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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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233466698931 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Bayesian approaches

A new clustering method using Bayesian techniques improves robustness and interpretability.

problem Improving clustering techniques for better robustness and interpretability.
method The paper proposes a novel Bayesian clustering method using the proper Bayesian bootstrap, which combines k-means clustering and ensemble clustering.
result The method provides clear indication on the optimal number of clusters and a better representation of the clustered data.

Bayesian approach improves network lasso for multi-task learning.

problem Improving the determination of relational coefficients in network lasso.
method Proposes a Bayesian approach to solve multi-task learning problems using network lasso.
result Objective determination of relational coefficients through Bayesian estimation.

Bayesian approach learns linear networks from high-dimensional data.

problem Learning high-dimensional linear Bayesian networks.
method Iterative estimation of topological ordering and parents using inverse partial covariance matrix with Bayesian regularization.
result The method successfully recovers network structure under certain conditions.

Bayesian model estimates treatment effects near cutoffs in regression discontinuity designs.

problem Estimating conditional average treatment effects in regression discontinuity designs.
method Develops a Bayesian additive regression tree (BART) model with linear leaf-level regressions.
result Adapts to different slopes on the running variable near the cutoff, providing interpretable inference.

A Bayesian network is a widely used probabilistic graphical model with applications in knowledge discovery and prediction. Learning a Bayesian network (BN) from data can be cast as an optimization problem using the well-known score-and-search approach. However, selecting a single model (i.e., the best scoring BN) can b…

2018-11-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Responds to comments on Bayesian Logic Regression algorithm, provides extensions and tutorial.

problem Improving Bayesian Logic Regression algorithm and its applications.
method Summarizes and responds to discussants' comments, provides extensions and tutorial.
result Extensions and tutorial for the Bayesian Logic Regression algorithm.

Structure learning of Bayesian networks is an important problem that arises in numerous machine learning applications. In this work, we present a novel approach for learning the structure of Bayesian networks using the solution of an appropriately constructed traveling salesman problem. In our approach, one computes an…

2012-11-20abs ↗pdf ↗

New method improves Bayesian inference for parametric models, robust to misspecification.

problem Inference can be untrustworthy when parametric models are wrong.
method Adaptive nonparametric corrections for parametric Bayesian models using generalized Bayes.
result The method achieves robustness and efficiency, converging fast when the parametric model is close to true.

Bayesian approach confirms no return predictability for 1926-2004 data, weak evidence for 1953-2021.

problem Investigating return predictability using Bayesian methods.
method Developed a new shrinkage type prior for a model parameter in a VAR system, compared to other estimation methods.
result Bayesian approach outperforms reduced-bias estimator in terms of size and power.

Bayesian method improves portfolio management with limited data.

problem Estimating covariance or precision matrix for large portfolios is challenging.
method Bayesian graphical LASSO for precision matrix estimation.
result The Bayesian approach outperforms non-Bayesian methods in stability and precision matrix estimation.

Paper proposes an efficient algorithm for learning sparse Bayesian networks from discrete high-dimensional data.

problem Learning sparse structure Bayesian networks from high-dimensional discrete data.
method Score function for sparse DAG, block-wise stochastic coordinate descent with variance reduction.
result The proposed algorithm outperforms existing methods in synthetic data benchmarks.

Unified framework for Bayesian PDE-constrained inversion using physics-informed neural networks.

problem Incorporating prior distributions in function space into Bayesian PINN-based inversion.
method Functional-prior-based approaches (fpBPINN) to Bayesian PDE-constrained inversion using physics-informed neural networks (PINNs). Two complementary approaches: FPI-BPINN and fParVI-PINN.
result Accurate estimation of posterior distributions in seismic traveltime tomography and Darcy-flow permeability inversion.

Information-theoretic Bayesian optimisation techniques have demonstrated state-of-the-art performance in tackling important global optimisation problems. However, current information-theoretic approaches require many approximations in implementation, introduce often-prohibitive computational overhead and limit the choi…

2017-11-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Hybrid approach combines transformer and Bayesian filtering for robust multiple particle tracking.

problem Challenges in tracking multiple particles in noisy scenes due to combinatorial explosion of hypotheses.
method Attention-Bayesian hybrid framework using transformer for association and Bayesian filtering for pruning hypotheses.
result Improved tracking accuracy and robustness against spurious detections.

