World GDP growth is predicted to become unsustainable.
problem Predicting the future of world economic growth.
method Analysis of World Bank data on GDP growth rates.
result World economic growth is predicted to become unsustainable.
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48 results for “world economic growth”
Data describing historical economic growth are analysed. Included in the analysis is the world and regional economic growth. The analysis demonstrates that historical economic growth had a natural tendency to follow hyperbolic distributions. Parameters describing hyperbolic distributions have been determined. A search …
Unified Growth Theory contradicted by Latin American economic data.
problem Unified Growth Theory fails to explain Latin American economic growth.
method Analysis of historical economic growth data from Maddison.
result Unified Growth Theory is inconsistent with Latin American data.
Forecast predicts US recession in 2017, global economic slowdown, and eventual growth.
problem Short-term economic forecast and potential recession in developed countries.
method Analysis of log-periodic oscillations in DJIA dynamics and historical economic cycles.
result Predicts a recession in the second half of 2017 for developed countries.
Historical income per capita data follow hyperbolic growth patterns.
problem Economic stagnation and Malthusian traps in historical data.
method Fitting hyperbolic distributions to GDP/capita and population data.
result Income per capita growth was monotonic and without transitions.
A Compact Mathematical Model of the World System Economic and Demographic Growth, 1 CE - 1973 CEq-fin.ST
We propose an extremely simple mathematical model that is shown to be able to account for more than 99 per cent of all the variation in economic and demographic macrodynamics of the world for almost two millennia of its history. This appears to suggest a novel approach to the formation of the general theory of social m…
The paper uses remote sensing to validate global economic growth patterns.
problem Lack of reliable data on economic growth and wealth distribution.
method Introduces a novel economic observatory using remote sensing of Earth's surface.
result Observed sigma-convergence in post-Cold War period, but failed after financial crisis.
This paper has been withdrawn by the author due to some inaccurate descriptions in the section of INTRODUCTION and CONCLUSIONS.
Unified Growth Theory contradicted by Asian economic data.
problem Unified Growth Theory fails to explain Asian economic growth.
method Analysis of historical economic growth data in Asia.
result Asian economic growth was hyperbolic, not stagnant.
The global economy growth is modeled using econophysics and sociophysics.
problem Understanding the long-term evolution of global economic growth.
method Using econophysics and sociophysics, the study models the global economy growth using exponential and power-like functions.
result The global economy growth can be modeled using exponential and power-like functions, with the power-like dependence emerging in the last quarter of the century.
Unified Growth Theory contradicted by USSR economic data.
problem Unified Growth Theory fails to explain USSR economic growth.
method Analysis of historical USSR economic data.
result USSR economic growth was hyperbolic, not stagnant.
Measurement of Economic Growth, Development and Under Development: New Model and Applicationq-fin.GN
Paper presents a model to measure economic growth and development.
problem Measuring relative economic growth of different systems.
method S-Shaped model with linear representation to indicate growth, development, or underdevelopment.
result Model accurately measures economic growth and development of regions and macro regions.
Galor's mysterious income growth rate is debunked, revealing data manipulation.
problem Mysterious sudden spurt in income per capita growth rate.
method Mathematical analysis of historical world economic growth data.
result The sudden spurt in income per capita growth rate is an artifact of data presentation.
Unified Growth Theory contradicted by African economic data.
problem Contradiction between Unified Growth Theory and African economic growth data.
method Analysis of Galor's data for African countries.
result Data contradicts Unified Growth Theory's claims about economic growth regimes.
Effect of tax dynamics on linearly growing processes under stochastic resetting: a possible economic modelphysics.soc-ph
Tax dynamics affects wealth distribution in a linearly growing socio-economic model.
problem Analyzing how tax policies impact wealth distribution in a stochastic resetting system.
method Analytical and numerical study of a system of agents with linear wealth growth, stochastic resetting, and tax redistribution.
result Optimal taxation leads to economic equality, while excessive taxation results in reverse disparity.
The study applies Dimensional Analysis to the neoclassical economic growth model.
problem Inconsistency in the neoclassical economic growth model.
method Dimensional Analysis was used to evaluate and adjust the model.
result An adjustment to the neoclassical economic growth model is required to satisfy the principle of dimensional homogeneity.
