Self-Organizing Maps provide quick flood predictions for real-time decision making.
problem Computational demand of physically-based overland flow models limits their use in real-time applications.
method Developed a flood-simulation specific SOM using cellular automata flood model results and synthetic DEM.
result SOMs can generate accurate water depth and flood extent results in a short time.
Study finds more flood risk strategies can improve outcomes in NYC.
problem Managing future flood risks with complex models.
method Used an intermediate complexity model to analyze flood risk strategies.
result More combinations of risk mitigation strategies expand the solution set and improve outcomes.
New protocol reduces communication costs for heterogeneous bandits over complex networks.
problem Minimizing group regret in a multi-agent, heterogeneous bandit setting over complex networks.
method Flooding with Absorption (FwA) protocol for heterogeneous bandits over complex networks.
result FwA protocol significantly reduces communication costs compared to flooding while maintaining similar regret performance.
Forecast dam inflow using sea surface feature weights.
problem Accurate dam inflow forecasting for flood mitigation.
method Extracted sea surface features, applied L2-norm ensemble weighting, used PCA and t-SNE for dimensionality reduction, and calibrated regression models.
result The proposed method improves predictor stability and accuracy in dam inflow forecasting.
Paper proposes a novel approach to improve spatiotemporal precipitation forecasts.
problem Improving accuracy of spatiotemporal precipitation forecasts for flood damage mitigation.
method Introduces a rain-code fusion approach using ConvLSTM and multi-frame fusion for spatiotemporal precipitation code-to-code forecasting.
result Demonstrates enhanced accuracy in precipitation forecasts beyond 3 timesteps using the rain-code fusion.
Paper develops flood forecasting system for data scarce regions.
problem Flood forecasting in developing countries with data scarcity.
method Operational system for flood extent forecasts in India.
result Scalable and cost-efficient flood forecasting system.
Hybrid deep learning model predicts urban floods with high accuracy.
problem Urban flood prediction and situation awareness using channel network sensors data.
method FastGRNN-FCN hybrid deep learning model trained on Harris County, Texas flood data.
result Test accuracy and F-measure reach 97.8% and 0.792, respectively.
Machine learning predicts flood risk across river basins.
problem Costly physics-based models are not generalizable.
method Supervised machine learning using remote sensing data.
result Machine learning models predict flood susceptibility.
Framework improves ML flood mapping generalization.
problem Improving machine learning models' ability to generalize to new conditions.
method Dimensionless, multi-scale features constrained by the Buckingham Π theorem.
result Model outperformed dimensional features, improving AUC in unmapped areas.
Deep learning framework predicts streamflow and flood probabilities in Australian catchments.
problem Large-scale flooding prediction challenges due to model calibration and missing data.
method Ensemble quantile-based deep learning framework using quantile regression and CAMELS dataset.
result Notable efficacy and uncertainties in streamflow forecasts with varied catchment properties.
Elevating houses to flood risk increases uncertainty, leading to higher optimal elevations.
problem Deciding how high to elevate houses to manage riverine flood risks is complex due to uncertainties.
method Used a multi-objective robust decision-making framework to analyze uncertainties.
result Optimal house elevation can be significantly higher than FEMA's recommendation due to deep uncertainties.
Modeling supply chain disruptions from climate hazards with adaptive firms.
problem Systemic physical climate risk in supply chains.
method Agent-based model integrating geospatial hazards and firm adaptation.
result Firms' adaptive strategies reduce disruption by 48%.
This paper analyzes extreme flooding risks and proposes insurance and bond solutions.
problem Severe rise in magnitude and frequency of floods causing catastrophic losses.
method Extremes analysis using Peaks-Over-Threshold method and Point Process model; Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Conditional VaR (CVaR) estimation; Flood zoning insurance and catastrophic bond design.
result Developed flood risk vulnerability and threat analysis considering geography and economic factors; Proposed flood zoning insurance and catastrophic bond design.
ML improves flood forecasting by leveraging local data.
problem Human calibration, limited data, and computational difficulty.
method Transfer learning and ML for high-dimensional scenarios.
result ML systems achieve timely and accurate flood prediction.
Study uses deep neural networks for flood forecasting.
problem Accurate flood predictions everywhere.
method Artificial deep neural networks for time-series forecasting.
result Neural networks improve flood predictions.
