Paper examines how income support affects retirement decisions for low-income individuals.
problem Retirement decisions of low-income individuals affected by income disaster.
method Modeling consumption/savings, investment, and retirement choices with income support.
result Optimal retirement decision depends on the level of income support provided.
DAT-CGAN improves time series generation for better decision support.
problem Generating accurate time series data for decision support.
method DAT-CGAN uses multi-Wasserstein loss and overlapped block-sampling for improved sample efficiency.
result DAT-CGAN outperforms GAN-based baselines in generating data relevant to decision processes.
Integrating causal machine learning with inherently interpretable models for decision support.
problem Providing causal insights and decision support through machine learning models.
method Proposing an approach that integrates causal machine learning with inherently interpretable models.
result The proposed approach achieves competitive performance in prediction and what-if analysis while offering transparency on the system structure, causal relationships among variables, and functional forms connecting them.
New fairness notion helps identify fair auditors for evaluating decision-support systems.
problem Identifying fair auditors to evaluate decision-support systems for bias.
method Introducing a non-comparative fairness notion based on desired system properties.
result The proposed fairness notion provides guarantees in terms of comparative fairness.
Many recent works on knowledge distillation have provided ways to transfer the knowledge of a trained network for improving the learning process of a new one, but finding a good technique for knowledge distillation is still an open problem. In this paper, we provide a new perspective based on a decision boundary, which…
AI system narrows human decision options for better outcomes.
problem Improving human decision-making in sequential tasks.
method Developed a decision support system using a pre-trained AI agent to limit human action choices.
result Participants outperformed AI and solo play in a wildfire mitigation game.
Conformal prediction helps quantify uncertainty but its use by humans is unclear.
problem Uncertainty quantification in predictions for human decision making.
method Decision theoretic framework for evaluating predictive uncertainty.
result Conformal prediction sets and human decision making goals are in tension.
Decision tool helps manage biofouling risks for ships in the Baltic Sea.
problem Biofouling of ships causes environmental and economic issues.
method Bayesian networks to identify biofouling management strategies.
result Optimal biofouling management includes biocidal-free coating and in-water cleaning.
DECE visualizes machine learning decisions with counterfactual explanations.
problem Making machine learning models transparent and explainable.
method Interactive visualization system supporting counterfactual explanations at instance- and subgroup-levels.
result DECE enables users to explore and understand machine learning model decisions.
Study predicts academic achievement using students' support networks.
problem Predicting academic achievement in college students.
method Decision tree and random forest algorithms applied to Ties data.
result Different types of support are important for different demographics and genders.
Bayesian method helps decision-makers find preferred solutions in multi-objective optimization.
problem Identifying preferred solutions from the Pareto set in multi-objective optimization problems.
method Bayesian model to estimate decision-maker's utility function based on pairwise comparisons, guided by a principled elicitation strategy.
result Superior performance in finding high-utility solutions with a small number of queries.
PolicySynth improves synthetic data alignment with real data for better campaign decisions.
problem Synthetic data used in decision support systems often leads to incorrect decisions.
method PolicySynth framework that conditions synthetic data on churn scorer to align with real data decisions.
result PolicySynth achieves high strategy simulation fidelity (0.923-0.960) on churn and acquisition datasets.
Owe to the recent advancements in Artificial Intelligence especially deep learning, many data-driven decision support systems have been implemented to facilitate medical doctors in delivering personalized care. We focus on the deep reinforcement learning (DRL) models in this paper. DRL models have demonstrated human-le…
New decision support systems use prediction sets to help experts update their predictions, improving performance.
problem Challenges in explaining and updating predictions from decision support systems.
method Developed a methodology leveraging nested structure of prediction sets and counterfactual monotonicity to improve performance.
result Limiting experts' agency leads to better performance in decision support systems based on prediction sets.
Decision-makers are faced with the challenge of estimating what is likely to happen when they take an action. For instance, if I choose not to treat this patient, are they likely to die? Practitioners commonly use supervised learning algorithms to fit predictive models that help decision-makers reason about likely futu…
Summarizes financial news for better investment decisions.
problem Information overload from financial news hinders timely investment decisions.
method Personalized Chain-of-Thought summarization framework integrating user-specified keywords.
result Personalized summaries highlight relevant market signals, improving investment narratives.
