This work evaluates and benchmarks calibration metrics for data-driven regression models.
problem Conflicting results from different calibration metrics make it hard to compare and interpret model performance.
method Systematically extracted and benchmarked 14 regression calibration metrics across various data types and recalibration methods.
result Many metrics disagree on the same recalibration result, highlighting the need for careful metric selection.
Data-driven approaches, most prominently deep learning, have become powerful tools for prediction in many domains. A natural question to ask is whether data-driven methods could also be used to predict global weather patterns days in advance. First studies show promise but the lack of a common dataset and evaluation me…
The paper proposes a method to predict the performance of data-driven algorithms using surrogate models.
problem Improving the performance prediction of data-driven knowledge discovery algorithms.
method Surrogate-assisted performance prediction using evolutionary modeling of clinical pathways.
result The proposed approach provides interpretable prediction of algorithm performance and quality.
The paper clusters group fairness metrics and visualizes them using PCA.
problem Measuring discrimination against socio-demographic groups using multiple metrics.
method Empirical observation and PCA visualization of fairness metrics.
result Group fairness metrics cluster into two or three main clusters.
GNPs learn operators on non-Euclidean geometries using neural networks.
problem Learning operators on complex geometries like manifolds.
method Geometric Neural Operators (GNPs) that incorporate geometric properties.
result GNPs can estimate metrics, solve PDEs, and learn LB operators on manifolds.
A new framework optimizes manufacturing decisions with less data and time.
problem Optimizing complex systems with multiple conflicting objectives.
method Data-driven Bayesian optimization using sequential learning.
result The proposed algorithm achieves the actual Pareto front with less data.
The paper offers guidelines for validating data-driven models.
problem Ensuring reliable validation of data-driven models.
method A set of general rules for model validation.
result Helps practitioners create reliable validation plans and report results transparently.
During the past decade, several areas of speech and language understanding have witnessed substantial breakthroughs from the use of data-driven models. In the area of dialogue systems, the trend is less obvious, and most practical systems are still built through significant engineering and expert knowledge. Nevertheles…
METASET selects diverse unit cells for efficient data-driven metamaterial design.
problem Imbalanced datasets in unit cells can bias data-driven metamaterial design.
method METASET uses similarity metrics and DPPs to select diverse subsets of unit cells.
result Smaller, diverse subsets improve search process and structural performance.
Estimates means in metric spaces using quantization.
problem No practical estimator for Fréchet means in all metric spaces.
method Introduced estimators based on random quantization and data-driven partitioning.
result Universal consistency of estimators across separable metric spaces and Banach spaces.
Develops DSD for analyzing multiscale biological networks.
problem Analyzing multiscale structure in biological networks.
method Data-driven diffusion process with multitemporal analysis.
result Parameter-free inference of intrinsic data structure.
New methods quantify uncertainties in AI weather forecasts.
problem Uncertainty in AI weather predictions.
method Comparing ensemble and post-hoc uncertainty quantification methods.
result Probabilistic forecasts improve over ensemble physics-based models.
We consider the analysis of high dimensional data given in the form of a matrix with columns consisting of observations and rows consisting of features. Often the data is such that the observations do not reside on a regular grid, and the given order of the features is arbitrary and does not convey a notion of locality…
A new portfolio model improves on Kelly's by accounting for estimation error.
problem Estimation error in Kelly portfolio optimization.
method Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization (DRO) to define a robust log-optimal portfolio.
result The Wasserstein-Kelly portfolio outperforms the Kelly portfolio in out-of-sample testing.
Algorithm classifies market regimes using time series signatures.
problem Classifying different market conditions from time series data.
method Utilizes path signatures and a metric structure for clustering.
result Established a connection between regime separation and point clustering.
Method predicts multistable system states from sparse measurements.
problem Predicting multistable system states from limited data.
method Semi-supervised classification with SPML optimization.
result 95% accuracy in predicting reaction-diffusion equation states.
Paper uses DeePC to improve urban traffic lights, reducing congestion and emissions.
problem Urban traffic congestion in expanding cities.
method Behavioral system theory, data-driven control, DeePC algorithm.
result DeePC outperforms existing traffic control methods in travel time and CO2 emissions.
