A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
We study the problem of online learning with a notion of regret defined with respect to a set of strategies. We develop tools for analyzing the minimax rates and for deriving regret-minimization algorithms in this scenario. While the standard methods for minimizing the usual notion of regret fail, through our analysis …
The paper proposes a method to construct confidence sets using likelihood ratios for sequential decision-making.
problem Constructing valid uncertainty estimates for unknown quantities in sequential decision-making.
method The method uses likelihood ratios to create any-time valid confidence sequences without specialized treatment for each application.
result The proposed confidence sets maintain the prescribed coverage in a model-agnostic manner and their size depends on the choice of estimator sequence.
New algorithms reduce regret in online MDPs by adapting to data and variance.
problem Adapting to both adversarial and stochastic environments in online MDPs.
method Develops algorithms based on global optimization and policy optimization, using optimistic follow-the-regularized-leader with log-barrier regularization.
result Achieves refined data-dependent and variance-dependent regret bounds.
New learning dynamics achieve fast convergence in games without needing to know utility scales.
problem Fast convergence guarantees in learning games require prior knowledge of utility scales.
method Developed scale-free and scale-invariant learning dynamics using optimistic follow-the-regularized-leader with adaptive learning rates and clipping techniques.
result Achieved fast convergence rates to Nash and correlated equilibria without prior utility scale knowledge.
We revisit the fundamental problem of prediction with expert advice, in a setting where the environment is benign and generates losses stochastically, but the feedback observed by the learner is subject to a moderate adversarial corruption. We prove that a variant of the classical Multiplicative Weights algorithm with …
In this paper we investigate the Follow the Regularized Leader dynamics in sequential imperfect information games (IIG). We generalize existing results of Poincaré recurrence from normal-form games to zero-sum two-player imperfect information games and other sequential game settings. We then investigate how adapting th…
The online problem of computing the top eigenvector is fundamental to machine learning. In both adversarial and stochastic settings, previous results (such as matrix multiplicative weight update, follow the regularized leader, follow the compressed leader, block power method) either achieve optimal regret but run slow,…
In this paper, we provide a novel construction of the linear-sized spectral sparsifiers of Batson, Spielman and Srivastava [BSS14]. While previous constructions required Ω(n4) running time [BSS14, Zou12], our sparsification routine can be implemented in almost-quadratic running time O(n2+ε). The funda…
In this book, I introduce the concepts of online learning through a modern view based on convex optimization. Here, online learning refers to the framework of regret minimization under worst-case assumptions. I attempted to unify all the literature as instantiations of Online Mirror Descent and Follow-the-Regularized-L…
We propose a new algorithm for adversarial multi-armed bandits with unrestricted delays. The algorithm is based on a novel hybrid regularizer applied in the Follow the Regularized Leader (FTRL) framework. It achieves O(kn+Dlog(k)) regret guarantee, where k is the number of arms, n is the …
Recently, much work has been done on extending the scope of online learning and incremental stochastic optimization algorithms. In this paper we contribute to this effort in two ways: First, based on a new regret decomposition and a generalization of Bregman divergences, we provide a self-contained, modular analysis of…
This paper considers online convex optimization (OCO) problems - the paramount framework for online learning algorithm design. The loss function of learning task in OCO setting is based on streaming data so that OCO is a powerful tool to model large scale applications such as online recommender systems. Meanwhile, real…
This paper considers the stability of online learning algorithms and its implications for learnability (bounded regret). We introduce a novel quantity called {\em forward regret} that intuitively measures how good an online learning algorithm is if it is allowed a one-step look-ahead into the future. We show that given…