New statistical test for change-point detection using relative entropy.
problem Offline change-point detection using divergence metrics.
method Study of empirical relative entropy distributions, derivation of approximations, introduction of new Berry-Esseen bounds.
result Theoretical and practical validation of relative entropy for change-point detection.
Paper improves confidence intervals for LSA with multiplier bootstrap.
problem Improving confidence intervals for parameter estimation in LSA.
method Berry-Esseen bound for multivariate normal approximation and multiplier bootstrap.
result Valid confidence intervals for parameter estimation in LSA.
Paper develops efficient incomplete U-statistics for degenerate cases.
problem High computational cost and non-standard asymptotic behavior in degenerate U-statistics.
method Characterizes dependence structure using hypergraph theory and combinatorial designs, bypassing traditional Hoeffding decomposition.
result Derives a Berry-Esseen bound for incomplete U-statistics of deterministic designs, enabling Gaussian limiting distributions in degenerate cases.
Paper derives convergence rates and confidence intervals for LSA with Markovian noise.
problem Analyzing convergence rates and constructing confidence intervals for LSA with Markovian noise.
method Derives non-asymptotic Berry-Esseen bounds and multiplier block bootstrap procedure.
result Provides O ( n − 1 / 4 ) \mathcal{O}(n^{-1/4}) O ( n − 1/4 ) convergence rates and guarantees consistent inference. New bounds for SGD in high dimensions improve inference efficiency.
problem Quantifying uncertainty in high-dimensional SGD.
method Established non-asymptotic Berry--Esseen bounds for online least-squares SGD.
result Gaussian Central Limit Theorem holds for t ≳ d 1 + δ t \gtrsim d^{1+δ} t ≳ d 1 + δ , extending dimensional scaling. Kernel smoothing on unknown manifolds with bounds and asymptotic normality.
problem Data on unknown manifolds without boundaries.
method Finite sample bounds and asymptotic normality for kernel smoothing and its derivatives.
result Established finite sample bounds and asymptotic normality for kernel smoothing.
Paper stabilizes bandit learning with regularization, improving inference under adaptive sampling.
problem Challenges in statistical inference with adaptive sampling.
method Refined stability condition for online algorithms, using regularized stochastic-mirror-descent-style methods.
result Derives precise regret bounds and asymptotic normality, showing necessity of regularization for valid inference.
We give a comprehensive theoretical characterization of a nonparametric estimator for the L 2 2 L_2^2 L 2 2 divergence between two continuous distributions. We first bound the rate of convergence of our estimator, showing that it is n \sqrt{n} n -consistent provided the densities are sufficiently smooth. In this smooth regime, we t…
Deep Gaussian Processes with polynomial kernels can collapse rapidly without proper hyperparameter tuning.
problem The collapse of Deep Gaussian Processes with polynomial kernels without careful hyperparameter tuning.
method Analysis using the Berry-Esseen Theorem and observation of prior behavior.
result The prior of a Deep Gaussian Process collapses rapidly towards zero or places negligible mass on low norm functions without proper hyperparameter tuning.
Paper develops robust methods for large-scale testing without tuning parameters.
problem Heavy-tailed data in high-dimensional settings.
method Revisits Hodges-Lehmann estimator for robust inference without tuning parameters.
result Develops confidence intervals and controls false discovery proportion.
Mondrian random forests improve statistical inference for regression.
problem Improving statistical inference for regression functions.
method Combining bias and variance characterizations with debiasing and variance estimation.
result Valid statistical inference methods for unknown regression functions with error bounds.
Study on volumes of random inscribed polytopes in projective geometries.
problem Estimating volumes of random inscribed polytopes in projective geometries.
method Central limit theorems and normal approximation for volumes and dual volumes of random inscribed polytopes.
result Established central limit theorems and normal approximation for volumes and dual volumes of random inscribed polytopes.
Novel bounds improve TD learning consistency in RL.
problem Analyzing Temporal Difference learning's performance.
method High-dimensional concentration inequalities and Berry-Esseen bounds for Markov chain induced martingales.
result Sharp high-probability consistency guarantee for TD learning, matching asymptotic variance up to logarithmic factors.
We consider the problem of providing nonparametric confidence guarantees for undirected graphs under weak assumptions. In particular, we do not assume sparsity, incoherence or Normality. We allow the dimension D D D to increase with the sample size n n n . First, we prove lower bounds that show that if we want accurate infe…
Paper develops Gaussian approximations and bootstrap for federated LSA with trade-off bounds.
problem Analyzing convergence rates and trade-offs in federated linear stochastic approximation.
method Established Berry-Esseen-type bounds for federated LSA, developed multiplier bootstrap for inference.
result First federated Gaussian approximations with explicit trade-off terms and non-asymptotic validity guarantees.
