A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
We provide conditions for the existence and the unicity of strictly stationary solutions of the usual Dynamic Conditional Correlation GARCH models (DCC-GARCH). The proof is based on Tweedie's (1988) criteria, after having rewritten DCC-GARCH models as nonlinear Markov chains. Moreover, we study the existence of their f…
The study analyzes macroeconomic factors affecting copper futures volatility and long-term correlation with S&P 500.
problem Understanding the impact of macroeconomic variables on copper futures volatility and long-term correlation.
method Employed GARCH-MIDAS and DCC-MIDAS modeling frameworks to examine the influence of low-frequency macroeconomic variables on copper futures returns and long-term correlation with S&P 500.
result PPI is the most efficient macroeconomic variable impacting copper futures returns, and MIDAS filter improves model fitness and long-run relationship.
Study reveals dynamic linkage between Peanut and Soybean Oil futures markets.
problem Exploring interdependence between Peanut and other agricultural commodities in Chinese futures market.
method Constructed multivariate linear regression models and used VAR and DCC-EGARCH models for dynamic relationships. Applied MLP, CNN, and LSTM neural networks for price prediction.
result Significant dynamic linkage between Peanut and Soybean Oil futures markets through DCC-EGARCH, limited influence from other futures markets through VAR model.
Search-oriented conversational systems rely on information needs expressed in natural language (NL). We focus here on the understanding of NL expressions for building keyword-based queries. We propose a reinforcement-learning-driven translation model framework able to 1) learn the translation from NL expressions to que…
A nonlinear wave alternative for the standard Black-Scholes option-pricing model is presented. The adaptive-wave model, representing 'controlled Brownian behavior' of financial markets, is formally defined by adaptive nonlinear Schrödinger (NLS) equations, defining the option-pricing wave function in terms of the stock…
Autonomous reinforcement learning agents, like children, do not have access to predefined goals and reward functions. They must discover potential goals, learn their own reward functions and engage in their own learning trajectory. Children, however, benefit from exposure to language, helping to organize and mediate th…
We propose a new cognitive framework for option price modelling, using quantum neural computation formalism. Briefly, when we apply a classical nonlinear neural-network learning to a linear quantum Schrödinger equation, as a result we get a nonlinear Schrödinger equation (NLS), performing as a quantum stochastic filter…
We consider the learning from noisy labels (NL) problem which emerges in many real-world applications. In addition to the widely-studied synthetic noise in the NL literature, we also consider the pseudo labels in semi-supervised learning (Semi-SL) as a special case of NL. For both types of noise, we argue that the gene…
An important feature of successful supervised machine learning applications is to be able to explain the predictions given by the regression or classification model being used. However, most state-of-the-art models that have good predictive power lead to predictions that are hard to interpret. Thus, several model-agnos…
Program synthesis from natural language (NL) is practical for humans and, once technically feasible, would significantly facilitate software development and revolutionize end-user programming. We present SAPS, an end-to-end neural network capable of mapping relatively complex, multi-sentence NL specifications to snippe…
The aim of this paper is to investigate the relations between Seifert manifolds and (1,1)-knots. In particular, we prove that every orientable Seifert manifold with invariants {Oo,0|-1;(p,q),...,(p,q),(l, l-1)} has a cyclically presented fundamental group and, moreover, it is the n-fold strongly-cyclic covering of the …
The study shows that several properties are not profinite invariants.
problem Determining which properties are profinite invariants.
method Combining Rips constructions and iterated group-theoretic Dehn filling on hyperbolic virtually special groups.
result Several properties (stable commutator length, quasimorphisms, property NL, property FW∞, property FA, and non-abelian free subgroups) are not profinite invariants.
ETF approval boosts Bitcoin's correlation with equities, stabilizes with gold, and maintains negative correlation with fiat currencies.
problem Impact of Bitcoin ETF approval on Bitcoin's relationships with traditional assets.
method Rolling correlation analysis, Chow tests, and DCC-GARCH models.
result Bitcoin's correlation with equities increased significantly post-ETF approval, while its relationship with gold stabilized and remained negatively correlated with fiat currencies.
Recent advances in randomized incremental methods for minimizing L-smooth μ-strongly convex finite sums have culminated in tight complexity of O~((n+nL/μ)log(1/ε)) and O(n+nL/ε), where μ>0 and μ=0, respectively, and n denotes the number of individual functions. Unlike incremental me…
In the present work we analyse the dynamics of indirect connections between insurance companies that result from market price channels. In our analysis we assume that the stock quotations of insurance companies reflect market sentiments which constitute a very important systemic risk factor. Interlinkages between insur…
Road extraction from very high resolution satellite (VHR) images is one of the most important topics in the field of remote sensing. In this paper, we propose an efficient Non-Local LinkNet with non-local blocks that can grasp relations between global features. This enables each spatial feature point to refer to all ot…
This letter explores the behavior of conditional correlations among main cryptocurrencies, stock and bond indices, and gold, using a generalized DCC class model. From a portfolio management point of view, asset correlation is a key metric in order to construct efficient portfolios. We find that: (i) correlations among …
Recently, a novel adaptive wave model for financial option pricing has been proposed in the form of adaptive nonlinear Schrödinger (NLS) equation [Ivancevic a], as a high-complexity alternative to the linear Black-Scholes-Merton model [Black-Scholes-Merton]. Its quantum-mechanical basis has been elaborated in [Ivancevi…
In discrete choice modeling (DCM), model misspecifications may lead to limited predictability and biased parameter estimates. In this paper, we propose a new approach for estimating choice models in which we divide the systematic part of the utility specification into (i) a knowledge-driven part, and (ii) a data-driven…
Adaptive wave model for financial option pricing is proposed, as a high-complexity alternative to the standard Black--Scholes model. The new option-pricing model, representing a controlled Brownian motion, includes two wave-type approaches: nonlinear and quantum, both based on (adaptive form of) the Schrödinger equatio…