scalable Thompson sampling algorithm for dynamic networks.
result Proved a Bayesian regret bound that is sublinear in network size and rounds.

New method improves causal inference by estimating complex treatment effects with active learning.

problem Traditional causal inference frameworks ignore interference and assume independent treatment effects.
method Active Learning in Causal Inference with Interference (ACI) using Gaussian process and genetic algorithms.
result ACI achieves accurate effects estimation with reduced data requirements in complex interference scenarios.

New framework for estimating treatment effects in experiments with network interference.

problem Network interference biases traditional treatment effect estimations in randomized experiments.
method Causal message-passing framework based on high-dimensional approximate message passing.
result Practical algorithm to estimate total treatment effect in multi-period experiments.

New method HNCI for evaluating treatment effects in network interference.

problem Evaluating the effectiveness of treatments or policies under network interference.
method High-dimensional network causal inference (HNCI) using linear regression with latent homogeneity.
result Valid confidence intervals and sets for average direct treatment effect and neighborhood size.

An intervention may have an effect on units other than those to which it was administered. This phenomenon is called interference and it usually goes unmodeled. In this paper, we propose to combine Lauritzen-Wermuth-Frydenberg and Andersson-Madigan-Perlman chain graphs to create a new class of causal models that can re…

2018-11-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Estimates treatment effects in bipartite systems with partial eligibility and interference.

problem Randomized experiments in bipartite systems with partial treatment eligibility and interference.
method Formalizes eligibility-constrained bipartite experiments, defines PTTE and STTE, identifies conditions, develops ensemble estimators, introduces projection.
result Proposed estimators recover PTTE and STTE with low bias and variance, corrects interference bias in field experiments.

Optimizes treatment allocation in networks considering indirect effects.

problem Finding optimal treatment allocation in network settings with interference.
method OTAPI: Optimizing Treatment Allocation in the Presence of Interference, integrating causal estimators into IM algorithms.
result OTAPI outperforms classic IM and UM approaches on synthetic and semi-synthetic datasets.

The paper proposes an evolution-based approach to estimate causal effects in interference networks without fully observing the network structure.

problem Estimating causal effects in complex systems with unobserved interaction pathways.
method An evolution-based approach that characterizes how outcomes change across observation rounds in response to interventions, using an exposure-mapping perspective.
result The approach identifies minimal structural conditions under which evolution mappings exist, enabling consistent learning about heterogeneous spillover effects.

U-Net trained to recover acoustic interference striations from distorted data.

problem Recovering acoustic interference striations from distorted signals.
method Training a U-Net using a random mode-coupling matrix model to generate training data.
result U-Net successfully recovers AISs under various conditions.

New framework minimizes interference and selection bias in network A/B testing.

problem Interference and selection bias in network A/B testing.
method Proposes a principled framework that jointly minimizes interference and selection bias using edge spillover probability and cluster matching.
result Significantly lower error in causal effect estimation compared to existing solutions.

A new causal deepset framework improves off-policy evaluation under complex interference.

problem Handling spatio-temporal interference in off-policy evaluation.
method Permutation invariance assumption and novel algorithms incorporating it.
result Significantly more precise estimations than existing methods.

Researchers develop a method to measure treatment effects in settings with shared states.

problem Measuring treatment effects in settings with shared states like prices, recommendations, or social signals.
method Double machine learning (DML) theorem with conditions for efficient inference under shared-state interference.
result Efficient estimation of average direct effect (ADE) and global average treatment effect (GATE) in various models.

New framework validates counterfactual estimations in network interference settings.

problem Challenges in causal effect estimation and validation in network interference settings.
method Introduces a distribution-preserving network bootstrap and counterfactual cross-validation procedure.
result Validates counterfactual estimations in diverse network interference settings.

SON-GOKU uses graph coloring to improve multi-task learning by partitioning tasks into compatible groups.

problem Gradient interference between conflicting multi-task learning objectives slows convergence and model performance.
method SON-GOKU computes gradient interference, constructs an interference graph, and applies greedy graph-coloring to partition tasks.
result SON-GOKU consistently outperforms baselines and state-of-the-art multi-task optimizers on six datasets.

Learning-based link scheduling improves network performance in millimeter-wave multi-connectivity.

problem Efficient link scheduling is crucial for maximizing network performance in millimeter-wave multi-connectivity.
method A learning-based approach to predict optimal link scheduling.
result The learning-based solution outperforms base line methods and approaches the optimal solution.

Rather than proposing a new method, this paper investigates an issue present in existing learning algorithms. We study the learning dynamics of reinforcement learning (RL), specifically a characteristic coupling between learning and data generation that arises because RL agents control their future data distribution. I…

2019-04-25abs ↗pdf ↗

FAL improves formation resistivity prediction from cased boreholes with noise resistance.

problem Noise and high-frequency disaster in predicting formation resistivity from cased boreholes.
method Frequency-aware framework and temporal anti-noise block for LSTM.
result FAL achieves a 24.3% improvement in R2 over LSTM, reaching R2=0.91.

Study identifies and mitigates causes of image misclassifications in CNN models.

problem Improving model interpretability and accuracy in image classification.
method Trained six CNN architectures on CIFAR-10, used conditional confusion matrices and misclassification networks to identify morphological similarity and non-essential information interference as causes of misclassification. Developed a method to reduce misclassifications by erasing pixels within top 5% saliency map bounding boxes.
result Identified two causes of misclassification: morphological similarity and non-essential information interference, and developed a method to reduce misclassifications caused by the latter.

Paper develops deep neural networks for wireless tasks with reduced complexity.

problem Reducing training complexity for deep neural networks in wireless systems.
method Develops permutation invariant DNNs (PINNs) leveraging wireless task properties.
result Demonstrates dramatic reduction in training complexity for PINNs.