Research shows eco-innovation boosts earnings management, especially in constrained firms.
problem The impact of eco-innovation on earnings management in firms with financial constraints.
method Multi-method approach including entropy balancing, PSM, and Heckman Test correction.
result Eco-innovation positively correlates with earnings management, especially in firms facing financial constraints.
Develops a theory linking managers' disclosures to market pricing.
problem Linking managers' earnings guidance to market pricing.
method Mathematical theory of managerial disclosure in asset pricing.
result Foundational approach for understanding disclosure impacts.
Model earnings call transcripts for better stock price prediction.
problem Predicting future stock price movements using earnings call transcripts.
method Deep learning framework with an attention mechanism to encode text data into vectors for predicting stock price movements.
result The proposed model outperforms traditional machine learning methods in stock price prediction.
Study evaluates valuation models for UK companies using case studies.
problem Determining how accounting numbers affect business value.
method Comprehensive review of three valuation models: FCFVM, REVM, AEGM.
result Accounting numbers through valuation models can affect business value.
Financial statements contain quantitative information and manager's subjective evaluation of firm's financial status. Using information released in U.S. 10-K filings. Both qualitative and quantitative appraisals are crucial for quality financial decisions. To extract such opinioned statements from the reports, we built…
Study analyzes deep learning models for financial sentiment in earnings calls.
problem Leveraging NLP for sentiment analysis in financial transcripts.
method Comparative analysis of BERT, FinBERT, and ULMFiT models.
result Models' strengths and limitations in financial sentiment analysis.
Firms disclosing positive earnings surprises are more likely to disclose ESG information.
problem Transparency vs. performance in financial markets.
method Empirical analysis of earnings surprises and ESG disclosures.
result Positive earnings firms disclose more ESG information than negative earnings firms.
HSR reduces analyst earnings forecast errors by lowering travel friction.
problem How HSR connectivity affects analyst earnings forecast errors in China.
method Firm-year panel data from 2008-2019; placebo test to rule out pre-existing trends.
result HSR reduces analyst earnings forecast errors after connectivity, not before.
A fund manager invests both the fund's assets and own private wealth in separate but potentially correlated risky assets, aiming to maximize expected utility from private wealth in the long run. If relative risk aversion and investment opportunities are constant, we find that the fund's portfolio depends only on the fu…
A new framework uses deep RL to aggregate expert advice for better portfolio management.
problem Improving portfolio management through expert advice and deep reinforcement learning.
method Convolutional networks for signal aggregation and historical price data, Proximal Policy Optimization algorithm.
result Our framework can achieve 90% of the best expert's profit on average.
Study shows long-term debt impacts financial growth of non-financial firms listed at Nairobi Securities Exchange.
problem Declining financial performance and reluctance to lend to non-financial firms listed at Nairobi Securities Exchange.
method Descriptive and panel data analysis of 45 non-financial firms over 10 years.
result Long-term debt positively and significantly influences financial growth measured by earnings per share and market capitalization.
AMA-LSTM improves stock volatility prediction using adversarial training.
problem Predicting stock volatility from financial audio data is challenging due to stochasticity and bias.
method Adversarial training to generate perturbations that simulate stochasticity and bias.
result AMA-LSTM outperforms state-of-the-art methods in predicting stock volatility.
Investors target specific regions of payoff distributions for portfolio optimization.
problem Optimizing portfolio performance across different return distribution regions.
method Developed a dynamic portfolio-choice framework targeting downside or upside quantiles.
result Policies focused on downside regions provide stronger left-tail protection and higher Sharpe ratios.
Media tone around earnings announcements predicts stock returns.
problem Determining if media tone around earnings announcements provides useful information for stock prices.
method Conducted an event study on media tone around earnings announcements for nonfinancial S&P 500 firms.
result Media tone around earnings announcements predicts abnormal stock returns.
Firms delay write-downs for adverse macroeconomic and industry outcomes but not for firm-specific issues.
problem Timeliness of write-downs for adverse macroeconomic and industry outcomes versus firm-specific issues.
method Comparative analysis of write-downs driven by macroeconomic and industry outcomes versus firm-specific outcomes.
result Firms delay write-downs for adverse macroeconomic and industry outcomes but not for firm-specific issues.
CET model uses contrastive learning to improve earnings data predictions.
problem Inaccurate stock predictions due to earnings data's irregular release and fast obsolescence.
method Contrastive Predictive Coding (CPC) for self-supervised learning of earnings data.
result CET model outperforms benchmarks in predicting stock price trends over time.
