Recent studies using data on social media and stock markets have mainly focused on predicting stock returns. Instead of predicting stock price movements, we examine the relation between Facebook data and investors' decision making in stock markets with a unique data on investors' transactions on Nokia. We find that the…
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In this paper, we explore salient questions about user interests, conversations and friendships in the Facebook social network, using a novel latent space model that integrates several data types. A key challenge of studying Facebook's data is the wide range of data modalities such as text, network links, and categoric…
We demonstrate that effortlessly accessible digital records of behavior such as Facebook Likes can be obtained and utilized to automatically distinguish a wide range of highly delicate personal traits including: life satisfaction, cultural ethnicity, political views, age, gender and personality traits. The analysis pre…
The growing ubiquity of Social Media data offers an attractive perspective for improving the quality of machine learning-based models in several fields, ranging from Computer Vision to Natural Language Processing. In this paper we focus on Facebook posts paired with reactions of multiple users, and we investigate their…
Study examines tech stocks' reactions to Facebook data leak scandal.
Android and Facebook provide third-party applications with access to users' private data and the ability to perform potentially sensitive operations (e.g., post to a user's wall or place phone calls). As a security measure, these platforms restrict applications' privileges with permission systems: users must approve th…
In this paper we present Horizon, Facebook's open source applied reinforcement learning (RL) platform. Horizon is an end-to-end platform designed to solve industry applied RL problems where datasets are large (millions to billions of observations), the feedback loop is slow (vs. a simulator), and experiments must be do…
Recent studies have shown that information disclosed on social network sites (such as Facebook) can be used to predict personal characteristics with surprisingly high accuracy. In this paper we examine a method to give online users transparency into why certain inferences are made about them by statistical models, and …
The application of deep learning techniques resulted in remarkable improvement of machine learning models. In this paper provides detailed characterizations of deep learning models used in many Facebook social network services. We present computational characteristics of our models, describe high performance optimizati…
While deep learning models have achieved state-of-the-art accuracies for many prediction tasks, understanding these models remains a challenge. Despite the recent interest in developing visual tools to help users interpret deep learning models, the complexity and wide variety of models deployed in industry, and the lar…
We present a novel methodology to determine the fundamental value of firms in the social-networking sector based on two ingredients: (i) revenues and profits are inherently linked to its user basis through a direct channel that has no equivalent in other sectors; (ii) the growth of the number of users can be calibrated…
The paper models social networks with varying levels of reciprocity.
Retail company uses Prophet algorithm for accurate sales forecasting.
Research on social-media platforms has tended to rely on textual analysis to perform research tasks. While text-based approaches have significantly increased our understanding of online behavior and social dynamics, they overlook features on these platforms that have grown in prominence in the past few years: click-bas…
Method estimates treatment effect bounds in sample selection models.
ARIMA model outperforms advanced forecasting models in predicting Walmart sales.
Interpretable additive models outperform complex DL and hybrid pipelines for air quality forecasting.
On many social networking web sites such as Facebook and Twitter, resharing or reposting functionality allows users to share others' content with their own friends or followers. As content is reshared from user to user, large cascades of reshares can form. While a growing body of research has focused on analyzing and c…
Nowadays, privacy preserving machine learning has been drawing much attention in both industry and academy. Meanwhile, recommender systems have been extensively adopted by many commercial platforms (e.g. Amazon) and they are mainly built based on user-item interactions. Besides, social platforms (e.g. Facebook) have ri…
A variety of approaches have been proposed to automatically infer the profiles of users from their digital footprint in social media. Most of the proposed approaches focus on mining a single type of information, while ignoring other sources of available user-generated content (UGC). In this paper, we propose a mechanis…
Paper improves gender detection on social media using deep learning.
We investigate the robustness properties of ResNeXt class image recognition models trained with billion scale weakly supervised data (ResNeXt WSL models). These models, recently made public by Facebook AI, were trained with ~1B images from Instagram and fine-tuned on ImageNet. We show that these models display an unpre…
The paper considers a general semi-Markov model for Limit Order Books with two states, which incorporates price changes that are not fixed to one tick. Furthermore, we introduce an even more general case of the semi-Markov model for LimitOrder Books that incorporates an arbitrary number of states for the price changes.…
With a sharp rise in fluency and users of "Hinglish" in linguistically diverse country, India, it has increasingly become important to analyze social content written in this language in platforms such as Twitter, Reddit, Facebook. This project focuses on using deep learning techniques to tackle a classification problem…
Computing shortest path distances between nodes lies at the heart of many graph algorithms and applications. Traditional exact methods such as breadth-first-search (BFS) do not scale up to contemporary, rapidly evolving today's massive networks. Therefore, it is required to find approximation methods to enable scalable…
In this paper, we introduce a methodology that allows to model behavioral trajectories of users in online social media. First, we illustrate how to leverage the probabilistic framework provided by Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) to represent users by embedding the temporal sequences of actions they performed online. We the…
Continuous representations have been widely adopted in recommender systems where a large number of entities are represented using embedding vectors. As the cardinality of the entities increases, the embedding components can easily contain millions of parameters and become the bottleneck in both storage and inference du…
Proposes a method for forecasting time series with multiple seasonality.
