Improved MALA method for neural networks uncertainty quantification.
problem Uncertainty quantification in Bayesian neural networks.
method Corrected Stochastic MALA (csMALA) with a simplified correction term.
result Improved surrogate posterior for quantifying uncertainties in neural networks.
Bayesian inference for Levy density with Gibbs posterior in discrete sampling.
problem Inference on Levy density for financial models with jumps.
method Gibbs posterior framework using a loss function for intractable likelihood.
result Gibbs posterior achieves nearly optimal rate of convergence under certain conditions.
A new method improves uncertainty quantification in Bayesian inference.
problem Poor uncertainty quantification in traditional Gibbs posteriors.
method Sequential Gibbs posteriors with a Bernstein-von Mises theorem.
result Sequential Gibbs posteriors provide better frequentist coverage.
The paper proposes a Gibbs sampler for neural network posterior sampling.
problem Sampling from the posterior of neural networks.
method Adding noise to activations and using a Gibbs sampler.
result The Gibbs sampler achieves similar performance to MCMC methods on real and synthetic data.
In the popular approach of "Bayesian variable selection" (BVS), one uses prior and posterior distributions to select a subset of candidate variables to enter the model. A completely new direction will be considered here to study BVS with a Gibbs posterior originating in statistical mechanics. The Gibbs posterior is con…
New methods for tuning alpha in Gibbs posteriors improve speed and accuracy.
problem Inconsistency in Bayesian inference and lack of fast tuning methods for alpha.
method Proposed two data-driven methods: sample-splitting and bootstrapping. Formulated alpha-posteriors for three models.
result Sample-splitting outperforms SafeBayes in speed and accuracy, especially in complex models.
PAC-Bayes bounds for Gibbs posteriors derived via singular learning theory.
problem Generalization bounds for overparameterized models with data-dependent priors.
method Explicit non-asymptotic PAC-Bayes bounds using singular learning theory.
result Explicit posterior-averaged risk bounds for overparameterized models.
Develops a Bayesian framework for portfolio choice with a new posterior distribution.
problem Estimation risk in parametric portfolio policies.
method Generalized Bayesian framework with Gibbs posterior, utility maximization, and KNEEDLE algorithm.
result Optimal scaling parameter λ controls the balance between prior and data. The PAC-Bayesian approach is a powerful set of techniques to derive non- asymptotic risk bounds for random estimators. The corresponding optimal distribution of estimators, usually called the Gibbs posterior, is unfortunately intractable. One may sample from it using Markov chain Monte Carlo, but this is often too slow…
New diagnostic tool for assessing approximate Bayesian inference.
problem Assessing the trustworthiness of approximate Bayesian inference.
method Reframe the problem in terms of incompatible conditional distributions and use Gibbs priors.
result The diagnostic tool can discover the inductive bias in various Bayesian models and approximations.
New algorithm improves mixing in Bayesian mixture models.
problem Slow mixing in Bayesian mixture models.
method A new Monte Carlo algorithm for sampling from the marginal posterior of a general integrable mixture.
result The new algorithm achieves excellent mixing times, outperforming standard Gibbs sampling in some cases.
New MCMC methods improve efficiency for large network inference.
problem Efficiency of Metropolis within Gibbs for large networks.
method Combination of split Hamiltonian Monte Carlo and Firefly Monte Carlo.
result New methods outperform Metropolis within Gibbs on synthetic and real networks.
The paper extends entropy maximization to multiscale settings and applies it to neural networks.
problem Achieving optimal risk bounds in neural networks using multiscale entropy.
method Generalizing maximum entropy to multiscale settings and applying it to neural networks.
result The multiscale Gibbs posterior can achieve a smaller excess risk than the single-scale Gibbs posterior in a teacher-student scenario.
Paper introduces a Gibbs sampler for Bayesian inversion of ill-posed problems.
problem Bayesian inversion of ill-posed problems with linear transformation and additive noise.
method Gibbs algorithm based on prior diffusion model.
result Gibbs algorithm offers a guarantee of convergence in a specific situation.
Researchers estimate optimal PAC-Bayes bounds using Hamiltonian Monte Carlo.
problem Estimating tight PAC-Bayes bounds with restricted posterior families.
method Sampling from optimal Gibbs posterior using Hamiltonian Monte Carlo, estimating KL divergence, and proposing high-probability bounds.
result Significant tightness gaps in PAC-Bayes bounds, up to 5-6% in some cases.
