BayesFlow trains neural networks for fast Bayesian inference.
problem Fast Bayesian inference for complex models.
method Amortized neural networks for intractable posterior distributions.
result Fast inference through pre-trained neural networks.
Adversarial robustness of amortized Bayesian inference is studied, showing it can be improved.
problem Adversarial robustness of amortized Bayesian inference.
method Simulation-based estimation, regularization scheme based on Fisher information.
result Adversarial robustness can be improved with a regularization scheme.
This paper examines how neural architectures support amortized Bayesian inference and its performance under varying conditions.
problem Understanding and evaluating amortized inference under signal-to-noise variation and distribution shift.
method Statistical analysis of neural architectures including feedforward networks, Deep Sets, and Transformers.
result Neural architectures support amortized Bayesian inference, offering controlled generalization error and robustness under varying conditions.
Simformer uses transformer models to perform flexible Bayesian inference.
problem Current simulation-based inference methods are inflexible and require fixed priors.
method Trains a probabilistic diffusion model with transformer architectures.
result Outperforms state-of-the-art methods on various benchmarks.
Adaptive workflow combines fast amortized inference with MCMC for many datasets.
problem Trade-off between computational speed and sampling accuracy in Bayesian inference.
method Adaptive workflow integrating amortized inference and MCMC with principled diagnostics.
result Efficiency gains with high posterior quality on tens of thousands of datasets.
UA-SABI uses surrogates to speed up Bayesian inference for expensive models.
problem Inference for computationally expensive models is slow and uncertain.
method Combines surrogate modeling with Amortized Bayesian Inference (ABI) to propagate uncertainties.
result Reliable, fast, and repeated Bayesian inference for expensive models is achieved.
JANA trains networks to approximate Bayesian models efficiently.
problem Intractable likelihood functions and posterior densities in Bayesian models.
method End-to-end training of three networks: summary, posterior, and likelihood networks.
result JANA provides accurate amortized marginal likelihood and posterior predictive estimation.
New methods make Bayesian inference feasible for complex cognitive models.
problem Bayesian inference is hard for complex, unknown models.
method Amortized neural network estimators for simulation-based inference.
result Effort in training networks amortizes over multiple uses.
ASPIRE improves amortized posterior inference for Bayesian inverse problems.
problem Bayesian inverse problems are computationally challenging due to uncertainty quantification.
method Iterative refinement of amortized posteriors using physics-based and summary statistics.
result ASPIRE achieves better posterior approximations with minimal extra computations.
This paper compares amortized methods for Bayesian posterior estimation.
problem Bayesian inference difficulties with iterative routines.
method Amortized in-context Bayesian posterior estimation using transformers and normalizing flows.
result Reverse KL estimator superior for predictive problems.
Proposes efficient sensitivity analysis for complex Bayesian models.
problem Inefficiency of sensitivity analyses in complex Bayesian models.
method SA-ABI: weight sharing and neural network rapid inference.
result Efficiently integrates sensitivity analyses into Bayesian inference.
ALINE optimizes Bayesian inference and data acquisition by strategically querying informative data.
problem Strategic acquisition of informative data for Bayesian inference in challenging tasks.
method Unified framework combining amortized Bayesian inference and active data acquisition using a transformer architecture trained via reinforcement learning.
result ALINE delivers both instant and accurate inference along with efficient selection of informative points.
SurvivalPFN simplifies survival analysis through amortized Bayesian inference.
problem Selecting appropriate survival analysis methods requires expertise and can be time-consuming.
method SurvivalPFN uses a prior-data fitted network for in-context Bayesian inference.
result SurvivalPFN achieves strong predictive performance across diverse datasets.
LazyDINO efficiently solves high-dimensional Bayesian inverse problems with fast and scalable solutions.
problem High-dimensional nonlinear Bayesian inverse problems with expensive parameter-to-observable maps.
method LazyDINO combines derivative-informed neural surrogates and lazy map variational inference for efficient posterior approximation.
result Significant cost reduction in amortized Bayesian inversion, achieving one to two orders of magnitude improvement.
New method uses neural networks to efficiently approximate Bayesian inference for complex models.
problem Efficiently approximating Bayesian inference for complex models with varying temperatures.
method Fully amortized neural posterior estimator trained on a single forward pass.
result Achieves competitive posterior approximations across various temperatures and benchmarks.