We tackle the problem of inferring node labels in a partially labeled graph where each node in the graph has multiple label types and each label type has a large number of possible labels. Our primary example, and the focus of this paper, is the joint inference of label types such as hometown, current city, and employe…
We present asymptotic and finite-sample results on the use of stochastic blockmodels for the analysis of network data. We show that the fraction of misclassified network nodes converges in probability to zero under maximum likelihood fitting when the number of classes is allowed to grow as the root of the network size …
Generative graph models create instances of graphs that mimic the properties of real-world networks. Generative models are successful at retaining pairwise associations in the underlying networks but often fail to capture higher-order connectivity patterns known as network motifs. Different types of graphs contain diff…
Randomized experiments are the gold standard for evaluating the effects of changes to real-world systems. Data in these tests may be difficult to collect and outcomes may have high variance, resulting in potentially large measurement error. Bayesian optimization is a promising technique for efficiently optimizing multi…
We consider a two-sample hypothesis testing problem, where the distributions are defined on the space of undirected graphs, and one has access to only one observation from each model. A motivating example for this problem is comparing the friendship networks on Facebook and LinkedIn. The practical approach to such prob…
The majority of real-world networks are dynamic and extremely large (e.g., Internet Traffic, Twitter, Facebook, ...). To understand the structural behavior of nodes in these large dynamic networks, it may be necessary to model the dynamics of behavioral roles representing the main connectivity patterns over time. In th…
In both mobile and web applications, speeding up user interface response times can often lead to significant improvements in user engagement. A common technique to improve responsiveness is to precompute data ahead of time for specific activities. However, simply precomputing data for all user and activity combinations…
The AlphaGo, AlphaGo Zero, and AlphaZero series of algorithms are remarkable demonstrations of deep reinforcement learning's capabilities, achieving superhuman performance in the complex game of Go with progressively increasing autonomy. However, many obstacles remain in the understanding of and usability of these prom…
The increasing volume of short texts generated on social media sites, such as Twitter or Facebook, creates a great demand for effective and efficient topic modeling approaches. While latent Dirichlet allocation (LDA) can be applied, it is not optimal due to its weakness in handling short texts with fast-changing topics…
An increase in the use of smartphones has laid to the use of the internet and social media platforms. The most commonly used social media platforms are Twitter, Facebook, WhatsApp and Instagram. People are sharing their personal experiences, reviews, feedbacks on the web. The information which is available on the web i…
We draw a formal connection between using synthetic training data to optimize neural network parameters and approximate, Bayesian, model-based reasoning. In particular, training a neural network using synthetic data can be viewed as learning a proposal distribution generator for approximate inference in the synthetic-d…
Develops NFCF to reduce gender bias in social media recommendation systems.
In many applications of network analysis, it is important to distinguish between observed and unobserved factors affecting network structure. To this end, we develop spectral estimators for both unobserved blocks and the effect of covariates in stochastic blockmodels. On the theoretical side, we establish asymptotic no…
New method predicts graph structure changes over time.
A matrix network is a family of matrices, with relatedness modeled by a weighted graph. We consider the task of completing a partially observed matrix network. We assume a novel sampling scheme where a fraction of matrices might be completely unobserved. How can we recover the entire matrix network from incomplete obse…
Classification problems have made significant progress due to the maturity of artificial intelligence (AI). However, differentiating items from categories without noticeable boundaries is still a huge challenge for machines -- which is also crucial for machines to be intelligent. In order to study the fuzzy concept on …
OTT services are replacing traditional telecom services, affecting revenue streams.
The study of networks has received increased attention recently not only from the social sciences and statistics but also from physicists, computer scientists and mathematicians. One of the principal problem in networks is community detection. Many algorithms have been proposed for community finding but most of them do…
IGT learns graph representations without supervision.
Text classification systems will help to solve the text clustering problem in the Azerbaijani language. There are some text-classification applications for foreign languages, but we tried to build a newly developed system to solve this problem for the Azerbaijani language. Firstly, we tried to find out potential practi…