This paper studies a composite problem involving the decision making of the optimal entry time and dynamic consumption afterwards. In stage-1, the investor has access to full market information subjecting to some information costs and needs to choose an optimal stopping time to initiate stage-2; in stage-2, the investo…
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48 results for “Decision Formation”
Study optimal investment and consumption strategies for competitive agents with habit formation.
problem Optimal investment and consumption strategies for competitive agents with habit formation.
method Formulated n-agent game problems and mean field game problems, derived mean field equilibrium, constructed approximate Nash equilibrium.
result Explicit convergence order of approximate Nash equilibrium can be obtained.
Paper compares ML models for a wall-following robot, achieving high accuracy.
problem Improving prediction accuracy of a wall-following robot's direction.
method Trained various machine learning models on a dataset of ultrasound sensor readings.
result Presented machine learning models with higher accuracy than previous work.
GraphOpt learns the formation mechanism of graphs from observed structures.
problem Learning formation mechanisms from observed graphs with complex structural properties.
method GraphOpt uses maximum entropy inverse reinforcement learning to solve the link formation problem in a sequential decision-making process.
result GraphOpt discovers a latent objective function that can explain and transfer across different graphs.
Unified framework explains retirement and annuitization decisions under age-dependent mortality.
problem Complexity of annuitization decisions due to longevity risk and labor force participation.
method Stochastic control and optimal stopping framework with habit formation and endogenous labor supply.
result Rich sequence of retirement dynamics, including defensive and aggressive labor supply phases.
An agent-based model for financial markets has to incorporate two aspects: decision making and price formation. We introduce a simple decision model and consider its implications in two different pricing schemes. First, we study its parameter dependence within a supply-demand balance setting. We find realistic behavior…
A distinctive property of human and animal intelligence is the ability to form abstractions by neglecting irrelevant information which allows to separate structure from noise. From an information theoretic point of view abstractions are desirable because they allow for very efficient information processing. In artifici…
Source code reviews are manual, time-consuming, and expensive. Human involvement should be focused on analyzing the most relevant aspects of the program, such as logic and maintainability, rather than amending style, syntax, or formatting defects. Some tools with linting capabilities can format code automatically and r…
Method identifies galaxies with recent star formation variations.
problem Identify galaxies with recent star formation variations.
method Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) with machine learning.
result Flexible star formation histories are needed for accurate modeling.
What is the role of real-time control and learning in the formation of social conventions? To answer this question, we propose a computational model that matches human behavioral data in a social decision-making game that was analyzed both in discrete-time and continuous-time setups. Furthermore, unlike previous approa…
We revisit a recently introduced agent model[ACS {\bf 11}, 99 (2008)], where economic growth is a consequence of education (human capital formation) and innovation, and investigate the influence of the agents' social network, both on an agent's decision to pursue education and on the output of new ideas. Regular and ra…
Propositionalization is the process of summarizing relational data into a tabular (attribute-value) format. The resulting table can next be used by any propositional learner. This approach makes it possible to apply a wide variety of learning methods to relational data. However, the transformation from relational to pr…
Extends geometrical description of tensor manifolds in tree-based formats.
problem Geometrical description of tensor manifolds in tree-based formats.
method Provided a new geometrical description of manifolds of tensors in tree-based format.
result Geometrical description compatible with Tucker format.
DOFEN improves DNN performance on tabular data benchmarks.
problem DOFEN tackles the performance gap between DNNs and tree-based models on tabular data.
method DOFEN uses a two-level rODT forest ensembling process inspired by oblivious decision trees.
result DOFEN achieves state-of-the-art results on the Tabular Benchmark.
Proposes a framework to quantify uncertainty in multi-step decision-making by LLMs.
problem Uncertainty quantification in multi-step decision-making scenarios of LLMs.
method A principled, information-theoretic framework decomposing uncertainty into internal and extrinsic components, and proposing UProp for efficient extrinsic uncertainty estimation.
result UProp significantly outperforms existing single-turn UQ baselines in multi-step decision-making benchmarks.
New method detects heuristics in complex game strategies.
problem Understanding decision-making in games with infinite strategy spaces.
method Introducing decoupled strategies to detect convergence towards Nash equilibria.
result Predictive measure ΔD reveals participants' actions with high success rate.
