The paper uses LSM to solve complex monetary utility functions.
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We study existence and uniqueness of continuous-time stochastic Radner equilibria in an incomplete market model among a group of agents whose preference is characterized by cash invariant time-consistent monetary utilities. An assumption of "smallness" type is shown to be sufficient for existence and uniqueness. In par…
Theory integrates loss aversion into expected utility for monetary returns.
Study examines remittances in Nepal, linking external demand and domestic monetary conditions.
Study on efficiency in economies with risk-averse agents, finding Pareto optima.
Gambles are random variables that model possible changes in monetary wealth. Classic decision theory transforms money into utility through a utility function and defines the value of a gamble as the expectation value of utility changes. Utility functions aim to capture individual psychological characteristics, but thei…
Study finds monetary policy uncertainty negatively impacts Bitcoin returns.
Algorithmic stablecoins optimize monetary policy to balance price stability.
Bitcoin's monetary velocity is constrained by network friction, leading to significant utility contraction during shocks.
The paper studies dynamic star-shaped risk measures and their representation.
Stablecoins are reshaping global monetary systems, offering hybrid structures with public and private monies.
We consider the relationship between economic activity and intervention, including monetary and fiscal policy, using a universal dynamic framework. Central bank policies are designed for growth without excess inflation. However, unemployment, investment, consumption, and inflation are interlinked. Understanding dynamic…
We study time-consistency questions for processes of monetary risk measures that depend on bounded discrete-time processes describing the evolution of financial values. The time horizon can be finite or infinite. We call a process of monetary risk measures time-consistent if it assigns to a process of financial values …
This paper studies the dynamics of Brazilian interest rates for short-term maturities. The paper employs developed techniques in the econophysics literature and tests for long-range dependence in the term structure of these interest rates for the last decade. Empirical results suggest that the degree of long-range depe…
Study shows monetary policy impacts digital assets like BTC and ETH.
Examines how central bank policies affect stock markets and asset prices.
Improved options pricing for two assets using fractional calculus.
Deep RL solves complex macroeconomic models.
There is by now a large consensus in modern monetary policy. This consensus has been built upon a dynamic general equilibrium model of optimal monetary policy as developed by, e.g., Goodfriend and King (1997), Clarida et al. (1999), Svensson (1999) and Woodford (2003). In this paper we extend the standard optimal monet…
Tabular Q-learning outperforms advanced RL methods in monetary policy.
Study optimal trading strategies with expert signals in a hidden Gaussian drift market.
New risk measures for financial and ESG risks using utility functions.
News on inflation and monetary policy impacts US household inflation expectations.
This paper provides a unified framework, which allows, in particular, to study the structure of dynamic monetary risk measures and dynamic acceptability indices. The main mathematical tool, which we use here, and which allows us to significantly generalize existing results is the theory of -modules. In the first p…
We study a class of heterogeneous agent-based models which are based on a basic set of principles, and the most fundamental operations of an economic system: trade and product transformations. A basic guiding principle is scale invariance, which means that the dynamics of the economy should not depend on the units used…
Gold and currency markets form a unique pair with specific interactions and dynamics. We focus on the efficiency ranking of gold markets with respect to the currency of purchase. By utilizing the Efficiency Index (EI) based on fractal dimension, approximate entropy and long-term memory on a wide portfolio of 142 gold p…
This study shows how monetary uncertainty affects stock market reactions to macroeconomic news.
Regardless of the gold-standard being considered as outdated, it provides valuable signs concerning the development of novel monetary standards, better adjusted to the current macroeconomic environment. By using a point of view of classical physics, the intent of this work is doing a review of the concept of monetary s…
We consider the problem of governing systemic risk in a banking system model. The banking system model consists in an initial value problem for a system of stochastic differential equations whose dependent variables are the log-monetary reserves of the banks as functions of time. The banking system model considered gen…
We describe the innovations in finances, introduced over the recent decades, and analyze most of the business and regulatory challenges, faced by the financial industry, because of the present disruptive changes in the global capital markets. We use the integrative thinking approach to formulate the new central bank st…
Study develops hybrid model to mitigate stablecoin liquidity risk.
The paper models market dynamics using a limit order book system to explain slippage and inefficiency.
This paper connects monetary and star-shaped risk measures by showing their equivalence under certain conditions.
Investigates Meyer risk measures and their applications in finance.
Agents buy and sell services. All services are of equal quality. Buyers choose sellers at random. Monetary and fiscal policies are imposed by a central bank and a central government. Credit is supplied by a commercial banking system. Propensities to buy, sell, and lend depend on account balances, interest rates, tax ra…
In this paper the dependence of wealth distribution and the velocity of money on the required reserve ratio is examined based on a random transfer model of money and computer simulations. A fractional reserve banking system is introduced to the model where money creation can be achieved by bank loans and the monetary a…
This study models FOMC policy decisions using debate-based LLMs.
Research shows SBP's tone impacts stock market returns positively or negatively.
Growth of monetary assets and debts is commonly described by the formula of compound interest which for the case of continuous compounding is the exponential growth law. Its differential form is dc/dt = i c where dc/dt describes the rate of monetary growth, i the compounded interest rate and c the actual principal. Exp…
Analyzes securitization impacts on monetary and fiscal policies.
Develops a framework for optimal investment in assets with different liquidity constraints.
The paper models US inflation and hyperinflation using monetary and GDP data.
In that paper, we provide a new characterization of the solutions of specific reflected backward stochastic differential equations (or RBSDEs) whose driver is convex and has quadratic growth in its second variable: this is done by introducing the extended notion of -Snell enveloppe. Then, in a second step, we re…
Operational risk is the risk relative to monetary losses caused by failures of bank internal processes due to heterogeneous causes. A dynamical model including both spontaneous generation of losses and generation via interactions between different processes is presented; the efforts made by the bank to avoid the occurr…
We generalize the notion of monetary value measures developed with category theory in [Adachi, 2014] by extending their base category from the category \c{hi} to the category of probability spaces Prob introduced in [Adachi and Ryu, 2016].
The paper explores non-convex risk measures and their characterizations.
We develop a model to price inflation and interest rates derivatives using continuous-time dynamics that have some links with macroeconomic monetary DSGE models equipped with a Taylor rule: in particular, the reaction function of the central bank, the bond market liquidity, inflation and growth expectations play an imp…
Large financial dataset tracks FOMC communications and their impact.