Paper tackles scalable VFL with data augmentation and amortized inference.
problem Collaborative model estimation across multiple clients with distinct covariates.
method Data augmentation, amortized variational approximation, factorized likelihoods.
result Scalable Bayesian VFL framework for various models.
Amortized VI for DGPs learns efficient inference.
problem Expressive limitations in GP approximations.
method Amortized variational inference for DGPs.
result Improved expressive prior and posterior for DGPs.
ACE improves GBI for simulators by approximating cost functions, making inference more efficient.
problem Inference for misspecified simulators is overly restrictive.
method Amortized cost estimation (ACE) for Generalized Bayesian Inference (GBI).
result ACE provides accurate cost predictions and more efficient inference.
Neural networks speed up statistical inference.
problem Efficient statistical inference for complex models.
method Neural networks for learning complex mappings.
result Amortized inference speeds up inference processes.
A new method for fast Bayesian mixture model estimation.
problem Estimating Bayesian mixture models is computationally challenging.
method Amortized Bayesian Inference (ABI) framework for mixture models.
result The method provides fast inference for mixture models.
PAVI speeds up Bayesian inference for large datasets.
problem Challenges in Bayesian inference for large population studies.
method Plate-amortized Variational Inference (PAVI) that shares parameterization across i.i.d. variables.
result Significant speedup in training variational distributions, orders of magnitude faster.
BayesFlow 2 speeds up Bayesian inference for complex models.
problem Slow Bayesian inference for complex models.
method Amortized Bayesian inference with neural networks.
result Streamlined workflow supports broad adoption.
In this paper, we introduce a new form of amortized variational inference by using the forward KL divergence in a joint-contrastive variational loss. The resulting forward amortized variational inference is a likelihood-free method as its gradient can be sampled without bias and without requiring any evaluation of eith…
JADAI optimizes design and inference for parameter estimation.
problem Parameter estimation with active optimization of design variables.
method Jointly trains a policy, history network, and inference network to minimize posterior error.
result Achieves superior or competitive performance across benchmarks.
Paper presents a fast method for estimating hidden states in Bayesian models.
problem Estimating hidden states in Bayesian state space models efficiently.
method Amortized simulation-based inference with pretraining.
result The method achieves sufficient accuracy and fast inference times.
A new method learns posterior and predictive distributions together, reducing computational cost.
problem Sequential two-stage Bayesian inference is computationally expensive.
method Amortized variational inference targeting posterior-predictive distribution.
result Efficient online inference with more accurate predictive distributions.
The paper investigates model misspecification in Bayesian inference using neural networks.
problem Detecting model misspecification in Bayesian inference with neural networks.
method Conceptualized types of model misspecification and proposed an augmented optimization objective with MMD.
result MMD can detect potentially catastrophic misspecifications in Bayesian inference.
PriorGuide adapts diffusion models to new priors at test time.
problem Limited applicability of prior distributions in diffusion-based inference.
method PriorGuide uses a guidance approximation to adapt diffusion models to new priors at test time.
result Enhances the versatility of pre-trained inference models by allowing flexible adaptation to new priors.
We develop methods for efficient amortized approximate Bayesian inference over posterior distributions of probabilistic clustering models, such as Dirichlet process mixture models. The approach is based on mapping distributed, symmetry-invariant representations of cluster arrangements into conditional probabilities. Th…
ABI adapts to graph data for fast, scalable inference.
problem Challenges in inference on graph-structured data.
method Amortized Bayesian Inference (ABI) framework for graph data.
result ABI successfully addresses challenges in graph data inference.
The study compares Bayesian and frequentist approaches in deep learning.
problem Comparing Bayesian and frequentist inference in deep learning.
method Conducts a comparative analysis of point and posterior estimators across various settings.
result Amortized point estimators generally outperform posterior inference, though posterior inference remains competitive in some low-dimensional problems.
UDA improves ABI robustness but fails under certain prior misspecifications.
problem Robustness of ABI in noisy real-world data.
method Systematic evaluation of UDA across various misspecification scenarios.
result UDA aligns summary spaces but can fail under prior misspecifications.