Study measures economic growth sources in Iran's mining sector using neoclassical growth accounting.
problem Determining the share of economic growth sources in Iran's mining sector.
method Neoclassical growth accounting approach, using production function and Solow residual equation.
result Average annual growth rate of TFP was 2.94% over 30 years.
Unified Growth Theory disproved by lack of economic takeoffs.
problem The absence of economic takeoffs from stagnation to growth.
method Analysis of historical economic growth data.
result Takeoffs from stagnation to growth never occurred.
Examines financial risks' impact on EU-15 economic growth.
problem The impact of financial risks on economic growth in EU-15.
method Panel estimated generalized least squares method with additional control variables.
result Financial risks significantly impact economic growth in EU-15.
Study examines financial services, economic growth, and well-being using four prongs.
problem Understanding the components of well-being and their relation to economic growth.
method Four-pronged approach: Uncertainty Principle, Fiscal Responsibilities, Smaller Organizations, Redirecting Growth.
result Holistic understanding of well-being beyond economic growth indicators.
Early Warning Signs of the Economic Crisis in Greece: A Warning for Other Countries and Regionsq-fin.GN
Early warning signs of Greece's economic crisis were present in GDP growth rate instability.
problem Identifying early warning signs of economic crises in other countries.
method Analysis of GDP growth rate stability and long-term trends.
result GDP growth rate instability predicted the economic collapse in Greece.
New approach uses satellite imagery to estimate economic growth.
problem Lack of reliable economic data in developing countries.
method Dynamic network and representation learning.
result Accurately predicts spatial gross economic expenditures.
Unified Growth Theory debunked: economic growth is insecure and unsustainable.
problem The mystery of the great divergence in income per capita.
method Analysis of economic data to show that growth trajectories are increasing vertically over time.
result Unified Growth Theory is incorrect and promotes misleading concepts.
Firms Growth Dynamics, Competition and Power Law Scalingcond-mat.stat-mech
We study the growth dynamics of the size of manufacturing firms considering competition and normal distribution of competency. We start with the fact that all components of the system struggle with each other for growth as happened in real competitive bussiness world. The detailed quantitative agreement of the theory w…
Bubble Necessity Theoremecon.TH
Bubbles are essential in certain economic models with high growth and low interest rates.
problem Asset price bubbles exceeding fundamental values.
method Developed the Bubble Necessity Theorem in economic models with specific growth and interest rate conditions.
result Bubbles are inevitable in certain economic scenarios with high growth and low interest rates.
Simplifies analysis of hyperbolic distributions in demographic and economic research.
problem Fundamental postulates of demographic and economic research contradicted by data.
method Simple method of reciprocal values for identifying and analyzing hyperbolic distributions.
result Fundamental postulates of demographic and economic research are incorrect.
The Unified Growth Theory is a puzzling collection of myths based on illusions created by hyperbolic distributions. Some of these myths are discussed. The examination of data shows that the three stages of growth (Malthusian Regime, Post-Malthusian Regime and Modern Growth Regime) did not exist and that Industrial Revo…
Economic growth is unpredictable unless demand is quantified. We solve this problem by introducing the demand for unpaid spare time and a user quantity named human capacity. It organizes and amplifies spare time required for enjoying affluence like physical capital, the technical infrastructure for production, organize…
Study adds memory effect to Solow-Swan model for more accurate economic growth modeling.
problem Inaccuracies in classical Solow-Swan model in capturing long-term dynamics.
method Introduced fractional calculus with Caputo derivative into Solow-Swan framework.
result Fractional-order model shows significant impact on capital accumulation and stability.
The analysis of dollar inflation performed by the authors through the approximation of empirical data for 1913-2012 with a power-law function with an accelerating log-periodic oscillation superimposed over it has made it possible to detect a quasi-singularity point around the 17th of December, 2012. It is demonstrated …
Production networks amplify economic growth through technology diffusion.
problem Understanding how technology improvements propagate through production networks.
method Analyzing a production network model to study the effects of technological improvements.
result Longer production chains lead to faster price reduction and GDP growth.
