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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,051 papers · 148 categories

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126252378504 · Jun 202019922001200920182026
48 results for Destination prediction

Predicts destinations and routes from partial trajectory data.

problem Predicting destinations and routes from partial trajectory data for applications like parking suggestions and ride-sharing.
method Three-step procedure: k-d tree-based space discretization, recurrent neural network for destination prediction, and route calculation.
result Best models predict destinations with a mean error of 1.3 km and 1.43 km.

Paper tackles maritime traffic prediction for destinations and times.

problem Predicting destinations and arrival times of ships in real-time.
method Used ensemble learning (RF, GBDT, XGBoost, ERT) for destination prediction and feed-forward neural networks for ETA prediction.
result Achieved 97% accuracy for destination prediction and 90% accuracy for ETA prediction.

Predicts vessel destinations using AIS data and nearest neighbor search.

problem Accurately predict the destination ports and arrival times of vessel trips.
method Partitioned training routes by destination port, use nearest neighbor search, and incorporate improvements like avoiding frequent port changes and automating parameter tuning.
result Significant improvements in prediction accuracy compared to baseline methods.

Model predicts passenger origin-destination for online taxi-hailing systems.

problem Predicting passenger origin-destination for efficient transportation planning.
method K-means clustering, non-negative matrix factorization, stacked recurrent neural network.
result Proposed model reduces MAPE by 5-7% for 1-hour windows and 14% for 30-minute windows.

In this paper we propose a new method to predict the final destination of vehicle trips based on their initial partial trajectories. We first review how we obtained clustering of trajectories that describes user behaviour. Then, we explain how we model main traffic flow patterns by a mixture of 2d Gaussian distribution…

2016-05-10abs ↗pdf ↗

CSTN predicts taxi demand between all regions, overcoming origin-only approaches.

problem Predicting taxi demand between all regions, not just origins.
method Contextualized Spatial-Temporal Network (CSTN) with LSC, TEC, and GCC modules.
result CSTN outperforms other methods in taxi origin-destination demand prediction.

OpFlow predicts robust OD flows by learning choice potentials conditioned on spatial exposures.

problem Deep models trained on raw counts are vulnerable to distribution shift.
method OpFlow learns row-centered choice potentials and reconstructs flows by combining them with a calibrated origin scale.
result OpFlow improves robustness under environment shifts, as shown by controlled synthetic shifts and a real-world experiment.

Predicts fine-grained OD matrices for ridesharing platforms to optimize supply-demand balance.

problem Accurately predicting spatial-temporal OD demands for ridesharing platforms.
method OD-CED model combining unsupervised space coarsening and encoder-decoder architecture.
result Significant improvement in prediction accuracy (45% RMSE reduction, 60% WAPE reduction).

Study uses neural networks to predict travel times for public transportation.

problem Inaccurate travel time predictions due to road traffic irregularities.
method Developed two neural network models (MLP and LSTM) using OD travel time matrix.
result Both models can make near-accurate predictions, but LSTM is more susceptible to noise.

Bayesian model predicts evolving guest origin markets in tourism.

problem Forecasting the changing composition of guest origin markets in tourism.
method Developed and applied Bayesian Dirichlet autoregressive moving average (BDARMA) models to Airbnb booking data.
result BDARMA models achieve lower forecast error and competitive performance in guest origin market shares.

We present here a general framework and a specific algorithm for predicting the destination, route, or more generally a pattern, of an ongoing journey, building on the recent work of [Y. Lassoued, J. Monteil, Y. Gu, G. Russo, R. Shorten, and M. Mevissen, "Hidden Markov model for route and destination prediction," in IE…

2018-08-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian models predict evolving guest origin markets in tourism.

problem Forecasting the changing composition of guest origin markets in tourism.
method Developed and applied Bayesian Dirichlet autoregressive moving average (BDARMA) models to Airbnb booking data.
result BDARMA models outperform standard benchmarks in forecasting guest origin market shares.

A new model predicts dynamic O-D matrices using graph neural networks and Kalman filters.

problem Predicting dynamic O-D demand matrices from traffic flow data.
method Combines graph neural networks and Kalman filters to recognize spatial and temporal patterns.
result The proposed model outperforms other methods in various prediction scenarios.

VisitHGNN predicts visit probabilities between neighborhoods and POIs using graph neural networks.

problem Estimating visit probabilities between neighborhoods and POIs for urban planning.
method Heterogeneous, relation-specific graph neural network (VisitHGNN) trained on mobility data.
result Strong predictive performance with high fidelity to observed travel behavior.

A new neural approach for generating origin-destination matrices in ABMs.

problem Challenges in generating origin-destination matrices for ABMs, including discretisation errors and inability to explore multimodal distributions.
method A computationally efficient framework that learns trip intensity through a neural differential equation, operating directly on the discrete combinatorial space.
result Outperforms prior art in terms of reconstruction error and ground truth matrix coverage, at a fraction of the computational cost.

Study estimates and predicts dynamic traffic OD flows for improved DTA models.

problem Estimating and predicting time-varying OD trip tables for dynamic traffic assignment.
method Bi-level optimisation for OD flow estimation and time series prediction for OD demand.
result High capability of proposed OD demand estimation method to reduce DTA model error.

