The paper explores AI in finance, focusing on XAI's role in enhancing interpretability and trust.
problem The need for AI in finance and the importance of XAI for better decision-making.
method Tracing AI's evolution in finance, highlighting XAI's role, and demonstrating through simulations.
result XAI enhances trust in AI systems, leading to more responsible decision-making.
Framework enhances AI explainability by aligning with human cognitive models.
problem Lack of explainability in AI models hinders trust and accountability.
method Integrates explainability techniques with Malle's five category model of behavior explanation.
result Demonstrates practical relevance in credit risk assessment and regulatory analysis.
Explainable AI improves human decision accuracy but does not enhance it significantly.
problem Improving human decision-making through explainable AI.
method Comparing human decision accuracy with and without AI predictions, including or excluding explanations.
result Providing AI predictions improves human decision accuracy, but explanations do not significantly enhance it.
Survey reviews explainability in AI for healthcare, emphasizing trust and transparency.
problem Lack of transparency hinders AI adoption in healthcare.
method Comprehensive literature review to guide explainable AI design.
result Quantitative evaluation metrics are needed for some explainability properties.
Blockchain aims to improve trust in AI systems, but lacks systematic studies.
problem Lack of systematic studies on blockchain design principles for AI trust.
method Hybrid qualitative and quantitative studies.
result Vast opportunities for future research and practice in blockchain design.
FST.ai 2.0 improves Taekwondo decision-making with AI, reducing review time and increasing trust.
problem Fair, transparent, and explainable decision-making in Taekwondo.
method Pose-based action recognition, epistemic uncertainty modeling, interactive dashboards.
result 85% reduction in decision review time, 93% referee trust in AI-assisted decisions.
CoExBO optimizes lithium-ion batteries with user input, enhancing trust and efficiency.
problem User distrust in Bayesian optimization due to opacity and lack of user input.
method Preference learning and iterative explanation to integrate user insights.
result Algorithm converges to optimal solution even with adversarial user inputs.
Proposes a new trust framework for AI models to maximize utility.
problem Concerns over bias and discrimination in predictive models.
method Introduces a novel trust framework inspired by philosophy, focusing on maximizing Bayes utility.
result Properly-ranked models are inherently U-trustworthy. Blockchain helps secure payments between AI agents.
problem Ensuring secure payments between untrusted AI agents.
method Systematized four-stage lifecycle for A2A payments on blockchain.
result Challenges remain in weak intent binding, misuse, and limited accountability.
The paper addresses the difficulty of decision makers trusting AI-assisted predictions and proposes a method to improve confidence values.
problem Decision makers struggle to trust AI-assisted predictions based on confidence values.
method The paper investigates why decision makers have difficulties and proposes a method to construct more useful confidence values.
result Multicalibration with respect to the decision maker's confidence on her own predictions is a sufficient condition for alignment, leading to better decisions.
Artificial intelligence (AI) comes with great opportunities but can also pose significant risks. Automatically generated explanations for decisions can increase transparency and foster trust, especially for systems based on automated predictions by AI models. However, given, e.g., economic incentives to create dishones…
New framework replicates private equity performance using AI and liquid strategies.
problem Inadequate trust and transparency in private equity markets.
method Advanced graphical models and asymmetric risk adjustments.
result Liquid, scalable solution that closely mimics private equity performance.
Develops methods for AI self-assessment to improve trustworthiness.
problem Uncertainty in AI predictions and lack of trust in AI systems.
method Uncertainty estimation techniques considering practical impacts and costs.
result Guidelines for selecting and designing effective AI self-assessment methods.
We explore trust in a relatively new area of data science: Automated Machine Learning (AutoML). In AutoML, AI methods are used to generate and optimize machine learning models by automatically engineering features, selecting models, and optimizing hyperparameters. In this paper, we seek to understand what kinds of info…
New AI technique explains neural net decisions over time.
problem Difficulty of explaining AI decisions in time series data.
method Proposes a novel XAI technique for deep learning methods.
result Preserves and exploits the natural time ordering of data.
AI enhances financial services but humans are irreplaceable for empathy, presence, and ethics.
problem AI's limitations in financial services, especially with small datasets and human judgment.
method EPOCH framework highlighting five irreplaceable human capabilities: Empathy, Presence, Opinion, Creativity, and Hope.
result Humans are essential for trust, innovation, and consumer experience in financial services.