Combines MALA and Adam for efficient uncertainty quantification in deep learning.
problem Uncertainty estimation in deep neural networks.
method Integrates Metropolis Adjusted Langevin Algorithm (MALA) with momentum-based optimization (Adam) for efficient sampling from posterior distributions.
result The algorithm approximates the Gibbs posterior in total variation distance and efficiently quantifies epistemic uncertainty.
We develop a framework for approximating collapsed Gibbs sampling in generative latent variable cluster models. Collapsed Gibbs is a popular MCMC method, which integrates out variables in the posterior to improve mixing. Unfortunately for many complex models, integrating out these variables is either analytically or co…
GDiff tackles blind denoising with Gibbs sampling and Monte Carlo inference.
problem Blind denoising of signals with unknown noise parameters.
method Gibbs Diffusion (GDiff) method that alternates sampling steps from a conditional diffusion model and a Monte Carlo sampler.
result GDiff achieves blind denoising of natural images and cosmic microwave background data.
New methods improve sampling from complex dynamical models.
problem Sampling from high-dimensional, non-linear latent dynamical models is computationally challenging.
method Introduce auxiliary MCMC and Particle Gibbs samplers with improved performance and parallelisation.
result Enhanced samplers maintain performance in high-dimensional latent spaces and support parallelisation.
This work analyzes Gibbs samplers for Bayesian hierarchical models without dimensionality constraints.
problem Analyzing convergence properties of Gibbs samplers for Bayesian hierarchical models.
method Using Bayesian asymptotics and total variation mixing times, the study provides dimension-free convergence results.
result Dimension-free convergence results for Gibbs samplers targeting hierarchical models under random data-generating assumptions.
The Gibbs algorithm's generalization error is bounded, improving with prior volume in low temperatures.
problem Bounding the generalization error of the Gibbs algorithm in low temperature regimes.
method Analyzes the Gibbs algorithm's performance, extending known high-temperature bounds to low-temperature scenarios.
result With high probability, the generalization error decreases with the total prior volume of similar hypotheses.
We investigate a class of feature allocation models that generalize the Indian buffet process and are parameterized by Gibbs-type random measures. Two existing classes are contained as special cases: the original two-parameter Indian buffet process, corresponding to the Dirichlet process, and the stable (or three-param…
This paper addresses the mapping problem. Using a conjugate prior form, we derive the exact theoretical batch multi-object posterior density of the map given a set of measurements. The landmarks in the map are modeled as extended objects, and the measurements are described as a Poisson process, conditioned on the map. …
In this work, we propose a model for estimating volatility from financial time series, extending the non-Gaussian family of space-state models with exact marginal likelihood proposed by Gamerman, Santos and Franco (2013). On the literature there are models focused on estimating financial assets risk, however, most of t…
A new framework for clustering with uncertainty quantification.
problem Lack of uncertainty quantification in clustering methods.
method Generalized Bayes framework using Gibbs posteriors and loss functions.
result Efficient algorithms for clustering and uncertainty quantification.
A fundamental task in machine learning and related fields is to perform inference on Bayesian networks. Since exact inference takes exponential time in general, a variety of approximate methods are used. Gibbs sampling is one of the most accurate approaches and provides unbiased samples from the posterior but it has hi…
New algorithms improve Bayesian linear regression with spike-and-slab priors.
problem Efficiently sampling from Bayesian linear regression models with sparsity-inducing priors.
method Design of two sampling algorithms: Gibbs sampling and Stochastic Localization.
result Stochastic Localization sampler shows significant advantage for poorly designed data matrices.
Improved Bayesian regression for large datasets using multilevel Gibbs sampling.
problem Efficiently handling large-scale Bayesian regression with complex posterior distributions.
method Developed a multilevel Gibbs sampler for linear mixed models, incorporating data clustering and correlated samples for variance reduction.
result Significant speed-up achieved for Bayesian regression without sacrificing predictive performance.
Developed a Particle-Gibbs sampler for Bayesian feature allocation models.
problem Intractable exact inference in Bayesian feature allocation models.
method Particle-Gibbs sampler for feature allocation matrix updates.
result PG sampler improves performance of feature allocation models.
GADD accelerates uniform-rate discrete diffusion models by 2 orders of magnitude.
problem Slow sampling in uniform-rate discrete diffusion models.
method Gibbs-based corrector (GADD) that constructs Gibbs posterior likelihoods directly from the concrete score function.
result Achieves an overall sampling complexity of O(polylog(ε−1)). New Gibbs sampling method improves MCMC efficiency.
problem Improving efficiency of Gibbs sampling.
method Non-uniform random scan with selection probability optimization.
result Non-uniform scan improves mixing time of Markov chain.
