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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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275380106 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Catastrophe Avoidance

Study analyzes catastrophic forgetting in continual learning using teacher-student networks.

problem Catastrophic forgetting in continuously learning systems.
method Teacher-student learning framework, similarity of input distributions and target functions.
result Network can avoid catastrophic forgetting with small input distribution similarity and large target function similarity.

In this paper, we propose a new method to overcome catastrophic forgetting by adding generative regularization to Bayesian inference framework. Bayesian method provides a general framework for continual learning. We could further construct a generative regularization term for all given classification models by leveragi…

2019-12-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Variational autoencoder (VAE) is a deep generative model for unsupervised learning, allowing to encode observations into the meaningful latent space. VAE is prone to catastrophic forgetting when tasks arrive sequentially, and only the data for the current one is available. We address this problem of continual learning …

2019-08-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper formalizes continual learning, proposing a feature extraction approach.

problem Learning from multiple environments without forgetting previous ones.
method Feature extraction framework and gradient-based algorithm DPGD.
result Efficient algorithm DPGD avoids catastrophic forgetting.

Framework for lifelong learning using eigentasks to avoid forgetting and transfer knowledge.

problem Avoiding forgetting and transferring knowledge in lifelong learning.
method Eigentask framework: skills paired with generative models, wake-sleep cycle for learning and consolidation.
result Improved performance in supervised continual learning, evidence of forward knowledge transfer.

The paper tackles safe exploration in RL by a conservative safety critic.

problem Safe exploration in reinforcement learning (RL) when partially trained policies are deployed.
method Learning a conservative safety estimate through a critic, provably bounding catastrophic failures.
result The approach provably converges to competitive task performance with significantly lower catastrophic failure rates.

Sparse routing networks with co-training prevent catastrophic forgetting in continual learning.

problem Catastrophic forgetting in neural networks trained on a sequence of tasks.
method Sparse routing networks with co-training to minimize interference between dissimilar tasks.
result Sparse routing networks with co-training outperform densely connected networks on benchmarks.

A novel approach stores encoded images as centroids and covariance matrices to improve classification accuracy with less memory.

problem Catastrophic forgetting and memory limitations in continual learning.
method Trains autoencoders with Neural Style Transfer to encode images, replay encoded episodes to avoid forgetting, and use centroids and covariance matrices for pseudo-images when memory is full.
result Increases classification accuracy by 13-17% over state-of-the-art methods on benchmark datasets, while requiring 78% less storage space.

Efficient regularization mitigates catastrophic overfitting in single-step adversarial training.

problem Catastrophic overfitting in single-step adversarial training.
method ELLE regularization term to enforce local linearity of the loss function.
result Our regularization term effectively mitigates catastrophic overfitting without the drawbacks of previous methods.

Approaches to continual learning aim to successfully learn a set of related tasks that arrive in an online manner. Recently, several frameworks have been developed which enable deep learning to be deployed in this learning scenario. A key modelling decision is to what extent the architecture should be shared across tas…

2019-11-21abs ↗pdf ↗

ANPyC combats forgetting by pruning and consolidating neural parameters.

problem Catastrophic forgetting in neural networks, especially with long-term tasks.
method Adversarial Neural Pruning and Synaptic Consolidation (ANPyC) to balance task-relevant and irrelevant parameters.
result ANPyC prevents forgetting while enabling efficient learning of multiple tasks.

TradeR uses RL to execute trades in real markets, minimizing surprise and catastrophe.

problem Minimizing surprise and catastrophe in high-frequency trading.
method Hierarchical RL with energy-based surprise value function.
result TradeR outperforms in abrupt price changes and maintains profitability.

