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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for Bayesian machine scientist

Bayesian machine scientist uncovers accurate models from data.

problem Challenging scientific problems require interpretable mathematical models.
method Bayesian approach using Markov chain Monte Carlo to explore model space.
result Out-of-sample predictions are more accurate than existing methods.

Automated machine learning (AutoML) aims to find optimal machine learning solutions automatically given a machine learning problem. It could release the burden of data scientists from the multifarious manual tuning process and enable the access of domain experts to the off-the-shelf machine learning solutions without e…

2019-07-21abs ↗pdf ↗

AutoML frameworks outperform human data scientists on 7 out of 12 OpenML tasks.

problem Evaluating if AutoML can outperform human data scientists.
method Comparison of four AutoML frameworks on 12 popular OpenML datasets (6 supervised classification, 6 supervised regression).
result AutoML frameworks perform better or equal to human data scientists in 7 out of 12 tasks.

Machine learning (ML) has become a vital part in many aspects of our daily life. However, building well performing machine learning applications requires highly specialized data scientists and domain experts. Automated machine learning (AutoML) aims to reduce the demand for data scientists by enabling domain experts to…

2019-04-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Statistical Machine Learning (SML) refers to a body of algorithms and methods by which computers are allowed to discover important features of input data sets which are often very large in size. The very task of feature discovery from data is essentially the meaning of the keyword `learning' in SML. Theoretical justifi…

2018-11-09abs ↗pdf ↗

We harness the power of Bayesian emulation techniques, designed to aid the analysis of complex computer models, to examine the structure of complex Bayesian analyses themselves. These techniques facilitate robust Bayesian analyses and/or sensitivity analyses of complex problems, and hence allow global exploration of th…

2017-03-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Machine learning research for developing countries can demonstrate clear sustainable impact by delivering actionable and timely information to in-country government organisations (GOs) and NGOs in response to their critical information requirements. We co-create products with UK and in-country commercial, GO and NGO pa…

2018-11-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Machine learning and statistical modeling complement each other in healthcare analytics.

problem Choosing between machine learning and statistical modeling for analytics challenges.
method Choosing based on problem, data, and desired outcomes.
result Machine learning and statistical modeling are complementary, using similar principles but different tools.

Framework for interpreting ML models to reveal properties of real-world phenomena.

problem Lack of direct interpretability in modern ML models hinders scientific understanding.
method Developed 'property descriptors' grounded in statistical learning theory.
result Property descriptors can reveal relevant properties of joint probability distributions.

In many domains, scientists build complex simulators of natural phenomena that encode their hypotheses about the underlying processes. These simulators can be deterministic or stochastic, fast or slow, constrained or unconstrained, and so on. Optimizing the simulators with respect to a set of parameter values is common…

2014-12-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Machine learning predicts plant phenotypes from soil microbiome data.

problem Predicting plant phenotypes from soil microbiome data.
method Two models (random forest and Bayesian neural network) were used to predict plant phenotypes from soil properties and microbial population density.
result Human decisions and normalization strategies significantly impact model performance.

These are lecture notes for a course on machine learning with neural networks for scientists and engineers that I have given at Gothenburg University and Chalmers Technical University in Gothenburg, Sweden. The material is organised into three parts: Hopfield networks, supervised learning of labeled data, and learning …

2019-01-17abs ↗pdf ↗

The majority of data scientists and machine learning practitioners use relational data in their work [State of ML and Data Science 2017, Kaggle, Inc.]. But training machine learning models on data stored in relational databases requires significant data extraction and feature engineering efforts. These efforts are not …

2020-02-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Scientists often express their understanding of the world through a computationally demanding simulation program. Analyzing the posterior distribution of the parameters given observations (the inverse problem) can be extremely challenging. The Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) framework is the standard statistical…

2014-01-13abs ↗pdf ↗

CP4SBI improves the calibration of credible sets in SBI models.

problem Inaccurate credible sets in SBI models lead to underestimation of true parameters.
method Develops a local conformal calibration framework for SBI models.
result Improves the quality of uncertainty quantification for neural posterior estimators.

Many machine learning systems make extensive use of large amounts of data regarding human behaviors. Several researchers have found various discriminatory practices related to the use of human-related machine learning systems, for example in the field of criminal justice, credit scoring and advertising. Fair machine le…

2019-03-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian framework integrates spectral deconvolution with expert reasoning for robust peak estimation.

problem Challenges in extracting meaningful peaks from noisy or complex spectra.
method Bayesian spectral deconvolution coupled with a physical-property regression layer.
result Recovery of weak peaks in poly(lactic acid) IR spectra related to degradation rates.