MCU-Net combines U-Net and Monte Carlo Dropout for uncertainty in medical image segmentation.
problem Lack of uncertainty representation in deep learning methods for patient-centered healthcare decisions.
method MCU-Net framework using U-Net and Monte Carlo Dropout with four uncertainty metrics.
result MCU-Net maximizes automated performance and refers truly uncertain cases.
Discriminative classifiers improve decision-making in SHM systems.
problem Lack of descriptive labels for SHM data.
method Risk-based active learning with discriminative classifiers.
result Discriminative classifiers offer improved robustness and reduced inspection costs.
When machine predictors can achieve higher performance than the human decision-makers they support, improving the performance of human decision-makers is often conflated with improving machine accuracy. Here we propose a framework to directly support human decision-making, in which the role of machines is to reframe pr…
Develops a support-aware framework for reserve-policy selection in advertising markets.
problem Log-based reserve-price evaluation risks weak support and subgroup harm.
method Support-aware offline decision framework converting logged evidence into certified policies.
result Preserves the best gate-passing policy while eliminating only policies with certified regret.
Optimal cutoff interval for risk scores improves binary classification accuracy.
problem Improving binary classification accuracy with abstention.
method Determines optimal cutoff interval for risk scores, refraining from decisions outside this interval.
result Minimizes classification margin and maximizes accuracy within the interval.
Develops a new criterion for subgroup fairness in algorithmic decision support.
problem Identifying fair recommendations in algorithms despite group-level differences.
method IJDI criterion and IJDI-Scan approach to detect and mitigate disparities.
result Identifies significant disparities in recommendations across subpopulations.
Framework for responsible LLM deployment with human involvement and decentralized technologies.
problem Challenges in deploying LLMs for high-stakes decisions, including data security and accountability.
method Interactive human involvement through multiple iterations, decentralized technologies, and automated auditing.
result Enhanced security and accountability in LLM deployment for financial decisions.
In multi-objective decision planning and learning, much attention is paid to producing optimal solution sets that contain an optimal policy for every possible user preference profile. We argue that the step that follows, i.e, determining which policy to execute by maximising the user's intrinsic utility function over t…
This study compares neural networks, SVM, and decision trees for corporate credit rating predictions.
problem Predicting corporate credit ratings using machine learning methods.
method Applied four machine learning techniques (Bagged Decision Trees, Random Forest, SVM, MLP) to credit rating datasets.
result Decision tree-based models outperformed other techniques in terms of 'Notch Distance' measure.
New method predicts outcomes even when some factors are not used in models.
problem Predicting outcomes under runtime confounding where some factors are unavailable.
method Doubly-robust procedure for counterfactual predictions.
result Method often outperforms competing approaches in runtime confounding.
We present DCSVM, an efficient algorithm for multi-class classification using Support Vector Machines. DCSVM is a divide and conquer algorithm which relies on data sparsity in high dimensional space and performs a smart partitioning of the whole training data set into disjoint subsets that are easily separable. A singl…
The paper tackles uncertainty in multi-objective decision-making.
problem Learning Pareto-efficient decisions with statistical confidence in uncertain outcomes.
method Adapting Pareto-efficient decisions to uncertainty, using conformal prediction.
result Statistical guarantees for efficient decisions in uncertain contexts.
The paper uses GIS data to predict urban sprawl.
problem Overgrowth and expansion of low-density areas with car dependency and segregation.
method Data mining algorithms (Apriori, J4.8) adapted for geospatial analysis using ArcGIS.
result Prototype spatial decision support system (SDSS) predicts urban sprawl and estimates impact variables.
Decision analytics commonly focuses on the text mining of financial news sources in order to provide managerial decision support and to predict stock market movements. Existing predictive frameworks almost exclusively apply traditional machine learning methods, whereas recent research indicates that traditional machine…
Two new approaches improve decision-making in asset monitoring systems.
problem Sampling bias in risk-based active learning leads to poor performance later.
method Semi-supervised learning and discriminative classification models.
result Discriminative classifiers are more robust to sampling bias.
Paper tackles risk-sensitive decision-making under uncertainty.
problem Risk-sensitive decision-making problem under uncertainty.
method Formulated as a stochastic control problem, delineated necessary optimality conditions.
result Illustrative examples from optimal betting and inventory management support the theory.
