arXiv research

This research uses DPPs to improve semi-parametric regression models.

The paper proposes a semi-parametric Bayesian network model using Gaussian Processes and Horseshoe priors.

Proposes a new algorithm for graph-based semi-parametric contextual bandits.

Proposes extensions to semi-parametric models using BART for shared covariates.

In the compressive learning theory, instead of solving a statistical learning problem from the input data, a so-called sketch is computed from the data prior to learning. The sketch has to capture enough information to solve the problem directly from it, allowing to discard the dataset from the memory. This is useful w…

This study improves tail risk forecasting by integrating overnight information into semi-parametric models.

Physical modeling of robotic system behavior is the foundation for controlling many robotic mechanisms to a satisfactory degree. Mechanisms are also typically designed in a way that good model accuracy can be achieved with relatively simple models and model identification strategies. If the modeling accuracy using phys…

Semi-parametric survival analysis methods like the Cox Proportional Hazards (CPH) regression (Cox, 1972) are a popular approach for survival analysis. These methods involve fitting of the log-proportional hazard as a function of the covariates and are convenient as they do not require estimation of the baseline hazard …

The paper connects semi-parametric estimates to European option pricing.

Paper compares different models for time-to-event analysis.

Semi-parametric framework for nonlinear system identification

A new model forecasts financial risks using multiple realized measures.

We analyze a simple prefiltered variation of the least squares estimator for the problem of estimation with biased, semi-parametric noise, an error model studied more broadly in causal statistics and active learning. We prove an oracle inequality which demonstrates that this procedure provably mitigates the variance in…

PGF kernels analyze spherical data using generalized RBF kernels.

We address challenges in estimating parameters from adaptively collected data.

The paper studies binary classification and aims at estimating the underlying regression function which is the conditional expectation of the class labels given the inputs. The regression function is the key component of the Bayes optimal classifier, moreover, besides providing optimal predictions, it can also assess t…

This paper presents a semi-parametric algorithm for online learning of a robot inverse dynamics model. It combines the strength of the parametric and non-parametric modeling. The former exploits the rigid body dynamics equa- tion, while the latter exploits a suitable kernel function. We provide an extensive comparison …

We consider off-policy evaluation and optimization with continuous action spaces. We focus on observational data where the data collection policy is unknown and needs to be estimated. We take a semi-parametric approach where the value function takes a known parametric form in the treatment, but we are agnostic on how i…

Develops a new framework for joint portfolio risk forecasting.

New method removes interference bias in causal models.

DebiNet uses over-parameterized neural networks to improve linear model performance and debiasing.

Generalizes prediction-powered inference for binary classifier evaluation.

The paper develops efficient estimators for semi-parametric binary models in distributed computing.

We find that the CAPM fails to explain the small firm effect even if its non-parametric form is used which allows time-varying risk and non-linearity in the pricing function. Furthermore, the linearity of the CAPM can be rejected, thus the widely used risk and performance measures, the beta and the alpha, are biased an…

In this paper we present an application of the use of autocopulas for modelling financial time series showing serial dependencies that are not necessarily linear. The approach presented here is semi-parametric in that it is characterized by a non-parametric autocopula and parametric marginals. One advantage of using au…

Study optimizes estimating linear functionals from observational data without strict overlap.

In this paper, we consider a generalized multivariate regression problem where the responses are monotonic functions of linear transformations of predictors. We propose a semi-parametric algorithm based on the ordering of the responses which is invariant to the functional form of the transformation function. We prove t…

Develops coresets for scalable multivariate distribution estimation.

Highly Autonomous Driving (HAD) systems rely on deep neural networks for the visual perception of the driving environment. Such networks are trained on large manually annotated databases. In this work, a semi-parametric approach to one-shot learning is proposed, with the aim of bypassing the manual annotation step requ…

Motivated by the application of real-time pricing in e-commerce platforms, we consider the problem of revenue-maximization in a setting where the seller can leverage contextual information describing the customer's history and the product's type to predict her valuation of the product. However, her true valuation is un…

Study dynamic pricing with semi-parametric models to minimize regret.

The paper tackles robust policy learning in MDPs using statistical methods.

A new realized conditional autoregressive Value-at-Risk (VaR) framework is proposed, through incorporating a measurement equation into the original quantile regression model. The framework is further extended by employing various Expected Shortfall (ES) components, to jointly estimate and forecast VaR and ES. The measu…

In this paper we address the problem of learning the structure of a Bayesian network in domains with continuous variables. This task requires a procedure for comparing different candidate structures. In the Bayesian framework, this is done by evaluating the {em marginal likelihood/} of the data given a candidate struct…

In this paper we tackle the problem of estimating the power-law tail exponent of income distributions by using the Hill's estimator. A subsample semi-parametric bootstrap procedure minimising the mean squared error is used to choose the power-law cutoff value optimally. This technique is applied to personal income data…

SPQR package uses neural networks for flexible quantile regression.

The joint Value at Risk (VaR) and expected shortfall (ES) quantile regression model of Taylor (2017) is extended via incorporating a realized measure, to drive the tail risk dynamics, as a potentially more efficient driver than daily returns. Both a maximum likelihood and an adaptive Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo m…

In this paper, we perform registration of noisy curves. We provide an appropriate model in estimating the rotation and scaling parameters to adjust a set of curves through a M-estimation procedure. We prove the consistency and the asymptotic normality of our estimators. Numerical simulation and a real life aeronautic e…

PSLR classifies functional data with scalar covariates using path signatures.

Proposes methods to include distributional information in MV-SDEs for better modeling of interacting particle systems.

Develops a flexible model for regime transitions in time series data.

Estimating linear, mean-square continuous functionals is a pivotal challenge in statistics. In high-dimensional contexts, this estimation is often performed under the assumption of exact model sparsity, meaning that only a small number of parameters are precisely non-zero. This excludes models where linear formulations…

This work uses diffusion models for accurate signal recovery from semi-parametric models.

Neural Networks trained with gradient descent are known to be susceptible to catastrophic forgetting caused by parameter shift during the training process. In the context of Neural Machine Translation (NMT) this results in poor performance on heterogeneous datasets and on sub-tasks like rare phrase translation. On the …

Optimizes AI learning with limited human feedback budgets.

Contrary to standard statistical models, unnormalised statistical models only specify the likelihood function up to a constant. While such models are natural and popular, the lack of normalisation makes inference much more difficult. Here we show that inferring the parameters of a unnormalised model on a space $Ω$ can …

PGAE uses predictions to guide active experimentation.

New framework forecasts ES using weighted quantiles.