Pipeline learns topological features for protein stability prediction.
problem Predicting protein stability using topological features.
method Data-driven method to learn topological features, comparing with expert features.
result Topological features achieve 92%-99% of SME-based models' performance.
Two simple methods learn fair metrics from data to improve fairness in ML tasks.
problem Lack of widely accepted fair metrics for many ML tasks hinders individual fairness adoption.
method Presented two simple ways to learn fair metrics from various data types.
result Fair training with learned metrics improves fairness on three ML tasks.
Two neural network models analyze bus system efficiency and demand.
problem Identify service gaps and quantify demand in public transportation.
method Two neural network models considering demographic data and metrics.
result Models can generalize to other cities' bus systems.
The paper discusses scalable learning for wireless data-driven systems.
problem Expanding data volume and model complexity limit centralized learning solutions.
method Discusses scalable architecture and local learning strategies.
result Promising research directions in scalable data-driven wireless communications.
New AI stock indices classify firms' AI engagement using 10-K filings.
problem Opaque AI selection criteria in existing ETFs.
method NLP analysis of 10-K filings to classify AI stocks.
result Companies with higher AI engagement have greater positive returns.
This paper reviews recent advances in the field of optimization under uncertainty via a modern data lens, highlights key research challenges and promise of data-driven optimization that organically integrates machine learning and mathematical programming for decision-making under uncertainty, and identifies potential r…
Paired autoencoders solve inverse problems using latent space projections.
problem Solving inverse problems in scientific computing.
method Paired autoencoder framework that projects data and quantity of interest into a latent space.
result Paired autoencoders generate multiple reconstruction metrics and enable latent-space refinement for accurate data fitting.
Optimal data-driven formulations are found for learning and decision-making with historical data.
problem Designing optimal learning and decision-making formulations from historical data.
method Define a yardstick for measuring formulation quality, then construct an optimal formulation that is uniformly closer to the true cost.
result Existence of three distinct out-of-sample performance regimes with corresponding optimal formulations.
A new method learns meaningful distances between samples using optimal transport.
problem Learning meaningful distances between samples in datasets without labeled data.
method Computes OT distances between samples and features using singular vectors of a function mapping ground metrics to OT distances.
result Wasserstein Singular Vectors provide a scalable solution for unsupervised ground metric learning.
A new method for support vector regression using a data-driven insensitive parameter.
problem Determining an optimal insensitive parameter in support vector regression.
method A data-driven approach to approximate the insensitive parameter by minimizing a generalized loss function based on the likelihood principle.
result The proposed method outperforms traditional support vector regression methods and has lower computational costs.
Optimizes natural frequencies of cellular composites with various microstructures.
problem Designing cellular composites with diverse microstructures for maximizing natural frequencies.
method Data-driven topology optimization with a latent-variable Gaussian process model.
result Cellular designs with multiclass microstructures achieve higher natural frequencies.
Paper presents a data-driven method for option pricing.
problem Option pricing accuracy under market volatility.
method Data-driven ensemble approach based on no-arbitrage theory.
result Model performance validated with real data.
A new neural network model simulates financial markets without assuming underlying dynamics.
problem Modeling financial time series without assuming underlying dynamics.
method Neural network based generative model using a parsimonious Variational Autoencoder framework.
result Works reliably in small data environments, providing a new performance evaluation metric.
Proposes data-driven methods for estimating conditional expectations.
problem Estimating conditional expectations when underlying density is unknown.
method Data-driven techniques to directly estimate conditional expectations from training data.
result Extends data-driven method to solve nonlinear equations in stochastic optimization.
Consider a nonparametric contextual multi-arm bandit problem where each arm a∈[K] is associated to a nonparametric reward function fa:[0,1]→R mapping from contexts to the expected reward. Suppose that there is a large set of arms, yet there is a simple but unknown structure amongst the arm reward…
Hybridizes physical and data-driven methods for predicting physicochemical properties.
problem Predicting physicochemical properties accurately using limited data.
method Distills physical method predictions into a prior model and combines with sparse experimental data using Bayesian inference.
result Significant improvements in predicting activity coefficients at infinite dilution compared to baselines and ensemble methods.
