The study uses Benford's law to test financial data reliability in developing countries.
problem Detecting and removing anomalies in financial reports.
method Benford's law first significant digit and distribution distances tests.
result Financial data distributions better follow Benford's law after anomalies are removed.
The S&P500 daily values and log-returns fail to conform to Benford's laws, revealing underlying trends.
problem Testing financial data for conformity to Benford's laws.
method Analyzed S&P500 daily closing values and log-returns over 16,265 days, disaggregating at five levels.
result S&P500 daily values show a huge lack of conformity to Benford's laws, with missing first and first two digits.
The yearly aggregated tax income data of all, more than 8000, Italian municipalities are analyzed for a period of five years, from 2007 to 2011, to search for conformity or not with Benford's law, a counter-intuitive phenomenon observed in large tabulated data where the occurrence of numbers having smaller initial digi…
Among econophysics investigations, studies of religious groups have been of interest. On one hand, the present paper concerns the Antoinist community financial reports, - a community which appeared at the end of the 19-th century in Belgium. Several growth-decay regimes have been previously found over different time sp…
Study tests UK FTSE-listed companies' financial data for Benford's Law conformity.
problem Ensuring the fairness of public revenue collection and reducing tax avoidance risks.
method Utilised pre-tax income and total assets data from 567 FTSE companies, tested for Benford's Laws conformity using χ2 and MAD tests. result MAD test rejects Benford's Laws conformity, suggesting potential issues with reported financial data.
Machine learning identifies math sequences based on empirical laws.
problem Identifying interesting mathematical structures.
method Extract features from integer sequences using Benford's and Taylor's laws; experiment with classifiers.
result Machine learning can identify various mathematical properties in sequences.
In this paper, we search whether the Benford's law is applicable to monitor daily changes in sovereign Credit Default Swaps (CDS) quotes, which are acknowledged to be complex systems of economic content. This test is of paramount importance since the CDS of a country proxy its health and probability to default, being a…
Benford's law states that in data sets from different phenomena leading digits tend to be distributed logarithmically such that the numbers beginning with smaller digits occur more often than those with larger ones. Particularly, the law is known to hold for different types of financial data. The Illicit Financial Flow…
Data science reveals unexpected tax manipulation patterns in Italian regions.
problem Detecting tax income manipulation in Italian municipalities.
method Adopting Benford's first digit law to analyze tax data.
result Marked disparities found in tax distributions across regions, contrary to expectations.
Suppose you look at today's stock prices and bet on the value of the first digit. One could guess that a fair bet should correspond to the frequency of 1/9=11.11 for each digit from 1 to 9. This is by no means the case, and one can easily observe a strong prevalence of the small values over the large ones. The fir…
The paper contains a short review of techniques examining regional wealth inequalities based on recently published research work but is also presenting unpublished features. The data pertains to Italy (IT), over the period 2007-2011: the number of cities in regions, the number of inhabitants in cities and in regions, a…
Paper introduces PHI to identify structurally distinct payment patterns in UK municipal procurement.
problem Vulnerability of public procurement to error, fraud, and corruption in high-volume transactions.
method Introduces Payment Heterogeneity Index (PHI) using Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) and non-parametric statistics.
result Identifies a significant cohort with structurally distinct payment patterns, improving procurement oversight.
This work explains scaling laws as redundancy laws in deep learning.
problem The mathematical origins of scaling laws in deep learning models remain unclear.
method Kernel regression and analysis of data covariance spectra.
result Scaling laws can be explained as redundancy laws, revealing the learning curve's slope depends on data redundancy.
Study on RL on volatility surfaces, proving no free lunch for law-seeking methods.
problem Aligning RL agents with no-arbitrage laws in volatile markets.
method Built a law manifold, defined penalties, and used a Goodhart decomposition.
result No free lunch theorem: Law-seeking RL cannot outperform baselines.
Visualizes Bangladeshi laws for quicker searching.
problem Difficulty in finding relevant Bangladeshi laws.
method Doc2Vec for node layout, link mining for citation networks, named entity recognition for quick section finding.
result Users find the tool faster and more intuitive for legal research.
