Interpretable companion model for black-box classifiers.
problem Dilemma between interpretable and black-box models.
method Trains a companion model from data and black-box model predictions, optimizing a combination of accuracy and complexity.
result Companion model provides interpretable predictions with a slight accuracy loss for user choice.
The paper challenges the notion that asset return doesn't affect Black-Scholes-Merton model.
problem The role of asset return in the Black-Scholes-Merton model.
method Refutation of the claim through simplified stochastic calculus approach.
result The expected rate of return of the underlying asset does affect the Black-Scholes-Merton model.
Black box machine learning models are currently being used for high stakes decision-making throughout society, causing problems throughout healthcare, criminal justice, and in other domains. People have hoped that creating methods for explaining these black box models will alleviate some of these problems, but trying t…
Black-box risk scoring models permeate our lives, yet are typically proprietary or opaque. We propose Distill-and-Compare, a model distillation and comparison approach to audit such models. To gain insight into black-box models, we treat them as teachers, training transparent student models to mimic the risk scores ass…
Over the past three decades, black holes have played an important role in quantum gravity, mathematical physics, numerical relativity and gravitational wave phenomenology. However, conceptual settings and mathematical models used to discuss them have varied considerably from one area to another. Over the last five year…
Modeling stochastic arbitrage bubbles in Black-Scholes framework.
problem Analyzing arbitrage bubbles in financial markets.
method Developed a generalized Black-Scholes equation with stochastic arbitrage bubbles.
result The Black-Scholes model is a low-energy limit of a stochastic model.
Spanning attack improves black-box attacks with unlabeled data.
problem Query inefficiency in black-box attacks due to high input space dimensionality.
method Proposes spanning attack by constraining adversarial perturbations in a low-dimensional subspace via an auxiliary unlabeled dataset.
result Significantly improves query efficiency of black-box attacks.
Derives Black-Scholes model without stochastic calculus or PDEs.
problem Deriving the Black-Scholes model without advanced math.
method Continuum limit of Binomial tree approach.
result Derives Black-Scholes model and exchange-option generalization.
Extends Black model to include commodities with potential negative prices.
problem Modeling commodities with the possibility of negative prices due to delivery failures.
method Integrates a `delivery liability' option into the Black model.
result Validates the approach through a simple generalization of the Black model.
REST improves robustness of black-box models to geometric transformations.
problem Overconfident incorrect predictions on out-of-distribution samples.
method REinforcement Spatial Transform learner (REST) that transforms input data into in-distribution samples.
result Improves robustness to geometric transformations and sample efficiency.
Study reviews Bachelier model for negative oil prices post-COVID.
problem Negative oil futures prices due to COVID-19.
method Literature review and model comparison.
result Connects Black-Scholes and Bachelier models for option pricing.
New method optimizes black-box functions using generative models and Wasserstein distance.
problem Optimizing black-box functions with stochastic responses in high dimensions.
method Deep generative surrogate models and Wasserstein distance for uncertainty estimation.
result Method outperforms state-of-the-art methods in robustness to function shape and stochasticity.
Generalizes Black-Scholes model for option pricing under uncertainty.
problem Traditional Black-Scholes model for option pricing under uncertainty.
method Generalized Black-Scholes model using non-symmetric Dirichlet forms and abstract PDE theory.
result Well-posedness of the generalized model established.
Adapts model-based advice to stabilize black-box policies for nonlinear control.
problem Stabilizing machine-learned policies for nonlinear control with limited model information.
method Proposes an adaptive λ-confident policy to combine black-box and model-based advice. result Proves the stability of the adaptive λ-confident policy and its competitive ratio. Interpretable machine learning has become a strong competitor for traditional black-box models. However, the possible loss of the predictive performance for gaining interpretability is often inevitable, putting practitioners in a dilemma of choosing between high accuracy (black-box models) and interpretability (interpr…
Paper revisits Black-Scholes model, proving solution existence and measuring market uncertainty.
problem Proving existence of solution in inverse Black-Scholes model.
method Rigorous proof and empirical study using finite element method.
result New measure of market uncertainty developed.
