arXiv research

BayTiDe discovers time-delayed differential equations from noisy data.

Stochastic delay differential equations (SDDE's) have been used for financial modeling. In this article, we study a SDDE obtained by the equation of a CIR process, with an additional fixed delay term in drift; in particular, we prove that there exists a unique strong solution (positive and integrable) which we call fix…

Study on synchronization in financial markets with time delays.

The paper solves optimal control problems for stochastic delay equations.

The paper models financial asset prices with jumps and evaluates European option prices using numerical methods.

Proposes neural delay differential equations for stable system identification with partially observed states.

Improved GRU model with weighted time-delay feedback for long-term dependencies.

Paper develops Euler scheme for fractional delay diff. eqs with additive noise.

We consider that the price of a firm follows a non linear stochastic delay differential equation. We also assume that any claim value whose value depends on firm value and time follows a non linear stochastic delay differential equation. Using self-financed strategy and replication we are able to derive a Random Partia…

This article is a sequel to [A.H.M.P]. In [A.H.M.P], we develop an explicit formula for pricing European options when the underlying stock price follows a non-linear stochastic delay equation with fixed delays in the drift and diffusion terms. In this article, we look at models of the stock price described by stochasti…

In this paper we investigate novel applications of a new class of equations which we call time-delayed backward stochastic differential equations. Time-delayed BSDEs may arise in finance when we want to find an investment strategy and an investment portfolio which should replicate a liability or meet a target depending…

A new algorithm tackles delayed combinatorial semi-bandit with causal relations.

In this article we propose a model for stochastic delay differential equation with jumps (SDDEJ) in a differentiable manifold $M$ endowed with a connection $\nabla$. In our model, the continuous part is driven by vector fields with a fixed delay and the jumps are assumed to come from a distinct source of (càdlàg) noise…

New method solves stochastic control problems with delays using deep learning.

In this paper we consider backward stochastic differential equations with time-delayed generators of a moving average type. The classical framework with linear generators depending on $(Y(t),Z(t))$ is extended and we investigate linear generators depending on $(\frac{1}{t}\int_0^tY(s)ds, \frac{1}{t}\int_0^tZ(s)ds)$. We…

Paper presents a novel method to assess boundedness and stability of nonlinear systems with variable delays.

A new transform links rotating calorons to solutions of a differential equation.

HS-FNO models non-Markovian PDEs by learning history and future states.

Delay-SDE-net models time series with memory and uncertainty, outperforming other models.

The paper introduces a new short rate model with memory components.

We propose a quantum machine learning algorithm for efficiently solving a class of problems encoded in quantum controlled unitary operations. The central physical mechanism of the protocol is the iteration of a quantum time-delayed equation that introduces feedback in the dynamics and eliminates the necessity of interm…

We present a stochastic analysis of a data set consisiting of 10^6 quotes of the US Doller - German Mark exchange rate. Evidence is given that the price changes x(tau) upon different delay times tau can be described as a Markov process evolving in tau. Thus, the tau-dependence of the probability density function (pdf) …

This article is an extension of the work of one of us (Coopersmith, 2011) in deriving the relationship between certain interest rates and the inflation rate of a two component economic system. We use the well-known Fisher relation between the difference of the nominal interest rate and its inflation adjusted value to e…

We propose a model of inter-bank lending and borrowing which takes into account clearing debt obligations. The evolution of log-monetary reserves of $N$ banks is described by coupled diffusions driven by controls with delay in their drifts. Banks are minimizing their finite-horizon objective functions which take into a…

In this article we develop an explicit formula for pricing European options when the underlying stock price follows a non-linear stochastic differential delay equation (sdde). We believe that the proposed model is sufficiently flexible to fit real market data, and is yet simple enough to allow for a closed-form represe…

We propose an optimal portfolio problem in the incomplete market where the underlying assets depend on economic factors with delayed effects, such models can describe the short term forecasting and the interaction with time lag among different financial markets. The delay phenomenon can be recognized as the integral ty…

In this paper we show that there are applications that transform the movement of a pendulum into movements in $\mathbb{R}^3$. This can be done using Euler top system of differential equations. On the constant level surfaces, Euler top system reduces to the equation of a pendulum. Those properties are also considered in…

New Hessian estimates for heat equations on manifolds.

We consider a discrete-time, linear state equation with delay which arises as a model for a trader's account value when buying and selling a risky asset in a financial market. The state equation includes a nonnegative feedback gain $α$ and a sequence $v(k)$ which models asset returns which are within known bounds but o…

Develops a stochastic approach to financial market delays.

Paper tackles action delays in reinforcement learning, proposing a delay-aware framework.

New algorithm tackles delayed feedback in Lipschitz bandits with sublinear regret.

New algorithms ensure fair selection in combinatorial semi-bandit with unrestricted delays.

Banker-OMD improves online learning with delayed feedback.

New algorithm handles delayed feedback robustly, reducing regret without knowing delay bounds.

Paper tackles delays in multi-agent reinforcement learning, improving performance.

We introduce economic models based on Boolean Delay Equations: this formalism makes easier to take into account the complexity of the interactions between firms and is particularly appropriate for studying the propagation of an initial damage due to a catastrophe. Here we concentrate on simple cases, which allow to und…

New algorithm tackles stochastic bandits with varying arm-dependent delays.

TSMB handles time delays in multivariate time series data.

We investigate multiarmed bandits with delayed feedback, where the delays need neither be identical nor bounded. We first prove that "delayed" Exp3 achieves the $O(\sqrt{(KT + D)\ln K} )$ regret bound conjectured by Cesa-Bianchi et al. [2019] in the case of variable, but bounded delays. Here, $K$ is the number of actio…

New algorithm reduces regret in delayed feedback generalised linear bandits.

Adapts Exp3 to adversarial bandits with delays and data.

Capacity-Constrained Online Convex Optimization with Delayed Feedback

New algorithm tackles non-stationary delayed feedback in recommender systems.

PCTS optimizes noisy, delayed, multi-fidelity feedbacks in black-box optimization.

Predicting conversion rates (CVRs) in display advertising (e.g., predicting the proportion of users who purchase an item (i.e., a conversion) after its corresponding ad is clicked) is important when measuring the effects of ads shown to users and to understanding the interests of the users. There is generally a time de…

We study a variant of the stochastic $K$-armed bandit problem, which we call "bandits with delayed, aggregated anonymous feedback". In this problem, when the player pulls an arm, a reward is generated, however it is not immediately observed. Instead, at the end of each round the player observes only the sum of a number…

Study online learning with delays and capacity constraints, achieving optimal regret bounds.