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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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2457 · Feb 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Antarctic ice sheet

Neural-network emulators predict sea-level changes due to Antarctic ice melt.

problem High computational cost and time in projecting sea-level changes.
method Built neural-network emulators of sea-level change using GRD effects from future Antarctic Ice Sheet mass change.
result Neural-network emulators are as accurate as baseline machine learning emulators and offer substantial computational efficiency.

New neural network enforces mass conservation for better ice flow predictions.

problem Reliably project future sea level rise by improving ice sheet model inputs.
method Proposes divergence-free neural networks (dfNNs) enforcing local mass conservation.
result dfNNs yield more reliable ice flux estimates compared to other models.

Study characterizes cryospheric spectral feature space using joint PC+t-SNE approach.

problem Characterize cryospheric spectral feature space for remote sensing applications.
method Compare and contrast two approaches for identifying feature space basis vectors via dimensionality reduction (PCA and t-SNE).
result Joint characterization reveals distinct continua and clusters of ice reflectance properties.

Probabilistic programming aids in automatically dating ice cores, reducing manual error and uncertainty.

problem Automatically dating ice cores with high accuracy and capturing uncertainty.
method Probabilistic models and probabilistic programming for automatic inference.
result Demonstrated the use of probabilistic programming for ice core dating, showcasing its benefits and limitations.

Generative AI predicts Arctic sea ice dynamics over decades.

problem Reproducing realistic sea ice dynamics from days to decades is computationally challenging.
method Introduced GenSIM, a generative AI model trained on 20 years of sea-ice-ocean simulation data.
result Generative AI predicts realistic sea ice evolution for 30 years, capturing long-term trends and physical consistency.

The study analyzes the differences between physical and risk-neutral correlation estimates for equity baskets.

problem Analyzing the differences between physical and risk-neutral correlation estimates for equity baskets.
method Assumed equicorrelation, reduced dimensionality, approximated ICS from implied volatilities, analyzed dynamics using dynamic semiparametric factor model.
result Proposed profitability improvement schemes based on implied correlation forecasts.

Investigates the use of Information Coefficient as a stock selection model performance measure.

problem The adequacy and effectiveness of Information Coefficient (IC) for evaluating stock selection models is unclear.
method Simulation and simple statistical modeling to examine IC behavior statically and dynamically.
result Proposes two practical procedures for IC-based ongoing performance monitoring of stock selection models.

Proposes ICE-based metric for better understanding interactions in black-box models.

problem Misleading global sensitivity metrics in black-box models due to interaction effects.
method Individual Conditional Expectation (ICE) curves to compute feature importance and interactions.
result ICE-based metric provides richer insights into feature importance and interactions.

Neural networks have been widely used, and most networks achieve excellent performance by stacking certain types of basic units. Compared to increasing the depth and width of the network, designing more effective basic units has become an important research topic. Inspired by the elastic collision model in physics, we …

2019-11-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Loss functions play a crucial role in deep metric learning thus a variety of them have been proposed. Some supervise the learning process by pairwise or tripletwise similarity constraints while others take advantage of structured similarity information among multiple data points. In this work, we approach deep metric l…

2019-11-22abs ↗pdf ↗

New method corrects seasonal Arctic sea ice predictions with probabilistic models.

problem Systematic biases and errors in climate model forecasts of Arctic sea ice.
method Conditional Variational Autoencoder model to map observation distribution given biased model predictions.
result Probabilistic adjusted forecasts are better calibrated and have smaller errors.

New DR-IC estimator reduces bias and variance in OPE.

problem Estimating value of a target policy using logged data from a different policy.
method DR-IC estimator that combines parametric reward model and context-based switching rule.
result DR-IC estimator outperforms state-of-the-art OPE algorithms.

Though machine learning has achieved notable success in modeling sequential and spatial data for speech recognition and in computer vision, applications to remote sensing and climate science problems are seldom considered. In this paper, we demonstrate techniques from unsupervised learning of future video frame predict…

2019-10-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Introduces injective category number for continuous maps, linking classical and contemporary research.

problem Understanding conditions for a continuous map to be injective.
method Defines injective category number and examines its behavior under various operations.
result Provides a cohomological lower bound and expressions for injective category numbers in specific cases.

This paper identifies and bounds ICE central moments using PO marginal central moments.

problem Identifying and characterizing treatment effect heterogeneity.
method Using only marginal central moments of potential outcomes, the paper identifies and bounds central moments of individual causal effects.
result Identification and bounding of central moments of ICE using marginal moments of POs.

