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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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1122 · May 202619922001200920172026
2 results for “ILS-dl”
Information Leakage at Population Scale: An Evaluation of the Polymarket Insider-Relevant Subpopulation, 2020-2026q-fin.TR

Study evaluates information leakage in Polymarket markets, finding limited applicability and resolution ambiguity.

problem Limited applicability of ILS-dl framework across Polymarket markets.
method Scaling from single-case to population-scale evaluation using ILS-dl framework.
result Only 0.7% of candidate markets yield computable ILS-dl values, and resolution semantics are the main obstacle.
information leakagePolymarketILS-dlresolution ambiguityinsider-relevant subpopulation
2026-05-01abs ↗pdf ↗
Empirical Evaluation of Deadline-Resolved Information Leakage on Documented Polymarket Insider Casesq-fin.TR

Paper evaluates deadline-ILS on insider trading contracts, finding it distinguishes signals from noise.

problem Deadlines in insider trading contracts and information leakage detection.
method Empirical evaluation using FFIC dataset, hazard-rate estimation, cross-market wallet analysis.
result Deadline-ILS distinguishes signal from proxy artefact, with a significant shift in magnitude.
deadline-ILSinsider tradinginformation leakagepolymarkethazard-rate estimation
2026-05-04abs ↗pdf ↗