A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Copula Discrepancy benchmarks sample dependence structure against known families.
A new copula, the checkerboard copula, maximizes entropy and preserves dependence.
Discovering associations is of central importance in scientific practices. Currently, most researches consider only linear association measured by correlation coefficient, which has its theoretical limitations. In this paper, we propose a new method for discovering association with copula entropy -- a universal applica…
MIND estimates mutual information from ordinal data without full distributional knowledge.
Causal discovery is a fundamental problem in statistics and has wide applications in different fields. Transfer Entropy (TE) is a important notion defined for measuring causality, which is essentially conditional Mutual Information (MI). Copula Entropy (CE) is a theory on measurement of statistical independence and is …
Software estimates inequality in random systems with changing communities.
This study uses Tsallis entropy to analyze diversification and integration in Italian stock market companies.
We discuss the connection between information and copula theories by showing that a copula can be employed to decompose the information content of a multivariate distribution into marginal and dependence components, with the latter quantified by the mutual information. We define the information excess as a measure of d…
Variable selection is of significant importance for classification and regression tasks in machine learning and statistical applications where both predictability and explainability are needed. In this paper, a Copula Entropy (CE) based method for variable selection which use CE based ranks to select variables is propo…
This paper fills in local bounds for Spearman's footrule and Gini's gamma measures of association.
--- the companies populating a Stock market, along with their connections, can be effectively modeled through a directed network, where the nodes represent the companies, and the links indicate the ownership. This paper deals with this theme and discusses the concentration of a market. A cross-shareholding matrix is co…
Local gaps in Ricci shrinkers depend only on dimension.
Study simplicial volume for fixed fundamental groups, finding gaps.
Study shows how to count and equidistribute cusped Hitchin representations with entropy gaps.
The paper proves lower bounds for Gaussian-weighted curvature integrals of self-shrinkers.
Study on automorphisms of K3 and Enriques surfaces, proving entropy gaps and achirality.
We performed a comprehensive analysis on the price bounds of CDO tranche options, and illustrated that the CDO tranche option prices can be effectively bounded by the joint distribution of default time (JDDT) from a default time copula. Systemic and idiosyncratic factors beyond the JDDT only contribute a limited amount…
New bound limits generalization gap for large models, independent of model complexity.
Develops correlation number for specific potentials and Hitchin representations.
In this paper we discuss the asymptotic entropy for ancient solutions to the Ricci flow. We prove a gap theorem for ancient solutions, which could be regarded as an entropy counterpart of Yokota's work. In addition, we prove that under some assumptions on one time slice of a complete ancient solution with nonnegative c…
Study on self-similar solutions of supercritical Fujita equation, proving entropy and energy gap.
Paper predicts TUG score from gait characteristics using machine learning.
We present simple and computationally efficient nonparametric estimators of Rényi entropy and mutual information based on an i.i.d. sample drawn from an unknown, absolutely continuous distribution over . The estimators are calculated as the sum of -th powers of the Euclidean lengths of the edges of the `genera…
Detecting and recovering labels in binomial logistic mixtures is challenging due to an information gap.
Copula models have become popular in different applications, including modeling shocks, in view of their ability to describe better the dependence concepts in stochastic systems. The class of maxmin copulas was recently introduced by Omladič and Ružić. It extends the well known classes of Marshall-Olkin and Marshall co…
Levy copulas are the most general concept to capture jump dependence in multivariate Levy processes. They translate the intuition and many features of the copula concept into a time series setting. A challenge faced by both, distributional and Levy copulas, is to find flexible but still applicable models for higher dim…
This paper proposes a new class of copulas which characterize the set of all twice continuously differentiable copulas. We show that our proposed new class of copulas is a new generalized copula family that include not only asymmetric copulas but also all smooth copula families available in the current literature. Spea…
Synthetic population generation is the process of combining multiple socioeconomic and demographic datasets from different sources and/or granularity levels, and downscaling them to an individual level. Although it is a fundamental step for many data science tasks, an efficient and standard framework is absent. In this…
We provide a set of copulas that can be interpreted as having the negative extreme dependence. This set of copulas is interesting because it coincides with countermonotonic copula for a bivariate case, and more importantly, is shown to be minimal in concordance ordering in the sense that no copula exists which is stric…
We consider the entropy of the solution to the heat equation on a Riemannian manifold. When the manifold is compact, we provide two estimates on the rate of change of the entropy in terms of the lower bound on the Ricci curvature and the spectral gap respectively. Our explicit computation for the three dimensional hype…
This paper develops copula-based models for forecasting multivariate realized volatility.
We propose to use nonparametric Bernstein copulas as bivariate pair-copulas in high-dimensional vine models. The resulting smooth and nonparametric vine copulas completely obviate the error-prone need for choosing the pair-copulas from parametric copula families. By means of a simulation study and an empirical analysis…
The entropy of a hypersurface is a geometric invariant that measures complexity and is invariant under rigid motions and dilations. It is given by the supremum over all Gaussian integrals with varying centers and scales. It is monotone under mean curvature flow, thus giving a Lyapunov functional. Therefore, the entropy…
All too often measuring statistical dependencies between financial time series is reduced to a linear correlation coefficient. However this may not capture all facets of reality. We study empirical dependencies of daily stock returns by their pairwise copulas. Here we investigate particularly to which extent the non-st…
Copula is a powerful tool to model multivariate data. We propose the modelling of intraday financial returns of multiple assets through copula. The problem originates due to the asynchronous nature of intraday financial data. We propose a consistent estimator of the correlation coefficient in case of Elliptical copula …
Paper compares MCMC-based copula methods for exchange option pricing.
The Cayley hyperbolic space minimizes volume entropy among finite-volume metrics.
A new copula estimation method using classification.
The study models insurance dependence using Bernstein copulas.
In this paper we introduce some new copulas emerging from shock models. It was shown earlier that reflected maxmin copulas (RMM for short) are not just some specific singular copulas; they contain many important absolutely continuous copulas including the negative quadrant dependent part of the Eyraud-Farlie-Gumbel-Mor…
We introduce a new functional measure of tail dependence for weakly dependent (asymptotically independent) random vectors, termed weak tail dependence function. The new measure is defined at the level of copulas and we compute it for several copula families such as the Gaussian copula, copulas of a class of Gaussian mi…
In the classical best arm identification (Best--Arm) problem, we are given stochastic bandit arms, each associated with a reward distribution with an unknown mean. We would like to identify the arm with the largest mean with probability at least , using as few samples as possible. Understanding the sample c…
Copulas allow to learn marginal distributions separately from the multivariate dependence structure (copula) that links them together into a density function. Vine factorizations ease the learning of high-dimensional copulas by constructing a hierarchy of conditional bivariate copulas. However, to simplify inference, i…
Paper uses a new copula to model risk aggregation and capital allocation.
The standard intensity-based approach for modeling defaults is generalized by making the deterministic term structure of the survival probability stochastic via a common jump process. The survival copula of the vector of default times is derived and it is shown to be explicit and of the functional form as dealt with in…
Study uses copulas and DCC-GARCH for multivariate risk analysis of VaR and CVaR.
A new copula minimizes distance between distributions.
Copulas have become an important tool in the modern best practice Enterprise Risk Management, often supplanting other approaches to modelling stochastic dependence. However, choosing the `right' copula is not an easy task, and the temptation to prefer a tractable rather than a meaningful candidate from the encompassing…