A new scaling law predicts optimal batch size for training models.
problem Finding the optimal batch size for training models efficiently.
method Proposed a three-term scaling law that considers model size, training data, training steps, and batch size.
result The three-term law accurately recovers the optimal batch size and can be robustly fit with fewer training runs.
Space exploration technology advances exponentially, consistent with Moore's and Wright's laws.
problem Predicting the advancement of space exploration technology.
method Analysis of Moore's and Wright's laws applied to space exploration technology.
result Spacecraft technology advances exponentially, consistent with Moore's and Wright's laws.
This work analyzes neural scaling laws using power-law data spectra and derives analytical expressions for generalization error.
problem Understanding how neural network performance scales with key factors like data size and model complexity.
method Statistical mechanics techniques applied to one-pass stochastic gradient descent in a student-teacher framework.
result Derivation of analytical expressions for generalization error under power-law data spectra and identification of conditions for power-law scaling.
Study finds conservation laws for a specific class of parabolic equations.
problem Existence and structure of conservation laws for evolutionary scalar second-order differential equations.
method Calculation of linearized characteristic cohomology to find conservation laws, showing dependence on second derivatives.
result Only Monge-Ampère type equations have non-trivial conservation laws.
An Atlas model is a rank-based system of continuous semimartingales for which the steady-state values of the processes follow a power law, or Pareto distribution. For a power law, the log-log plot of these steady-state values versus rank is a straight line. Zipf's law is a power law for which the slope of this line is …
Large models follow power laws in performance with dataset size or parameters.
problem Understanding neural scaling laws in large language models.
method Joint generative data model and random feature model.
result Modeling and solving the dual limit reveals insights into scaling laws.
Conservation law for weakly harmonic mappings in high dimensions.
problem Conservation law for harmonic mappings in supercritical dimensions.
method Partial extension of Rivière's conservation law with Lorentz integrability condition.
result Conservation law for weakly harmonic mappings in supercritical dimensions.
Survey on conservation laws for geometric PDEs.
problem Modeling polyharmonic maps.
method Conservation law approach.
result Overview of conservation laws in geometric PDEs.
Dynamic risk measures follow law invariance principles over time.
problem Tackles dynamic risk measurement principles.
method Shows equivalence between adapted law invariance and recursive one-step conditional-law representation for time-consistent risk measures.
result Identifies adapted law invariance as the dynamic counterpart of ordinary law invariance.
Unified theory for neural scaling laws in hierarchically compositional data.
problem Understanding neural scaling laws in hierarchically compositional data.
method Probabilistic context-free grammars and power-law distributed production rules.
result Unified learning curve behavior for classification and next-token prediction tasks.
Defines formal vertex laws related to Lie conformal algebras.
problem No specific problem stated; focuses on definitions and proofs.
method Definitions and proofs of vertex/conformal versions of classical Lie theory results.
result Proves vertex/conformal versions of important Lie theory results.
We summarize a book under publication with his title written by the three present authors, on the theory of Zipf's law, and more generally of power laws, driven by the mechanism of proportional growth. The preprint is available upon request from the authors. For clarity, consistence of language and conciseness, we disc…
New concept of partial law invariance connects decision theory and financial risk management.
problem Connecting decision theory and financial risk management under uncertainty.
method Characterizing partially law-invariant coherent risk measures via a novel representation formula.
result Strong partial law invariance bridges the gap between existing risk measure representations.
This work extends the scaling law to multiple and kernel regression, challenging traditional machine learning principles.
problem Challenging traditional machine learning wisdom with scaling law in large practical models.
method Demonstrates the scaling law in multiple and kernel regression settings.
result The scaling law extends to multiple and kernel regression, providing deeper insights into LLMs.
Study on eigenvalue distribution of correlated time series deforming the semi-circle law.
problem Eigenvalue distribution of correlated time series differs from the semi-circle law.
method Analysis of Wigner random matrix with temporal correlation.
result Eigenvalue distribution converges to a deformed semi-circle law with longer tail and higher peak.
The article discusses conservation laws for polyharmonic maps and their applications.
problem Understanding conservation laws for polyharmonic maps.
method Recalling the stress-energy tensor and showing conservation laws with Killing vector fields.
result Conservation laws for polyharmonic maps and their applications.
