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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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88176263351 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Amortized Bayesian Inference

Adversarial robustness of amortized Bayesian inference is studied, showing it can be improved.

problem Adversarial robustness of amortized Bayesian inference.
method Simulation-based estimation, regularization scheme based on Fisher information.
result Adversarial robustness can be improved with a regularization scheme.

This paper examines how neural architectures support amortized Bayesian inference and its performance under varying conditions.

problem Understanding and evaluating amortized inference under signal-to-noise variation and distribution shift.
method Statistical analysis of neural architectures including feedforward networks, Deep Sets, and Transformers.
result Neural architectures support amortized Bayesian inference, offering controlled generalization error and robustness under varying conditions.

UA-SABI uses surrogates to speed up Bayesian inference for expensive models.

problem Inference for computationally expensive models is slow and uncertain.
method Combines surrogate modeling with Amortized Bayesian Inference (ABI) to propagate uncertainties.
result Reliable, fast, and repeated Bayesian inference for expensive models is achieved.

JANA trains networks to approximate Bayesian models efficiently.

problem Intractable likelihood functions and posterior densities in Bayesian models.
method End-to-end training of three networks: summary, posterior, and likelihood networks.
result JANA provides accurate amortized marginal likelihood and posterior predictive estimation.

ASPIRE improves amortized posterior inference for Bayesian inverse problems.

problem Bayesian inverse problems are computationally challenging due to uncertainty quantification.
method Iterative refinement of amortized posteriors using physics-based and summary statistics.
result ASPIRE achieves better posterior approximations with minimal extra computations.

ALINE optimizes Bayesian inference and data acquisition by strategically querying informative data.

problem Strategic acquisition of informative data for Bayesian inference in challenging tasks.
method Unified framework combining amortized Bayesian inference and active data acquisition using a transformer architecture trained via reinforcement learning.
result ALINE delivers both instant and accurate inference along with efficient selection of informative points.

SurvivalPFN simplifies survival analysis through amortized Bayesian inference.

problem Selecting appropriate survival analysis methods requires expertise and can be time-consuming.
method SurvivalPFN uses a prior-data fitted network for in-context Bayesian inference.
result SurvivalPFN achieves strong predictive performance across diverse datasets.

LazyDINO efficiently solves high-dimensional Bayesian inverse problems with fast and scalable solutions.

problem High-dimensional nonlinear Bayesian inverse problems with expensive parameter-to-observable maps.
method LazyDINO combines derivative-informed neural surrogates and lazy map variational inference for efficient posterior approximation.
result Significant cost reduction in amortized Bayesian inversion, achieving one to two orders of magnitude improvement.

New method uses neural networks to efficiently approximate Bayesian inference for complex models.

problem Efficiently approximating Bayesian inference for complex models with varying temperatures.
method Fully amortized neural posterior estimator trained on a single forward pass.
result Achieves competitive posterior approximations across various temperatures and benchmarks.

Paper tackles scalable VFL with data augmentation and amortized inference.

problem Collaborative model estimation across multiple clients with distinct covariates.
method Data augmentation, amortized variational approximation, factorized likelihoods.
result Scalable Bayesian VFL framework for various models.

ACE improves GBI for simulators by approximating cost functions, making inference more efficient.

problem Inference for misspecified simulators is overly restrictive.
method Amortized cost estimation (ACE) for Generalized Bayesian Inference (GBI).
result ACE provides accurate cost predictions and more efficient inference.

JADAI optimizes design and inference for parameter estimation.

problem Parameter estimation with active optimization of design variables.
method Jointly trains a policy, history network, and inference network to minimize posterior error.
result Achieves superior or competitive performance across benchmarks.

Paper presents a fast method for estimating hidden states in Bayesian models.

problem Estimating hidden states in Bayesian state space models efficiently.
method Amortized simulation-based inference with pretraining.
result The method achieves sufficient accuracy and fast inference times.

