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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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154308461615 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Decision Support Systems

New fairness notion helps identify fair auditors for evaluating decision-support systems.

problem Identifying fair auditors to evaluate decision-support systems for bias.
method Introducing a non-comparative fairness notion based on desired system properties.
result The proposed fairness notion provides guarantees in terms of comparative fairness.

New decision support systems use prediction sets to help experts update their predictions, improving performance.

problem Challenges in explaining and updating predictions from decision support systems.
method Developed a methodology leveraging nested structure of prediction sets and counterfactual monotonicity to improve performance.
result Limiting experts' agency leads to better performance in decision support systems based on prediction sets.

System uses conformal prediction to help experts make accurate decisions without understanding when to trust it.

problem Helping experts make accurate decisions in multiclass classification tasks.
method Develops an automated decision support system using conformal prediction to provide precise prediction sets and an efficient search method.
result System improves expert predictions by providing precise prediction sets and forcing experts to predict from these sets.

Integrating causal machine learning with inherently interpretable models for decision support.

problem Providing causal insights and decision support through machine learning models.
method Proposing an approach that integrates causal machine learning with inherently interpretable models.
result The proposed approach achieves competitive performance in prediction and what-if analysis while offering transparency on the system structure, causal relationships among variables, and functional forms connecting them.

MCU-Net combines U-Net and Monte Carlo Dropout for uncertainty in medical image segmentation.

problem Lack of uncertainty representation in deep learning methods for patient-centered healthcare decisions.
method MCU-Net framework using U-Net and Monte Carlo Dropout with four uncertainty metrics.
result MCU-Net maximizes automated performance and refers truly uncertain cases.

PolicySynth improves synthetic data alignment with real data for better campaign decisions.

problem Synthetic data used in decision support systems often leads to incorrect decisions.
method PolicySynth framework that conditions synthetic data on churn scorer to align with real data decisions.
result PolicySynth achieves high strategy simulation fidelity (0.923-0.960) on churn and acquisition datasets.

T-SVM improves learning in spiking neurons by maximizing dynamical margin.

problem Finding robust solutions in spiking neuronal networks with temporal correlations.
method Introduces Temporal Support Vector Machine (T-SVM) to maximize dynamical margin.
result T-SVM enables learning of tasks requiring nonlinear spatial integration.

Automated data-driven decision-making systems are ubiquitous across a wide spread of online as well as offline services. These systems, depend on sophisticated learning algorithms and available data, to optimize the service function for decision support assistance. However, there is a growing concern about the accounta…

2019-07-16abs ↗pdf ↗

DECE visualizes machine learning decisions with counterfactual explanations.

problem Making machine learning models transparent and explainable.
method Interactive visualization system supporting counterfactual explanations at instance- and subgroup-levels.
result DECE enables users to explore and understand machine learning model decisions.

AI predicts medical specialty diagnostic choices from EHR records.

problem Predicting timely medical specialty diagnostic workups for patients.
method Ensemble of feed-forward neural networks trained on EHR data.
result Significantly higher accuracy compared to traditional checklists.

Proposes TPIS for early and low-cost TB vs. pneumonia diagnosis.

problem Challenges in differentiating TB from pneumonia.
method Two-step decision support system with stacked ensemble classifiers.
result TPIS outperforms other methods in early and final diagnosis.

This work shifts focus from prediction to intervention in social systems.

problem The limitations of focusing solely on prediction in automated decision systems.
method Shift from prediction-focused paradigm to intervention-oriented approach.
result A new perspective unifies statistical frameworks and tools for ADS design, implementation, and evaluation.

Framework for responsible LLM deployment with human involvement and decentralized technologies.

problem Challenges in deploying LLMs for high-stakes decisions, including data security and accountability.
method Interactive human involvement through multiple iterations, decentralized technologies, and automated auditing.
result Enhanced security and accountability in LLM deployment for financial decisions.

A two-stage decision support system optimizes long-short portfolios under ESG considerations.

problem Optimizing long-short portfolios under environmental, social, and governance (ESG) considerations.
method First stage: Multi-criteria evaluation using TODIMSort and MEREC. Second stage: Non-convex portfolio optimization with Omega ratio.
result ESG-enhanced long-short portfolios outperform non-ESG and market-value-weighted benchmarks.

Paper improves privacy-preserving measurement of advertising incrementality.

problem Privacy degradation in randomized lift tests for advertising measurement.
method Formulates a robust causal decision problem under signal losses, projecting clean worlds onto incrementality.
result Sharp decision frontier shows valid certification or rejection outside the frontier.