The paper tackles sampling from Gibbs measures with constrained support, providing a sampling guarantee.
problem Sampling from Gibbs measures with constrained support, especially in the pre-asymptotic regime.
method Analyzing the spectral gap of Langevin dynamics to provide a non-asymptotic sampling guarantee.
result The low-temperature Gibbs distribution concentrates on a neighborhood of its mode in the pre-asymptotic regime.
New method reduces computational cost for estimating PAC-Bayes bounds.
problem High computational cost in estimating PAC-Bayes bounds.
method General alternative method that makes computational savings.
result Reduces computational cost on the order of the dataset size.
This paper develops a matrix-variate adaptive Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methodology for Bayesian Cointegrated Vector Auto Regressions (CVAR). We replace the popular approach to sampling Bayesian CVAR models, involving griddy Gibbs, with an automated efficient alternative, based on the Adaptive Metropolis algorith…
The focus in this paper is Bayesian system identification based on noisy incomplete modal data where we can impose spatially-sparse stiffness changes when updating a structural model. To this end, based on a similar hierarchical sparse Bayesian learning model from our previous work, we propose two Gibbs sampling algori…
New algorithm improves efficiency of Bayesian Causal Forest for subgroup analysis.
problem Estimating heterogeneous effects in subgroup analysis.
method Developed a novel algorithm for fitting Bayesian Causal Forest (BCF) model, more efficient than Gibbs sampler.
result New algorithm improves posterior exploration and coverage of interval estimates.
APG samplers use neural suff stats to improve deep model inference.
problem Efficient inference in deep generative models.
method Amortized population Gibbs, neural suff stats, KL divergence minimization.
result Significant improvement in inference accuracy.
Monte Carlo methods are essential tools for Bayesian inference. Gibbs sampling is a well-known Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm, extensively used in signal processing, machine learning, and statistics, employed to draw samples from complicated high-dimensional posterior distributions. The key point for the suc…
Improved Gibbs sampler speeds up Bayesian exponential smoothing model.
problem Computational inefficiency of original NUTS sampler.
method Modifications to the original model and a bespoke Gibbs sampler.
result Significant improvement in sampling time by an order of magnitude.
The SLOPE estimates regression coefficients by minimizing a regularized residual sum of squares using a sorted-ℓ1-norm penalty. The SLOPE combines testing and estimation in regression problems. It exhibits suitable variable selection and prediction properties, as well as minimax optimality. This paper introduces …
In this study, we present a multi-class graphical Bayesian predictive classifier that incorporates the uncertainty in the model selection into the standard Bayesian formalism. For each class, the dependence structure underlying the observed features is represented by a set of decomposable Gaussian graphical models. Emp…
The standard Gibbs sampler of Mixed Multinomial Logit (MMNL) models involves sampling from conditional densities of utility parameters using Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithm due to unavailability of conjugate prior for logit kernel. To address this non-conjugacy concern, we propose the application of Pólygamma data a…
We develop a Bayesian nonparametric extension of the popular Plackett-Luce choice model that can handle an infinite number of choice items. Our framework is based on the theory of random atomic measures, with the prior specified by a gamma process. We derive a posterior characterization and a simple and effective Gibbs…
We develop methods for efficient amortized approximate Bayesian inference over posterior distributions of probabilistic clustering models, such as Dirichlet process mixture models. The approach is based on mapping distributed, symmetry-invariant representations of cluster arrangements into conditional probabilities. Th…
Proposes a new SPVM model for RVM with more flexible priors.
problem Improper priors on multiple penalty parameters in RVM lead to improper posteriors.
method Introduces a single penalty approach (SPRVM) and a semi-Bayesian fitting method.
result SPRVM allows for more flexible priors and has proven conditions for posterior propriety.
Max-margin learning is a powerful approach to building classifiers and structured output predictors. Recent work on max-margin supervised topic models has successfully integrated it with Bayesian topic models to discover discriminative latent semantic structures and make accurate predictions for unseen testing data. Ho…
New decision-theoretic characterization separates belief and decision posteriors.
problem Understanding the conditions under which loss-based updating coincides with Bayesian updating.
method Decision-theoretic approach to distinguish belief and decision posteriors.
result Generalized Bayes coincides with ordinary Bayesian updating only if the loss is proportional to negative log-likelihood.
Paper introduces a new sampling method for Bayesian inference.
problem Efficiently sampling from complex posterior distributions.
method Plug-and-Play split Gibbs sampler using variable splitting and ADMM.
result The method allows for embedding deep generative priors in Bayesian inference.