Local logarithmic export distributions show non-zero skewness that changes with exporter and destination characteristics.

problem Identifying the skewness in local logarithmic export distributions and its relationship with exporter and destination characteristics.
method Analyzing directed links weighted by the logarithm of export values, studying the skewness of local exports, and formulating quantitative relations.
result Non-zero skewness in local logarithmic export distributions changes with exporter and destination characteristics.

The study introduces measures of collective mobility from aggregated OD data.

problem Understanding large-scale mobility patterns from aggregated data.
method Developed a framework using synthetic and real data to interpret network-level mobility.
result Aggregated mobility measures reveal network structure and flow constraints.

Paper proposes a method to predict disk failures using multi-layer domain adaptive learning.

problem Traditional machine learning models struggle to predict disk failures due to limited data.
method Multi-layer domain adaptive learning with source and target domains.
result The proposed method improves failure prediction accuracy on disk data with few failure samples.

In this paper, we consider signal detection algorithms in a multiple-input multiple-output (MIMO) decode-forward (DF) relay channel with one source, one relay, and one destination. The existing suboptimal near maximum likelihood (NML) detector and the NML with two-level pair-wise error probability (NMLw2PEP) detector a…

2018-07-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper uses deep imitation learning to predict aircraft trajectories accurately.

problem Inefficient and costly Air Traffic Management system limits predictability.
method Generative Adversarial Imitation Learning framework with trajectory clustering and classification.
result Accurate predictions for entire trajectory stages, pre- and tactical.

Proposes a new model to predict travel demand with zero-inflated and long-tail characteristics.

problem Sparse and long-tailed travel demand data with many zeros.
method Spatial-Temporal Tweedie Graph Neural Network (STTD) using Tweedie distribution.
result STTD provides accurate predictions and precise confidence intervals.

Accurately predicting the possible behaviors of traffic participants is an essential capability for future autonomous vehicles. The majority of current researches fix the number of driving intentions by considering only a specific scenario. However, distinct driving environments usually contain various possible driving…

2018-04-10abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper introduces a novel technique to track structures in time varying graphs. The method uses a maximum a posteriori approach for adjusting a three-dimensional co-clustering of the source vertices, the destination vertices and the time, to the data under study, in a way that does not require any hyper-parameter t…

2016-08-29abs ↗pdf ↗

New model predicts travel demand uncertainty with high accuracy.

problem Uncertainty and sparsity in sparse travel demand prediction.
method Spatial-Temporal Zero-Inflated Negative Binomial Graph Neural Network (STZINB-GNN).
result STZINB-GNN outperforms benchmarks in predicting travel demand uncertainty.

Deep RL for dynamic pricing of express lanes considers multiple origins, destinations, and access locations.

problem Dynamic pricing of express lanes with multiple access points and traveler heterogeneity.
method Formulated as a POMDP, uses policy gradient methods and neural networks to determine stochastic tolls.
result Deep RL outperforms traditional methods in maximizing revenue and minimizing travel time.

Paper predicts travel costs across regions using neural networks.

problem Predicting travel costs in sparse, stochastic OD matrices.
method Recurrent Multi-Graph Neural Networks (R-MGNN) for sparse, stochastic OD matrix forecasting.
result Framework effectively predicts future OD matrices without empty elements.

Road Network Metric Learning improves ETA prediction accuracy by addressing data sparsity.

problem Data sparsity in road network embedding vectors affects ETA prediction accuracy.
method Proposes Road Network Metric Learning (RNML-ETA) framework with an auxiliary metric learning task and triangle loss.
result RNML-ETA outperforms state-of-the-art models and improves prediction accuracy for cold links.

Predictive Q-learning algorithm for IoT networks with human operators.

problem Resilient and predictive actions for IoT networks with faulty components.
method Predictive and resilient Q-learning algorithm considering historical data and human operator feedback.
result Optimal scheduling policies avoiding attacked locations and faults.

This study predicts flight delays for American Airlines using data mining and machine learning.

problem Flight delays and cancellations by American Airlines.
method Data mining and machine learning approaches, specifically Gradient Boosting Classifier Model.
result Achieved a maximum accuracy of 85.73% in predicting flight delays.

We describe the connected components of the complement of a natural "diagonal" of real codimension 1 in a stratum of quadratic differentials on CP1. We establish a natural bijection between the set of these connected components and the set of generic configurations that appear on such "flat spheres". We also prove that…

2007-08-27abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper tackles decision-oriented communications for energy-efficient resource allocation.

problem Maximizing utility functions under quantized information.
method Develops solutions for quantizing information to maximize utility functions under known and observed conditions.
result Quantizing the state roughly is optimal for sum-rate maximization but not for energy-efficiency metrics.

Trans-Sense uses smartphones to predict public transit wait times and schedules.

problem Traffic congestion and lack of public transportation in developing countries.
method Crowdsourced mobile phones to estimate waiting times and transit schedules.
result Achieves high accuracy in predicting passenger arrival times and station dimensions.

Consider an assistive system that guides visually impaired users through speech and haptic feedback to their destination. Existing robotic and ubiquitous navigation technologies (e.g., portable, ground, or wearable systems) often operate in a generic, user-agnostic manner. However, to minimize confusion and navigation …

2018-04-11abs ↗pdf ↗