The classical approach to inverse problems is based on the optimization of a misfit function. Despite its computational appeal, such an approach suffers from many shortcomings, e.g., non-uniqueness of solutions, modeling prior knowledge, etc. The Bayesian formalism to inverse problems avoids most of the difficulties en…

2014-10-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian model compares ML algorithms on various datasets.

problem Comparing multiple machine learning algorithms across multiple datasets.
method Bayesian Bradley-Terry model, defining regions of practical equivalence (ROPE).
result Allows nuanced statements and ROPE definitions for algorithm comparison.

Study uses machine learning to solve photoacoustic tomography's inverse problem.

problem Solving the full inverse problem in photoacoustic tomography.
method Developed an approach using variational autoencoders for Bayesian estimation of the posterior distribution.
result Evaluated the approach with numerical simulations and compared it to a Bayesian solution.

We present a fast variational Bayesian algorithm for performing non-negative matrix factorisation and tri-factorisation. We show that our approach achieves faster convergence per iteration and timestep (wall-clock) than Gibbs sampling and non-probabilistic approaches, and do not require additional samples to estimate t…

2016-10-26abs ↗pdf ↗

We develop a scalable method for Bayesian neural networks with stochastic differential equations.

problem Uncertainty quantification in deep neural networks.
method Gradient-based stochastic variational inference in continuous-depth Bayesian neural networks.
result Gradient estimator with zero variance as the approximation improves.

Paper proposes a learning-based sparse Bayesian method for accurate off-grid DOA estimation.

problem One-bit off-grid direction of arrival (DOA) estimation in a single snapshot scenario.
method Formulated off-grid DOA estimation model, used Sparse Bayesian framework, proposed Learning-based Sparse Bayesian approach.
result Improved computational efficiency and accuracy in off-grid DOA estimation.

Recently several researchers have investigated techniques for using data to learn Bayesian networks containing compact representations for the conditional probability distributions (CPDs) stored at each node. The majority of this work has concentrated on using decision-tree representations for the CPDs. In addition, re…

2013-02-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian Perceptron offers fully Bayesian neural networks without complex computations.

problem Lack of uncertainty quantification in neural networks.
method Bayesian inference framework for perceptron training and predictions in closed-form.
result Analytical expressions for perceptron's output and weight learning provided.

PIVID infers DAG structures from data using variational inference and permutations.

problem Estimating the structure of Bayesian networks from observational data.
method PIVID uses variational inference and continuous relaxations of discrete distributions to infer a distribution over permutations and DAGs.
result PIVID outperforms deterministic and Bayesian approaches in estimating DAG structures from data.

A new variational method speeds up Bayesian phylogenetic inference.

problem Slow and inefficient MCMC methods in Bayesian phylogenetic inference.
method Combining subsplit Bayesian networks with variational inference for efficient tree topology and branch length estimation.
result Variational approach provides competitive performance with significantly fewer iterations.

Proposes a learned Bayesian Cramér-Rao bound for unknown measurement models.

problem Computing the Bayesian Cramér-Rao bound requires full knowledge of priors and measurement distributions.
method Introduces a Physics-encoded score neural network to learn priors and measurements.
result Demonstrates improved sample complexity and interpretability through domain knowledge incorporation.

Paper proposes fully Bayesian approach for RVM classification, improving accuracy especially in imbalanced data.

problem Difficulty in conducting RVM classification due to lack of closed-form solution for weight parameter posterior.
method Proposes Generic Bayesian and Fully Bayesian approaches with hierarchical hyperprior structure.
result Improves classification performance, especially in imbalanced data.

Attack graphs are a powerful tool for security risk assessment by analysing network vulnerabilities and the paths attackers can use to compromise network resources. The uncertainty about the attacker's behaviour makes Bayesian networks suitable to model attack graphs to perform static and dynamic analysis. Previous app…

2015-10-08abs ↗pdf ↗

We exhibit a strong link between frequentist PAC-Bayesian risk bounds and the Bayesian marginal likelihood. That is, for the negative log-likelihood loss function, we show that the minimization of PAC-Bayesian generalization risk bounds maximizes the Bayesian marginal likelihood. This provides an alternative explanatio…

2016-05-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian approach for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in RDD designs.

problem Heterogeneity in treatment effects in RDD designs can lead to misleading conclusions.
method Direct Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) for modeling heterogeneous treatment effects.
result Flexibly captures complicated structures of heterogeneous treatment effects as a function of covariates.

BARK optimizes black-box functions using Bayesian Additive Regression Trees.

problem Bayesian optimization of complex, black-box functions with uncertainty quantification.
method BART Kernel using tree agreement for posterior over piecewise-constant functions, explored using MCMC.
result BARK obtains samples of Gaussian processes for function distributions, enabling acquisition functions for optimization.