Simulating fluid flow in geological formations requires mesh generation, lithology mapping to the cells, and computing geometric properties such as normal vectors and volume of cells. The purpose of this research work is to compute and process the geometrical information required for performing numerical simulations in…
Study singularity formation in Ricci flow solutions.
problem Understanding singularity behavior in noncompact manifolds.
method Analyzing complete Ricci flow solutions.
result Evidence for stability of generalized cylinders as singularity models.
The paper models network formation using mixed logit models.
problem Modeling network formation in various fields.
method Mixed logit models, specifically the repeated-choice (RC) model.
result The RC model outperforms the multinomial logit (MNL) model in estimating network formation.
SoccerCPD detects tactical changes in soccer matches using spatiotemporal tracking data.
problem Detecting consistent team formations in fluid sports like soccer.
method Two-step change-point detection: formation and role changes.
result Accurately detects tactical changes and estimates formation and role assignments.
Quantum mechanics models human perception and decision-making, offering a new approach to understanding social dynamics.
problem Understanding the complex interactions between individuals and groups in social networks.
method Developed a simple computational code based on quantum mechanics principles to model human perception and decision-making.
result Quantum-inspired models can help explain differences in individual and group behavior.
This study models AI traders' impact on financial markets using a multi-agent framework.
problem Lack of a comprehensive model to assess AI traders' effects on market price formation and volatility.
method Developed a multi-agent market model with microfoundations of the GARCH model.
result Validated the model through simulations and analyzed AI traders' impact.
Multiperiod Groundwater Marketsq-fin.TR
Modeling dynamic groundwater markets with price formation and trading strategies.
problem Understanding competitive effects in environmental markets with groundwater banking.
method Stochastic models and game theory with machine learning algorithms.
result Sub-game perfect Nash equilibria characterized by groundwater price processes.
Fairness State with Plastic Preferencesphysics.soc-ph
The definition of preferences assigned to individuals is a concept that concerns many disciplines, from economics, with the search of an acceptable outcome for an ensemble of individuals, to decision making an analysis of vote systems. We are concerned in the phenomena of good selection and economic fairness. In Arrow'…
Extends ONNX for quantized neural networks with new formats and operators.
problem Handling arbitrary-precision quantization in neural networks.
method Introduces new formats and operators in ONNX to represent quantized neural networks.
result Enabled representation of uniform quantization in neural networks.
This study models FOMC policy decisions using debate-based LLMs.
problem Accurately predicting central bank policy decisions, especially FOMC's, is challenging.
method A novel framework that simulates FOMC's collective decision-making process through iterative rounds of LLMs interacting as agents.
result The debate-based approach significantly outperforms standard LLMs in prediction accuracy.
Proves finite step termination of Kähler-Einstein metric singularity formation.
problem Singularity formation of Kähler-Einstein metrics.
method Finite step termination of bubble trees for singularity formation.
result Finite step termination of Kähler-Einstein metric singularity formation proved in non-collapsing situation.
Deep neural networks are commonly developed and trained in 32-bit floating point format. Significant gains in performance and energy efficiency could be realized by training and inference in numerical formats optimized for deep learning. Despite advances in limited precision inference in recent years, training of neura…
Introduces Conditional Action Trees to simplify RL action spaces.
problem Challenges in RL with large, complex action spaces.
method Structures action spaces and reduces complexity through Conditional Action Trees.
result Demonstrates effectiveness in reducing action space and improving decision making.
New method initializes sigmoidal MLPs for interpretable shapes.
problem Creating interpretable decision boundaries in neural networks.
method Introducing a geometry-aware initialization for sigmoidal multi-layer perceptrons (MLPs) using tropical geometry.
result Sigmoidal MLPs can have decision boundaries aligned with prescribed shapes at initialization.
How do Decisions Emerge across Layers in Neural Models? Interpretation with Differentiable Maskingcs.CL
Differentiable Masking reveals how neural models make decisions across layers.
problem Intractable and expensive approximate search for input relevance in deep models.
method Differentiable Masking learns to mask inputs while maintaining differentiability.
result Reveals how decisions are formed across network layers in BERT models.
Study shows formation of Kerr black holes with complete apparent horizons and proves Penrose inequalities.
problem Formation of Kerr black holes and Penrose inequalities.
method Combining gravitational-collapse and Kerr stability results with new coordinate changes and elliptic arguments.
result Proves dynamical and spacetime Penrose inequalities in black hole formation spacetimes.