Power laws detected in financial data, modeled with random multipliers.
problem Detecting power laws in financial data.
method Investigated data from financial instruments, proposed a model based on sums of Maxwell-Boltzmann distributions with random multipliers.
result Detected power laws with various exponents in financial data, proposed a universal model.
By using numerical simulation, we confirm that Takayasu--Sato--Takayasu (TST) model which leads Pareto's law satisfies the detailed balance under Gibrat's law. In the simulation, we take an exponential tent-shaped function as the growth rate distribution. We also numerically confirm the reflection law equivalent to the…
Empirical law predicts accuracy of Google Translate's translation chains.
problem Predicting accuracy in machine translation with multiple hops.
method Empirical testing of Google Translate's sequential translation.
result Accuracy decreases with the number of translating hops, following a power law.
Machine learning finds new natural laws from noisy data.
problem Discovery of natural laws relies on human inspiration.
method Recursive-LASSO-based symbolic regression (RLS) method.
result Data-driven formulation of natural laws from noisy data.
Extends results for law-invariant functionals to random variable spaces.
problem Establishing results for a broad class of random variable spaces.
method Using structural results for law-invariant functionals and extending to new spaces.
result Unified perspective on law-invariant functionals, including quantile-based representations.
Employing profits data of Japanese companies in 2002 and 2003, we identify the non-Gibrat's law which holds in the middle profits region. From the law of detailed balance in all regions, Gibrat's law in the high region and the non-Gibrat's law in the middle region, we kinematically derive the profits distribution funct…
New SDE model from machine learning optimization with unique stationary distribution.
problem Stationary distribution of machine learning optimization models.
method Proved ergodicity and unique stationary distribution of power-law dynamic SDE.
result Power-law dynamic has a unique stationary distribution and is ergodic.
Study reveals neural scaling laws in random graphs and natural language models.
problem Understanding the origin of neural scaling laws in complex systems.
method Examined scaling laws in transformers trained on random walks and simplified natural language models.
result Neural scaling laws emerge in the absence of power law structure in data correlations.
Researchers found a geometric duality for systems of conservation laws.
problem Systems of conservation laws and their additional conservation laws.
method Assigning ruled surfaces in projective space and defining dual systems.
result Hamiltonian systems are autodual, and 3-component nondiagonalizable systems are dual to systems with constant characteristic speeds.
New framework reveals thermodynamic principles for LLM training.
problem Understanding the training dynamics of large language models.
method Introducing Neural Thermodynamic Laws (NTL) under river-valley loss landscape assumptions.
result Key thermodynamic quantities and principles naturally emerge in LLM training.
Develops a simple model to understand learning curves for arbitrary power laws.
problem Lack of theoretical understanding of scaling laws in machine learning.
method Analyzes a toy model to determine if learning curves are universal or depend on data distribution.
result Determines that learning curves can exhibit n−β for arbitrary power β>0. Non-trivial conservation law found for a specific system.
problem Conservation law for a specific system with a vanishing characteristic.
method Analyzing overdetermined system with given characteristics.
result Non-trivial conservation law despite vanishing characteristic.
Study explains Zipf's law using geometric mechanisms from a finite alphabet.
problem Explains Zipf's law in language without relying on linguistic elements.
method Uses the Full Combinatorial Word Model (FCWM) to generate geometric distributions of word lengths.
result Supports predictions of power-law rank-frequency curves, matching various languages.
New scaling laws explain deep learning performance growth.
problem Understanding neural network performance growth.
method Analyzed entire training dynamics of various architectures.
result Identified two dynamical scaling laws.
Derives Weyl law for volume spectrum using parametric inequalities.
problem Deriving the Weyl law for the volume spectrum in compact Riemannian manifolds.
method Proves parametric generalizations of isoperimetric and coarea inequalities to derive the Weyl law.
result Derives the Weyl law for 1-cycles in 3-manifolds.
We study the relaxation dynamics of a financial market just after the occurrence of a crash by investigating the number of times the absolute value of an index return is exceeding a given threshold value. We show that the empirical observation of a power law evolution of the number of events exceeding the selected thre…
Study uses robust signature moments to characterize laws of stochastic processes.
problem Characterize laws of stochastic processes.
method Robust signature moments and maximum mean discrepancy metric.
result Derive a metric for laws of stochastic processes and kernelize it.