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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

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80160239319 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Bayesian priors

Researchers derive exact priors for finite Bayesian neural networks.

problem Understanding non-Gaussian priors in finite Bayesian neural networks.
method Analytical derivation of function space priors for finite fully-connected feedforward networks.
result Exact solutions for priors of finite networks, including Meijer G-function for linear networks and mixtures for ReLU networks.

Unified framework for Bayesian PDE-constrained inversion using physics-informed neural networks.

problem Incorporating prior distributions in function space into Bayesian PINN-based inversion.
method Functional-prior-based approaches (fpBPINN) to Bayesian PDE-constrained inversion using physics-informed neural networks (PINNs). Two complementary approaches: FPI-BPINN and fParVI-PINN.
result Accurate estimation of posterior distributions in seismic traveltime tomography and Darcy-flow permeability inversion.

BNNpriors library improves Bayesian neural network inference with various prior distributions.

problem Challenges in choosing good prior distributions for Bayesian neural networks.
method State-of-the-art Markov Chain Monte Carlo inference with a wide range of predefined priors.
result Facilitates foundational discoveries on the nature of the cold posterior effect.

Bayesian method corrects for model selection multiplicity in regression.

problem Model selection multiplicity in regression analysis.
method Developed a Bayesian prior distribution based on Holm procedure analogy.
result Adequate multiplicity correction requires sparsity not provided by recommended priors.

This work tackles the challenge of Bayesian deep learning by proposing a new framework for matching Gaussian process priors with neural network parameters.

problem The challenge of specifying priors over neural network parameters, which affects the induced functional prior and is uncontrolled.
method The approach involves defining functional priors using Gaussian processes and matching these priors with the functional prior of neural networks through the minimization of Wasserstein distance.
result The proposed framework offers systematic performance improvements over alternative priors and approximate Bayesian deep learning approaches.

Bayesian priors and penalties are equivalent in variational inference.

problem Understanding the relationship between Bayesian priors and penalties in variational inference.
method Characterizing the regularizers that can arise in variational inference and providing a systematic way to compute the prior corresponding to a given penalty.
result Equivalence between Bayesian priors and penalties in variational inference.

Bayesian priors offer a compact yet general means of incorporating domain knowledge into many learning tasks. The correctness of the Bayesian analysis and inference, however, largely depends on accuracy and correctness of these priors. PAC-Bayesian methods overcome this problem by providing bounds that hold regardless …

2012-02-14abs ↗pdf ↗

A new Weyl prior is proposed for Bayesian statistics, offering a more canonical choice for parameter α.

problem Choosing a prior distribution for Bayesian inference.
method Proposed a new Weyl prior based on the Weyl structure on a statistical manifold.
result The Weyl prior is a special case of the α-parallel prior with α = -n, where n is the dimension of the statistical manifold.

Study proposes learning optimal priors from data for better Bayesian inference.

problem Challenges the use of noninformative uniform priors in Bayesian inference.
method Machine learning approach to learn optimal priors from data using a target function.
result Study models consistently outperformed baseline models in Wikipedia category classification.

Bayesian algorithms perform well even with misspecified priors, especially in meta-learning.

problem Performance degradation of Bayesian algorithms with misspecified priors.
method Thompson sampling and meta-learning analysis with misspecified priors.
result Thompson sampling's performance degrades gracefully with misspecification, with a bound of ildeO(H2ε) ilde{\mathcal{O}}(H^2 ε).

This work explores how overparametrization and priors affect Bayesian neural network posteriors.

problem Symmetries, non-identifiabilities, and weight-space priors fragment and inflate BNN posteriors.
method We study the interplay between overparametrization and priors in BNN posteriors, deriving key phenomena and validating through experiments.
result Overparametrization induces structured, prior-aligned weight posterior distributions.

Bayesian neural networks use ridgelet prior for uncertainty quantification.

problem Combining strong predictive performance with uncertainty quantification in Bayesian neural networks.
method Proposes a ridgelet prior that approximates a Gaussian process covariance function in the output space of the network.
result Establishes universality property allowing Bayesian neural networks to approximate any Gaussian process.

Paper proposes a new method for Bayesian linear regression using spike-and-slab priors.

problem Identifying predictors with similar relationships in linear regression models.
method Hierarchical Bayesian models with spike-and-slab priors and a Gibbs sampler.
result The proposed method outperforms previous methods in simulations and real data analysis.

Bayesian priors for neural networks are improved by incorporating weight correlations and tail behavior.

problem Improving Bayesian priors for neural networks to better reflect true beliefs and performance.
method Analyzed summary statistics of neural network weights in different architectures and incorporated these observations into new priors.
result Improved performance on image classification datasets by using new priors that account for weight correlations and tail behavior.

Develops methods for constructing likelihoods and priors for Bayesian networks.

problem Learning parameters and structure of Bayesian networks from limited data.
method Introduces assumptions for constructing likelihoods and priors from small assessments.
result Allows construction of likelihoods and priors for a wide range of network structures.

The paper extends and applies a new shrinkage prior in Bayesian factor analysis.

problem Estimating the number of factors in sparse Bayesian factor analysis.
method Introduces and extends a generalized cumulative shrinkage process (CUSP) prior.
result Exchangeable spike-and-slab shrinkage priors imply increasing shrinkage as the column index increases.

Study shows prior Lipschitz continuity can improve adversarial robustness of Bayesian Neural Networks.

problem Improving adversarial robustness of Bayesian Neural Networks.
method Analysis of i.i.d., zero-mean Gaussian priors and posteriors approximated via mean-field variational inference.
result Adversarial robustness is sensitive to the prior variance.

