Study shows how diverse investors' learning and preferences shape financial markets.
problem Understanding how diverse investor behaviors and preferences affect market dynamics.
method Developed a multi-agent reinforcement learning framework with heterogeneous preferences and learning mechanisms.
result Diverse investors develop differentiated strategies through interaction, leading to realistic market dynamics.
PCL tackles collaborative learning for diverse agents, reducing sample complexity.
problem Balancing collaborative speedup with personalization for heterogeneous agents.
method AffPCL, with bias and importance correction mechanisms.
result AffPCL reduces sample complexity by a factor of max{n−1,δ}, where n is the number of agents and δ∈[0,1] measures heterogeneity. The aim of this paper is to propose a heterogeneous agent model of stock markets that develop complicated endogenous price fluctuations. We find occurrences of non-stationary chaos, or speculative bubble, are caused by the heterogeneity of traders' strategies. Furthermore, we show that the distributions of returns gene…
Modeling asset trading strategies with noisy information.
problem Understanding heterogeneous trading strategies in markets with information friction.
method Developed a behavioral asset pricing model using a thin set and extended method of moments.
result The model accurately predicts return time series moments of real data.
New model explains price dynamics of Bitcoin with psychological factors.
problem Understanding price variations in cryptocurrency markets with psychological factors.
method Extended agent-based model with heterogeneous psychological parameters.
result Model shows diverse dynamics based on psychological correlation.
Evology models US equity mutual funds interactions for investment strategies.
problem Understanding complex interactions in financial markets.
method Agent-based model (ABM) of US stock market participants and their strategies.
result Trading strategies interact with other market participants and conditions.
New strategies improve multi-agent decision-making on irregular networks.
problem Maximizing group reward in multi-agent settings with heterogeneous strategies.
method Design and analysis of heterogeneous explore-exploit strategies for multi-star networks.
result Group performance improves under heterogeneous strategies compared to homogeneous strategies.
Model trains agents to optimize saving and investment strategies for diverse retirement needs.
problem Optimal saving and investment strategies for individuals in varied employment and income profiles.
method Deep reinforcement learning to train intelligent agents with heterogeneous profiles.
result Flexible methodology estimates lifetime consumption and investment choices for different profiles.
Paper develops framework for AI agents in financial markets.
problem Systemic implications of AI in finance depend on agent architectures.
method Four-layer architecture and AFMM model for analysis.
result AI agents can improve market efficiency and resilience.
Trading strategies evolve in a simulated market to outperform real data.
problem Creating profitable trading strategies in diverse market conditions.
method Agent-based model of heterogeneous agents evolving deep neural networks.
result Elite trading algorithms outperform in real high-frequency foreign exchange data.
The paper explains stock market predictability through a model of heterogeneous beliefs.
problem Understanding and predicting stock market behavior based on news and investor beliefs.
method A discrete-time model of heterogeneous beliefs where some agents receive noisy signals about asset fundamentals.
result Momentum and reversal in stock prices arise from investors' incorrect beliefs about signal accuracy and fundamental values.
Generalizes risk sharing models to a continuum of agents.
problem Risk sharing among a large number of heterogeneous agents.
method Modeling agents as points in a measure space, using risk measures on a probability space, and deriving dual representations.
result Explicit formulas for specific risk measures (entropic and expected shortfall) and applications to Pareto efficiency.
Study dynamic matching in heterogeneous networks using ODE model.
problem Dynamic matching in heterogeneous networks with compatibility restrictions.
method Introduced an ODE model to evaluate matching algorithms.
result Demonstrated trade-off between quick matching and optimal matching.
In this paper we develop a new form of agent-based model for limit order books based on heterogeneous trading agents, whose motivations are liquidity driven. These agents are abstractions of real market participants, expressed in a stochastic model framework. We develop an efficient way to perform statistical calibrati…
Demand outstrips available resources in most situations, which gives rise to competition, interaction and learning. In this article, we review a broad spectrum of multi-agent models of competition (El Farol Bar problem, Minority Game, Kolkata Paise Restaurant problem, Stable marriage problem, Parking space problem and …
This paper examines how heterogeneity affects flocking behavior and systemic risk in interacting agents.
problem The impact of heterogeneity on flocking behavior and systemic risk in interacting agents.
method Mean-field interacting diffusions and Laplace asymptotics.
result An asymptotic formula characterizes the tail loss probability and the effect of heterogeneity on systemic risk.
