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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for Dependent Sampling

Study nearest-neighbor radii under dependent sampling, finding they remain informative.

problem Analyzing nearest-neighbor radii under dependent sampling.
method Consider strong mixing dependent observations, establish distribution-free almost sure convergence and sharp non-asymptotic moment bounds.
result Nearest-neighbor geometry remains informative under dependence sampling.

The K-sample testing problem involves determining whether K groups of data points are each drawn from the same distribution. Analysis of variance is arguably the most classical method to test mean differences, along with several recent methods to test distributional differences. In this paper, we demonstrate the existe…

2019-10-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Efficiently selects top-m designs for various contexts using sequential sampling.

problem Optimizing selection of top-m designs across different contexts.
method Formulated as a stochastic dynamic programming problem, developed sequential sampling policy.
result Asymptotically optimal sampling ratios for efficient selection.

The paper considers the block sampling method for long-range dependent processes. Our theory generalizes earlier ones by Hall, Jing and Lahiri (1998) on functionals of Gaussian processes and Nordman and Lahiri (2005) on linear processes. In particular, we allow nonlinear transforms of linear processes. Under suitable c…

2013-12-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes a new DR estimator for adaptive experiments with improved performance.

problem Improving policy evaluation in adaptive experiments with dependent samples.
method Adaptive-fitting variant of sample-splitting for non-Donsker nuisance estimators.
result Proposed DR estimator shows better performance than other estimators with dependent samples.

This paper improves dependency networks using information geometry.

problem Technical disadvantage in dependency networks' learned distribution.
method Interpret pseudo-Gibbs sampling as iterative m-projections onto manifolds.
result Dependency networks can learn faster and have similar performance to Bayesian networks.

Estimating the strength of dependency between two variables is fundamental for exploratory analysis and many other applications in data mining. For example: non-linear dependencies between two continuous variables can be explored with the Maximal Information Coefficient (MIC); and categorical variables that are depende…

2015-10-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper provides GOT convergence guarantees for sub-gamma distributions and dependent samples.

problem Estimating GOT distance under general settings.
method Gaussian-smoothed optimal transport (GOT) framework, sub-gamma distributions, dependent samples, kernel MMD distances.
result Convergence guarantees for GOT distance under more general settings.

Optimizes quadratic bandits with tight Hessian-dependent sample complexity bounds.

problem Understanding optimal sample complexity for quadratic functions.
method Introduces energy allocation and optimal energy spectrum to prove tight lower bounds. Solves for Hessian-independent optimal algorithm.
result Proves optimal Hessian-dependent sample complexities and existence of a universally optimal algorithm.

CoT improves transformer sample efficiency by reducing input token dependencies and attention sparsity.

problem Transformer sample inefficiency in simple tasks.
method Demonstrated through parity-learning setup, showing CoT reduces required samples from exponential to polynomial.
result Transformer learns function within polynomial samples with CoT, requiring exponential samples without CoT.

A new nonparametric test measures dependence between variables using decision trees.

problem Measuring statistical dependence between two variables robustly and efficiently.
method An ensemble of decision trees discriminates between observed and permuted samples without generating the latter.
result The method effectively detects complex relationships from noisy data.

A new sampling method balances multi-label datasets by preserving category frequency order.

problem Sampling challenges in multi-label datasets with varying label frequencies.
method Uses multivariate Bernoulli distribution and label dependencies to estimate and weight label combinations.
result Produces a more balanced sub-sample with enhanced representation of minority categories.

Paper extends nonparametric regression bounds for dependent β\beta-mixing samples.

problem Analyzing error in nonparametric regression with dependent data.
method Extends uniform deviation inequalities from independent to dependent β\beta-mixing samples.
result Derives generalization bounds for nonparametric regression with dependent data.

Study compares LRMC algorithms under dependent sampling in various applications.

problem Recovering missing entries in partially observed low-rank matrices with dependent sampling.
method Various LRMC algorithms tested under dependent sampling in different contexts.
result Performance differences among LRMC algorithms under dependent sampling.

Study improves sampling from non-log-concave distributions using Fisher information.

problem Sampling from non-log-concave distributions with high Fisher information guarantees.
method Proximal sampler with RGO implementation, leveraging log-concave sampling results.
result Improved complexity guarantee in relative Fisher information for non-log-concave sampling.

The paper explains why estimating a history-dependent policy can reduce MSE in reinforcement learning.

problem Understanding why history-dependent policies can improve MSE in off-policy evaluation.
method The paper derives a bias-variance decomposition of MSE for various OPE estimators, showing how history-dependent policies can decrease variance and increase bias.
result History-dependent policies can decrease the variance of importance sampling estimators, leading to lower MSE.

New algorithm learns optimal policies with just 1 episode, settling horizon-dependence in RL.

problem Understanding the sample complexity of reinforcement learning with horizon length.
method Developed an algorithm using only O(1)O(1) episodes to achieve PAC guarantee, leveraging connections between value functions in discounted and finite-horizon MDPs and novel perturbation analysis.
result Achieved the same PAC guarantee with only O(1)O(1) episodes of environment interactions, completely settling horizon-dependence in RL.

