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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,051 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for ARM estimator

Unified meta algorithms estimate various distribution functionals in infinite-armed bandits.

problem Estimating various distribution functionals in infinite-armed bandits.
method Unified meta algorithms for offline and online settings, achieving optimal sample complexities.
result Online estimation offers significant advantage for certain distribution functionals.

ARMS improves gradient estimation for binary variables using antithetic samples.

problem Estimating gradients for binary variables in discrete latent variable models.
method ARMS uses antithetic samples generated by a copula to estimate gradients more efficiently and unbiasedly.
result ARMS outperforms competing methods in training generative models and optimizing variational bounds.

We study the problem of finding the most mutually correlated arms among many arms. We show that adaptive arms sampling strategies can have significant advantages over the non-adaptive uniform sampling strategy. Our proposed algorithms rely on a novel correlation estimator. The use of this accurate estimator allows us t…

2014-04-23abs ↗pdf ↗

New strategy optimally identifies best arm in unknown variance Gaussian bandits.

problem Identifying the best arm in two-armed Gaussian bandits with unknown variances.
method Proposes a Neyman Allocation (NA)-Augmented Inverse Probability weighting (AIPW) strategy to estimate variances and draw arms adaptively.
result Demonstrates asymptotic optimality of the proposed strategy in the small-gap regime.

Proposes an interpretable machine learning framework for multi-arm HTE estimation.

problem Challenges in estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in multi-arm settings.
method Rule-based ensemble approach for HTE estimation in multi-arm trials.
result Achieved lower bias and higher estimation accuracy compared to existing methods.

New methods optimize personalized treatment assignment in trials with many arms.

problem Poor performance of standard methods in trials with many treatment arms.
method Regularized and clustered joint assignment forest algorithm.
result Gains in predicting arm-wise outcomes and utility gains from personalization.

A new method sparsifies neural networks using stochastic binary optimization.

problem Sparsifying neural networks to reduce computational cost and improve efficiency.
method Stochastic binary optimization with the Augment-Reinforce-Merge (ARM) estimator.
result ARM enables efficient network sparsification with comparable accuracy to baseline methods.

The paper tackles best arm identification in contaminated bandits with optimal error guarantees and sample complexity.

problem Best arm identification in stochastic bandits with adversarial reward contamination.
method Proposes two algorithms: a gap-based algorithm and a successive elimination-based algorithm for sub-Gaussian bandits.
result Asymptotically optimal sample complexity for both algorithms.

Agents cooperate to make decisions in multi-armed bandits over a graph.

problem Optimizing decisions in multi-agent multi-armed bandits with shared information.
method Designs consensus-based distributed estimation and cooperative algorithms for group decision-making.
result Achieves group performance close to centralized fusion center.

Paper uses subjective logic to estimate uncertainty in multi-armed bandit problems.

problem Estimating uncertainty in multi-armed bandit problems.
method Formalism of subjective logic applied to multi-armed bandits, proposing new algorithms.
result Subjective logic quantities enable useful assessment of uncertainty.

Study of repeated games with unobserved agent rewards using MAB framework.

problem Designing policies for principals in repeated principal-agent games with unobservable agent rewards.
method Developed a policy achieving low regret (square-root regret up to a log factor) for perfect-knowledge agents.
result Constructed an estimator for agent's expected reward and designed a policy achieving low regret.

A novel algorithm reduces communication costs in federated best arm identification.

problem Identifying the best arm in a federated multi-armed bandit setup with minimal communication cost.
method Proposes a novel algorithm called FedElim that communicates only in exponential time steps.
result Demonstrates that communication is almost cost-free in FedElim, with a total cost at most 3 times the maximum under its variant.

Optimal strategy identified for minimizing regret in fixed-budget best arm selection.

problem Minimizing expected simple regret in fixed-budget best arm selection.
method Two-Stage (TS)-Hirano-Imbens-Ridder (HIR) strategy using HIR estimator.
result TS-HIR strategy is asymptotically minimax optimal.

Unified approach translates classic bandit algorithms to structured settings.

problem Finite-armed structured bandit problem with unknown reward functions.
method Gradual estimation of hidden parameter θ* and use in mean reward functions.
result Structured bandit versions of UCB achieve bounded regret in practical scenarios.

New algorithm for shareable arms with load-dependent rewards in stochastic bandits.

problem Learning optimal play strategy with shareable finite-capacity arms in stochastic bandits.
method Developed a capacity estimator and online learning algorithm for MP-MAB with shareable arms.
result Regret upper bound matches the lower bound, validating the algorithm's performance.

Optimal strategy found for identifying best arm in bandits with small gap.

problem Best arm identification in two-armed bandits with a fixed budget and small gap.
method Neyman allocation rule augmented with inverse probability weighting.
result Proposed strategy is asymptotically optimal when gap is small.

The multi-armed bandit (MAB) problem is a classic example of the exploration-exploitation dilemma. It is concerned with maximising the total rewards for a gambler by sequentially pulling an arm from a multi-armed slot machine where each arm is associated with a reward distribution. In static MABs, the reward distributi…

2017-12-08abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithm reduces regret in multi-agent bandits with malicious agents.

problem Collaboration between honest and malicious agents in multi-armed bandits.
method Dynamic reduction of communication with malicious agents, learning who is malicious.
result Algorithm reduces regret even with a single malicious agent, assuming mm is small compared to KK.