Lifelong learning with deep neural networks is well-known to suffer from catastrophic forgetting: the performance on previous tasks drastically degrades when learning a new task. To alleviate this effect, we propose to leverage a large stream of unlabeled data easily obtainable in the wild. In particular, we design a n…

2019-03-29abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper develops variational continual learning (VCL), a simple but general framework for continual learning that fuses online variational inference (VI) and recent advances in Monte Carlo VI for neural networks. The framework can successfully train both deep discriminative models and deep generative models in compl…

2017-10-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Continual learning models allow to learn and adapt to new changes and tasks over time. However, in continual and sequential learning scenarios in which the models are trained using different data with various distributions, neural networks tend to forget the previously learned knowledge. This phenomenon is often referr…

2019-10-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper tackles class-incremental learning by combining self-supervised learning to mitigate prior information loss.

problem Catastrophic forgetting and prior information loss in class-incremental learning.
method Combining self-supervised learning with class-incremental learning to mitigate prior information loss.
result Proposed method outperforms state-of-the-art methods.

We describe a limitation in the expressiveness of the predictive uncertainty estimate given by mean-field variational inference (MFVI), a popular approximate inference method for Bayesian neural networks. In particular, MFVI fails to give calibrated uncertainty estimates in between separated regions of observations. Th…

2019-06-27abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper values reinsurance contracts for dynamic catastrophe claims without arbitrage.

problem Valuation of reinsurance contracts for dynamic catastrophe claims without arbitrage.
method Compound dynamic contagion process, Esscher transform, Monte Carlo simulation.
result Arbitrage-free premiums for catastrophe stop-loss reinsurance contracts.

Meta-learning approach improves object detection on new classes.

problem Deterioration of object detection performance on old classes in incremental settings.
method Meta-learning to reshape model gradients for optimal task adaptation.
result Meta-learning approach outperforms state-of-the-art methods in incremental object detection.

Random forest predicts catastrophe bond spreads with 93% accuracy.

problem Predicting spreads in the primary catastrophe bond market.
method Random forest approach using all information in offering circulars.
result Random forest explains 93% of spread variability, significantly better than linear regression (47%).

Adam optimizer leads to more forgetting in neural networks.

problem Understanding and quantifying catastrophic forgetting in neural networks.
method Comparative analysis of various optimization algorithms and metrics in different learning scenarios.
result Adam optimizer causes more forgetting compared to classical algorithms like SGD.

Bayesian online meta-learning framework tackles catastrophic forgetting in few-shot classification.

problem Catastrophic forgetting in few-shot classification problems.
method Bayesian online learning, meta-learning, Laplace approximation, variational inference.
result Framework effectively achieves goal of overcoming catastrophic forgetting in few-shot classification.

Paper introduces Auto DeepVis to explain catastrophic forgetting in continual learning.

problem Catastrophic forgetting in continual learning of deep neural networks.
method Auto DeepVis and critical freezing techniques to address catastrophic forgetting.
result Critical freezing outperforms other methods on both past and future tasks.

Optimizes diversification in catastrophe risk pooling using asymptotic analysis.

problem Maximizing diversification benefit from catastrophic events in insurance pools.
method Asymptotic analysis to solve high-dimensional optimization problem.
result Derives an asymptotically optimal pool that approximates practical optimal pool.

In order to mimic the human ability of continual acquisition and transfer of knowledge across various tasks, a learning system needs the capability for continual learning, effectively utilizing the previously acquired skills. As such, the key challenge is to transfer and generalize the knowledge learned from one task t…

2019-08-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Framework for safely updating machine learning models.

problem Continuous updates to machine learning models can lead to unintended consequences.
method Formalizes the problem as computing the largest locally invariant domain (LID), uses tractable primal-dual formulation.
result Matches or exceeds heuristic baselines for avoiding forgetting while providing formal safety guarantees.

In the continual learning setting, tasks are encountered sequentially. The goal is to learn whilst i) avoiding catastrophic forgetting, ii) efficiently using model capacity, and iii) employing forward and backward transfer learning. In this paper, we explore how the Variational Continual Learning (VCL) framework achiev…

2019-05-06abs ↗pdf ↗