Enhanced Black-Scholes model for option pricing with stochastic volatility and interest rate variability.
problem Improving option pricing accuracy in volatile financial markets.
method Extended Black-Scholes model using finite difference method and LSTM machine learning.
result Finite difference method outperforms LSTM in computational efficiency but not in accuracy.
NP-Attack reduces query counts for black-box adversarial attacks.
problem Efficiency of black-box adversarial attacks is low.
method Uses Neural Process to characterize image structure and find adversarial examples.
result NP-Attack significantly decreases query counts.
New method improves black-box attacks using pre-trained models.
problem Efficiently attacking black-box models with limited information.
method EigenBA algorithm leveraging pre-trained white-box model's Jacobian matrix.
result Optimal perturbations are related to right singular vectors of Jacobian matrix.
Driven by an increasing need for model interpretability, interpretable models have become strong competitors for black-box models in many real applications. In this paper, we propose a novel type of model where interpretable models compete and collaborate with black-box models. We present the Model-Agnostic Linear Comp…
Quantum mechanics models for financial Black-Scholes model.
problem Modeling financial derivatives using quantum mechanics.
method Noncommutative quantum mechanics applied to specific mechanical systems.
result Generalized noncommutative quantum mechanics of financial models.
Black-Scholes equation, after a certain coordinate transformation, is equivalent to the heat equation. On the other hand the relativistic extension of the latter, the telegraphers equation, can be derived from the Euclidean version of the Dirac equation. Therefore the relativistic extension of the Black-Scholes model f…
Understanding how a learned black box works is of crucial interest for the future of Machine Learning. In this paper, we pioneer the question of the global interpretability of learned black box models that assign numerical values to symbolic sequential data. To tackle that task, we propose a spectral algorithm for the …
The Black-Scholes model (sometimes known as the Black-Scholes-Merton model) gives a theoretical estimate for the price of European options. The price evolution under this model is described by the Black-Scholes formula, one of the most well-known formulas in mathematical finance. For their discovery, Merton and Scholes…
P-BO reduces black-box adversarial attacks by 10x with Bayesian optimization and function prior.
problem Efficiently generating adversarial examples against black-box models.
method Prior-guided Bayesian Optimization (P-BO) with a function prior initialized from a surrogate model.
result Significantly reduces the number of queries needed for adversarial attacks.
Develops method to assess feature importance in black-box models for unconditional distribution.
problem Lack of methods to analyze feature importance in black-box models for unconditional distribution.
method Approximation method to compute feature importance curves for unconditional distribution.
result Produces sparse and faithful results, computationally efficient.
Efficient numerical method for time-fractional Black-Scholes model.
problem Solving time-fractional Black-Scholes equations for European options.
method Crank-Nicolson discretization for time, exponential B-spline for space.
result The proposed method is unconditionally stable and superior to existing approaches.
We study some aspects of spherical symmetric dyonic non-supersymmetric black holes in 4dN=1 supergravity coupled to chiral and vector multiplets on Kähler-Ricci solitons. Then, we have a family of dyonic non-supersymmetric black holes deformed with respect to the flow parameter related to the Kähler-Ricci soliton…
We address a non-unique parameter fitting problem in the context of material science. In particular, we propose to resolve ambiguities in parameter space by augmenting a black-box artificial neural network (ANN) model with two different levels of expert knowledge and benchmark them against a pure black-box model.
Enhanced pairs trading with Black-Litterman model outperforms market indexes.
problem Underperformance of pairs trading in volatile or distressed markets.
method Integrated Black-Litterman model with pairs trading strategy.
result Superior performance compared to S\&P 500 index under various market conditions.
New black hole models with both null and spacelike singularities.
problem Understanding singularities in black hole spacetimes.
method Developed a new spacelike-characteristic gluing method to construct black hole spacetimes.
result First examples of black holes with coexisting null and spacelike singularities.
Many deployed learned models are black boxes: given input, returns output. Internal information about the model, such as the architecture, optimisation procedure, or training data, is not disclosed explicitly as it might contain proprietary information or make the system more vulnerable. This work shows that such attri…
Paper introduces DNTs to clone black-box models efficiently.
problem Cloning functionality of black-box models.
method Deep Neural Trees (DNTs) trained with active learning.
result Trained DNT can clone task-specific behavior of black-box models.