Proposes MLPSVM for multi-label learning, improving on binary relevance.
problem Handles multi-label learning tasks more efficiently than binary relevance.
method Uses standard support vector machines with parallel decision hyper-planes.
result Outperforms other multi-label learning algorithms on various data sets.
The paper addresses the difficulty of decision makers trusting AI-assisted predictions and proposes a method to improve confidence values.
problem Decision makers struggle to trust AI-assisted predictions based on confidence values.
method The paper investigates why decision makers have difficulties and proposes a method to construct more useful confidence values.
result Multicalibration with respect to the decision maker's confidence on her own predictions is a sufficient condition for alignment, leading to better decisions.
A framework for data-driven decision-making in infectious disease control.
problem Optimizing trade-offs between public health and economic impacts.
method Multi-objective model-based reinforcement learning.
result Pareto-optimal policies minimizing long-term costs.
FST.ai 2.0 improves Taekwondo decision-making with AI, reducing review time and increasing trust.
problem Fair, transparent, and explainable decision-making in Taekwondo.
method Pose-based action recognition, epistemic uncertainty modeling, interactive dashboards.
result 85% reduction in decision review time, 93% referee trust in AI-assisted decisions.
Automated data-driven decision-making systems are ubiquitous across a wide spread of online as well as offline services. These systems, depend on sophisticated learning algorithms and available data, to optimize the service function for decision support assistance. However, there is a growing concern about the accounta…
Bayesian system helps identify and thwart terrorist plans.
problem Identifying and thwarting terrorist plans before they occur.
method Develops a Bayesian decision support system to integrate member and group activities.
result Estimates the combined threat posed by a terrorist group.
Develops adaptive algorithms for sustainable fertilizer use in agriculture.
problem Sustaining high yields while reducing environmental impacts of fertilizer use.
method Nonlinear model-based bandit algorithms linking biological processes to decision-making.
result Faster learning and higher profits with interpretable recommendations.
The paper studies how noisy labels impact decision-making in machine learning.
problem The impact of noisy labels on decision-making in machine learning.
method Introducing a notion of regret, studying standard approaches, and estimating individual-level mistakes.
result Standard approaches can lead to unforeseen mistakes for individuals, revealing the need for anticipation.
System uses conformal prediction to help experts make accurate decisions without understanding when to trust it.
problem Helping experts make accurate decisions in multiclass classification tasks.
method Develops an automated decision support system using conformal prediction to provide precise prediction sets and an efficient search method.
result System improves expert predictions by providing precise prediction sets and forcing experts to predict from these sets.
Simplifies decision-making during medical exams with cost-efficient feature acquisition.
problem Guiding physicians during examination acquisition for accurate and efficient diagnosis.
method Dropout at input layer and integrated gradients at test-time for dynamic feature importance.
result More cost- and feature-efficient than prior approaches, achieving higher overall accuracy.
An assistant learns to mediate decisions between humans and experts, balancing risk and learning.
problem Learning to mediate decisions between imperfect humans and expert knowledge.
method Formalizes online decision mediation, proposes a policy to balance immediate loss and future generalization.
result Consistent gains over benchmarks in decision-making performance.
Proposes TPIS for early and low-cost TB vs. pneumonia diagnosis.
problem Challenges in differentiating TB from pneumonia.
method Two-step decision support system with stacked ensemble classifiers.
result TPIS outperforms other methods in early and final diagnosis.
Deep learning, an area of machine learning, is set to revolutionize patient care. But it is not yet part of standard of care, especially when it comes to individual patient care. In fact, it is unclear to what extent data-driven techniques are being used to support clinical decision making (CDS). Heretofore, there has …
The main goal of statistical learning theory is to provide a fundamental framework for the problem of decision making and model construction based on sets of data. Here, we present a brief introduction to the fundamentals of statistical learning theory, in particular the difference between empirical and structural risk…
dboost optimizes prediction models for convex cone problems.
problem Optimizing prediction models for decision-making.
method Gradient boosting with implicit differentiation for convex quadratic cone programming.
result dboost reduces out-of-sample decision regret.
Survey of deep learning methods for time series forecasting.
problem Improving accuracy in time series predictions across various domains.
method Analysis of common encoder and decoder designs, hybrid models, and decision support.
result Advancements in deep learning for time series forecasting.