Paper proves trapped surface formation for EMCSF system without symmetry assumptions.
problem Formation of trapped surfaces for the Einstein--Maxwell--charged scalar field system.
method Scale-critical trapped surface formation result established from past null infinity.
result Focusing of gravitational waves, concentration of electromagnetic fields, or condensation of scalar fields can lead to trapped surface formation.
Study on Kähler-Ricci flow and conformal submersion singularity formation.
problem Singularity formation of Kähler-Ricci flow on manifolds with conformal submersion.
method Derive conditions for the preservation of conformal submersion and analyze singularity formation.
result Formation of type I singularity and standard splitting of Cheeger-Gromov limit.
The main goal of this paper is to study the geometric structures associated with the representation of tensors in subspace based formats. To do this we use a property of the so-called minimal subspaces which allows us to describe the tensor representation by means of a rooted tree. By using the tree structure and the d…
Study equilibrium consumption habits in a large population using mean field games.
problem Equilibrium consumption under external habit formation in a large population.
method Formulated and solved mean field games for linear and multiplicative habit formation preferences, constructed approximate Nash equilibria for large n-player games.
result Characterized mean field equilibrium strategies and derived financial implications.
Unified framework models credit cycles and systemic risk.
problem Inadequate classical models for bubbles, crises, and credit cycles.
method Marshall-Walras price formation process and mathematical formalism.
result Unified framework reflects different economic states and systemic risk.
Order flow and price formationq-fin.TR
Analyzes how order flow affects price formation in financial markets.
problem Understanding how prices are formed by order flow in financial markets.
method Critical discussion of modeling approaches and empirical observations, focusing on market impact and transaction costs.
result Algorithmic trading impacts the quality and cost of trading.
In the past, financial stock markets have been studied with previous generations of multi-agent systems (MAS) that relied on zero-intelligence agents, and often the necessity to implement so-called noise traders to sub-optimally emulate price formation processes. However recent advances in the fields of neuroscience an…
MiFID II impacts European stock liquidity and price formation.
problem Impact of MiFID II on European stock liquidity and price formation.
method Analyzed effects of MiFID II on European stock markets, focusing on intraday and closing auction liquidity and tick size changes.
result Closing auction volumes increased and price formation became more efficient after MiFID II.
We seek to utilize the nonextensive statistics to the microscopic modeling of the interacting many-investor dynamics that drive the price changes in a market. The statistics of price changes are known to be fit well by the Students-T and power-law distributions of the nonextensive statistics. We therefore derive models…
System predicts ice formation to improve road safety.
problem Improving road safety through accurate ice formation prediction.
method Combining physical models and machine learning for data correction.
result Machine learning effectively corrects incorrect data in forecasts.
New method calibrates uncertainty in molecular property predictions.
problem Uncalibrated uncertainty estimates in molecular property predictions.
method Message Passing Neural Networks with calibrated probabilistic predictive distribution.
result Accurate molecular formation energy predictions with well-calibrated uncertainty.
Model asset pricing with habit formation in a large market.
problem Understanding asset pricing in large heterogeneous markets with habit formation.
method Mean field game theory and quadratic-growth mean field BSDEs.
result Derives a semi-analytic solution for asset pricing model.
The "standard" Merton formulation of optimal investment and consumption involves optimizing the integrated lifetime utility of consumption, suitably discounted, together with the discounted future bequest. In this formulation the utility of consumption at any given time depends only on the amount consumed at that time.…
Cooperative multi-agent reinforcement learning for high-dimensional nonequilibrium controlcond-mat.stat-mech
Study uses multi-agent reinforcement learning to control self-assembly with high-resolution external control.
problem Designing effective external control protocols for self-assembly with high-resolution control.
method Investigated a multi-agent reinforcement learning approach, comparing fully decentralized and partially decentralized strategies.
result Partially decentralized approach outperforms fully decentralized in controlling self-assembly towards target structures.
Modeling price formation in intraday electricity markets with renewable generation.
problem Price formation and optimal trading strategies in intraday electricity markets with intermittent renewable generation.
method Developed a tractable equilibrium model using stochastic control theory to identify optimal strategies and exhibit Nash equilibrium.
result Identified optimal trading strategies and exhibited Nash equilibrium in closed form for a finite number of agents and in the asymptotic framework of mean field games.
Study on price formation in a market with a major player and minor firms.
problem Equilibrium price formation in a market with a major financial firm and many minor firms.
method Analyzes the equilibrium price process in both finite and mean field models, considering idiosyncratic and common noises.
result Derives the functional form of price impact for the major firm in both market sizes.