Does Infrastructure Investment Lead to Economic Growth or Economic Fragility? Evidence from Chinaq-fin.GN
China's infrastructure investments fail to deliver economic growth, leading to fragility.
problem The myth that infrastructure investment leads to economic growth is debunked.
method Analysis of the largest dataset of infrastructure investment data in China.
result Infrastructure investments in China do not provide a positive risk-adjusted return.
Model shows economic growth without total wealth conservation.
problem Understanding economic growth without total wealth conservation.
method Kinetic wealth-exchange model with Monte Carlo and mean field approximation.
result Piketty's second law emerges as an emergent property.
The paper uses SVAR modeling to analyze how demographic changes affect the current account and economic growth.
problem The impacts of demographic changes on the current account and economic growth.
method SVAR modeling to track dynamic impacts between population growth, current account, and economic growth.
result The long-run net impact on economic growth of the domestic working population growth and demand labor for emigrants is positive.
The Impact of Services on Economic Complexity: Service Sophistication as Route for Economic Growthecon.GN
Services contribute to economic growth by increasing complexity indices.
problem Understanding the role of services in economic growth and complexity.
method Combining network science and econometrics, analyzing data from developed and developing countries.
result Services have higher complexity indices than goods, indicating a potential route for economic growth.
In order to investigate whether government regulations against corruption can affect the economic growth of a country, we analyze the dependence between Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita growth rates and changes in the Corruption Perceptions Index (CPI). For the period 1999-2004 on average for all countries in th…
Hierarchical structure of the countries based on electricity consumption and economic growthq-fin.ST
We investigate the hierarchical structures of countries based on electricity consumption and economic growth by using the real amounts of their consumption over a certain time period. We use of electricity consumption data to detect the topological properties of 60 countries from 1971 to 2008. These countries are divid…
Analyzes Indian commercial dynamism using time series data.
problem Understanding commercial dynamism in India.
method Time series analysis of various economic indicators.
result Detailed insights into growth rate, trade balance, etc.
Study on insurer solvency under economic growth and run-off conditions.
problem Impact of economic growth on insurer ruin probabilities.
method Comprehensive model with varying business volumes, focusing on run-off companies.
result Sharp asymptotic estimates for infinite time ruin probabilities.
Study analyzes factors for innovation-driven sustainable development.
problem Identifying factors for innovation in different countries and stages of development.
method Analyzed WEF's Global Competitiveness Index scores combined with country-level metrics.
result Identified actionable levers for innovation.
Climate volatility reduces economic growth, especially in poorer countries.
problem Impact of climate volatility on economic growth.
method Exploiting data on 133 countries over 59 years, controlling for temperature changes.
result A 1 degree C increase in temperature volatility leads to a 0.3% decline in GDP growth.
ICT intensification impacts employment across sectors in India.
problem Impact of ICT on employment in Indian sectors.
method Analysis of ICT investment intensity across sectors.
result ICT intensification correlates with employment changes across sectors.
Generative AI predicts economic activity from corporate transcripts.
problem Predicting economic activity using existing measures like surveys.
method Extracted managerial expectations from transcripts using generative AI.
result AI Economy Score predicts economic activity up to 10 quarters ahead.
Study analyzes GDP growth of CEE countries using time-varying coefficients.
problem Understanding GDP growth patterns of CEE countries post-integration.
method Panel regression with time-varying coefficients.
result Private debt plays a crucial role in economic growth.
Study finds no consistent return predictability using payout ratios across 16 countries.
problem Return predictability using payout ratios in various markets.
method Analysis of 16 developed countries' bond, equity, and housing markets using payout-price ratios.
result No consistent in-sample and out-of-sample performance with positive utility gain.
The paper gauges AGI's impact on GDP growth using mathematical metrics.
problem Determining the economic effect of AGI on GDP growth.
method Analysis of historical data, development of a new mathematical algorithm, regression analysis.
result There is a positive correlation between AGI growth and real GDP growth.
The paper analyzes growth rates and volatility in the 20th century.
problem Understanding the relationship between economic growth and volatility.
method Analyzes historical data of GDP per capita growth rates and volatility.
result A significant negative scale-relation between volatility and size of countries emerged after 1956.
We consider a heterogeneous agent-based economic model where economic agents have strictly bounded rationality and where income allocation strategies evolve through selective imitation. Income is calculated by a Cobb-Douglas type production function, and selection of strategies for imitation depends on the income growt…