Artificial intelligence has impacted many aspects of human life. This paper studies the impact of artificial intelligence on economic theory. In particular we study the impact of artificial intelligence on the theory of bounded rationality, efficient market hypothesis and prospect theory.
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48 results for “Human Impact”
Conformal prediction sets can lead to unfair outcomes.
problem Disparate impact in decision-making with conformal prediction sets.
method Experiments with human participants to demonstrate disparate impact and propose equalizing set sizes across groups.
result Providing prediction sets that satisfy Equalized Coverage increases disparate impact compared to marginal coverage.
The development of real-time affect detection models often depends upon obtaining annotated data for supervised learning by employing human experts to label the student data. One open question in annotating affective data for affect detection is whether the labelers (i.e., human experts) need to be socio-culturally sim…
We introduce tools to capture the dynamics of three different pathways, in which the synchronization of human decision-making could lead to turbulent periods and contagion phenomena in financial markets. The first pathway is caused when stock market indices, seen as a set of coupled integrate-and-fire oscillators, sync…
Maximal adversarial perturbations for obfuscation: Hiding certain attributes while preserving restcs.LG
In this paper we investigate the usage of adversarial perturbations for the purpose of privacy from human perception and model (machine) based detection. We employ adversarial perturbations for obfuscating certain variables in raw data while preserving the rest. Current adversarial perturbation methods are used for dat…
This paper evaluates deferring systems using causal inference.
problem Evaluating the impact of deferring systems on model accuracy is challenging.
method The paper uses a causal inference framework to evaluate deferring systems, distinguishing between scenarios with and without access to human predictions.
result The approach allows identifying causal effects of deferring strategies on predictive accuracy.
Bayesian model uses mobile data to assess business resilience after hurricanes.
problem Evaluating economic impact of extreme shocks on businesses.
method Bayesian structural time series model with mobile phone data.
result Estimates business resilience after hurricanes, revealing key characteristics.
This paper improves robot traders' market impact sensitivity.
problem Market impact in automated trading systems.
method Critiqued existing methods, introduced MLOFI, and demonstrated new algorithms.
result New imbalance-sensitive trader-agents exhibit market impact effects.
Informing Artificial Intelligence Generative Techniques using Cognitive Theories of Human Creativitycs.AI
The common view that our creativity is what makes us uniquely human suggests that incorporating research on human creativity into generative deep learning techniques might be a fruitful avenue for making their outputs more compelling and human-like. Using an original synthesis of Deep Dream-based convolutional neural n…
AI advances impact asset management, offering new decision-making capabilities.
problem AI's impact on asset management and potential disruption.
method Analyzing how AI capabilities (reading, reasoning, decision-making) can be applied to asset management.
result AI can revolutionize asset management, but risks vary by fund type.
Study examines the impact of employment benefit costs on firm profitability.
problem Impact of employment benefit costs on firm profitability.
method Panel data regression analysis using E-Views.
result There is a significant positive relationship between employment benefit costs and firm profitability.
In the face of growing needs for water and energy, a fundamental understanding of the environmental impacts of human activities becomes critical for managing water and energy resources, remedying water pollution, and making regulatory policy wisely. Among activities that impact the environment, oil and gas production, …
Temporal Relational Reasoning of Large Language Models for Detecting Stock Portfolio Crashesq-fin.RM
TRR detects stock portfolio crashes by simulating human reasoning.
problem Detecting stock portfolio crashes with limited historical data.
method Temporal Relational Reasoning (TRR) framework.
result TRR outperforms state-of-the-art techniques in detecting stock portfolio crashes.
For machine learning perception problems, human-level classification performance is used as an estimate of top algorithm performance. Thus, it is important to understand as precisely as possible the factors that impact human-level performance. Knowing this 1) provides a benchmark for model performance, 2) tells a proje…
Machine learning predicts plant phenotypes from soil microbiome data.
problem Predicting plant phenotypes from soil microbiome data.
method Two models (random forest and Bayesian neural network) were used to predict plant phenotypes from soil properties and microbial population density.
result Human decisions and normalization strategies significantly impact model performance.
Study models human investors' sub-rational behavior in financial markets.
problem Lack of a comprehensive model for human sub-rationality in financial markets.
method Flexible reinforcement learning model incorporating five human sub-rational aspects.
result Model accurately reproduces human behavior and reveals insights into market dynamics.