A world sheet in anti-de Sitter space is a timelike submanifold consisting of a one-parameter family of spacelike submanifolds. We consider the family of lightlike hypersurfaces along spacelike submanifolds in the world sheet. The locus of the singularities of lightlike hypersurfaces along spacelike submanifolds forms …

2015-07-02abs ↗pdf ↗

New method for online learning IC models with node-level feedback.

problem Learning IC models with node-level feedback in social networks.
method Detailed analysis and online algorithm with O(T)\mathcal{O}( \sqrt{T}) cumulative regret.
result First confidence-region result and online algorithm for IC models with node-level feedback.

In the Minkowski space-time, a world hyper-sheet is a timelike hypersurface consisting of a one-parameter family of spacelike submanifolds. Recently, Bousso and Randall introduced the notion of caustics of world hyper-sheets in order to define the notion of holographic domains in space-time. Here, we give a mathematica…

2015-03-31abs ↗pdf ↗

We present a procedure which allows one to integrate explicitly the class of checkerboard IC-nets which has recently been introduced as a generalisation of incircular (IC) nets. The latter class of privileged congruences of lines in the plane is known to admit a great variety of geometric properties which are also pres…

2018-08-22abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider a disk-shaped thin elastic sheet bonded to a compliant sphere. (Our sheet can slip along the sphere; the bonding controls only its normal displacement.) If the bonding is stiff (but not too stiff), the geometry of the sphere makes the sheet wrinkle to avoid azimuthal compression. The total energy of this sy…

2016-11-06abs ↗pdf ↗

A world sheet in Lorentz-Minkowski space is a timelike submanifold consisting of a one-parameter family of spacelike submanifolds in Lorentz-Minkowski space. In this paper we investigate differential geometry of world sheets in Lorentz-Minkowski space as an application of the theory of big wave fronts.

2014-11-26abs ↗pdf ↗

New method prevents posterior collapse in iVAE models.

problem Posterior collapse in iVAE models where observations and ICs are independent given covariates.
method Developed CI-iVAE by considering a mixture of encoder and posterior distributions in the objective function.
result Prevents posterior collapse, resulting in latent representations with more information of the observations.

Study compares empirical systemic risk with balance sheet risk in interbank networks.

problem Disentangling balance sheet risk from network effects in systemic risk.
method Generalised DebtRank dynamics and maximum-entropy approach to compare observed and expected systemic risk.
result Systemic risk levels are compatible but differ significantly during turbulent times.

Modeling vessel speed to balance efficiency and environmental risks in Arctic shipping.

problem Balancing vessel speed with environmental and ecological risks in Arctic shipping.
method Inverse control constrained optimization framework with risk parameters estimated from AIS data.
result Distinct decision-making patterns across vessel types and navigational statuses, with varying sensitivity to ice and whale risks.

This paper detects torsion elements in homology cylinder monoids.

problem Detecting torsion elements in the associated graded of the Y-filtration of homology cylinders.
method Introduced a homomorphism induced by the LMO functor to detect torsion elements.
result Every non-trivial torsion element in Y6IC/Y7Y_6\mathcal{IC}/Y_7 has order 3.

Hempel has shown that the fundamental groups of knot complements are residually finite. This implies that every nontrivial knot must have a finite-sheeted, noncyclic cover. We give an explicit bound, Φ(c)Φ(c), such that if KK is a nontrivial knot in the three-sphere with a diagram with cc crossings and a particularly s…

2004-01-12abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider congruences of straight lines in a plane with the combinatorics of the square grid, with all elementary quadrilaterals possessing an incircle. It is shown that all the vertices of such nets (we call them incircular or IC-nets) lie on confocal conics. Our main new results are on checkerboard IC-nets in the p…

2016-02-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper tackles imbalanced binary classification by optimizing precision and recall directly.

problem Imbalanced binary classification where standard accuracy is misleading.
method Exact constrained reformulations for precision and recall optimization.
result ERO framework outperforms state-of-the-art methods on multiple datasets.

A new stock selection strategy uses combined machine learning with dynamic weighting methods.

problem Improving stock selection accuracy and performance.
method Combined machine learning algorithms with static and dynamic weighting methods.
result IC-based dynamic weighting outperforms static evaluation metrics in backtested returns and predictive performance.

A new XVA strategy rooted in balance sheet perspective improves equity process for bank shareholders.

problem Counterparty risk valuation adjustments (XVAs) in financial derivatives.
method Develops a cost-of-capital XVA strategy in a balance sheet perspective, solving explicitly in static setup and dynamically in trade context.
result Ensures a submartingale equity process corresponding to a target hurdle rate on capital at risk.