We consider a heterogeneous agent-based economic model where economic agents have strictly bounded rationality and where income allocation strategies evolve through selective imitation. Income is calculated by a Cobb-Douglas type production function, and selection of strategies for imitation depends on the income growt…
Study uses LLMs for financial sentiment analysis without fine-tuning.
problem Lack of prescriptive knowledge to leverage generative models in FSA.
method Proposes a design framework with heterogeneous LLM agents based on Minsky's theory.
result Framework yields better accuracies, especially with substantial discussions.
PFedRL-Rep learns shared and personalized policies for heterogeneous environments.
problem Poor performance of single policy in heterogeneous environments.
method Develops PFedRL-Rep framework with shared feature representation and personalized weights.
result Proves linear convergence speedup with respect to the number of agents.
This work formalizes and extends parameter sharing in multi-agent reinforcement learning.
problem Parameter sharing limits multi-agent learning to a single policy, preventing different tasks or action spaces.
method Introduces agent indication and extends parameter sharing to heterogeneous observation and action spaces.
result Proves convergence to optimal policies for parameter sharing in heterogeneous environments.
Agent-based models now use data-driven parameters to explain financial market dynamics.
problem Understanding the complex behavior of financial markets through agent interactions.
method Data-driven approach to model parameters, combining big data with agent-based modeling.
result Agent-based models can now simulate financial market dynamics using real data.
Generative tools mimic stock market traders using synthetic data.
problem Imitating trading behavior of stock market participants.
method Modified state-space model applied to limit order book data, trained on synthetic data generated from a heterogeneous agent-based model.
result Model's predicted distribution matches ground truths from the agent-based model.
Study optimal investment in large populations of competitive, heterogeneous agents.
problem Maximizing utility in a large, interacting agent system with relative performance concerns.
method Analyzes stochastic utility maximization game in finite and infinite agent settings, using graphon models and backward stochastic differential equations.
result Convergence of Nash equilibria and optimal utilities from finite to infinite agent models under specific conditions.
Extracts intrinsic spatial coordinates for complex agent systems to learn PDEs.
problem Modeling collective dynamics of heterogeneous agents.
method Data-driven extraction of intrinsic spatial coordinates, learning PDEs in emergent space.
result Collective dynamics can be approximated through learned PDEs in emergent coordinates.
The main aim of this work is to incorporate selected findings from behavioural finance into a Heterogeneous Agent Model using the Brock and Hommes (1998) framework. Behavioural patterns are injected into an asset pricing framework through the so-called `Break Point Date', which allows us to examine their direct impact.…
Efficiently combines data from heterogeneous networks for estimation and learning.
problem Estimation and learning from uncertain data in heterogeneous networks.
method Aggregation schemes to combine data from multiple nodes, accounting for heterogeneity in data quality and time.
result Proves convergence to globally efficient estimators with finite-time performance guarantees.
Study shows naive recommendation models are flawed due to user feedback.
problem Flaws in naive recommendation models due to user feedback.
method Proposed a model with heterogeneous user preferences and proved the inconsistency of naive estimators.
result Consistent estimators are efficient in the presence of myopic agents.
FedSARSA converges with heterogeneous agents, achieving linear speed-up.
problem Convergence analysis of Federated SARSA with heterogeneous agents.
method Linear function approximation, local training, multi-step error expansion.
result FedSARSA achieves linear speed-up with respect to the number of agents.
Study shows how high-budget agents can manipulate prediction markets.
problem Manipulation of prediction markets by high-budget agents.
method Agent-based simulations and analytic characterization of price dynamics.
result High-budget agents can temporarily shift prediction market prices.
An agent-based model for firms' dynamics is developed. The model consists of firm agents with identical characteristic parameters and a bank agent. Dynamics of those agents is described by their balance sheets. Each firm tries to maximize its expected profit with possible risks in market. Infinite growth of a firm dire…
BayGo framework optimizes decentralized learning in multi-agent networks.
problem Information heterogeneity in multi-agent networks.
method Bayesian learning and graph optimization framework with fast convergence.
result Estimation error decreases exponentially with each iteration.
New federated learning protocols improve on knowledge distillation's poor performance.
problem Designing a universal API for federated learning without public data.
method Proposed Federated Kernel ridge regression using knowledge distillation.
result Performance of new protocols closely matches theoretical predictions.
