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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,982 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for Density Evaluation

The paper proposes using density ratio estimation to evaluate synthetic data quality.

problem Improving the quality and utility of synthetic data for analysis.
method Density ratio estimation to measure synthetic data quality.
result Density ratio estimation yields more accurate global utility estimates than existing methods.

A new measure DCSI quantifies separability for density-based clustering.

problem Quantifying meaningful clusters in data sets.
method Developed a new separability measure DCSI based on separation and connectedness.
result Correctly identifies touching or overlapping classes that do not correspond to meaningful density-based clusters.

Proposes differentially private normalizing flows for privacy-preserving density estimation.

problem Privacy concerns in density estimation models when individuals are directly associated with the training data.
method Uses normalizing flow models with explicit differential privacy guarantees.
result Substantially outperforms previous state-of-the-art approaches in privacy-preserving density estimation.

Paper reduces variance in infinite horizon off-policy evaluation with bias reduction.

problem High variance in infinite horizon off-policy evaluation.
method Doubly robust augmentation of Liu et al. (2018a) method using learned value function.
result Significant reduction in bias with higher accuracy when either density ratio or value function is accurate.

Generative Bayesian Filtering improves inference in complex models without explicit density evaluations.

problem Performing posterior inference in complex nonlinear and non-Gaussian state-space models.
method Generative Bayesian Filtering (GBF) extends GBC to dynamic settings using deep neural networks for recursive posterior inference. Generative-Gibbs sampler bypasses density evaluations for parameter learning.
result GBF significantly outperforms likelihood-free approaches in accuracy and robustness for intractable state-space models.

New method estimates model discrepancy without sampling for unnormalized models.

problem Evaluating and training unnormalized density models efficiently.
method Estimate Stein discrepancy using neural network parameterized vector function.
result Method outperforms existing goodness-of-fit tests and training methods.

Paper proposes approximate Stein classes for efficient truncated density estimation.

problem Difficulties in estimating truncated density models due to intractable normalising constants and boundary conditions.
method Adapts score matching to solve the problem, introduces approximate Stein classes and a novel discrepancy measure, TKSD.
result TKSD does not require a fixed weighting function and can be evaluated using only boundary samples, leading to improved accuracy.

Normalizing Flows model tractable distributions for efficient sampling and evaluation.

problem Creating efficient generative models for sampling and density evaluation.
method Construct and use Normalizing Flows to learn distributions.
result Comprehensive review of current Normalizing Flow methods and future directions.

A new method improves density ratio estimation with fewer function evaluations.

problem Stable and accurate estimation of density ratios with high variance issues.
method Diffusion Secant Alignment for Score-Based Density Ratio Estimation (ISA-DRE)
result ISA-DRE achieves comparable or superior results with fewer function evaluations.

Method uses normalizing flows to efficiently sample from complex target densities.

problem Sampling from complex target densities with zero values in regions of transformation.
method Normalizing flows to address exploding reverse Kullback-Leibler divergence.
result Demonstrated efficient sampling from multi-mode complex density function.

Variational inference for latent variable models is prevalent in various machine learning problems, typically solved by maximizing the Evidence Lower Bound (ELBO) of the true data likelihood with respect to a variational distribution. However, freely enriching the family of variational distribution is challenging since…

2017-11-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Quantum method improves neural density estimation in high dimensions.

problem High-dimensional density estimation with poor performance and high computational complexity.
method Adaptive Fourier features based on quantum density matrices, integrated with neural networks.
result Competitive performance compared to state-of-the-art methods in various datasets.

In this paper, we present a novel way to summarize the structure of large graphs, based on non-parametric estimation of edge density in directed multigraphs. Following coclustering approach, we use a clustering of the vertices, with a piecewise constant estimation of the density of the edges across the clusters, and ad…

2015-08-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Associating distinct groups of objects (clusters) with contiguous regions of high probability density (high-density clusters), is central to many statistical and machine learning approaches to the classification of unlabelled data. We propose a novel hyperplane classifier for clustering and semi-supervised classificati…

2015-07-15abs ↗pdf ↗

A new metric evaluates generative models by comparing real and generated samples.

problem Evaluating the quality of generative models.
method Relative Density Ratio (RDR) function, optimization on variational form of φ-divergence.
result The RDR function provides a clear, interpretable, and numerically stable evaluation metric.

Normalizing flow regression approximates posterior distributions without additional sampling.

problem Bayesian inference with computationally expensive likelihood evaluations.
method Normalizing flow regression (NFR) for offline inference.
result NFR yields a tractable posterior approximation through regression on existing log-density evaluations.

A new method improves density ratio estimation efficiency and accuracy.

problem Density ratio estimation trade-off between quality and efficiency.
method One-step Score-based Density Ratio Estimation (OS-DRE) combining analytic and solver-free approach.
result OS-DRE offers a favorable balance between estimation quality and inference efficiency.

Deep learning speeds spectral density estimation for large 2D/3D grids.

problem Computational challenges in estimating spectral densities for large grids.
method Deep learning neural network for spectral density estimation.
result Deep learning estimator is a universal approximator and faster than existing methods.

Joint distributions over many variables are frequently modeled by decomposing them into products of simpler, lower-dimensional conditional distributions, such as in sparsely connected Bayesian networks. However, automatically learning such models can be very computationally expensive when there are many datapoints and …

2012-12-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper addresses off-policy evaluation and learning with covariate shift.

problem Evaluating and training a new policy using historical data with a covariate shift.
method Derives efficiency bounds and proposes doubly robust estimators for OPE and OPL under covariate shift.
result Proposes estimators for off-policy evaluation and learning under covariate shift.

Post-process Bayesian inference speeds up posterior approximation.

problem Leveraging pre-existing model evaluations for quick posterior approximation.
method Variational Sparse Bayesian Quadrature (VSBQ) using sparse Gaussian process (GP) surrogate model.
result VSBQ builds high-quality posterior approximations from existing optimization traces.

New method selects optimal bandwidth for price return density estimation, impacting efficient market hypothesis evaluation.

problem Estimating the complexity of price return distributions using kernel density estimation.
method Proposes a new complexity measure to select optimal bandwidth, avoiding overfitting and underfitting.
result Optimal bandwidth selection leads to clearer evaluation of the efficient market hypothesis.

In this paper, we introduce and evaluate a data-driven staged mixture modeling technique for building density, regression, and classification models. Our basic approach is to sequentially add components to a finite mixture model using the structural expectation maximization (SEM) algorithm. We show that our technique i…

2012-12-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Estimates high-dimensional posterior densities by marginal distributions and neural networks.

problem High-dimensional probability density estimation for inference is difficult.
method Direct estimation of lower-dimensional marginal distributions, using Moment Networks for fast computation of moments.
result Demonstrates estimation of gravitational wave time series and applications in cosmology.

Proposes method for eliciting non-parametric joint priors using normalizing flows.

problem Learning complex non-parametric joint priors for model parameters.
method Expert elicitation combined with normalizing flows for generative modeling.
result Framework supports elicitation of both parametric and non-parametric priors.

This research improves demand forecasting by predicting complete probability density functions using machine learning.

problem Forecasting complete probability density functions for better operational decision making.
method Supervised machine learning method 'Cyclic Boosting' for explainable predictions.
result Predicted probability density functions are fully explainable and avoid 'black-box' models.

Density modeling is notoriously difficult for high dimensional data. One approach to the problem is to search for a lower dimensional manifold which captures the main characteristics of the data. Recently, the Gaussian Process Latent Variable Model (GPLVM) has successfully been used to find low dimensional manifolds in…

2010-06-18abs ↗pdf ↗