Knowing when a classifier's prediction can be trusted is useful in many applications and critical for safely using AI. While the bulk of the effort in machine learning research has been towards improving classifier performance, understanding when a classifier's predictions should and should not be trusted has received …
Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the third most common cancer and the second leading cause of cancer-related deaths worldwide. Most CRC deaths are the result of progression of metastases. The assessment of metastases is done using the RECIST criterion, which is time consuming and subjective, as clinicians need to manually me…
Agent-to-agent finance aims to manage payments and trust for AI agents.
problem Managing financial interactions between autonomous AI agents.
method Develops agent-to-agent finance concept and explores blockchain solutions.
result Agent-to-agent finance can address coordination frictions in financial markets.
Reinforcement Learning AI commonly uses reward/penalty signals that are objective and explicit in an environment -- e.g. game score, completion time, etc. -- in order to learn the optimal strategy for task performance. However, Human-AI interaction for such AI agents should include additional reinforcement that is impl…
AI-driven Bayesian inference improves decision-making uncertainty.
problem Lack of certainty in AI predictions.
method Non-parametric Bayesian framework with Dirichlet process prior and AI-driven baseline.
result AI predictions can be integrated into Bayesian analysis for predictive inference and uncertainty quantification.
Enhances explainability of AI models without sacrificing accuracy.
problem Lack of interpretability in black-box models like Deep Neural Networks and Gradient Boosting.
method Co-supervised Local Model Synthesis (SynthTree) using Mixture of Linear Models (MLM).
result Statistical models significantly enhance explainability of AI models.
This thesis tackles bias in AI decision-making in banking.
problem Bias in AI-driven banking decisions.
method Understanding, mitigating, and accounting for bias in AI systems.
result Establishment of Responsible AI practices for fair decision-making.
AutoML enhances credit decisions with XAI for better transparency.
problem Transparency in AI-driven financial decisions.
method Combining AutoML and XAI (SHAP) for credit scoring.
result Improved efficiency and accuracy in credit decisions with enhanced transparency.
Research tackles distribution shift issues in ML to improve AI reliability.
problem Distribution shift limits ML reliability and trustworthiness.
method Study three distribution shifts (perturbation, domain, modality) and investigate robustness, explainability, adaptability.
result Proposes effective solutions and fundamental insights for enhancing ML robustness, adaptability, and safety.
New framework quantifies uncertainties in neural network explanations.
problem Lack of methods to quantify uncertainties in neural network explanations.
method Converts any explanation method into a Bayesian neural network method, modeling uncertainties.
result Allows quantification of explanation uncertainties and appropriate confidence levels.
AI systems need reliable testing to ensure safety and trustworthiness.
problem Current AI Act lacks functional trustworthiness for AI systems.
method Define technical application distribution, set risk-based performance, and conduct statistically valid testing.
result Reliable functional trustworthiness is essential for AI systems.
Self-explaining AI provides understandable explanations for AI decisions.
problem Difficulty in interpreting decisions made by deep neural networks, especially in critical applications.
method Introducing self-explaining AI that provides human-understandable explanations and confidence levels.
result Deep neural networks operate by interpolating between data points, making them hard to interpret.
PiNets provide faithful explanations for neural networks.
problem Lack of true explanations for neural network predictions.
method Pointwise-interpretable Networks (PiNets) that form linear models instance-wise.
result PiNets offer explanations that are meaningful, aligned, robust, and sufficient.
Artificial Intelligence (AI) can now automate the algorithm selection, feature engineering, and hyperparameter tuning steps in a machine learning workflow. Commonly known as AutoML or AutoAI, these technologies aim to relieve data scientists from the tedious manual work. However, today's AutoAI systems often present on…
LIMEADE improves AI advice for opaque models, enhancing accuracy and user satisfaction.
problem Lack of advice methods for opaque AI models.
method Develops a general framework to translate advice into model updates.
result Improves accuracy and user satisfaction compared to baselines.