Random forests remain among the most popular off-the-shelf supervised learning algorithms. Despite their well-documented empirical success, however, until recently, few theoretical results were available to describe their performance and behavior. In this work we push beyond recent work on consistency and asymptotic no…
Paper improves CLT and bootstrap approximations for LSA with decreasing step size.
problem Improving normal approximation and bootstrap methods for LSA with decreasing step sizes.
method Refined Berry-Esseen bounds and multiplier bootstrap procedure for LSA.
result Approximation rates up to 1 / n 1/\sqrt{n} 1/ n for LSA rescaled error distribution. Cheap methods improve uncertainty in SGD solutions.
problem Uncertainty quantification in SGD solutions.
method Two resampling-based methods: parallel resampling with replacement and online resampling.
result Significantly reduced computation effort in constructing confidence intervals.
New statistical methods improve TD learning for policy evaluation.
problem Improving statistical inference for reinforcement learning.
method Polyak-Ruppert averaging, refined high-dimensional Berry-Esseen bounds, online plug-in estimator, asymptotic covariance matrix.
result Guaranteed finite-sample coverage of confidence regions and simultaneous confidence intervals.
The paper improves conformal prediction by analyzing the beta law of conditional coverage.
problem Improving finite-sample marginal coverage guarantees for non-i.i.d. data.
method The method uses Wasserstein distances to quantify deviations from the beta law of conditional coverage.
result The framework provides direct bounds on marginal coverage gaps and bad-calibration probabilities.
The paper provides Gaussian approximations for decentralized Federated Learning.
problem Lack of asymptotic statistical guarantees for local SGD in Federated Learning.
method Two generalized Gaussian approximation results for local SGD trajectories.
result Valid multiplier bootstrap procedures and Gaussian bootstrap-based tests for detecting adversarial attacks.
This paper improves reinforcement learning by estimating return distributions using quantiles.
problem Improving reinforcement learning by estimating return distributions.
method Quantile-based distributional reinforcement learning, using quantile-projected distributional Bellman equations.
result The quantile-based approach achieves optimal sample efficiency and asymptotic efficiency.
This paper improves reinforcement learning by estimating return distributions using quantiles.
problem Improving reinforcement learning by estimating return distributions.
method The paper uses quantile-based distributional reinforcement learning to characterize return distributions.
result The quantile-based approach achieves optimal sample efficiency and asymptotic efficiency.
This work studies the smooth 1-Wasserstein distance and its limit distribution in high dimensions.
problem Addressing the curse of dimensionality in empirical approximation.
method Conducts a statistical study including limit distribution, bootstrap consistency, and concentration inequalities.
result Derives a nondegenerate limit distribution for empirical SWD, contrasting with classic W 1 W_1 W 1 . Study on financial systems using perturbed unimodal maps with heteroscedastic noise.
problem Analyzing systemic risk in financial systems using mathematical models.
method Investigation of one-dimensional unimodal maps perturbed by heteroscedastic noise, proving stability, convergence, and Lyapunov exponent continuity.
result Continuous dependence of average Lyapunov exponent on Markov chain parameters, and Gumbel's law for extreme values.
The paper provides rigorous guarantees for m-out-of-n bootstrap estimators of sample quantiles.
problem Lack of parameter-free guarantees for robust inference with heavy-tailed data.
method Central limit theorem and Edgeworth expansion for m-out-of-n bootstrap estimators of sample quantiles.
result Established rigorous guarantees for the soundness of m-out-of-n bootstrap estimators of sample quantiles.
We present a generic compact computational framework relying on structured random matrices that can be applied to speed up several machine learning algorithms with almost no loss of accuracy. The applications include new fast LSH-based algorithms, efficient kernel computations via random feature maps, convex optimizati…
Paper provides Edgeworth expansions for network moments, improving accuracy of sampling distributions.
problem Accurate descriptions of sampling distributions of network moment statistics.
method Edgeworth expansion applied to studentized network moment statistics.
result Higher-order accurate approximation to sampling CDF of network moment statistics.
Motivated by modern applications in which one constructs graphical models based on a very large number of features, this paper introduces a new class of cluster-based graphical models, in which variable clustering is applied as an initial step for reducing the dimension of the feature space. We employ model assisted cl…
The study optimizes bounds for comparing training and population loss.
problem Optimizing bounds for comparing training and population loss.
method Derives generic information-theoretic and PAC-Bayesian generalization bounds using convex comparator functions.
result The tightest possible bound is obtained with the comparator being the convex conjugate of the CGF of the bounding distribution.
Introduces bounded scale measure and generalizes property A.
problem Defining property A for large scale spaces with bounded geometry.
method Introduces bounded scale measure, shows its coarse invariance, and generalizes property A.
result Definition of property A for large scale spaces with bounded scale measure is a coarse invariant.
Paper improves PAC-Bayes bounds for various loss types.
problem Improving PAC-Bayes bounds for different types of losses.
method Introducing new high-probability PAC-Bayes bounds for bounded and general tail behaviors losses, and extending to anytime-valid bounds.
result New fast-rate and mixed-rate bounds for losses with bounded ranges, and parameter-free bounds for losses with general tail behaviors.