ARCO-BO optimizes multi-agent design under heterogeneity, improving efficiency and performance.
problem Heterogeneous multi-agent optimization challenges in resource use and information sharing.
method ARCO-BO integrates a consensus mechanism, budget-aware sampling, and partial input sharing for heterogeneous design spaces.
result ARCO-BO outperforms independent and collaborative BO methods in complex multi-agent settings.
We study consumption behaviour in systems with heterogeneous interacting agents. Two different models are introduced, respectively with long and short range interactions among agents. At any time step an agent decides whether or not to consume a good, doing so if this provides positive utility. Utility is affected by i…
Study risk sharing among agents with varying risk preferences.
problem Risk sharing among agents with heterogeneous risk measures.
method Derive explicit solutions for inf-convolution and counter-monotonic inf-convolution under varying risk seeking.
result Explicit solutions for inf-convolution and counter-monotonic inf-convolution can be represented by a generalization of distortion risk measures.
We introduce a stochastic heterogeneous interacting-agent model for the short-time non-equilibrium evolution of excess demand and price in a stylized asset market. We consider a combination of social interaction within peer groups and individually heterogeneous fundamentalist trading decisions which take into account t…
ODC protocol improves learning in asynchronous multi-agent bandits.
problem Cooperative multi-agent bandits with unknown, irregular pull times.
method ODC protocol for on-demand communication between agents.
result ODC protocol reduces communication complexity based on empirical pull times.
Paper tackles imitation learning with sparse rewards and heterogeneous actions.
problem Challenges of imitation learning with sparse rewards and different actions.
method Proposes a method that balances imitation and reinforcement learning objectives.
result Agent efficiently leverages sparse rewards and learns from different actions.
We consider a financial market model which consists of a financial asset and a large number of interacting agents classified into many types. Different types of agents are heterogeneous in their price expectations. Each agent can change its type based on the current empirical distribution of the types and the equilibri…
Study optimal investment decisions for diverse risk-tolerant agents.
problem Optimizing investment choices for agents with varying risk preferences.
method Characterizes optimal behavior using certainty equivalents and lognormal risks.
result Derives optimal decision menus under known and uncertain preference distributions.
A class of heterogeneous agent models is investigated where investors switch trading position whenever their motivation to do so exceeds some critical threshold. These motivations can be psychological in nature or reflect behaviour suggested by the efficient market hypothesis (EMH). By introducing different propensitie…
Deep RL solves complex economic models with heterogeneous agents.
problem Solving models with heterogeneous economic actors is difficult.
method Reinforcement Learning techniques for solving general equilibrium models.
result Successfully captures economic behaviors induced by age-based health risks.
We study an agent-based stock market model with heterogeneous agents and friction. Our model is based on that of Foellmer-Schweizer(1993): The process of a stock price in a discrete-time framework is determined by temporary equilibria via agents' excess demand functions, and the diffusion approximation approach is appl…
Study shows informed traders harm market makers but price discovery benefits outweigh costs.
problem Informed traders' impact on market makers' profitability.
method Agent-based model with heterogeneous learning agents, multi-agent reinforcement learning.
result Informed market order flow is harmful when aggregate informedness is low but beneficial as it increases.
The dynamics of many socioeconomic systems is determined by the decision making process of agents. The decision process depends on agent's characteristics, such as preferences, risk aversion, behavioral biases, etc.. In addition, in some systems the size of agents can be highly heterogeneous leading to very different i…
The paper models asset pricing with agents having different beliefs and examines the effects of liquidity constraints.
problem Asset pricing with heterogeneous beliefs and illiquidity.
method A tractable model with quadratic costs on inventories and trading rates, characterized by a system of linear parabolic equations.
result The equilibrium price is influenced by holding and liquidity costs, and the asymptotics for small costs provide insights.
I examine global recessions as a cascade phenomenon. In other words, how recessions arising in one or more countries might percolate across a network of connected economies. A heterogeneous agent based model is set up in which the agents are Western economies. A country has a probability of entering a recession in any …
Proposes PFWCP for multi-agent tasks with privacy and validity guarantees.
problem Challenges in uncertainty quantification for multi-agent settings.
method Personalized federated weighted conformal prediction (PFWCP) combining local density ratio weighting and weighted quantile aggregation.
result Asymptotically valid coverage guarantees for each agent in heterogeneous settings.