Explaining AI systems is fundamental both to the development of high performing models and to the trust placed in them by their users. The Shapley framework for explainability has strength in its general applicability combined with its precise, rigorous foundation: it provides a common, model-agnostic language for AI e…
Many modern Artificial Intelligence (AI) systems make use of data embeddings, particularly in the domain of Natural Language Processing (NLP). These embeddings are learnt from data that has been gathered "from the wild" and have been found to contain unwanted biases. In this paper we make three contributions towards me…
The paper certifies AI reliability via sampling and calibration, providing exact guarantees.
problem Ensuring trust in black-box AI systems' outputs.
method Self-consistency sampling and conformal calibration.
result Reliability levels derived from these methods offer finite-sample guarantees.
ChatGPT selects stocks for investment portfolios, but optimization models improve results.
problem Using AI for investment advice due to model inaccuracies.
method Used ChatGPT to generate a stock universe, then compared various portfolio optimization strategies.
result Combining AI-generated stock selection with advanced optimization models yields better investment outcomes.
Deep-learning based classification algorithms have been shown to be susceptible to adversarial attacks: minor changes to the input of classifiers can dramatically change their outputs, while being imperceptible to humans. In this paper, we present a simple hypothesis about a feature compression property of artificial i…
Study shows LLM-advisors match human performance in eliciting preferences but struggle with conflicting needs and trust.
problem How do LLM-advisors perform in complex financial domains where domain expertise is crucial?
method Lab-based user study with 64 participants, focusing on three challenges: preference elicitation, personalized guidance, and relationship building.
result LLM-advisors can match human performance in preference elicitation but struggle with conflicting needs and trust issues.
This paper reviews metrics to assess AI model calibration accuracy.
problem AI model probabilities do not always match their true accuracy.
method Comprehensive review of 82 probability calibration metrics.
result Identified 4 classifier families and 1 object detection family of metrics.
SCoRE provides risk control for selective prediction models.
problem Enforcing strict error control in selective prediction models.
method SCoRE framework based on conformal inference and hypothesis testing.
result SCoRE offers binary trust decisions with finite-sample error control.
Study identifies a Strategic Gap in market efficiency due to AI-driven timing and complexity in disclosure.
problem Market inefficiency due to structural influence of disclosure timing and complexity.
method Introduces Autonomous Disclosure Regulator, a multi-node AI framework to audit disclosure complexity and unpredictability.
result Companies use confusing language and unpredictable timing to slow down market learning, creating a 60% Structural Gap.
Benchmark evaluates AI-generated financial QA hallucinations, highlighting system vulnerabilities.
problem Ensuring factual accuracy of AI-generated financial QA outputs.
method Developed a benchmark dataset and evaluated six detection methods under clean and noisy conditions.
result LLM-based judges and embedding methods perform best, but degrade under noisy conditions.
Interpretable AI model boosts investment confidence and profitability.
problem Challenges in financial forecasting and interpretability in decision-making models.
method SHAP-based explainability technique for interpretable AI models.
result Notable enhancement in investor's portfolio value.
This report aims to improve trust in AI by explaining machine learning models.
problem Understanding and trusting automated decision-making systems.
method Survey and distillation of literature on explainable machine learning.
result Survey findings help practitioners understand and apply explainable methods.
Statisticians contribute to LLMs for better trust and transparency.
problem Emerging statistical challenges in LLMs.
method Exploring statistical contributions to LLMs.
result Statisticians can enhance LLMs' trustworthiness and transparency.
Foresight Arena benchmarks AI forecasting on real-world markets, isolating predictive edge.
problem Evaluating AI forecasting ability in real-world markets is challenging due to overfitting, centralized trust, and conflated metrics.
method Permissionless, on-chain benchmark using probabilistic forecasts, commit-reveal protocol, and smart contracts.
result Demonstrates the need for 350 predictions to reliably distinguish agents of different skill levels.
Artificial intelligence (AI) generally and machine learning (ML) specifically demonstrate impressive practical success in many different application domains, e.g. in autonomous driving, speech recognition, or recommender systems. Deep learning approaches, trained on extremely large data sets or using reinforcement lear…
New trust matrix quantifies breakdowns in deep neural networks.
problem Understanding trust breakdowns in deep learning models.
method Introduces trust matrix and conditional trust densities to analyze deep neural networks.
result Trust matrices reveal areas needing improvement for deep neural networks.
RSM provides insights into deep survival models' decision-making.
problem Ensuring trust in deep survival models' predictions for healthcare applications.
method Reverse survival model (RSM) framework that explains deep survival models' decisions.
result RSM extracts relevant features for deep survival models' predictions.