Neural network learns to solve Black-Scholes for stock options.
problem Stock option pricing using the Black-Scholes Equation.
method Neural Networks applied to solve the Black-Scholes Equation.
result Neural network can accurately forecast stock option prices.
Develops transparent global models consistent with local explanations.
problem Creating globally interpretable models that align with local explanations from black-box models.
method Custom boolean features from sparse local contrastive explanations are used to train a globally transparent model.
result Custom transparent models have higher local consistency compared to other strategies.
The paper introduces a portfolio construction method using Black-Litterman model and factors.
problem Developing an efficient portfolio construction method using Black-Litterman model and factors.
method The method involves selecting 20 factors based on global market, asset class, and stock characteristics, applying various weight allocation methods including Black-Litterman model, and incorporating deep learning for dynamic weight updates.
result The model using Black-Litterman and deep learning outperforms other weight allocation schemes.
The paper extends statistical inference methods for black-box generative models.
problem Understanding and validating black-box generative models without access to their internal data.
method Develops model-level statistical inference tasks using generative model representations.
result Model-level representations are effective for multiple inference tasks.
An investor faced with a contingent claim may eliminate risk by perfect hedging, but as it is often quite expensive, he seeks partial hedging (quantile hedging or efficient hedging) that requires less capital and reduces the risk. Efficient hedging for European call option was considered in the standard Black-Scholes m…
This paper compares analytical and numerical solutions of the Black-Scholes model.
problem Comparing analytical and numerical methods for solving the Black-Scholes model.
method Analytical solution (variable separation) and numerical solution (finite differences) of the Black-Scholes equation.
result Numerical solutions provide more accurate results for complex scenarios.
Black women and white men have the highest income disparity in the U.S.
problem Income inequality between black women and white men in the USA
method Dynamic microeconomic model, analyzing black and white population income since 1930
result Black females and white males are poles of overall income inequality
Enhancing the Black-Scholes model with Lévy processes and Malliavin calculus
problem Improving option valuation by incorporating stochastic volatility and jumps
method Deriving a pricing formula and exact implied volatility using multidimensional Itô calculus and Malliavin calculus
result Better capture of empirical features like volatility smiles
Researchers find a timing error in Black-Scholes-Merton option pricing model.
problem Timing error in Black-Scholes-Merton option pricing model.
method Discovered a timing mistake in Merton's 1971 model and showed misspecification in continuous and discrete time.
result Invalidates seminal contributions to the literature including Black-Scholes (1973) and Merton (1971).
Motivated by the work of Segal and Segal on the Black-Scholes pricing formula in the quantum context, we study a quantum extension of the Black-Scholes equation within the context of Hudson-Parthasarathy quantum stochastic calculus. Our model includes stock markets described by quantum Brownian motion and Poisson proce…
ODS improves adversarial attacks by maximizing output diversity.
problem Efficiency and effectiveness of adversarial attacks, especially black-box attacks.
method Output Diversified Sampling (ODS) that maximizes diversity in model outputs.
result ODS reduces the number of queries needed for black-box attacks on ImageNet by a factor of two.
ALFI improves likelihood-free inference for black-box generators.
problem Limitations of likelihood-free inference on black-box generators.
method Adversarial Likelihood-Free Inference (ALFI) to estimate posterior distributions.
result ALFI achieves best parameter estimation accuracy with limited simulation.
Deep neural networks work well at approximating complicated functions when provided with data and trained by gradient descent methods. At the same time, there is a vast amount of existing functions that programmatically solve different tasks in a precise manner eliminating the need for training. In many cases, it is po…
Improves model classification accuracy in black-box settings.
problem Difficulty in inferring model properties due to limited query access.
method Introduces discriminative factorization to distinguish high-quality queries.
result Probability of chance-level classification decreases exponentially with query budget.
Method optimizes diffusion model generation to meet user preferences.
problem Optimizing diffusion model generation with only black-box target scores.
method Covariance-adaptive sequential optimization algorithm for black-box optimization.
result Proves superior performance in achieving better target scores.