Improved bounds for Monte Carlo Rademacher Averages using self-bounding functions.
problem Proving sharper concentration bounds for MCERA.
method Deriving new bounds through self-bounding functions and concentration of measure.
result Novel bounds depend on data-dependent quantities, improving over standard methods.
Study bounds on self-shrinkers with bounded HA for applications.
problem Understanding bounds on self-shrinkers with bounded HA.
method Integral and pointwise bounds on the second fundamental form of self-shrinkers.
result Gap and compactness results for self-shrinkers.
Investigates tight PAC-Bayes bounds for small datasets.
problem Tightening PAC-Bayes bounds for small data.
method Generic PAC-Bayes theorem, meta-learning, synthetic tasks.
result PAC-Bayes bounds are competitive with Chernoff bounds but not as tight.
Extends Fatou theorem to bounded harmonic maps.
problem Classical Fatou theorem for bounded harmonic functions.
method Extending theorem to bounded harmonic maps.
result Identifies bounded harmonic maps on unit disk with bounded measurable functions on boundary.
New bound relaxes uniform gradient norm assumptions for PAC-Bayesian bounds.
problem Generalization bounds with strict assumptions like uniformly bounded loss.
method Relax uniform bounds assumptions to on-average bounded loss and gradient norm.
result Proposes a new generalization bound with a surrogate of model complexity.
Jiang et al. (2020) found no uniformly tight generalization bounds for neural networks in the overparameterized setting.
problem Finding uniformly tight generalization bounds for neural networks in the overparameterized setting.
method Examined more than a dozen generalization bounds, proving that no bounds can be uniformly tight in the overparameterized setting.
result No generalization bounds can be uniformly tight in the overparameterized setting.
Willmore-type inequalities for bounded domains in manifolds with curvature bounds.
problem Establishing inequalities for bounded domains in manifolds with curvature bounds.
method Using asymptotic or integral Ricci curvature bounds to establish inequalities.
result Recovering a recent inequality of Jin-Yin.
Lower bounds on curvature integral for manifolds with curvature constraints.
problem Bounding curvature integrals under curvature constraints.
method Proving a lower bound for the curvature integral using dimension, upper curvature bounds, and injectivity radius.
result Uniformly bounded below integral of scalar curvature.
Paper improves SLCB regret bound for bounded noise.
problem Stochastic linear contextual bandits with bounded noise.
method Set-membership estimation (SME) and optimism in the face of uncertainty (OFU).
result Improved regret bound of O ( log T ) O(\log T) O ( log T ) . Study on CMC hypersurfaces with bounded index and area, proving multiplicity one convergence and bounds on genus.
problem Understanding CMC hypersurfaces with bounded index and area.
method Bubble-compactness theory for embedded CMC hypersurfaces in low dimensions.
result Minimal blow-ups are all catenoids, and bounds on genus provided.
Uniform entropy bound for Ricci shrinkers with bounded curvature.
problem Bounding entropy for Ricci shrinkers with specific curvature constraints.
method Establishing uniform entropy bounds for simply connected Ricci shrinkers with a finite second homotopy group and uniform curvature bounds.
result Uniform entropy bound for simply connected Ricci shrinkers with a finite second homotopy group and uniform curvature bounds.
New study on regret lower bounds for multi-agent multi-armed bandit problems.
problem Understanding the limits of performance in multi-agent multi-armed bandit problems.
method Comprehensive study on different settings, establishing tight lower bounds.
result First comprehensive study on regret lower bounds across various settings.
The paper improves PAC-Bayes bounds for losses with finite moments.
problem Bounding generalization for losses with heavy tails and finite moments.
method Truncation method and PAC-Bayes bounds for unbounded losses with heavy tails and bounded variance.
result Bounds interpolate between slow and fast rates depending on the moment.
Sharp lower bound for Hodge Laplacian on Kähler hyperbolic manifolds.
problem Finding a sharp lower bound for the spectrum of the Hodge Laplacian.
method Explicitly expressed in terms of the supremum norm of the 1-form.
result Explicit spectral lower bounds for bounded symmetric domains.
New bounds for SGD show improved performance in various settings.
problem Improving convergence bounds for SGD with random permutations.
method Analyzing convergence of SGD with random reshuffling and arbitrary permutations.
result Tighter lower bounds for weighted average iterates in both convex and strongly-convex cases.
Uniform bounds for eigenvalues of Hodge Laplacian on manifolds with lower Ricci curvature.
problem Establishing bounds for eigenvalues of Hodge Laplacian under lower Ricci curvature.
method Using geometric assumptions including lower Ricci curvature, injectivity radius, and diameter bounds.
result Uniform eigenvalue bounds for the Hodge Laplacian and connection Laplacian.