This paper reviews ML models for flood prediction, highlighting their benefits and effectiveness.
problem Complex modeling of floods to reduce risk and damage.
method Machine learning models for flood prediction.
result Hybridization, data decomposition, algorithm ensemble, and model optimization are effective strategies.
CNN model predicts fluvial floods quickly and accurately.
problem Real-time flood prediction is computationally demanding.
method Deep Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) trained on 2D hydraulic model outputs.
result CNN model outperforms SVR in predicting flood inundation.
Compact satellite tech detects flooded areas quickly.
problem Rapid access to satellite data and automatic flood detection.
method Automatically identifies cloud, water, and land in satellite images onboard small satellites.
result Reduced downlink bandwidth by 2 orders of magnitude.
A new model predicts spatially varying inland flooding from time-varying inputs.
problem Ignoring time series and spatial correlations in flood models leads to inaccurate predictions.
method Introduced a multioutput Gaussian process model with separable kernels for functional inputs and spatial locations.
result The model provides accurate predictions of spatially varying inland flooding with minimal computational time.
Study improves flood loss risk models using historical data and rainfall data.
problem Predicting financial losses from flooding events.
method Used neural networks, decision trees, and kernel-based regressors on NFIP dataset, incorporating rainfall data.
result Extreme Gradient Boosting provided the best results, and bias correction improved model performance.
Flooding prevents deep networks from achieving zero training loss, improving test performance.
problem Deep networks can achieve zero training error but often have zero training loss, leading to overconfidence and poor test performance.
method Flooding prevents training loss from reaching zero by applying gradient ascent when loss is below a preset flood level.
result Flooding improves test performance and induces a double descent curve of the test loss.
Machine learning and IoT improve steam flood oil production.
problem Optimizing oil production from heavy-oil wells using steam floods.
method Cutting-edge machine learning techniques applied to time-series IoT data.
result 3% improvement in oil production with optimized steam allocation.
SoftAD improves classification accuracy with less fine-tuning and fewer computational costs.
problem Improving classification accuracy with less fine-tuning and fewer computational costs.
method SoftAD is a softened, pointwise mechanism that downweights borderline points and limits the effects of outliers.
result SoftAD achieves classification accuracy competitive with flooding and SAM, with a smaller loss generalization gap and model norm.
LSTM model predicts climate impacts on floods and droughts.
problem Predicting climate impacts on individual watersheds is challenging.
method Large-scale LSTM training on extensive data sets.
result LSTM model outperforms state-of-the-art models in predicting extreme flows.
Machine learning predicts dam-break flood wave behavior accurately.
problem Predicting long-term wave behavior in dam-break floods.
method Solved Saint-Venant equations using Lax-Wendroff scheme, trained RC-ESN with flow depth data.
result RC-ESN model predicts 286 time-steps ahead with RMSE < 0.01, outperforming LSTM.
Neural network model forecasts extreme flood risk.
problem Accurately estimating high quantiles of extreme events.
method EQRN model combining neural networks and extreme value theory.
result Forecasting flood risk with improved adaptability.
Flood extent mapping plays a crucial role in disaster management and national water forecasting. Unfortunately, traditional classification methods are often hampered by the existence of noise, obstacles and heterogeneity in spectral features as well as implicit anisotropic spatial dependency across class labels. In thi…
Monitoring of disasters is crucial for mitigating their effects on the environment and human population, and can be facilitated by the use of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAV), equipped with camera sensors that produce aerial photos of the areas of interest. A modern technique for recognition of events based on aerial pho…
New method provides reliable high-confidence prediction intervals for high-impact events.
problem High-impact events require very high confidence prediction intervals, but classical methods provide uninformative intervals.
method Bridge extreme value statistics and conformal prediction to provide reliable and informative prediction intervals.
result Provides reliable and informative prediction intervals with high-confidence coverage.
Data scientists guide to streamflow prediction and flood forecasting.
problem Forecasting floods and predicting streamflow volume.
method Explains hydrologic concepts and machine learning applications.
result Helps data scientists understand streamflow prediction.
The study models insurance dependence using Bernstein copulas.
problem Modeling dependence structures in nonlife insurance data.
method Review and suggest fitting Bernstein copulas to empirical data.
result Monte Carlo simulation and PML estimation for aggregate losses.
Study optimizes climate adaptation strategies for NYC.
problem Catastrophic damages from extreme weather in NYC.
method Real options analysis and extreme value theory.
result Optimal adaptation pathways identified for NYC.