A new method learns posterior and predictive distributions together, reducing computational cost.

problem Sequential two-stage Bayesian inference is computationally expensive.
method Amortized variational inference targeting posterior-predictive distribution.
result Efficient online inference with more accurate predictive distributions.

The paper investigates model misspecification in Bayesian inference using neural networks.

problem Detecting model misspecification in Bayesian inference with neural networks.
method Conceptualized types of model misspecification and proposed an augmented optimization objective with MMD.
result MMD can detect potentially catastrophic misspecifications in Bayesian inference.

PriorGuide adapts diffusion models to new priors at test time.

problem Limited applicability of prior distributions in diffusion-based inference.
method PriorGuide uses a guidance approximation to adapt diffusion models to new priors at test time.
result Enhances the versatility of pre-trained inference models by allowing flexible adaptation to new priors.

We develop methods for efficient amortized approximate Bayesian inference over posterior distributions of probabilistic clustering models, such as Dirichlet process mixture models. The approach is based on mapping distributed, symmetry-invariant representations of cluster arrangements into conditional probabilities. Th…

2018-11-24abs ↗pdf ↗

The study compares Bayesian and frequentist approaches in deep learning.

problem Comparing Bayesian and frequentist inference in deep learning.
method Conducts a comparative analysis of point and posterior estimators across various settings.
result Amortized point estimators generally outperform posterior inference, though posterior inference remains competitive in some low-dimensional problems.

UDA improves ABI robustness but fails under certain prior misspecifications.

problem Robustness of ABI in noisy real-world data.
method Systematic evaluation of UDA across various misspecification scenarios.
result UDA aligns summary spaces but can fail under prior misspecifications.

This paper tackles real-time Bayesian inverse problems using neural networks.

problem Real-time inference of posterior distributions from experimental data.
method Amortized variational inference with Gaussian and Flow guides.
result The approach provides posterior estimates in real-time at the cost of a forward pass.

Improved phylogenetic inference with normalizing flows.

problem Limitations of current diagonal Lognormal branch length approximation in VBPI.
method Proposes VBPI-NF using normalizing flows to handle non-Euclidean branch length space.
result Significantly improves phylogenetic posterior estimation on real data.

ADAVI tackles variational inference for large HBM models in neuroimaging.

problem Large, pyramidally-organized HBM models in neuroimaging studies.
method Automatic dual amortized variational inference using neural networks and attention-based hierarchical encoding.
result Significantly reduced parameterization of the variational family, maintaining expressivity.

Probabilistic programming languages (PPLs) are a powerful modeling tool, able to represent any computable probability distribution. Unfortunately, probabilistic program inference is often intractable, and existing PPLs mostly rely on expensive, approximate sampling-based methods. To alleviate this problem, one could tr…

2016-10-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Current approaches to amortizing Bayesian inference focus solely on approximating the posterior distribution. Typically, this approximation is, in turn, used to calculate expectations for one or more target functions - a computational pipeline which is inefficient when the target function(s) are known upfront. In this …

2019-07-18abs ↗pdf ↗

New method improves ABI for sequential data, reducing forgetting and improving accuracy.

problem Performance degradation of ABI under model misspecification and distribution shifts.
method Decouples simulation-based pre-training from unsupervised SC fine-tuning, using memory buffer and elastic weight consolidation.
result Significant mitigation of forgetting and improved posterior estimates compared to standard simulation-based training.

Improved variational inference for geophysical inverse problems with data correction.

problem High computational cost and accuracy issues in Bayesian inference for geophysical inverse problems.
method Amortized variational inference with latent distribution correction using physics-based priors.
result Improved robustness of amortized variational inference under data distribution shifts.

New method speeds up galaxy analysis from hours to seconds.

problem Infeasibility of state-of-the-art SED analyses for large surveys.
method Amortized Neural Posterior Estimation (ANPE) for scalable Bayesian inference.
result Posterior distributions of 12 model parameters estimated in seconds per galaxy.