Paper addresses OPE for dependent bandit samples using MDS and batch updates.

problem Evaluating policies from non-i.i.d. historical data in contextual bandits.
method Constructs an MDS-based estimator for dependent samples, solves batch update and deficient support issues.
result Derives an asymptotically normal estimator for evaluation policy value.

New RNN model handles long-term dependencies in irregularly-sampled time series.

problem Handling long-term dependencies in irregularly-sampled time series data.
method Designing ODE-LSTMs that separate memory from continuous-time state.
result ODE-LSTMs outperform other RNN-based models on non-uniformly sampled data with long-term dependencies.

We develop a new method to estimate failure probabilities in complex systems.

problem Estimating failure probabilities in safety-critical autonomous systems is challenging due to the rarity of failures and large state spaces.
method We propose an adaptive importance sampling algorithm that minimizes forward Kullback-Leibler divergence and uses Markov score ascent methods.
result Our method provides more accurate failure probability estimates than existing techniques.

Paper proposes method for generating paths of stochastic volatility CGMY process for option pricing.

problem Generating accurate sample paths for stochastic volatility models for option pricing.
method Monte-Carlo method for European and American options, least square regression for calibration.
result Calibrated model parameters to S\&P 100 index options market using path-dependent options.

This paper analyzes RMR under Markov-dependent samples, improving understanding of its generalization error.

problem Understanding the generalization error of RMR in Markov-dependent settings.
method Established the upper bound for RMR estimator under Markov-dependent samples, providing a learning rate.
result Markov dependence affects the generalization error, reducing it by a multiplicative factor of the spectral gap.

Identifying dependency in multivariate data is a common inference task that arises in numerous applications. However, existing nonparametric independence tests typically require computation that scales at least quadratically with the sample size, making it difficult to apply them to massive data. Moreover, resampling i…

2018-06-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Proves minimax sample complexity for turn-based stochastic games.

problem Proving theoretical guarantees for reinforcement learning in turn-based stochastic games.
method Developing absorbing TBSG and reward perturbation techniques to handle statistical dependence.
result Empirical Nash equilibrium strategy approximates true Nash equilibrium in turn-based stochastic games.

Proposes a method to estimate time-dependent probability density functions using binary classifiers.

problem Estimating time-dependent probability density functions of stochastic processes.
method Trains a time-dependent binary classifier to discriminate between realizations of a stochastic process at two nearby time instants.
result Explicitly models and accurately reconstructs complex time-dependent, multi-modal, and near-degenerate densities.

Paper reduces sample complexity for bilinear systems identification to nearly constant.

problem Identifying discrete-time bilinear systems under bounded disturbances.
method Uses trajectory-dependent regressors and polynomial mean-square state growth analysis.
result Proves sample complexity of O~(1/ε)\widetilde{\mathcal O}(1/ε) for estimation error εε.

New RL method reduces sample complexity for large policy spaces.

problem Large-scale RL with unknown optimal policies and state/action spaces.
method Introduces eluder dimension for policy space, proving near-optimal sample complexity.
result Near-optimal sample complexity upper bound that depends linearly on eluder dimension.

Are expansions and recessions more likely to end as their magnitude increases? In this paper we apply parametric hazard models to investigate this issue in a sample of 16 countries from 1881 to 2000. For the total sample we find evidence of positive magnitude dependence for recessions, while for expansions we are not a…

2004-01-26abs ↗pdf ↗

GMMNs model cross-sectional dependence for better option pricing and simulation.

problem Modeling cross-sectional dependence between stochastic processes.
method Generative moment matching networks (GMMNs) for geometric Brownian motions and ARMA-GARCH models.
result GMMNs produce dependent quasi-random samples with variance reduction.

A new method simplifies sampling from complex distributions without using diffusions.

problem Sampling from complex, high-dimensional distributions efficiently.
method Reduces sampling to solving a sequence of 'nice' sampling problems using SLC distributions.
result Shows how to traverse backwards paths using high-accuracy routines for SLC distributions.

New reinforcement learning algorithm achieves instance-optimal sample complexity.

problem Achieving low regret and identifying optimal policies in reinforcement learning.
method A novel planning-based algorithm that explicitly accounts for state visitation distributions.
result The proposed algorithm attains nearly minimax optimal sample complexity, improving over worst-case bounds.

CDSSL improves representation quality by integrating linear and nonlinear dependencies.

problem Scarcity of labeled data and neglect of nonlinear dependencies in SSL.
method CDSSL combines linear correlations and nonlinear dependencies using HSIC in RKHS.
result CDSSL enhances representation quality on diverse benchmarks.

New method for cross-validation in high-dimensional data with dependent or heavy-tailed covariates.

problem Inconsistent cross-validation in high-dimensional settings with dependent or heavy-tailed covariates.
method ROTI-GCV framework for cross-validation under proportional asymptotics regime.
result Demonstrated accuracy of ROTI-GCV in synthetic and semi-synthetic settings.

Study on learning properties of scale-dependent kernels controlling stability and error.

problem Understanding the learning properties of scale-dependent kernels in nonparametric ridge-less least squares.
method Combines probabilistic results with interpolation theory to analyze stability and error.
result Different regimes of learning error depending on sample size and data dimension.