This paper tackles real-time Bayesian inverse problems using neural networks.
problem Real-time inference of posterior distributions from experimental data.
method Amortized variational inference with Gaussian and Flow guides.
result The approach provides posterior estimates in real-time at the cost of a forward pass.
Improved phylogenetic inference with normalizing flows.
problem Limitations of current diagonal Lognormal branch length approximation in VBPI.
method Proposes VBPI-NF using normalizing flows to handle non-Euclidean branch length space.
result Significantly improves phylogenetic posterior estimation on real data.
SC improves robustness in model comparison for misspecified models.
problem Model misspecification challenges in amortized Bayesian inference.
method Parameter posterior-based methods augmented with SC training.
result SC improves robustness under model misspecification.
ADAVI tackles variational inference for large HBM models in neuroimaging.
problem Large, pyramidally-organized HBM models in neuroimaging studies.
method Automatic dual amortized variational inference using neural networks and attention-based hierarchical encoding.
result Significantly reduced parameterization of the variational family, maintaining expressivity.
Delta-AI speeds up inference in sparse PGMs by local credit assignment.
problem Efficient inference in sparse probabilistic graphical models.
method Local credit assignment in agent's policy learning objective.
result Trained sampler recovers marginals and conditional distributions.
Paper improves robustness of ABI with unlabeled data.
problem Robustness issues in ABI for out-of-simulation data.
method Semi-supervised approach using unlabeled data and self-consistency losses.
result Semi-supervised ABI with unlabeled data improves robustness significantly.
Develops theory for conditional optimal transport in infinite-dimensional spaces.
problem Bayesian inference with functional parameters in infinite-dimensional spaces.
method Theory of constrained optimal transport for block-triangular maps.
result Regularity estimates on conditioning maps from prior to posterior.
Bayesian method for imputing actigraph data from mobile devices.
problem Imputing missing actigraph data from mobile devices.
method Bayesian inference and hierarchical dynamic linear model.
result Statistical learning of time-varying impact of explanatory variables on acceleration.
Probabilistic programming languages (PPLs) are a powerful modeling tool, able to represent any computable probability distribution. Unfortunately, probabilistic program inference is often intractable, and existing PPLs mostly rely on expensive, approximate sampling-based methods. To alleviate this problem, one could tr…
A-VI can approximate F-VI under certain conditions, improving inference in some models.
problem Approximate Bayesian inference using factorized distributions.
method Amortized variational inference (A-VI) learns a common inference function for latent variables.
result A-VI can close the amortization gap in simple hierarchical models.
New neural network models speed up Bayesian multilevel modeling.
problem Complex computational challenges in Bayesian multilevel modeling.
method Probabilistic neural network architectures that leverage multilevel model factorization.
result Efficient posterior inference on unseen datasets with near-instant results.
Current approaches to amortizing Bayesian inference focus solely on approximating the posterior distribution. Typically, this approximation is, in turn, used to calculate expectations for one or more target functions - a computational pipeline which is inefficient when the target function(s) are known upfront. In this …
New method improves ABI for sequential data, reducing forgetting and improving accuracy.
problem Performance degradation of ABI under model misspecification and distribution shifts.
method Decouples simulation-based pre-training from unsupervised SC fine-tuning, using memory buffer and elastic weight consolidation.
result Significant mitigation of forgetting and improved posterior estimates compared to standard simulation-based training.
Improved variational inference for geophysical inverse problems with data correction.
problem High computational cost and accuracy issues in Bayesian inference for geophysical inverse problems.
method Amortized variational inference with latent distribution correction using physics-based priors.
result Improved robustness of amortized variational inference under data distribution shifts.
New method speeds up galaxy analysis from hours to seconds.
problem Infeasibility of state-of-the-art SED analyses for large surveys.
method Amortized Neural Posterior Estimation (ANPE) for scalable Bayesian inference.
result Posterior distributions of 12 model parameters estimated in seconds per galaxy.
Bayesian design improves accuracy without extra cost.
problem Nested inference in complex systems limits BED accuracy and efficiency.
method Grouped geometric pooled posterior with EKI formulation.
result Improved accuracy and stable estimators at comparable cost.