This research designs a data-driven partition to test independence between continuous variables.
problem Testing independence between continuous random variables.
method Empirical log-likelihood statistic and data-driven tree-structured partition.
result Strongly consistent test of independence over probability families.
Data-driven method for option pricing using historical asset prices.
problem Tackling the gap between historical asset prices and risk-neutral option pricing.
method Identifying a pricing kernel process, solving utility maximization and functional optimization problems using deep learning.
result Demonstrated the efficiency of the data-driven option pricing methodology.
We study the performance of data-driven, a priori and random approaches to label space partitioning for multi-label classification with a Gaussian Naive Bayes classifier. Experiments were performed on 12 benchmark data sets and evaluated on 5 established measures of classification quality: micro and macro averaged F1 s…
Study integrates machine learning with SAA for optimizing decisions based on uncertain parameters and covariates.
problem Optimizing decisions under uncertain parameters and covariates.
method Data-driven frameworks integrating machine learning prediction models within SAA for scenario generation.
result Consistent and asymptotically optimal solutions under certain conditions, with finite sample guarantees.
New framework for data-driven hyperparameter tuning with structured loss.
problem Statistical foundations for multi-dimensional hyperparameter tuning remain limited.
method General framework using real algebraic geometry for semi-algebraic function classes.
result First general guarantees for multi-dimensional hyperparameter tuning.
Proposes a method to learn both constraints and objective functions from data.
problem Data-driven inverse optimization for mixed-integer linear programs (MILPs).
method Two-stage approach: first learns constraints, then estimates objective-function weights conditioned on learned constraints.
result Proposes and validates a method for learning both objective functions and constraints from data.
Examines performance metrics for ML models in engineering.
problem Identifying proper assessment metrics for ML models.
method Analyzes commonly-used metrics for regression and classification.
result Identifies key performance metrics for ML models.
This study analyzes decision-making in diverse environments where past data may not predict future outcomes.
problem How to make decisions when past data is not indicative of future outcomes due to unobserved confounders.
method Developed a framework to analyze and bound the performance of data-driven policies in heterogeneous environments.
result Established a method to upper bound the asymptotic worst-case regret of policies and analyzed the performance of Sample Average Approximation (SAA).
Data-driven approach learns effective equations for phase field interfaces.
problem Learning accurate equations for phase field interface dynamics.
method Data-driven identification of partial differential equations from phase field data.
result Data-driven equations outperform analytical approximations in certain regimes.
Data-driven models analyze power grids under incomplete physical information, and their accuracy has been mostly validated empirically using certain training and testing datasets. This paper explores error bounds for data-driven models under all possible training and testing scenarios, and proposes an evaluation implem…
Efficient auto-tuning for DR hyperparameters with BO.
problem Hyperparameter selection in DR for large-scale datasets.
method Bayesian optimization with surrogate model, normalization, subsampling.
result Robust and efficient hyperparameter selection for DR algorithms.
RCUKF combines data-driven modeling and Bayesian estimation for accurate system state estimation.
problem Challenges in obtaining reliable process models for complex systems.
method Integrates reservoir computing with unscented Kalman filtering.
result Demonstrated effectiveness on benchmark problems and real-time vehicle trajectory estimation.
BERT learns molecular substructures for chemistry problems.
problem Predicting chemical properties and synthesizing molecules.
method Transformer-based BERT model on molecule string representations, attention visualization.
result BERT learns to represent functional groups and atoms for various chemical properties.
Stochastic cutting planes improve data-driven optimization speed.
problem Data-driven Mixed-Integer Nonlinear Optimization problems.
method Stochastic version of cutting-plane method.
result Stochastic algorithm converges to ε-optimal solution with high probability.
Most structure inference methods either rely on exhaustive search or are purely data-driven. Exhaustive search robustly infers the structure of arbitrarily complex data, but it is slow. Data-driven methods allow efficient inference, but do not generalize when test data have more complex structures than training data. I…