Algorithm optimizes a single attribute in multi-armed bandits with constraints.

problem Optimizing a single attribute under multiple constraints in multi-armed bandits.
method Successive Rejects framework, information theoretic lower bound.
result Upper bound on probability of error decays exponentially with budget, nearly optimal in certain cases.

Digital twins improve single-arm trials by providing robust treatment effect estimates.

problem Lack of control arms in single-arm trials limits their gold-standard evidence.
method Outcome-model-based synthetic controls using machine learning models trained on historical data.
result Digital twins offer more robust treatment effect estimates and principled corrections.

Study best arm identification with contextual info, achieving optimal misidentification probability.

problem Identify the best treatment arm with minimal misidentification probability in a small gap scenario.
method Developed RS-AIPW strategy that matches lower bound of misidentification probability in the small-gap regime.
result RS-AIPW strategy is asymptotically optimal for best arm identification.

Kernel εε-Greedy optimizes multi-armed bandits with covariates for sub-linear regret.

problem Optimizing multi-armed bandits with covariates in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space.
method Online weighted kernel ridge regression estimator for mean reward function estimation.
result Achieves sub-linear regret rate and optimal T\sqrt{T} regret rate under margin condition.

New algorithms exploit mean bounds to improve bandit problem performance.

problem Improving bandit problem performance with side information on arm means.
method Developed novel algorithms R-OFUL and GLUE exploiting mean bounds for tighter estimates and reduced exploration.
result Regret bounds for R-OFUL and GLUE are never worse than standard algorithms, demonstrating improved performance.

The paper tackles non-stationary MAB with periodic rewards.

problem Non-stationary mean rewards over time in a business context.
method Combines Fourier analysis with confidence-bound learning to estimate periods and minimize regret.
result Proposes a near-optimal policy with a regret bound of O(Tk=1KTk)O(\sqrt{T\sum_{k=1}^K T_k}).

The paper improves bandit algorithms by incorporating random-effect models.

problem Improving statistical efficiency in multi-armed bandit problems with misspecified priors.
method Introduces a random-effect model to bandits, estimating arm means and designing a UCB algorithm ReUCB.
result Derives an upper bound on the Bayes regret of ReUCB, showing improved performance over Thompson sampling.

Enhances conformal prediction for better uncertainty estimates in armed conflict fatalities.

problem Lack of individual-level uncertainty estimates in existing forecasting models.
method Introduces bin-conditional conformal prediction (BCCP) to improve coverage rates across subsets of the outcome variable.
result Demonstrates improved local coverage and well-calibrated uncertainty estimates across various ranges of fatalities.

New method uses latent variables to estimate treatment effects from single-arm trials.

problem Estimating treatment effects from single-arm trials due to lack of external control groups.
method Latent-variable modeling with amortized variational inference for patient matching and direct effect estimation.
result Improved performance in direct treatment effect estimation and effect estimation via patient matching compared to previous methods.

Algorithm minimizes regret in multi-criteria bandits with constraints.

problem Optimize primary attribute while respecting secondary constraints.
method Con-LCB algorithm that guarantees logarithmic regret and feasibility identification.
result Logarithmic regret and feasibility identification with high probability.

Algorithm identifies Pareto front using multiple context directions and reuses exploration samples.

problem Identifying a set of arms with undominated mean reward vectors in linear bandits.
method Proposes a new estimator that updates estimates along multiple context directions and reuses exploration samples.
result Optimal sample complexity and logarithmic regret compared to optimal algorithms.

Study optimizes identifying the best arm with fixed rounds and Gaussian outcomes.

problem Designing efficient experiments to identify the best arm with fixed rounds and Gaussian outcomes.
method Developed worst-case lower bounds and the GNA-EBA strategy for optimal identification.
result GNA-EBA strategy is asymptotically worst-case optimal.

ACP-UCB1 ranks arms based on upper-tail performance, improving stochastic bandit algorithms.

problem Stochastic bandit algorithms often favor arms with strong upper-tail performance, which is not well-addressed by classical mean-reward criteria.
method ACP-UCB1 combines an adaptive conformal estimate of the upper endpoint with a UCB-type optimism bonus.
result ACP-UCB1 achieves logarithmic upper-quantile regret with per-arm contribution \(O( icefrac{\log n}{Δ_j^{\mathrm{ACP}}})\).

We introduce the functional bandit problem, where the objective is to find an arm that optimises a known functional of the unknown arm-reward distributions. These problems arise in many settings such as maximum entropy methods in natural language processing, and risk-averse decision-making, but current best-arm identif…

2014-05-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimal algorithm for high-dimensional stochastic linear bandits with sparse parameters.

problem High-dimensional stochastic linear bandits with sparse parameters.
method Three-stage arm selection algorithm using thresholded Lasso for estimation.
result Achieves exact minimax optimality in cumulative regret.