AI-assisted interviews allow respondents to describe experiences naturally, but mapping those accounts into structured survey variables is fallible.
problem Mapping AI-assisted interview responses into structured survey variables is fallible.
method Adaptive Matrix Validation (AMV) is proposed, which involves mapping responses into tabular data and using a small set of structured questions for statistical adjustment.
result The estimator calibrates mapped values using validation answers from other respondents and corrects remaining error with validation answers observed for the target respondent.
New findings show AI models can't be validated in complex social systems.
problem AI models in complex social systems can't be validated due to data collection practices.
method Formal impossibility results using the MovieLens benchmark.
result AI models in complex social systems are invalid under current data collection practices.
The paper studies how to allocate human validation in AI-assisted tasks to minimize errors.
problem Heterogeneous reliability of AI-generated signals across tasks, products, and customer segments.
method Tuned prediction-powered inference, upper confidence bounds policy, Neyman square-root rule.
result The proposed policy outperforms uniform and epsilon-greedy allocation, closing most of the gap to the oracle when reliability is heterogeneous.
AI attacks threaten insurance systems, requiring new defenses.
problem Adversarial attacks on AI in insurance.
method Categorize and discuss various types of attacks and defense methods.
result Need for improved AI systems to resist attacks.
A new model validation framework for agentic AI systems based on POMDPs.
problem Model validation of agentic AI systems.
method A POMDP-based framework for belief-state, forecast, and policy validation.
result The framework decomposes autonomous decision making into information, beliefs, forecasts, actions, and utility.
The paper introduces sanity tests to detect spurious correlations in AI-guided radiology systems.
problem Detecting when AI systems perform well on development data for the wrong reasons.
method Design and implementation of sanity tests to identify spurious correlations.
result Sanity tests can identify spurious correlations in AI-guided radiology systems.
Paper develops an AI-driven framework for systematic investing.
problem Manual prompts limit model adaptability and data snooping biases.
method Closed-loop system with self-evolving AI, out-of-sample validation, and economic rationale.
result Long-short portfolios on factor signals outperform with Sharpe ratio 3.11 and return 59.53%.
Financial institutions face new model risks with AI, requiring enhanced model risk management.
problem New model risks from Generative AI applications in financial institutions.
method Enhanced model risk framework with additional testing and controls.
result Financial institutions need to enhance their model risk management for Generative AI applications.
Framework for AI healthcare products from concept to market.
problem Failure of AI products to reach clinics despite promising potential.
method Decision-making framework for AI healthcare product development.
result Guides through a three-phase process to market launch of validated AI products.
FreB protocol uses AI to infer hidden parameters with valid confidence regions.
problem Generating biased or overconfident conclusions from AI-generated posterior distributions.
method Frequentist-Bayes (FreB) protocol reshapes AI-generated posterior distributions into valid confidence regions.
result FreB provides valid confidence regions that consistently include true parameters with expected probability.
Adaptive AI delegation framework for dynamic decision authority allocation.
problem Dynamic allocation of decision authority to AI-generated recommendations under evolving evidence quality and uncertainty.
method Formulated as a Governance-Aware POMDP, using Bayesian inference for informational state estimation and sequential optimization for authority allocation.
result Sequential Bayesian governance provides the strongest general-purpose policy across AI-quality regimes, adapting to evolving evidence.
Adaptive auditing improves AI robustness testing with anytime-valid guarantees.
problem Cost and time of annotation limit rigorous AI failure mode characterization.
method Introduces hypothesis testing framework for adaptive audits using SAVI.
result Proves anytime-valid type-I error control and robustness certification.
AI systems need reliable testing to ensure safety and trustworthiness.
problem Current AI Act lacks functional trustworthiness for AI systems.
method Define technical application distribution, set risk-based performance, and conduct statistically valid testing.
result Reliable functional trustworthiness is essential for AI systems.
fintech-kMC simulates financial platforms for AI/ML model validation.
problem Validation of AI/ML models in real-world financial applications.
method Agent-based model with kinetic Monte Carlo engine.
result Generates realistic synthetic data for testing AI/ML models.
Developed causal chambers for AI validation, providing real-world data.
problem Limited real-world datasets for AI method validation.
method Created computer-controlled physical systems (causal chambers) to generate datasets.
result Demonstrated applications in various AI fields, validated causal models.