Market-Derived Financial Sentiment Analysis: Context-Aware Language Models for Crypto Forecastingcs.CE
Improved crypto market forecasting using historical price reactions to tweets.
problem Challenges in inferring market impact from human sentiment labels.
method Market-derived labeling approach to assign tweet sentiment labels based on historical price trends. Fine-tuned language model with context-aware prompt-tuning.
result 89.6% accuracy on Bitcoin news events, outperforming traditional fusion models.
People who design, use, and are affected by autonomous artificially intelligent agents want to be able to \emph{trust} such agents -- that is, to know that these agents will perform correctly, to understand the reasoning behind their actions, and to know how to use them appropriately. Many techniques have been devised …
Paper examines how adversarial ML attacks and defenses impact civil liberties and human rights.
problem Impact of adversarial machine learning on civil liberties and human rights.
method Uses insights from STS, anthropology, and human rights literature.
result Adversarial defenses can be used to suppress dissent and limit investigation of ML systems.
IAL uses interactive learning to improve model performance with minimal human feedback.
problem Overfitting and high human interaction cost in training neural networks.
method IAL framework with NAP attention generator and reranking algorithm.
result IAL significantly outperforms baselines with less retraining and human interaction.
Explainable AI improves human decision accuracy but does not enhance it significantly.
problem Improving human decision-making through explainable AI.
method Comparing human decision accuracy with and without AI predictions, including or excluding explanations.
result Providing AI predictions improves human decision accuracy, but explanations do not significantly enhance it.
LLMs can simulate human investment attitudes based on personality traits.
problem Investigating how LLMs mimic human investment behaviors.
method Simulated investment task using LLM personas with specific Big Five personality profiles.
result LLMs can produce meaningful behavioural differences in investment tasks that align with human traits.
Do Pension Benefits Accelerate Cognitive Decline in Late Adulthood? Evidence from Rural Chinaecon.GN
Pension benefits in rural China lead to cognitive decline among the elderly.
problem Cognitive decline in late adulthood among rural Chinese elderly.
method Examined the effects of a new pension scheme on cognitive performance.
result Pension benefits negatively impact cognitive functioning, particularly delayed recall.
Experiment shows cognitive biases impact human-AI collaboration, highlighting the need for diverse evaluator samples.
problem Cognitive biases affect human-AI collaboration, leading to suboptimal outcomes.
method Randomized experiment with 2,784 participants, manipulating AI suggestion quality, task burden, and financial incentives.
result Individual attitudes toward AI are the strongest predictor of performance, influencing accuracy and overcorrection.
HighRes-net enhances satellite imagery by fusing multiple low-res views.
problem Super-resolving satellite imagery for reliable monitoring of human impact.
method End-to-end deep learning approach for multi-frame super-resolution.
result HighRes-net outperformed in European Space Agency's MFSR competition.
Deep neural network pruning and quantization techniques have demonstrated it is possible to achieve high levels of compression with surprisingly little degradation to test set accuracy. However, this measure of performance conceals significant differences in how different classes and images are impacted by model compre…
The development of human-robot systems able to leverage the strengths of both humans and their robotic counterparts has been greatly sought after because of the foreseen, broad-ranging impact across industry and research. We believe the true potential of these systems cannot be reached unless the robot is able to act w…
Retrospective Analysis of the 2019 MineRL Competition on Sample Efficient Reinforcement Learningcs.LG
MineRL Competition reduced reinforcement learning sample needs.
problem Sample inefficiency in reinforcement learning.
method Human demonstrations and imitation learning integrated into reinforcement learning algorithms.
result Top solutions used deep reinforcement learning and imitation learning.
Effective complements to human judgment, artificial intelligence techniques have started to aid human decisions in complicated social problems across the world. In the context of United States for instance, automated ML/DL classification models offer complements to human decisions in determining Medicaid eligibility. H…
The paper argues for a social-economic approach to AI development.
problem The current AI development overlooks social and cultural aspects of intelligence.
method A blend of economic and social concepts with computational and inferential concepts in algorithm design.
result A social-economic approach is necessary for proper AI development.
AI systems that explain their decisions can be monitored for harmful intentions.
problem Monitoring AI systems' decision-making processes for harmful intentions is imperfect and can miss some misbehavior.
method Monitoring the chain of thought (CoT) of AI systems that communicate in human language.
result CoT monitoring is a promising but fragile approach to AI safety.
Advanced simulation paradigm of human behaviour unveils complex financial systemic projectionq-fin.TR
New simulation model predicts financial market dynamics with high accuracy.
problem Extreme difficulty in financial market projections due to human behavioural complexity.
method Agent-based modeling with a hierarchical knowledge architecture to simulate diverse human groups.
result Simulator achieves 13.29% deviation in crisis scenarios and lower mean square error under normal conditions.