Meta-analysis and systematic review can help distill machine learning research.
problem Difficulties in distilling a flood of machine learning papers into useful principles.
method Use meta-analysis and systematic review to aggregate and analyze machine learning research.
result Meta-analysis and systematic review can help in distilling machine learning research.
Study optimal risk sharing in decentralized peer-to-peer markets with robust risk measures.
problem Optimizing risk sharing in decentralized markets with non-convex risk measures.
method Characterization of Pareto-optimal allocations using robust distortion risk measures and probabilistic risk aversion.
result Shape of allocations depends on agents' tail risk assessments.
This paper compares unstructured and structured EM-based semi-supervised learning methods.
problem Semi-supervised learning with EM algorithm for structured prediction.
method Comparative study between unstructured and structured EM-based semi-supervised learning methods.
result Structured EM is more robust to class confusion in flood mapping datasets.
ABC method improves subseasonal weather forecasting by 60-90%.
problem Improving subseasonal temperature and precipitation forecasting accuracy.
method Combines dynamical forecasts with machine learning-based bias correction.
result Significant improvement in temperature and precipitation forecasting skills.
Study tackles criterion collapse in learning criteria, showing conditions for loss minimization.
problem Criterion collapse in optimization, focusing on error probability minimizers.
method Analyzes various learning criteria, including DRO, OCE risks, and non-monotonic criteria.
result Non-monotonic criteria can avoid collapse, while monotonic ones cannot.
We consider a fundamental integer programming (IP) model for cost-benefit analysis flood protection through dike building in the Netherlands, due to Verweij and Zwaneveld. Experimental analysis with data for the Ijsselmeer lead to integral optimal solution of the linear programming relaxation of the IP model. This natu…
HydroNets use river structure to improve hydrologic predictions.
problem Scalable and accurate hydrologic models are needed for climate change impacts.
method HydroNets are deep neural networks that incorporate river network structure.
result HydroNets improve predictions with fewer data, especially at longer horizons.
LSTM model predicts rainfall runoff with high temporal resolution.
problem Accurate and efficient rainfall runoff simulations for flood risk management.
method Data-driven rainfall runoff model using Long-short-Term-Memory (LSTM) networks.
result LSTM model achieves high-resolution discharge predictions with improved performance.
Novel Orlicz regrets consistently bound environmental variable statistics.
problem Consistent evaluation of stochastic environmental variables like water quality indices.
method Proposed novel Orlicz regrets for upper and lower bounds.
result Explicit linkage between Orlicz regrets and divergence risk measures.
Persistent homology provides a new, efficient molecular descriptor for protein dynamics.
problem Designing effective molecular descriptors for high-dimensional MD trajectories.
method Introduced masked Flood complex, a protein-tailored modification of simplicial complexes, for persistent homology.
result Persistent homology-based descriptors are competitive across protein dynamics tasks, including frame-level observable regression and MSM estimation.
This paper uses VAE to generate extreme events from multivariate data.
problem Generating accurate extremes from observational data for risk assessment.
method Variational Autoencoder (VAE) approach for multivariate heavy-tailed distributions.
result Improves learning of dependency structure between extremes.
Estimates river discharge using few measurements at many locations.
problem Accurate river discharge estimation at scale using scarce in-situ measurements.
method Developed a common mechanism regression (CMR) model with local and shared components.
result Found global optimum for non-convex learning objective using spectral initialization and descent methods.
Study proposes CNN for reconstructing high-res urban DEMs.
problem Lack of high-res urban DEM datasets for flood modeling.
method Multi-scale CNN model trained on urban DEMs of varying resolutions.
result CNN-based method produces superior high-res urban DEMs.
Modeling daily river flow distribution with seasonal and long-term trends.
problem Capturing both seasonal and gradual long-term changes in environmental variables.
method Distributional regression using GAMLSS framework to estimate daily distribution of river flows.
result Model successfully captures seasonal variation and long-term trends in river flow data.
Model shows how heterogeneity in strategies and risk tolerance affects financial market stability.
problem Understanding how heterogeneity impacts financial market dynamics.
method Agent-based model incorporating heterogeneous investment strategies and risk tolerance.
result Heterogeneity in strategies and risk tolerance suppresses price fluctuations.
New method combines simple forecasting techniques for river flow predictions.
problem Improving accuracy of long-term hydrological forecasts.
method Combines at least two forecasting methods using median combiner.
result Performs well in long-term forecasts, especially with multiple methods.