Study earnings calls to predict stock price movements, finding them more predictive than traditional data.
problem Improving investment decisions by analyzing earnings calls for stock price predictions.
method Graph Neural Network based approach to process and analyze earnings call transcripts.
result Earnings call transcripts are more predictive of stock price movements than traditional hard data.
New framework predicts earnings announcements using press release content, surpassing earnings surprises.
problem Predicting stock returns based on earnings press releases.
method Compared traditional and BERT-based embeddings of press releases, finding content as informative as earnings surprises.
result FinBERT yields highest predictive power for earnings announcement returns.
Investor emotions predict earnings announcements, but excitement lowers returns.
problem The impact of investor emotions on earnings announcements and their returns.
method Social media data analysis over a decade to test the relationship between investor emotions and earnings announcements.
result Excitement about earnings announcements is associated with lower announcement returns.
Study uses neural networks to predict firm earnings, outperforming benchmarks and analysts.
problem Limited coverage and biased estimates by financial analysts.
method Developed a neural network model using 40 years of financial data.
result Model outperforms benchmarks and analysts' forecasts for fiscal-year-end earnings predictions.
Extracts credit-relevant information from earnings calls.
problem Investors do not fully internalize credit-relevant information from earnings calls.
method Develops a novel technique to extract credit-relevant information from earnings call text.
result The extracted information forecasts future credit spread changes and firm profitability.
Improved earnings predictions through text-morphed earnings calls.
problem Improving earnings prediction models using narrative information.
method Introducing a text-morphing methodology to generate counterfactual transcripts.
result Analysts over-react to sentiment and under-react to risk and uncertainty.
Model analyzes competitive pricing strategies in large markets of perishable products.
problem Maximizing profits in a competitive market of perishable products.
method Mean-field competition model, Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation, iterative numerical algorithm.
result Properties of equilibrium pricing strategies and market dynamics.
FinBERT model identifies key speakers in earnings calls, boosting stock returns.
problem Unequal impact of all speakers in earnings call transcripts on stock returns.
method Utilized FinBERT, a domain-specific transformer model, to parse transcripts and weight speakers' sentiment.
result FinBERT section-weighted sentiment generates significant long-short alpha of 2.03%.
This paper aims to explore the mechanical effect of a company's share repurchase on earnings per share (EPS). In particular, while a share repurchase scheme will reduce the overall number of shares, suggesting that the EPS may increase, clearly the expenditure will reduce the net earnings of a company, introducing a tr…
Derives a size premium from automated market makers in decentralized AI subnets.
problem Determining the profitability and risk of decentralized AI subnets.
method Analyzes daily data on 128 subnets, tests the size premium, and calculates transaction costs.
result The size premium is reduced by a halving of token emissions but remains profitable only below a certain asset threshold.
The study improves stock market valuation using volatility and earnings data.
problem Improving stock market valuation metrics.
method Time series model for asset returns, multivariate kernel density estimation, linear regression.
result The valuation measure is an improvement over Shiller's P/E ratio.
Optimizes Ethena's yield strategy by controlling stETH and ETH futures positions.
problem Maximizes Ethena's yield while managing price impacts.
method Formulates and solves stochastic control problems for Ethena's yield-generating strategy.
result Explicitly determines optimal control rates for stETH and ETH futures.
This study examines how earnings announcements affect option volatility and pricing.
problem The impact of earnings announcements on option volatility and pricing.
method Analysis of extremely short-term options data to study bimodality and concavity in IV curves.
result Investors pay a premium to hedge against extreme volatility during earnings announcements in the presence of concave IV smiles.
Actuaries tackle loss of earning capacity in Denmark, balancing public benefits and private insurance.
problem Balancing public benefits and private insurance for loss of earning capacity in Denmark.
method Innovative approaches from researchers and practitioners, leveraging actuarial expertise.
result Development of equitable, data-driven solutions to mitigate risk and enhance societal well-being.
We generalize the classic Shiller cyclically adjusted price-earnings ratio (CAPE) used for prediction of future total returns of the stock market. We treat earnings growth as exogenous. The difference between log wealth and log earnings is modeled as an autoregression of order 1 with linear trend 4.6% and Gaussian inno…
Optimizes cash management in ATM networks to reduce costs and increase revenue.
problem Minimizing cash costs while ensuring adequate funds in a network of ATMs.
method Developed a discrete optimal control model using forecasting techniques and control theory.
result The proposed model outperforms classical inventory management models, earning 30% more revenue.