Rainfall prediction is one of the challenging and uncertain tasks which has a significant impact on human society. Timely and accurate predictions can help to proactively reduce human and financial loss. This study presents a set of experiments which involve the use of prevalent machine learning techniques to build mod…
Rethinking value creation from the resource based view: the case of human capital in moroccan hotelscs.CY
The growth of the modern knowledge-based economy is becoming less and less dependent on tangible assets and more on intangible ones. In this context, the role of human capital in the value creation process has become central. Despite the large amount of scientific work on human capital phenomena, little research has re…
New method labels GAN-generated faces without stereotyping.
problem Eliminating human bias in AI classification of fictional faces.
method Penalized regression to minimize cost function between realistic and target images.
result Successfully labels GAN-generated images without stereotyping.
In recent years, reinforcement learning (RL) methods have been applied to model gameplay with great success, achieving super-human performance in various environments, such as Atari, Go, and Poker. However, those studies mostly focus on winning the game and have largely ignored the rich and complex human motivations, w…
EBRM improves robustness and generalization of language model rewards.
problem Challenges in capturing complex human preferences and generalizing to unseen data in reward models.
method Energy-Based Reward Model (EBRM) that models reward distribution explicitly, using conflict-aware data filtering, label-noise-aware contrastive training, and hybrid initialization.
result Significant improvements in robustness and generalization, up to 5.97% improvement in safety-critical alignment tasks.
This work aims to reduce inexplicable errors in deep neural networks by obtaining class-level semantics and penalizing misclassifications.
problem Deep neural networks misclassify images, leading to inexplicable errors that can harm trust and societal impact.
method Obtain class-level semantics, propose Weighted Loss Functions (WLFs), and train classifiers with these methods.
result Trained networks have more explicable failure modes and comparable accuracy to existing methods.
The paper shows how curated synthetic data can optimize human preferences in generative models.
problem Contamination of web-scale datasets by synthetic data affects future model training.
method Theoretical study of iterated retraining of generative models with curated synthetic data.
result Data curation can be seen as an implicit preference optimization mechanism, maximizing expected reward.
Study shows how algorithmic prediction affects US housing market, reducing racial wealth disparities.
problem Impact of algorithmic prediction on housing market and racial wealth disparities.
method Natural experiment using digitization of housing records to study entry, allocation, and prices.
result Digitization leads to increased sale prices for minority-owned homes, reducing racial wealth disparities.
The problem of automatic identification of physical activities performed by human subjects is referred to as Human Activity Recognition (HAR). There exist several techniques to measure motion characteristics during these physical activities, such as Inertial Measurement Units (IMUs). IMUs have a cornerstone position in…
Deep learning uses WiFi CSI for reliable human presence detection.
problem Reliable human presence detection using ambient RF signals.
method Pre-processing of estimated CSI followed by deep learning.
result Near perfect presence detection during multiple extended periods.
Tuning into Climate Risks: Extracting Innovation from Television News for Clean Energy Firmsq-fin.ST
Study uses TV news to measure climate risks affecting clean energy firms.
problem Understanding how climate risks impact clean energy firms' financial stability.
method Developed climate risk measures from TV news coverage and analyzed their effects on clean energy firms' risks.
result Increased TV news coverage of climate risks correlates with higher systematic risk and lower idiosyncratic risk for clean energy firms.
Paper uses DDPG to learn optimal execution strategies in dynamic markets.
problem Learning non-Markovian optimal execution strategies in dynamic financial markets.
method Introduces a novel actor-critic algorithm based on DDPG for transient price impact modeling.
result Successfully approximates optimal execution strategy through numerical experiments.
Study uses AI to refine loan assessments, improving credit default predictions.
problem Improving credit default prediction accuracy using AI-refined text.
method Comparative analysis of human-written and AI-refined loan assessments using deep learning techniques.
result AI-refined texts significantly enhance credit default predictions, especially when combined with structured data.
Introduces principal fairness for fair decision-making.
problem Discrimination among similarly affected individuals.
method Uses principal stratification from causal inference.
result Explicitly accounts for decision impacts, not just protected attributes.
Active learning agents typically employ a query selection algorithm which solely considers the agent's learning objectives. However, this may be insufficient in more realistic human domains. This work uses imitation learning to enable an agent in a constrained environment to concurrently reason about both its internal …
Study shows label errors impact model disparity metrics, proposing mitigation methods.
problem Impact of label errors on model disparity metrics.
method Empirical study, characterizing label error effects; proposing estimation and relabeling methods.
result Label errors significantly affect model disparity metrics, particularly for minority groups.