A new method SLIDE ensures fairness in AI models.
problem Ensuring fairness in AI models while maintaining computational feasibility.
method Proposes a new surrogate fairness constraint SLIDE.
result SLIDE ensures fairness in AI models asymptotically and converges fast.
AI-generated variables bias regression estimates; methods correct for invalid inference.
problem Bias in regression estimates due to AI-generated variables.
method Two methods: bias correction and joint estimation.
result Valid inference restored through proposed methods.
A new method for releasing AI workflows to avoid premature incorrect results.
problem Statistical challenges in releasing AI workflows with adaptive scoring.
method Wrapper that calibrates and accumulates evidence from high-scoring failures.
result Reduces premature incorrect release while still releasing on moderate evidence.
Improved AI patent classifier measures U.S. and China's AI patenting.
problem Measuring AI patents with high precision and generalization.
method Fine-tuning PatentSBERTa on manually labeled data from USPTO's AI Patent Dataset.
result Rapid growth in AI patenting in both countries, but different organizational patterns.
FST.ai 2.0 improves Taekwondo decision-making with AI, reducing review time and increasing trust.
problem Fair, transparent, and explainable decision-making in Taekwondo.
method Pose-based action recognition, epistemic uncertainty modeling, interactive dashboards.
result 85% reduction in decision review time, 93% referee trust in AI-assisted decisions.
The paper highlights AI brittleness and the need for robust testing out-of-distribution performance.
problem The brittleness of AI systems, especially Deep Neural Networks, limits their reliability and certification.
method Analysis of AI brittleness and OOD performance, emphasizing the need for resilience and improved evaluation methods.
result AI systems are more failure-prone than certified in critical systems, and OOD performance falls off gradually.
Generative Augmented Inference improves AI-generated data for causal inference.
problem Challenges in using AI-generated annotations for reliable causal inference.
method Generative Augmented Inference (GAI) treats AI outputs as informative features for learning true labels, flexibly modeling the relationship using nonparametric methods.
result GAI significantly reduces estimation error and improves confidence interval quality compared to human-only and PPI-based methods.
New AI stock indices classify firms' AI engagement using 10-K filings.
problem Opaque AI selection criteria in existing ETFs.
method NLP analysis of 10-K filings to classify AI stocks.
result Companies with higher AI engagement have greater positive returns.
Artificial Intelligence (AI) is an important driving force for the development and transformation of the financial industry. However, with the fast-evolving AI technology and application, unintentional bias, insufficient model validation, immature contingency plan and other underestimated threats may expose the company…
VERAFI improves financial AI by verifying calculations and compliance.
problem Financial AI systems generate errors and violations during reasoning.
method VERAFI combines dense retrieval, reranking, and automated reasoning policies.
result VERAFI achieves 94.7% factual correctness, 81% relative improvement.
Detects AI-synthesized speech using cepstral and bispectral analysis.
problem Validating the authenticity of speech from AI-generated content.
method Integrates cepstral and bispectral analysis for distinguishing human from AI-synthesized speech.
result Higher-order statistics show less correlation for human speech compared to AI-synthesis, and cepstral analysis reveals unique power components.
Research creates a taxonomy to bridge AI security and regulatory gaps.
problem Disciplinary disconnect between technical and legal teams in AI risk assessment.
method Developed an AI System Threat Vector Taxonomy with 9 domains and 53 sub-threats.
result Empirically validated and aligned with ISO/IEC 42001 controls and NIST AI RMF functions.
New approach selects sparse features without validation.
problem Overfitting and high storage/compute costs in AI models.
method Phase transition in probability of feature retrieval.
result Flexible approach for various models and loss functions.
Method curates cost-effective, high-quality datasets using AI models.
problem Costly manual labeling of datasets.
method Probably Approximately Correct Labels (PACL) method.
result Curates high-quality datasets with low overall labeling error.
Study causal effects on humans in mixed human-AI systems with unobserved unit types.
problem Estimating causal effects on humans in systems with unobserved unit types and interaction networks.
method Assumed human-AI prior, causal message passing (CMP) framework, subpopulation analysis.
result Consistently recover human-specific causal effects using subpopulations with varying expected human composition and treatment exposure.
Paper detects bias in AI medical models using CART.
problem Ensuring fairness in AI medical decision support systems.
method Uses Classification and Regression Trees (CART) algorithm to identify bias.
result Validated the CART approach in both synthetic and real-world data.