New method provides calibrated feature importance explanations for regression models.

problem Lack of uncertainty quantification in existing local explanation methods.
method Extension of Calibrated Explanations method to support regression and probabilistic regression.
result Calibrated Explanations for regression provides quantified uncertainty and robust explanations.

Improved forecast accuracy for energy systems through decision-focused fine-tuning.

problem Challenges in integrating forecast values into time series models for diverse and specific instances.
method Decision-focused fine-tuning within time series foundation models for dispatchable feeder optimization.
result Improvement of 9.45% in average total daily costs.

FST.ai 2.0 improves Taekwondo decision-making with AI, reducing review time and increasing trust.

problem Fair, transparent, and explainable decision-making in Taekwondo.
method Pose-based action recognition, epistemic uncertainty modeling, interactive dashboards.
result 85% reduction in decision review time, 93% referee trust in AI-assisted decisions.

Paper examines how income support affects retirement decisions for low-income individuals.

problem Retirement decisions of low-income individuals affected by income disaster.
method Modeling consumption/savings, investment, and retirement choices with income support.
result Optimal retirement decision depends on the level of income support provided.

Lattice investment projects support process model with corruption is formulated and analyzed. The model is based on the Ising lattice model of ferromagnetic but takes deal with the social phenomenon. Set of corruption agents is considered. It is supposed that agents are placed in sites of the lattice. Agents take decis…

2019-01-25abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper develops a method for inferring second opinions from experts using counterfactual inference.

problem Designing efficient decision support systems for second opinions.
method Set invariant Gumbel-Max structural causal model for multiclass classification.
result The proposed model can infer second opinions more accurately than non-causal models.

Algorithmic decision making systems are ubiquitous across a wide variety of online as well as offline services. These systems rely on complex learning methods and vast amounts of data to optimize the service functionality, satisfaction of the end user and profitability. However, there is a growing concern that these au…

2015-07-19abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper develops a decision support system for hierarchical text classification of conference proceedings.

problem Classifying documents with a fixed hierarchical structure of topics.
method Developed a weighted hierarchical similarity function to calculate topic relevance, using entropy of words to estimate weights.
result The weighted hierarchical similarity function improves ranking accuracy compared to other methods.

An assistant learns to mediate decisions between humans and experts, balancing risk and learning.

problem Learning to mediate decisions between imperfect humans and expert knowledge.
method Formalizes online decision mediation, proposes a policy to balance immediate loss and future generalization.
result Consistent gains over benchmarks in decision-making performance.

Paper introduces probabilistic digital twins for optimal decision making under uncertainty.

problem Optimal sequential decision making under incomplete and uncertain information.
method Formal definition of epistemic uncertainty using measure theory, and solution via deep reinforcement learning.
result Proposes a generic approximate solution for optimal sequential decision making.

Benchmark evaluates AI-generated financial QA hallucinations, highlighting system vulnerabilities.

problem Ensuring factual accuracy of AI-generated financial QA outputs.
method Developed a benchmark dataset and evaluated six detection methods under clean and noisy conditions.
result LLM-based judges and embedding methods perform best, but degrade under noisy conditions.

DeXposure-Claw supervises decentralized finance risks by grounding LLM decisions in evidence.

problem Weak evidence leads to over-interventions by general-purpose LLM agents in decentralized finance.
method DeXposure-Claw uses a graph time-series foundation model to forecast exposure networks, turning forecasts into alerts and constraining escalation with data-health gates.
result DeXposure-Claw reduces false alarms and improves regulator alignment in decentralized finance risk supervision.

Increasing urban concentration raises operational challenges that can benefit from integrated monitoring and decision support. Such complex systems need to leverage the full stack of analytical methods, from state estimation using multi-sensor fusion for situational awareness, to prediction and computation of optimal r…

2019-05-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Research develops a DSS for stock selection and asset allocation using fundamental data.

problem Complex financial markets and limited use of fundamental data analysis.
method Data gathering, cleaning, and modeling of fundamental data; integration with macroeconomic conditions.
result Enhanced predictive model for mid- to long-term stock returns.

Decision support systems (e.g., for ecological conservation) and autonomous systems (e.g., adaptive controllers in smart cities) start to be deployed in real applications. Although their operations often impact many users or stakeholders, no fairness consideration is generally taken into account in their design, which …

2019-07-24abs ↗pdf ↗