Study assesses short-term debt's impact on non-financial firms' financial growth.
problem Declining financial performance and reluctance to lend to non-financial firms listed at Nairobi Securities Exchange.
method Explanatory research design, descriptive statistics, and panel data analysis.
result Short-term debt positively and significantly influences financial growth.
Paper uses machine learning for nowcasting corporate earnings from mixed-frequency data.
problem Predicting corporate earnings for a large cross-section of firms with different frequency data.
method Structured machine learning regressions with sparse-group LASSO regularization for panel data.
result Machine learning models outperform traditional methods in nowcasting corporate earnings.
Maker Protocol manages Dai stable coin on Ethereum blockchain.
problem Managing decentralized finance applications on blockchain.
method Analyzes Maker Protocol's components and governance.
result Maker Protocol is a significant decentralized finance application.
SAE-FiRE extracts key financial info from long documents, improving earnings surprise predictions.
problem Predicting earnings surprises from long, redundant financial documents.
method Sparse Autoencoder feature selection to filter out noise and identify key dimensions.
result SAE-FiRE significantly outperforms baseline approaches in financial datasets.
Deep learning models improve earnings prediction accuracy.
problem Reliable prediction of future earnings per share (EPS).
method Comparison of LSTM and TCN models on financial data.
result Both LSTM and TCN models outperform naive models and analysts.
Advanced AI model predicts stock movements post earnings reports.
problem Inaccurate stock predictions from earnings reports.
method Fine-tuned LLMs with QLoRA compression, integrating financial and market data.
result Significantly improved predictive accuracy compared to benchmarks.
Introduces GA-P/E, a growth-adjusted stock valuation measure.
problem Evaluating stock value and predicting future returns.
method Computes a payback period adjusted for earnings growth, using a sorted portfolio methodology.
result Low GA-P/E stocks outperform high GA-P/E stocks in absolute and risk-adjusted returns.
In the aftermath of the 2007 global financial crisis, banks started reflecting into derivative pricing the cost of capital and collateral funding through XVA metrics. Here XVA is a catch-all acronym whereby X is replaced by a letter such as C for credit, D for debt, F for funding, K for capital and so on, and VA stands…
Study examines how disturbances affect financial returns in Austrian forests.
problem Financial impact of disturbances on timberland returns in Austria.
method Applied probability theory to analyze two management regimes: even-aged and semi-stationary.
result Severe disturbances can lead to a shift from continuous-cover to even-aged forestry, affecting financial sensitivity.
SAGA predicts multi-year earnings with adaptive intervals, improving forecast accuracy.
problem Forecasting long-range nonlinear structure in lifetime earnings.
method Decoder-only transformer for irregular tabular sequences, split conformal calibration.
result Significant improvement in forecast accuracy compared to existing methods.
Machine learning improves earnings forecasting accuracy and speed.
problem Improving earnings forecasting accuracy and speed.
method Adopting machine learning models for earnings forecasting.
result Machine learning model outperforms traditional models in accuracy and speed.
Research examines how Islamic banking principles spread among managers and scholars.
problem Diffusion of Islamic banking principles among managers and scholars.
method Literature review focusing on knowledge diffusion and Islamic banking governance principles.
result Emergence of common Islamic banking governance principles from diverse knowledge streams.
The study reveals distinct patterns in retail investors' holding periods affecting stock returns.
problem Understanding the impact of retail investors' investment horizons on stock returns.
method Using self-reported holding periods from StockTwits, the study categorizes retail investors into long-horizon and short-horizon groups and analyzes their return patterns.
result Long-horizon retail investors exhibit underreaction to earnings announcements, while short-horizon investors show overreaction.
We study an option pricing framework that accounts for the price impact of an earnings announcement (EA), and analyze the behavior of the implied volatility surface prior to the event. On the announcement date, we incorporate a random jump to the stock price to represent the shock due to earnings. We consider different…
LemonadeBench evaluates LLMs' economic intuition through a simulated lemonade stand.
problem Evaluating LLMs' economic understanding and decision-making in simple markets.
method Simulated lemonade stand business to test LLMs' long-term planning and profit maximization.
result Models achieve profitability but exhibit local rather than global optimization.
Study shows GPT's earnings forecasts are human-like but not always accurate.
problem Information friction in AI-generated financial analysis.
method Examined GPT's earnings forecasts following corporate earnings releases and proposed a diagnostic framework.
result GPT's narrative attention is consistent and human-like but not always associated with higher forecast accuracy.