CAI automates extraction and validation of corporate GHG emission metrics.
problem Manual extraction of corporate GHG emission metrics is labor-intensive and error-prone.
method CAI uses LLMs to automate extraction and validation of metrics from corporate disclosures.
result CAI improves data collection efficiency and accuracy by automating the process.
This thesis tackles bias in AI decision-making in banking.
problem Bias in AI-driven banking decisions.
method Understanding, mitigating, and accounting for bias in AI systems.
result Establishment of Responsible AI practices for fair decision-making.
Unified taxonomy for ML uncertainty in physics, validated.
problem Uncertainty quantification in machine learning for physics.
method Unified taxonomy, principled validation tools.
result Illustrated validation tools with examples.
Survey reviews explainability in AI for healthcare, emphasizing trust and transparency.
problem Lack of transparency hinders AI adoption in healthcare.
method Comprehensive literature review to guide explainable AI design.
result Quantitative evaluation metrics are needed for some explainability properties.
AI-driven investment strategies self-defeat at scale due to signal crowding and erosion.
problem Excess returns from AI-driven investment strategies diminish at scale due to signal crowding and erosion.
method Theoretical model and empirical validation using SEC Form 13F filings and hedge fund return dynamics.
result The alpha half-life of signals decreases significantly with AI adoption, leading to diminishing returns.
The paper studies how to use AI-generated labels in econometrics to avoid bias.
problem Small misclassification errors in AI-generated labels can lead to large biases in econometric estimators.
method The paper proposes a coupled-label bootstrap method to correct bias and deliver valid inference.
result The coupled-label bootstrap method is valid without the strong independence condition between true and imputed labels.
Survey of determinism issues in financial AI systems.
problem Vulnerabilities in reproducibility of financial AI systems.
method Literature review and first-party experiments on public financial datasets.
result Proposed a layered evaluation framework linking modality-specific metrics to audit readiness.
YRC-Bench benchmarks AI agents learning to collaborate with experts.
problem Learning to recognize when to consult an expert in novel situations.
method Validation strategy and proposer-validator decomposition.
result Insights for future AI safety research.
This study models AI traders' impact on financial markets using a multi-agent framework.
problem Lack of a comprehensive model to assess AI traders' effects on market price formation and volatility.
method Developed a multi-agent market model with microfoundations of the GARCH model.
result Validated the model through simulations and analyzed AI traders' impact.
Online symptom checkers have significant potential to improve patient care, however their reliability and accuracy remain variable. We hypothesised that an artificial intelligence (AI) powered triage and diagnostic system would compare favourably with human doctors with respect to triage and diagnostic accuracy. We per…
Theoretical study shows AI models can recover from contaminated training data.
problem Data contamination in AI training can degrade model performance.
method Theoretical analysis and experiments on various data types.
result Models converge to true distribution under mild conditions, with rate dependent on real data fraction.
Synthetic data can be used to ask more questions and accelerate discovery with provable validity guarantees.
problem Valid inference with synthetic data
method Task exchangeability
result Provable validity guarantees for synthetic data inference
This research develops a new framework to measure AI investment returns considering both gains and risks.
problem Traditional ROI calculations fail to account for AI's dual impact on risk reduction and new exposures.
method Integrates ISO 42001 and regulatory exposure into a comprehensive financial framework using risk quantification methods.
result Accurate AI investment evaluation requires modeling both productivity gains and risk exposures.
AI-driven tax policies improve economic equality and productivity.
problem Lack of appropriate economic data and limited opportunity to experiment.
method Two-level deep reinforcement learning approach to learn dynamic tax policies from observational data.
result AI-driven tax policies improve the trade-off between equality and productivity by 16%.
NESYM combines AI and Earth models for new climate insights.
problem Replacing traditional Earth models with AI.
method Neural Earth System Modelling (NESYM) integrating AI and climate models.
result Artificial intelligence may render traditional models obsolete.
Generative AI agents improve ERP systems by automating complex financial tasks.
problem Static, rule-based workflows limit adaptability and intelligence in ERP systems.
method Introducing Generative Business Process AI Agents (GBPAs) that integrate generative AI with business process modeling and multi-agent orchestration.
result GBPAs achieve up to 40% reduction in processing time and 94% drop in error rate.
Paper develops framework for AI agents in financial markets.
problem Systemic implications of AI in finance depend on agent architectures.
method Four-layer architecture and AFMM model for analysis.
result AI agents can improve market efficiency and resilience.