The study assesses sensitivity to prior choices in Bayesian nonparametric models.

problem Difficulty in specifying priors for Bayesian nonparametric models.
method Utilizes variational Bayesian methods to assess sensitivity to concentration parameter and stick-breaking distribution.
result Demonstrates how to evaluate sensitivity to prior choices in Dirichlet process mixtures and related models.

In this paper, we derive a Bayesian model order selection rule by using the exponentially embedded family method, termed Bayesian EEF. Unlike many other Bayesian model selection methods, the Bayesian EEF can use vague proper priors and improper noninformative priors to be objective in the elicitation of parameter prior…

2017-03-30abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method learns priors for Bayesian optimisation to improve performance.

problem Bayesian optimisation tasks often assume strong similarity, which is violated in many cases.
method Replace strong similarity assumption with shape similarity, learn priors for hyperparameters.
result PLeBO and prior transfer find good inputs in fewer evaluations.

New Gaussian priors for neural networks improve scalability and Bayesian inference stability.

problem Scalability and stability issues in Bayesian neural network inference.
method Introduces a new Gaussian neural network prior with decreasing variance in network width, enabling stable MCMC sampling.
result The new prior enables stable MCMC sampling for Bayesian neural network inference, improving scalability and stability.

The study analyzes when Bayesian averaging over decision trees is reliable.

problem When do Bayesian model averaging weights over decision trees provide reliable information?
method Closed-form solution for Bayesian decision trees with Catalan-exponential priors.
result Established a complete non-asymptotic theory of rational commitment thresholds.

Extends Gaussian Process regression for handling multiple prior distributions.

problem Handling multiple prior distributions in Bayesian Machine Learning models.
method Mixtures of Gaussian Processes with analytical and Sparse Variational approaches.
result Effective in accounting for prior misspecification in functional regression problems.

Bayesian methods for machine learning have been widely investigated, yielding principled methods for incorporating prior information into inference algorithms. In this survey, we provide an in-depth review of the role of Bayesian methods for the reinforcement learning (RL) paradigm. The major incentives for incorporati…

2016-09-14abs ↗pdf ↗

New method reduces over-pessimism in Bayesian control under parameter uncertainty.

problem Over-pessimism in Bayesian control due to misspecified priors.
method Distributionally robust Bayesian control (DRBC) with strong duality and optimization.
result Validated algorithm on synthetic and real data, reducing over-pessimism.

HyperBO+ pre-trains a universal prior for Bayesian optimization across different domains.

problem Bayesian optimization requires domain-specific priors, limiting its applicability.
method Two-step pre-training method for hierarchical Gaussian processes.
result HyperBO+ achieves lower regrets on unseen search spaces.

Bayesian Optimization with a Prior for the Optimum (BOPrO) improves efficiency and accuracy.

problem Bayesian Optimization's standard priors are not intuitive for domain experts.
method BOPrO injects expert knowledge into the optimization process using priors about the optimum.
result BOPrO is 6.67x faster than state-of-the-art methods and achieves new state-of-the-art performance.

Proposes a new prior for complex models to improve prediction accuracy.

problem Difficulty in specifying priors for complex models like neural networks.
method Predictive complexity priors defined by comparing model predictions to a reference model, transferred to parameters via change of variables.
result Improves model predictions by reducing unintuitive effects of traditional priors.

Bayesian neural networks with Mercer priors for interpretable uncertainty quantification.

problem Uncertainty quantification in neural networks, especially for complex input-to-output mappings.
method Introducing Mercer priors for BNNs, which approximate a specified GP and are scalable.
result BNNs with Mercer priors can approximate the uncertainty of a specified GP, making them interpretable and scalable.

DPPS uses DP priors for Bayesian non-parametric multi-arm bandits.

problem Optimizing multi-arm bandit environments with prior beliefs.
method Bayesian non-parametric algorithm based on Dirichlet Process priors.
result DPPS provides principled incorporation of prior beliefs and is optimal in Bayesian regret setup.

Bayesian Hierarchical Invariant Prediction refines ICP for better scalability and prior integration.

problem Improving computational scalability and invariance testing for causal inference.
method Bayesian Hierarchical structure to test invariance under heterogeneous data.
result Demonstrated improved scalability and potential as an alternative to ICP.

Hybrid Bayesian neural networks use function uncertainty for probabilistic inference.

problem Uncertainty in neural network weights is hard to specify and interpret.
method Integrates probabilistic layers with standard deterministic layers for function uncertainty.
result Improves probabilistic inference by encoding function uncertainty.

Bayesian models use hyperparameters to indirectly assign priors, and this work shows how these priors can be derived from maximum entropy principles.

problem Understanding the assumptions and dependencies in Bayesian hierarchical models.
method Demonstrates how canonical distributions and maximum entropy principles can be used to derive marginal priors in hierarchical models.
result Marginal priors in hierarchical models derived from maximum entropy principles have different constraints compared to the original priors.

The paper proposes a semi-parametric Bayesian network model using Gaussian Processes and Horseshoe priors.

problem Learning semi-parametric relationships in Expert Bayesian Networks with minimal nonlinear components.
method Uses Gaussian Processes and Horseshoe priors to model relationships, prioritizes modifying expert graphs, and generates diverse graphs.
result Models outperform state-of-the-art semi-parametric Bayesian Network models in synthetic and real-world datasets.

Bayesian optimisation is improved by incorporating expert prior through space warping.

problem Cold start phase in expensive function optimisation.
method Prior distribution warps the search space around high probability regions of function optimum.
result Improves optimisation performance through acquisition agnostic approach.